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DETROIT –1½ +126 over Toronto Pinnacle
6:05 PM EST. The Blue Jays had a great weekend in St. Louis in which they scored 17 runs in three games and swept the Cardinals. Turns out that Tony LaRussa isn’t such a genius when guys named Albert Pujols aren’t playing. In any case, when the Blue Jays face quality right-handers like the one they’ll see here, they are a weak offensive squad. Prior to the Cardinal series the Jays scored two runs in three games in Atlanta. Prior to that they scored eight runs in a three game set in Cincinnati so while 17 runs in St. Louis in three games is a big improvement, we wouldn’t get too excited about them scoring on Jake Westbrook and Kyle McClellan. Max Scherzer has had a rough run with a 7.79 ERA and 1.68 WHIP over his last six starts. The main culprit for that is his newfound fly-ball tilt. He has a 33%/20%/46% GB%/LD%/FB%, a mark that has caused his numbers to deteriorate. Historically, that’s not been the case for Scherzer and it’s an adjustment issue you can be damn sure he’s working on. Fact is, Scherzer has wicked stuff, he’s still piling up strikeouts and the Blue Jays have been horrible against quality righties. Even if Scherzer struggles, the Tigers should have their way with Zach Stewart. Stewart has a frightening 26% line-drive rate over two starts and a low 34% GB rate. His command is average at best and with a WHIP of 1.97, Detroit should get plenty of opportunities to score. It’s also worth noting that in Double AA, not Triple AAA, Stewart posted a 4.39 ERA and a BAA of .287 in 12 starts prior to his call-up. Stewart has average stuff and no strikeout pitch and as soon as Kyle Drabek gets his head on straight, Stewart is heading back down to the minors where he may stay for a long, long time. Play: Detroit –1½ +126 (Risking 2 units).
DETROIT –1½ +126 over Toronto Pinnacle
6:05 PM EST. The Blue Jays had a great weekend in St. Louis in which they scored 17 runs in three games and swept the Cardinals. Turns out that Tony LaRussa isn’t such a genius when guys named Albert Pujols aren’t playing. In any case, when the Blue Jays face quality right-handers like the one they’ll see here, they are a weak offensive squad. Prior to the Cardinal series the Jays scored two runs in three games in Atlanta. Prior to that they scored eight runs in a three game set in Cincinnati so while 17 runs in St. Louis in three games is a big improvement, we wouldn’t get too excited about them scoring on Jake Westbrook and Kyle McClellan. Max Scherzer has had a rough run with a 7.79 ERA and 1.68 WHIP over his last six starts. The main culprit for that is his newfound fly-ball tilt. He has a 33%/20%/46% GB%/LD%/FB%, a mark that has caused his numbers to deteriorate. Historically, that’s not been the case for Scherzer and it’s an adjustment issue you can be damn sure he’s working on. Fact is, Scherzer has wicked stuff, he’s still piling up strikeouts and the Blue Jays have been horrible against quality righties. Even if Scherzer struggles, the Tigers should have their way with Zach Stewart. Stewart has a frightening 26% line-drive rate over two starts and a low 34% GB rate. His command is average at best and with a WHIP of 1.97, Detroit should get plenty of opportunities to score. It’s also worth noting that in Double AA, not Triple AAA, Stewart posted a 4.39 ERA and a BAA of .287 in 12 starts prior to his call-up. Stewart has average stuff and no strikeout pitch and as soon as Kyle Drabek gets his head on straight, Stewart is heading back down to the minors where he may stay for a long, long time. Play: Detroit –1½ +126 (Risking 2 units).
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