6-30-11

[timbob]

ULTIMATE SPORTS

1 UNIT* MLB* Boston Red Sox ML
1 UNIT* MLB* NY Yankees ML

[timbob]

EasyBaseballBetting

Our systems say to go for:

Marlins (+152),
Giants (-106),
Brewers (+185),
Astros (+117).

[timbob]

JIMMY BOYD

4* MLB* Oakland Athletics -1.5 RL
3* MLB* Detroit Tigers -1.5 RL

[timbob]

Dom Chambers

Dom Chambers Today's winners...
I am releaseng the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIESas my 100 Dimer today. I want you hammeriong this play at the best possible number you can find. As I reloase this play at 4:45 a.m. pacific time, I see the line being Philadelphia -120.

[timbob]

MLBPredictionsKevin

1*New York Mets @ Detroit Tigers – TIGERS -1.5 [run line] (+105)

[timbob]

Insider Sports Report

4* San Francisco (Cain) -120 over Chicago Cubs (Zambrano)
Range: -105 to -140

3* St. Louis (Westbrook) +100 over Baltimore (Matusz)
Range: +115 to -120

3* Pittsburgh (Karstens) +105 over Toronto (Cecil)
Range: +125 to -115

[timbob]

Todayspicks

Texas Rangers

Pittsburgh Pirates

[timbob]

Vegas wise guy

San Francisco(Cain) @ Chicago Cubs(Zambrano): Chicago Cubs +105

I like the Cubs to even up the series today against the Giants as a home dog. Although Zambrano’s standard stats may not show it with that 1-2 home record on the season, his advanced stats are excellent thus far this season when pitching at Wrigley Field. He comes into the game with a .321 BABIP at home which indicates that he has been pretty unlucky. But, get this: He has a tremendous HOME xFIP of just 3.07. Add that to a 3.35 tERA and a 3.56 QERA. Those are pretty strong numbers. Zambrano has also had better command and control within the Wrigley confines with a 3.9 K/BB rate and a 1.96 BB/IP ratio. Zambrano has also had great success versus the Giants in his career winning 5 of 6 decisions in 10 starts with a 2.58 ERA in those contests. While Cain has had a marvelous month of June thus far, his advanced stats on the road are not as good as Zambrano’s are at home. Cain’s .294 BABIP indicates that his 3.95xFIP, 3.33tERA, and 4.22QERA are legit. Cain does have good command and control of his pitches on the road with a 3.21 K/BB rate and a 2.26 BB/IP rate. Cain has had pretty good success versus the Cubs in his career both at home and on the road. But to me, the difference in todays game will be the offenses and when factoring in the offenses, the Cubs have a big advantage in Offensive Power Rating, coming in at 1.131 while the Giants come in at .898. That is nearly a 23% difference. With the wind expected to be blowing out today towards left field from the south at 12 MPH, the Cubs having advantages in Slug% both versus Righties and at home when compared to the Giants versus righties and away, will definitely factor in this game.

Take Chicago Cubs +105

[timbob]

Silver Key

Pick for Thursday ML Baseball

OAKLAND CAHILL - R -160 over Florida

[timbob]

Line Up Alert

Kevin Youkilis is scheduled to undergo precautionary X-rays on his left foot.
Youkilis is still sore after hitting a ball off his foot during Wednesday's game, so Drew Sutton will make the start at third base Thursday.


Curtis Granderson is not in the Yankees' starting lineup Thursday against the Brewers.
He's likely just getting the day off. Brett Gardner will make the start in center field


Alex Rodriguez is not in Thursday's lineup against the Brewers.
We assume he's just getting the day off with the early start time

Magglio Ordonez is not in Thursday's lineup against the Mets.
He's likely getting the day off because of the quick turnaround. Andy Dirks will make the start in right field

[timbob]

Johnny Detroit

WNBA

PLAY OF THE DAY

#652 Atlanta -4.0

[timbob]

Sport System Specialists

Yesterday 4-3 +24.58
Overall since jun.17 +50.28

PHI -1,5 +175 risking 4.5

NYY -1,5 +110 risking 2

BOS ml +115 risking 15.19

STL -1,5 +135 risking 10.12

TEX -1,5 +145 risking 6.75

[timbob]

WUNDERDOG (WNBA)
WNBA 23-14 Season-to-Date +$1660
1 OF 3

Game: Minnesota at Tulsa (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 159.5 -110

The Tulsa Shock have not fared very well in their new home as the former Detroit Shock, is struggling at 7-42 straight-up since the move. A couple of things have taken place this season with this team. They have abandoned the up-and-down the court style from a year ago, and the result has been 90 points per game allowed a year ago to 83 ppg this year, but the offense has suffered as well down from 78 ppg a year ago to 72 ppg this year. The total effect has seen this team's games go from producing 168 total points per game, to 155. Minnesota is ranked No. 2 in fewest points allowed in the league and No. 1 in defensive FG percentage, so Tulsa is not going to get easy looks and netted just 65 in their previous game at Minnesota. That makes five of the last seven meetings between these clubs notched as a win in the UNDER column, and my call here is UNDER.
Play on the UNDER.

[timbob]

Tim Trushell

MLB Getaway O/U GOM

*20 UNDER Mets/Tigers

[timbob]

Jack Howard

MLB: 10 Dimes each
NYM/Detroit Over 7(-110)
San Francisco/Chicago Under 9(-115)
Pittsburgh(+130) Over Toronto