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Free Pick for Wednesday ML Baseball
ANGELS HAREN -R -145 over Washington
Free Pick for Wednesday ML Baseball
ANGELS HAREN -R -145 over Washington
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Randy Bruce
MLB: *5 dimes
Mets/Tigers Over 9.5, EvenComment
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MLB WRITE UP
Wednesday, June 29
Remember as interleague play starts, there are DHs used in games in the American League ballparks; pitchers bat in National League parks.
AL teams are 95-92 vs NL teams so far in interleague play.
Over is 40-36-9 with a DH, 42-53-7 without one, 82-89-16 overall.
Hot Pitchers
-- Cubs won four of Dempster's last five home starts (3-1, 2.01).
-- Tampa Bay won last four Shields starts (3-0, 1.32).
-- Baker is 3-1, 2.64 in his last four starts.
-- Stauffer is 2-1, 0.93 in his last four starts.
-- Hernandez is 2-1, 2.74 in his last three starts.
-- Carrasco is 2-1, 1.50 in his last four starts.
-- Zimmerman is 3-2, 1.54 in his last seven starts.
-- Capuano is 3-1, 1.44 in his last four starts.
-- Worley is 2-0, 1.57 in four home starts.
-- Maholm is 2-1, 1.82 in his last four starts.
-- Marcum is 1-0, 3.38 in his last five starts, but Milwaukee's bullpen lost the other four games.
-- Lewis is 1-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Buehrle has a 2.86 RA in his last four road starts. Jimenez is 2-0, 3.75 in his last couple starts.
Cold Pitchers
-- Lincecum has a 6.48 RA in his last four road starts.
-- Volquez is 0-1, 5.87 in his last three starts.
-- de la Rosa is 0-2, 8.44 in his last couple starts.
-- Chen is 1-1, 5.56 in his last four starts.
-- Lowe is 0-3, 5.47 in his last nine starts.
-- Duke is 0-2, 7.27 in his last five starts.
-- Haren is 3-3, 5.75 in his last six starts.
-- Coke is 0-2, 6.86 in his last four starts.
-- Carpenter is 0-4, 6.41 in his last four home starts. Jakubauskus has a 5.87 RA in his last three starts.
-- Lackey has an 8.82 RA in his last six starts.
-- Morrow is 0-4, 8.13 in six home starts.
-- Burnett is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Myers is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-4, 8.29 in his last six starts. Moscoso is 0-2, 3.57 in his last four starts.
Totals
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven San Francisco games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets' last five road games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six St Louis road games.
-- Last five Philly home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 8-3 in Rangers' last eleven road games.
-- Over is 11-5-2 in Dodgers' last 18 games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 7-4-1 in Arizona's last twelve home games.
-- Over is 12-3-2 in Kansas City's last 17 road games.
-- Under is 10-5-1 in Washington's last 16 road games.
-- Seven of last eight Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games stayed under the total.
Hot Teams
-- Giants won their last seven games, allowing 16 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers won six of their last seven home games. Milwaukee won three of its last four games.
-- Pirates won five of their last six games.
-- Detroit won 12 of its last 17 home games. Mets won five of their last six games overall.
-- Phillies won ten of their last eleven home games.
-- Rays won nine of their last 11 games.
-- Dodgers won three of their last four road games.
-- Padres won six of their last seven games.
-- Washington won 13 of its last 17 games, but is 0-2 under Johnson. Angels won seven of their last nine games.
-- Braves won nine of their last twelve road games.
Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Cardinals lost 12 of their last 16 games. Baltimore lost 10 of 15.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last nine games.
-- Cincinnati is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last nine road games. Astros lost seven of last eight games, allowing 33 runs in their last four.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last seven games.
-- Arizona lost three of its last four games. Indians lost ten of their last twelve road games.
-- Kansas City lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Seattle lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Colorado lost four of its last six games. White Sox lost three of four.
-- Marlins lost 25 of their last 29 games. Oakland lost four of last six, but they've only allowed six runs total in their last four games.
Umpires
-- SF-Chi-- Five of last six Hudson games went over the total.
-- Cin-TB-- Six of last eight Hernandez games stayed under total.
-- LA-Min-- Three of last four Cooper games stayed under total.
-- KC-SD-- Five of last six Muchlinski games stayed under total.
-- Atl-Sea-- Nine of last eleven Emmel games stayed under total.
-- Clev-Az-- Road team won seven of last eight Dimuro games.
-- Wsh-LA-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Bell games.
-- NY-Det-- Six of last eight Hickox games stayed under total.
-- StL-Balt-- All three Gonzalez games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Phil-- Last five Kulpa games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-Tor-- Home team won five of last six Iassogna games.
-- Mil-NY-- Six of last eight Cederstrom games went over total.
-- Tex-Hst-- Underdogs are 11-5 in last sixteen Davidson games.
-- Chi-Colo-- 12 of last 15 Demuth games went over the total.
-- Fla-A's-- Four of last five Miller games went over the total.Comment
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TheRealViceroy
Dodgers/Twins U8Comment
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TRENDS
Cincinnati vs. Tampa Bay 12:10PM ET
Tampa has gone under the total in 7 of their last 9 home games
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Los Angeles vs. Minnesota 1:10PM ET
LA has gone over the total 5 straight road games
Minnesota has won 8 of their last 9 home games
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Kansas City vs. San Diego 3:35PM ET
7 of the last 8 meetings between these 2 teams have gone over the total
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Atlanta vs. Seattle 3:40PM ET
Seattle has gone under the total 6 of their last 7 home games
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Cleveland vs. Arizona 3:40PM ET
Cleveland has gone under the total in 8 of their last 12 games overall
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Boston vs. Phiadelphia 7:05PM ET
Boston has gone under the total 6 of their last 7 road games
Philadelphia has won 10 of their last 11 home games
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Milwaukee vs. NY Yankees 7:05PM ET
Milwaukee has gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 road games
NY Yankees have won 6 of their last 7 home games
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St. Louis vs. Baltimore 7:05PM ET
Baltimore has gone over the total in 6 of their last 8 games
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Washington vs. LA Angels 7:05PM ET
LA has won 7 of their last 10 games overall
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NY Mets vs. Detroit 7:05PM ET
5 of the last 6 meetings between these 2 clubs have gone over the total
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Pittsburgh vs. Toronto 7:07PM ET
Toronto has gone over the total in 9 of their last 12 home games
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Texas vs. Houston 8:05PM ET
Houston has gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 home games
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San Francisco vs. Chicago Cubs
San Francisco has won 4 of the last 5 meetings played in Chicago
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Chicago White Sox vs. Colorado 8:40PM ET
Chicago has gone under 5 of their last 6 games overall
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Florida vs. Oakland 10:05PM ET
Florida has lost 8 of their last 10 games overallComment
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Paul Leiner
250* Redsox +115
100* Mariners -145
50* Over 9 Yanks/BrewersComment
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DAVID BANKS
(comp)
Fail yesterday Under Mets / Tigers
Florida Marlins vs. Oakland Athletics
A pair of struggling teams match up in the second game of their Interleague series at Overstock.com Coliseum where the Oakland A’s Graham Godfrey will look to get the best of Ricky Nolasco and the Florida Marlins; first pitch is set for 10:05 ET.
The month of June has been everything but Marlins brass would’ve wanted to see transpire. They opened the month up just two-games in back of the Philadelphia Phillies within the NL East standings, but entering Tuesday night’s series opener, the Fish now find themselves 14.5-games out and in last place in the division. Jack McKeon took over the managerial duties, and since then, the ball club has gone 2-3. The Marlins were one of the best road teams over the course of the first two months of the season, but now stand just 17-18 ($212) overall.
The A’s have been a very tough team for MLB bettors to figure out all season long. The pitching staff led the league at one point in unit ERA, but after suffering a multitude of injuries to starting pitchers, the unit now ranks 3rd with a combined 3.17 ERA; still not too shabby. That said, the offense is flat out rancid scoring an average of just 3.54 runs per game (#27) and launching just 41 overall long balls into the bleachers (#30). They have however been at their best as a host going 19-16 overall, but have still cost their betting backers upwards of $280 in those contests.
These teams last met back in 2008 and have only matched wits in six games this past decade. The series is split at three games a piece with the ‘over’ going 4-1-1 overall. Tuesday night pending, Florida is 1-10 its L/11 as a visitor and a putrid 2-8 against American League opposition. In the other dugout, the A’s are riding a five-game home winning streak and sport a dominating 75-36 record the L/111 times they welcome a National League opponent into the Coliseum.
PICK: FLORIDA/OAKLAND UNDERComment
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Wednesday Triple Pack has MLB Game of the Month from a system that wins by an average 5 runs Per game. I also have a 90% dog system and a 20-4 Day time Dominator. MLB Sweeps on Tuesday and is now on a 35-15 run. MLB Free System Play below
On Wednesday the Free MLB System Play is on the under in the Red Sox at Phillies game. Rotation numbers 919/920. This game falls into a nice totals system that has cashed 11 of 15 times and is displayed below. What we want to do is play the under for certain road teams that scored 2 or less runs on 2 or less hits if the total in that game was 8 or less and the opponent scored 5 or more runs. These games average around 7 runs per game. The Sox were stymied last night by C. Lee and may be cooling off some at the plate after their torrid 2 week stretch. The Phillies have played under in 10 straight inter league games and have Worley pitching with 6 days rest. Worley has been solid here at home with a 1.57 ERA. Boston counter with old reliable J. Lackey. This season has not fared well for Lackey as his ERA is elevated from years past. However he will catch a Philly team that is hitting a paltry .205 and barely scoring 2 runs per game vs American League teams. The Phillies have played under 7 of 10 times off a shut out win as well this year. Look for another under here tonight. On Wednesday its the MLB Game of the Month from a Blowout system that Wins By 5 Runs per game, I also have a 90% dog system and an afternoon 20-4 Dominator Side. MLB Swept the board on Tuesday and is now on a 35-15 run. Jump on and cash big on Hump day. For the free Play take The Under 9.5 runs in the Boston at Philly game. GC
O/U: 4-11-0 (-1.3 rpg) average total: 8.3
Runs
Team: 2.9
Opp: 4.0
Recap Date Site Team Starter Opp Starter Score SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
view 05-08-2004 away Rockies Jennings - R Cubs Maddux - R 4-3 1 W -2.5 U 7-5 1-0 1-2 200 9.5 9
view 07-15-2005 away Rangers Wasdin - R Athletics Zito - L 2-7 -5 L 1.0 O 4-8 3-0 0-7 140 8.0 9
view 09-03-2006 away Reds Milton - L Padres Wells - L 1-2 -1 L -6.0 U 7-7 1-0 1-1 120 9.0 9
view 04-03-2007 away Dodgers Wolf - L Brewers Capuano - L 3-4 -1 L -1.0 U 7-8 0-0 1-1 125 8.0 9
view 07-27-2008 away Nationals Bergmann - R Dodgers Kershaw - L 0-2 -2 L -6.0 U 5-7 1-2 0-2 140 8.0 9
view 09-06-2008 away Diamondbacks Webb - R Dodgers Billingsley - R 2-7 -5 L 2.0 O 6-6 0-0 0-7 110 7.0 9
view 07-07-2009 away Orioles Guthrie - R Mariners Bedard - L 12-4 8 W 8.0 O 11-7 0-1 9-1 130 8.0 9
view 05-29-2010 away Diamondbacks Buckner - R Giants Sanchez - L 1-12 -11 L 4.5 O 2-16 0-0 0-11 145 8.5 9
view 06-05-2010 away Brewers Narveson - L Cardinals Ottavino - R 4-5 -1 L -0.5 U 7-9 0-2 1-3 140 9.5 10+
view 06-27-2010 away Pirates Ohlendorf - R Athletics Gonzalez - L 2-3 -1 L -3.5 U 8-3 4-1 0-2 200 8.5 9
view 07-27-2010 away Tigers Verlander - R Rays Shields - R 2-3 -1 L -3.0 U 12-5 0-1 0-2 125 8.0 9
view 08-05-2010 away Padres Correia - R Dodgers Billingsley - R 5-0 5 W -2.0 U 9-9 0-0 5-0 150 7.0 9
view 04-20-2011 away Pirates Morton - R Marlins Nolasco - R 0-6 -6 L -2.0 U 5-11 1-0 0-6 145 8.0 9
view 05-05-2011 away Brewers Marcum - R Braves Beachy - R 1-2 -1 L -4.5 U 6-7 1-2 0-1 112 7.5 9
view 05-07-2011 away Brewers Gallardo - R Cardinals Lohse - R 4-0 4 W -4.5 U 9-1 0-0 4-0 113 8.5 9
06-29-2011 away Red Sox Lackey - R Phillies Worley - R 110 9.5Comment
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WUNDERDOG
MLB 8-6 last 14 picks +$390
1 OF 4
Game: Kansas City at San Diego (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 6.5 -105
The San Diego Padres have a Heinz-like 57 games, where they have held their opponent to four runs or less. That is impressive, but it exceeds the number of times their offense has scored four or less by just one, as the bats have come up short in 56 games as well. The Royals anemic offense has produced four or less runs in nine of their last ten games. Playing on the road has seen them produce a 9-1-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a losing team. The Padres offense has been bad, but at home vs. a lefthander the result has been 16-4-1 to the UNDER in their last 21. Stauffer has been a big part of that as San Diego is now 12-3 to the UNDER when he pitches in rotation on four days rest.
I like the UNDER here.Comment
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Keith Glantz
50* MLB ST Louis Cardinals
50* MLB Milwaukee Brewers
100* MLB San Francisco Giants.Comment
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Sports Wagers
N.Y. Mets +122 over DETROIT Pinnacle
No reason whatsoever to get off the Mets now. They’ve won five of six and they’ve scored 36 runs over their last three games. They’re hitting everything right now and Phil Coke isn’t likely to slow them down. Coke has five quality starts in 13 attempts. In the past 31 days his ERA is 5.57 and his xERA is 6.31. In 73 IP he’s walked 28 and struck out 36 for a lousy BB/K ratio. He rarely last past five innings and the Tigers rarely win when he does start. At Comerica, Coke is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.33. Overall he’s 1-7 with a 4.33 but his xERA is 5.24. When he’s producing quality starts, which isn’t often, he’s doing with mediocre skills and as the chalk he offers up nothing but grief. The Tigers offense is always dangerous and gives them a chance but they’re not as hot as the Mets offense right now, not even close. Chris Capuano left Thursday's outing with abdominal discomfort and was still feeling the affects on Friday. His scheduled bullpen session was pushed back a day, though he's not expected to miss a start. Capuano has quietly held together nicely for the Mets, with a 3.99 ERA, good control (24 BB in 86 IP) and a solid strikeout rate (71 K’s), though throughout his career, injuries have frequently derailed his best work. Over his last five starts, covering 31 frames, Capuano has posted an ERA of 2.32, struck out 24 and walked eight. Lastly, the Tigers have won just four interleague games in 12 tries and cannot wait to get back to AL competition. The Mets can’t wait to get to the park. Play: N.Y. Mets +122 (Risking 2 units).
COLORADO –1½ +140 over Chicago Pinnacle
Are the White Sox not the sickest team in the majors to wager on? Here’s a team that will get you base hits with two out and none on. They’ll also get a hit when trailing by nine runs but when they’re up a run, tied, or down a run it’s like pulling teeth to ask them to deliver a sacrifice fly, let alone a base hit. The South Side has scored three runs or less in four of their past six games. That’s after facing guys like Livan Hernandez, Doug Davis, Tom Gorzelanny, Carlos Zambrano. Matt Garza and Jason Hammel last night. Over their last 10 games they’ve faced two top-tier pitchers in Jordan Zimmerman and Daniel Hudson and against that duo they scored one run in 16 innings and they’re going toi have to face another top-tier pitcher here. Ubaldo Jiminez got off to a very shaky start but is rounding into form. Over his last five starts he’s his old dominating self again, throwing 33 innings over five starts and posting a 2.43 ERA while striking out 29 and walking seven. Dominance and GB% keep him in the upper echelon of starting pitchers. By contrast, Mark Buehrle’s 80% strand rate over his past five starts has kept him in games. In his last start he had runners on first and third with one out and then the rains came. He did not return after the lengthy delay and Jesse Crain came on and promptly induced a double play to make Buehrle’s pitching line look pretty again. The guy has a genie following him around but with marginal skills (4.84 xERA, 49 K’s in 99 IP), it cannot last much longer and this is the park where an implosion is likely. Play: Colorado –1½ +140 (Risking 2 units).Comment
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EARLY LINE MOVES
MLB* Florida Marlins ML
MLB* Kansas City/San Diego UNDER 7Comment
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THE OWAD
OWAD Minnesota Twins
5* MLB* Seattle Mariners
5* MLB* San Diego Padres
5* MLB* Toronto Bluejays
4* MLB* St. Louis Cardinals
3* MLB* St. Louis/Baltimore OVERComment
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winsportsnow
mlb report
yanks ml
padres ml
rangers mlComment
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JR Tips
Angels under
Braves ml
Twins mlComment
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