7-9-11

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David Banks (comp)
Winner yesterday Under Atlanta / Philadelphia

Today no writte up
UNDER Atlanta Braves / Phidalephia Phillies

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Bettors Edge Sports

2* New York Yankees ML -116

1.5* Detroit Tigers ML +108

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spartan | MLB Money Line

dime bet 919 MIN (+135) Bookmaker.com vs 920 CWS

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Paul Leiner

250* Mariners -120

100* Over 8.5 Twins/White Sox

50* Reds -110

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Johnny Detroit
Play of the Day (going for 5-0):

OVER the 162.0 in #605/606 Atlanta/Chicago

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Saturday Comps.
Sebastian(the man who borrows plays from other cappers but neither pays them back with his own picks nor "interest")-Baltimore
Winner Line-Angels
OTM-UNDER St. Louis
Wayne Simms-Seattle
Kevin Kennedy-Texas

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SPORTS WAGERS

Minnesota +143 over CHICAGO

Can’t find a single reason not to back the Twins again. They South Side keep finding ways to lose ball games. They scored five times on Nick Blackburn on the first inning last night and did not score again. It was Chicago’s eighth straight loss to the Twinkies at U.S. Cellular. This is a Sox team that is just way out of sorts right now. They are unimpressive in everything they do from the small things to the fundamentals. They’ve scored 18 runs over their past seven games and that’s after facing a cluster of stiffs like Jeff Francis, Carl Pavano, Bruce Chen, Rodrigo Lopez and even against Aaron Cook in Colorado eight games ago, they scored one run on five hits. The White Sox are a horrible and risky favorite that is playing with zero passion and less heart. Mark Buehrle keeps winning games with mediocre skills and without trying to sound redundant it simply cannot last. Control still elite but strikeout rate is dragging in wrong direction. A two-year trend of xERA and BPV** (for explanation of BPV see under these write-ups) erosion hasn’t hurt him yet with yet being the key word. Brian Duensing is a pitcher that is consistent in his approach and results. He’ll never be anything but a #3 or #4 starter but what he will do is keep the Twins in games. We wouldn’t endorse him as the chalk in most cases but in this case he and the Twins are very worthy of a wager. The South Side remains a pathetic team to wager on and until that changes they are a big fade. Play: Minnesota +143 (Risking 2 units).


Toronto +101 over CLEVELAND

The Jays should be up 2-0 in this series but that bounce-back win last night was a good one and the Jays are in a great spot for another win. Toronto’s offense has come back to life. With Yunel Escobar swinging a hot bat and with recent call-ups Travis Snider and Eric Thames doing the same, the Jays are suddenly more potent and much more dangerous. It’s no longer Adam Lind and Jose Bautista doing all the damage. Besides that, Josh Tomlin favored over Brandon Morrow is ridiculous. Morrow has 96 k’s in 80 innings and no team in the AL has struck out more times than the Indians count of 653. Morrow has an unlucky hit%/strand% (35%/63%) combo. That combo, which fed the forecasts for a 2011 surge, has not gotten better, but worse. The effect remains the same: his ERA (4.73) will rebound closer to his xERA (3.41) at some point. Morrow has elite stuff and should get plenty of run support here. Josh Tomlin has elite control but he doesn’t miss a lot of bats. He’s coming off a June in which he posted an ERA of 5.84. Tomlin is a finesse artist that lacks a groundball approach (38%) and his 10-4 record sets this one up as the Indians wrongly being billed as the favorite. Play: Toronto +101 (Risking 2 units).


Tampa Bay +109 over N.Y. YANKEES

The Yanks always seem to bring out the best in the Rays but more than that is the pitching match-up of A.J. Burnett against David Price. Both these teams have seen plenty of the opposing pitchers and the edge goes to the Rays. Current Tampa hitters are batting .268 off Burnett in 179 combined AB’s while current Yankee hitters are batting just .217 off Price in 166 career AB’s. Price has walked 23 batters in 124 IP while whiffing 122. A.J. has walked 49 and whiffed 91 in 113.2 frames. The Yanks have lost six of Burnett’s last 10 starts while the Rays have won six of Price’s last 10. The Yanks have scored three runs or less in four of their past five games while the Rays have scored five or more in four of their last six. The Yanks rely heavily on the long ball and they’re especially dangerous against southpaws at Yankee Stadium but in no way do they have an edge on the hill here. Furthermore, Nick Swisher and A-Rod may not go, as they both continue to nurse a couple of nagging injuries and only in New York against the Yanks will you get David Price plus a tag against an inferior mound opponent. Play: Tampa Bay +109 (Risking 2 units).


PITTSBURGH –108 over Chicago

Let’s put aside the pitching match-up for a sec because we can’t make a case for Kevin Correia over Ryan Dempster. What we can make a case for is the Pirates as a team over the Cubbies as a team. Pittsburgh beat the Cubbies last night again to move into second place in the NL Central, just a game behind the Brewers. PNC Park was rocking with a sell out crowd and it’ll be even more exciting tonight. This city has fallen in love with the Pirates and the players can’t wait to get back to the park and get back into action. The other side of that coin is the Cubbies, who are 12 games out of first and have one of the worst records in baseball. The Cubbies have just two wins in their last seven games and one of them, a 10-9 win on Thursday, was about as ugly as they come. So, in terms of momentum, state of mind and desire to win, give a huge edge to the home side. Kevin Correia faces an offense that is flat-out mediocre across-the-board, regardless of how you slice it. Current Cubs' hitters have hit only .223 with a .558 OPS against Correia and this season Correia is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA against Chicago. By contrast, Ryan Dempster is 1-1 with a 5.68 ERA against the Bucco’s and while Dempster has better stuff than Correia, it does not seem to matter when he faces the Pirates, a team he rarely pitches well against. Play: Pittsburgh –108 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

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Matt Farrgo

8* Cardinals

8* Rangers

8* Giants

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DAVID M@LINSKY

2* FLORIDA
2* FLORIDA -1.5

It is all about “timing” here, as we catch both a resurgent team and a resurgent starting pitcher at the right moment, all the while fading a listless team heading nowhere that can not wait for Sunday afternoon’s trip to the airport.

The Marlins got a win that they need in the worst way when they rallied to beat the Phillies in Wednesday’s dramatic walk-off, and since falling down 4-0 that night it has been an 18-5 surge in Runs and three straight wins. Hanley Ramirez has been the catalyst, going 3-3 last night with a HR and three rbi’s, his third three-hit game over the past week, and when he goes so does this entire offense. There is little reason why his surge does not continue against Brett Myers, who he has hit .355 against over a significant 31 career at-bats. We also see Myers as being vulnerable here after cashing a ticket against him on Monday in a particularly flat showing against the Pirates – he allowed 13 Hits in that game while managing only one K, the worst ratio for those categories in his career, but got several favorable bounces so that only four earned Runs come around, hence not taking an ERA hit or alerting the marketplace, despite the Pirates batting .448 against him.

Meanwhile Ricky Nolasco brings much better stuff than his 5-5/3.91 bottom line shows, and while he only has one win over his lat three outings, which does not send off any fireworks, take a closer look – he has worked to a 1.56 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in that span, carrying a shutout into the 7th inning in each of those games. In that last 1-0 loss to Philadelphia he had 13 ground-ball outs vs. only one in the air, a sign that he is on top of his game, and this time there will be some offensive support behind him.

We are going to split our ticket here – we do not want to lose money from a one-run Marlin win, yet also want some of the value that comes from a game that has the potential to break open.

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Stan Lisowski

3* Cleveland Indians -110

The Tribe have dominated this series at home against the Jays winning 15 of the past 19 meetings. They are 19-9 at home vs. right-handed starters, while they have won 8 of starter Tomlin's 9 home outings this year. The Toronto staff has given up 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games.

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WUNDERDOG (WNBA)´
WNBA 27-21 Season-to-Date +$460
1 OF 5

Game: Connecticut at Minnesota (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 157.5 -105
The Connecticut Sun and their five-player UConn Huskies connection, has done a remarkable job at home over the past few years, but when they have taken to the road they have taken their lumps. They scored their fewest points of the season on the road vs. the only winning team they have faced outside the borders of Connecticut, a 70 vs. Indiana. They will face a Minnesota team that doesn't give up much and ranks second in the WNBA in fewest points allowed at 72.6 points per game. This total indicates a game played in the 80s to the winner and I don't see that happening. The Sun are now 5-0 to the UNDER in their last five vs. a winning team, and Minnesota comes in at 13-6 to the UNDER following an ATS win.
Take the UNDER.

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Charlies Sports

500* Cincinnati / Milwaukee Under 7.5
30* Colorado -120
20* Pittsburgh -120
10* Cincinnati -110

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Jr Tips

10* Parlay Texas -170 & Over 9

5* Chicago Cubs +102

5* Detroit Under 9

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SuperSPortsGroup

Houston v. Florida 7:10pm
PICK: Marlins RL +130 Game

Cincinnati v. Milwaukee 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game ev

Baltimore v. Boston 7:10pm
10* PICK: OVER 11 Game -105 Hidden Gem
Arizona v. St Louis 7:15pm
PICK: D'backs ML +130 Game

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John Chang

---Start Time 4:10 PM EST---
San Diego Padres (+120, list both pitchers) over LA DODGERS, 5 dimes