7-7-11

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Reds Open Crucial Series At Milwaukee Brewers
By: Jeff Grant



Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (-115, 9)

The National League Central race is one of the tightest in baseball as the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers begin an important four-game series Thursday night at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 5:10 (PT).

Cincinnati enters with a 7-2 record in the season series against Milwaukee, including wins in two of three meetings from April 25-27 at Miller Park. In fact, the Reds are a dominating 18-5 the last two seasons against the Brewers.

The club has enjoyed great success against the entire division recently, posting a 24-16 mark heading into its series finale against St. Louis Wednesday, while also tallying a 119-80 record the last three years.

Reds starting pitcher Homer Bailey (3-3, 3.64 ERA) is still looking to regain his early season form, losing both of his starts since his return from the disabled list with a right shoulder impingement. In those outings, he has allowed eight runs (seven earned) and 17 hits over 12 innings.

Bailey will also be searching for his first career victory against the Brewers, coming in with an 0-2 record and 5.36 ERA. The right-hander has yet to record a decision at Miller Park, compiling a respectable 3.09 ERA in 11 2/3 innings.

The former first-round selection will likely be cautious facing Milwaukee All-Star first baseman Prince Fielder, who is 5-for-14 with a home run and three RBIs. He has had better success against another player that will represent the NL in the Midsummer Classic, limiting outfielder Ryan Braun to five hits in 20 at bats (.250).

Bettors will be interested in knowing that the Reds are 13-3 versus divisional foes when Bailey is on the hill.

Milwaukee hadn’t lost consecutive home games until dropping Tuesday's 7-3 contest, but still possessed the NL’s best home record (29-13) entering its third game of a seven-game homestand.

Braun and Fielder represent a dynamic offensive duo, leading the majors with 133 combined RBIs. Make sure to check the injury report before the series opener, as Braun has missed four straight games with a left calf injury.

Brewers left-hander Chris Narveson (5-5, 4.86 ERA) is scheduled to make his 18th start of the season and the club has won back-to-back games with him on the hill. He comes off a rough outing after allowing seven runs and a season-high 14 hits in 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision road effort against the Twins.

Narveson has been a respectable option at home, posting a 4-2 record and 3.91 ERA, surrendering just two home runs in 46 frames.

He will be aiming for his first lifetime win versus the Reds, going 0-3 with a 7.06 ERA in six career games (four starts), including 0-2 with a 17.05 ERA in two outings this year.

Reds left-handed batters Jay Bruce and Joey Votto have caused plenty of problems for the southpaw, combining to go 9-for-15 with three home runs and seven RBIs.

Weather forecasts suggest game-time highs in the low-70s and a slight northeasterly breeze of 5-10 mph. The Miller Park roof is likely to be open throughout the contest and the ‘over’ has cashed in two of three games given the expected wind conditions.

[timbob]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Reds Open Crucial Series At Milwaukee Brewers
By: Jeff Grant



Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (-115, 9)

The National League Central race is one of the tightest in baseball as the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers begin an important four-game series Thursday night at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 5:10 (PT).

Cincinnati enters with a 7-2 record in the season series against Milwaukee, including wins in two of three meetings from April 25-27 at Miller Park. In fact, the Reds are a dominating 18-5 the last two seasons against the Brewers.

The club has enjoyed great success against the entire division recently, posting a 24-16 mark heading into its series finale against St. Louis Wednesday, while also tallying a 119-80 record the last three years.

Reds starting pitcher Homer Bailey (3-3, 3.64 ERA) is still looking to regain his early season form, losing both of his starts since his return from the disabled list with a right shoulder impingement. In those outings, he has allowed eight runs (seven earned) and 17 hits over 12 innings.

Bailey will also be searching for his first career victory against the Brewers, coming in with an 0-2 record and 5.36 ERA. The right-hander has yet to record a decision at Miller Park, compiling a respectable 3.09 ERA in 11 2/3 innings.

The former first-round selection will likely be cautious facing Milwaukee All-Star first baseman Prince Fielder, who is 5-for-14 with a home run and three RBIs. He has had better success against another player that will represent the NL in the Midsummer Classic, limiting outfielder Ryan Braun to five hits in 20 at bats (.250).

Bettors will be interested in knowing that the Reds are 13-3 versus divisional foes when Bailey is on the hill.

Milwaukee hadn’t lost consecutive home games until dropping Tuesday's 7-3 contest, but still possessed the NL’s best home record (29-13) entering its third game of a seven-game homestand.

Braun and Fielder represent a dynamic offensive duo, leading the majors with 133 combined RBIs. Make sure to check the injury report before the series opener, as Braun has missed four straight games with a left calf injury.

Brewers left-hander Chris Narveson (5-5, 4.86 ERA) is scheduled to make his 18th start of the season and the club has won back-to-back games with him on the hill. He comes off a rough outing after allowing seven runs and a season-high 14 hits in 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision road effort against the Twins.

Narveson has been a respectable option at home, posting a 4-2 record and 3.91 ERA, surrendering just two home runs in 46 frames.

He will be aiming for his first lifetime win versus the Reds, going 0-3 with a 7.06 ERA in six career games (four starts), including 0-2 with a 17.05 ERA in two outings this year.

Reds left-handed batters Jay Bruce and Joey Votto have caused plenty of problems for the southpaw, combining to go 9-for-15 with three home runs and seven RBIs.

Weather forecasts suggest game-time highs in the low-70s and a slight northeasterly breeze of 5-10 mph. The Miller Park roof is likely to be open throughout the contest and the ‘over’ has cashed in two of three games given the expected wind conditions.

[timbob]

Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Philip Humber (8-4, 2.69 ERA), Chicago White Sox

Humber won’t be a part of the AL All-Star game and he probably has grounds to be a little put off about it.

He goes for his seventh win in eight tries on Thursday and has been incredibly consistent so far with 13 quality starts in 16 starting outings. Oh, he also owns a WHIP of 0.98.

The 6-foot-3 righty blanked the Cubs over seven innings in a 1-0 win the last time he climbed the hill.

Carlos Villanueva (5-1, 3.24 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

Villanueva is 4-1 with a 4.13 ERA since taking over Jesse Litsch’s spot in the rotation and Jays bettors are loving it when he toes the rubber.

Toronto is 6-2 in his starts and he has four consecutive quality starts heading into Thursday’s matchup against the Cleveland Indians. Even though Toronto is 7-20 in its last 27 games in Cleveland, the Jays are set as -120 favorites.


SLUMPING

J.A. Happ, (3-10, 5.63 ERA), Houston Astros

Happ didn’t get off to a good start in his last outing, allowing the first five Red Sox he faced to reach base. He ended up giving up five runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 10-4 loss, marking the third consecutive start in which he has allowed five runs.

Right now, only Ubaldo Jimenez has lost more cash for baseball bettors. The Astros are 3-14 in his starts, putting his supporters down 10.38 units.

Derek Holland (6-4, 5.10 ERA), Texas Rangers

Consistency is Holland’s main issue – possibly apart from anger management.

"When I came out of the game, I was ready to break something," Holland told reporters following his latest loss, getting the hook after allowing five runs in two-thirds of an inning against Florida. "There's no doubt about it, I was very frustrated. At the same time, I've got to be ready for tomorrow.”

Over bettors have cashed in on seven of his last eight starts and he has allowed at least four runs in five of those outings.

[timbob]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-170, 9.5)

All eyes are on Yankees captain Derek Jeter as the club returns to the Bronx hoping to witness his 3000th hit. After picking up one hit Wednesday night, he's just three away from the big number.

For his part, Tampa Bay Rays manager Joe Maddon has already went on the record saying that he expects Jeter to reach the milestone against his team.

"There’s still going to be this energy bubble," Maddon told reporters. "It’s strong enough (at Yankee Stadium) to begin with. Every night is like a playoff game there. It is. It’s awesome, and I think it’s great."

But will this sideshow distract the Yankees? Probably not, though you have to wonder what Yanks manager Joe Girardi was thinking when he hinted he might sit Jeter Wednesday in Cleveland.

There isn’t much value in betting the Yanks in Game 1 of the series, but these teams have played over the total in 15 of their last 21 meetings. Both teams will be jacked up for this on and with Tampa Bay coming off a huge comeback win, we’ll jump on that trend.

PICK: Over


Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (-175, 5.5)

Tough call here.

Jered Weaver has absolutely owned the Mariners, with L.A. winning seven of his last eight tilts with the M’s and his last eight home starts against Seattle.

Meanwhile, the Mariners have played under in six straight games and moving the under to 37-16-3 in the team’s last 56 games, but these 5.5-run totals are no fun to deal with.

Still, it’s warranted in this spot. Both clubs are averaging well under four runs per game and with the underrated Doug Fister (three earned runs against in his last 25 innings) taking the hill, we’re banking on this one ducking under the low number.

The Mariners are averaging just 2.5 runs in Fister’s starts – hence his 3-9 record even though his ERA is 3.02.

PICK: Under

[timbob]

Arthur Ralph Sports

671- 507 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Thurs: Yankees -170

[timbob]

Hondo

The Dodgers sent Hondo plunging even deeper into the abyss last night when they stumbled against the Metamucils to lift the NRN (nasty red nu meral) to 1,615 aparicios.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch feels that Humber will shut down the Twins' lumber because he has their num ber -- 10 units on the Pale Hose.

[timbob]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Reds -105

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Today's MLB Picks
Oakland at Texas

The A's look to build on their 9-0 record in Rich Harden's last 9 starts with 5 days rest. Oakland is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 7
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Colorado at Atlanta (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 14.089; Atlanta (Hudson) 16.080
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-175); Over

Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 15.606; Washington (Hernandez) 14.023
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under

Game 905-906: Houston at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 14.602; Florida (Hand) 15.691
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-140); Under

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.001; Milwaukee (Narveson) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Saunders) 15.281; St. Louis (McClellan) 14.256
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Over

Game 911-912: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.750; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.179
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under

Game 913-914: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Luebke) 15.631; San Francisco (Zito) 15.285
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over

Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.376; NY Yankees (Colon) 16.752
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Villanueva) 15.172; Cleveland (McAllister) 16.449
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2 ; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-105); Under

Game 919-920: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 12.964; Boston (Miller) 15.748
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.428; Kansas City (Duffy) 15.303
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Under

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 14.965; White Sox (Humber) 14.498
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over

Game 925-926: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 15.206; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.807
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Over

Game 927-928: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Harden) 16.125; Texas (Holland) 15.064
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115); Under

[timbob]

Carolina Sports Connection

10 Unit Cincinatti Reds +110

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Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day:

WhiteSox -155 over Twins

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Soccer Crusher

Play of the Day:

BotafogoRJ + AtleticoGO OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

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Sportsbook Investing

Play of the Day:

WhiteSox -155 over Twins

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Ultimate

under cards

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Cappers Access

Braves(RL)
Cubs
Tigers