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Game: Texas at Los Angeles Angels (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +120 (moneyline)
The Texas Rangers are on an 11-game winning streak and in spite of that, the Angels stay right on their heels just four games back. All the 11 game streak has done is pushed the value here over to the Angels as a home dog. Tyler Chatwood has been above average with a 3.62 ERA on the season. The Angels aren't exactly a frigid team, as they won 14 of 17 before the break. These clubs have played even this season with each taking three of the six played so far. The Rangers have a disadvantage here, not only on the road where they have hovered around .500 all season, but they have never seen Chatwood.
I like the Angels as a home dog, so play them in this one.
Hot pitchers
-- Leake is 3-0, 2.13 in his last four road starts. McDonald is 2-0, 3.93 in his last six starts.
-- Stauffer is 3-1, 3.12 in his last four starts.
-- Lee is 5-1, 1.41 in his last seven starts. Garza has a 1.54 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Zimmerman is 4-1, 1.48 in his last eight starts.
-- Jimenez is 2-1, 2.70 in his last five starts. Beachy is 2-0, 2.74 in his last four starts.
-- Giants won last four Bumgarner starts (1-0, 2.73). de la Rosa has a 1.80 RA in his last three starts, but is winless in his last five starts.
-- Cecil has a 2.57 RA in his last two starts.
-- Moscoso is 3-1, 3.09 in his last five big league starts.
-- Masterson is 3-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
Cold pitchers
-- ASanchez is 0-1, 4.76 in his last five starts.
-- Gee is 1-3, 6.75 in his last four starts. Lohse is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four outings.
-- Happ is 0-7, 5.52 in his last ten starts.
-- Enright is 1-3, 6.49 in six starts this season. Gallardo is 1-2, 8.57 in his last four road starts.
-- Pineda is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Porcello has a 10.27 RA in his last five starts.
-- Guthrie is 1-4, 8.07 in his last five starts. Weiland allowed six runs in four IP in his major league debut, also vs Baltimore.
-- Hellickson is 1-4, 4.88 in his last five starts. Colon allowed 13 runs in 6.1 IP in his last two starts.
-- Liriano has a 6.55 RA in his last four starts.
-- Peavy is 0-2, 7.71 in his last three starts. Duffy is 0-2, 4.57 in his last four starts.
-- Ogando has a 6.94 RA in his last five starts; Texas scored 46 runs in his last four wins. Angels lost Chatwood's last four home starts (0-3, 6.86).
Totals
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven McDonald starts.
-- Six of last eight Sanchez starts went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Lohse starts.
-- Nine of Philly's last eleven road games went over the total.
-- Five of Happ's last six starts went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Beachy starts stayed under the total.
-- All six Enright starts this season went over the total.
-- Last three de la Rosa starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Pineda starts.
-- Last six Porcello starts went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Guthrie's last eleven starts.
-- Seven of last nine Colon starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland road games.
-- Five of last seven Peavy starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Ogando starts went over the total.
Hot Teams
-- Marlins won nine of their last ten games.
-- Phillies won 11 of their last 17 games.
-- Braves won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Pirates won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Giants won eight of their last ten games.
-- Toronto won five of its last seven games.
-- Oakland won three of its last four games.
-- Cleveland won seven of its last ten road games. Twins won 12 of their last 18 games, but lost twice yesterday.
-- Bronx won its last three games, allowing seven runs.
-- Red Sox won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- White Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Texas won its last 11 games, allowing two runs in their last five.
Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost nine of their last fourteen games.
-- San Diego lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Reds lost nine of their last fourrteen games.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Cardinals lost four of their last five road games.
-- Astros lost 18 of their last 21 games. Washington lost five of its last seven road games.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last eleven road games. Arizona is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
-- Colorado lost nine of its last thirteen games.
-- Dodgers lost their last three games, scoring three runs.
-- Seattle has been outscored 17-2 in its four games since All-Star break.
-- Detroit lost six of its last nine home games.
-- Orioles lost 15 of their last 18 games.
-- Tampa Bay is just 5-9 in its last fourteen games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.
Umpires
-- Cin-Pitt- Viitor is 15-4 in last 19 Gorman games, with last four going over the total.
-- Phil-Chi-- Favorites won six of last seven TWelke games; with under 3-1-1 in his last five.
-- Wsh-Hst-- Five of lasr seven Nelson games went over the total.
-- Atl-Col-- Last four Holbrook games stayed under the total.
-- Mil-Az-- Favorites won six of last seven TBarrett games.
-- LA-SF-- Last four Miller games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Balt-- Six of last nine Muchlinski games stayed under total.
-- NY-TB-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Rapuano games.
-- Cle-Min-- 11 of 14 Porter games stayed under the total.
-- Chi-KC-- Over is 14-7 in Scott's games this season.
MLB Baseball Tuesday
Play Texas (-140) over Los Angeles Angels (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST
Los Angeles has lost 3 of the last 4 games and they have also lost 3 consecutive games as a home underdog of +125 or higher. Tyler Chatwood has lost 7 of the last 10 home games and he has also lost 5 of the last 7 games after giving up one or less runs in his last outing.
Play Washington (-145) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST
Houston has lost 17 of the last 20 games and they have also lost 29 of the last 38 home games as an underdog of +125 or higher. Houston has lost 49 of the last 66 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 57 of the last 80 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
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Play Philadelphia (-155) over Chicago Cubs (Bonus)
Starts at 8:05 PM EST
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