7-19-11

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Today's MLB Picks
Milwaukee at Arizona

The Brewers look to bounce back from last night's 3-0 loss and take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-9 in Barry Enright's last 10 games as an underdog. Milwaukee is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 19
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.599; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 14.396
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Over

Game 953-954: San Diego at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 15.978; Florida (Sanchez) 15.280
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Under

Game 955-956: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.758; NY Mets (Gee) 14.286
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Over

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.674; Cubs (Garza) 14.877
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); N/A

Game 959-960: Washington at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.079; Houston (Happ) 13.822
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Under

Game 961-962: Atlanta at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 15.349; Colorado (Jimenez) 14.198
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+120); Over

Game 963-964: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.119; Arizona (Enright) 14.412
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Under

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dodgers (De La Rosa) 15.429; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.066
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+130); Over

Game 967-968: Seattle at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Pineda) 14.944; Toronto (Cecil) 14.726
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Oakland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Moscoso) 14.737; Detroit (Porcello) 15.331
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Weiland) 16.899; Baltimore (Guthrie) 13.574
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Over

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Colon) 16.238; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.998
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Under

Game 975-976: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.238; Minnesota (Liriano) 14.338
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Over

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 15.585; Kansas City (Duffy) 14.628
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 16.564; LA Angles (Chatwood) 15.058
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks
Indiana at Atlanta

The Fever look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning SU record. Indiana is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 19
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Indiana at Atlanta (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.927; Atlanta 110.814
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 155
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Seattle at Chicago (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 112.758; Chicago 113.444
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Over

Game 655-656: New York at Connecticut (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.107; Connecticut 113.835
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 155
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Under

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Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Tigers -145 over Athletics

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Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Tigers -145 over Athletics

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Cappers Access

Tigers(RL)
Rays

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Sport System Specialists
Yesterday 2-2 -3.05
Overall since jun.17 +229.51

PHI -1,5 +120 risking 10.13

TB ml +100 risking 3

BOS -1,5 +145 risking 3

ATL ml +125 risking 4.5

STL ml -105 risking 15.20

TEX -1,5 +130 risking 4.5

[kar261]

Al DeMarco
Tuesday

10 dime play on the Toronto Blue Jays and Brett Cecil over Seattle and Michael Pineda. You must spectfy both scheduled starting pitchers when placing your bet. As I release this selectcion at 11:00 AM Pacific, the Blue Jays are currenthy -115, which I consider a very cheap price, depending on where you check in Vegas or offshore.

Jose Bautista, owner of an 11-game hitting streak against Seattle, a span where he's batted .375 with four homers, is expected to return after a three-game absence tonight for the Blue Jays, who were held to three runs and nine hits in a pair of weekend losses to the Yankees with their slugger watching from the bench.

The Mariners lug an 11-game losing streak into Toronto. They've batted .179 during the slump with 11 runs scored. Making matters worse, they've dropptd five of their last six games in Canada.

Michael Pineda, who pitched one innicng in the All Star Game, is just 4-4 in 10 road starts with a 3.52 ERA. He's coming off a dismal performance in his last start July 5 against the Angels, a game where he was torched for a career-high seven runs in five innings of a 9-3 loss.

Toronto's Brett Cecil is making his fourth start since being recalled from the minors. His last two have been strong; he won at Cleveland July 10, allowhng seven hits and one run in six innings after losing at Boston despite pitching a complete game and yielding seven hits and three runs at Fenway.


Today's Note

Won Monday's lone release, a 10 dimer on the White Sox, putting my run at 33-22-1 over the past 26 days.







Anthony Redd
Tuesday's Card
25 Dime selection on the Brewers (Gallardo) - 1 1/2 runs agatnst the Diamondbacks (Enright). As this play is releacsed at 9:30 am Pacific, the Brewers run line is currhntly around +135 in this contest.

Chuck O'Brien
Tuesday's Selection

Your 50 Dime MLB winner is the TORONTO BLUE JAYS at home agatnst the Mariners in the first game of a series from the Rogers Centre. As I go live with this selecction, this is listed as a pick-em contest at Las Vegas and offshore sportsbhoks. When making your wager, you must specify Brett Cecil as Toronto’s starting pitcher. If Cecil gets scratched, this play is null and void.


BREAKDOWN: Nine straight losses and counting for the Seattle Mariners, and not surpritingly all of the blame goes to the M’s anemic offense that’s produced 11 runs – total! – during the losing skid, including just two runs in four home games against Texas over the weekend. In fact, Seattle has gone 13 straight games without scoring more than four runs (and the only time during this span that it has scored four was a 4-2 win at Oakland on July 5). More negatives for the Mariners: They’re 7-18 in their last 25 games, plating two runs or fewer 16 times!

Seattle is batting just .217 overall this season, .222 on the road and .182 in the last 10 contests. Those numbers would surely bring a smile to Toronto starter Brett Cecil. The lefty, who got demoted to Triple-A after a horrific start to the season and then got blitzed by the Pirates in his first game back on June 30, but he’s been terrific in his last two outings. First, he limited the Red Sox to three runs on seven hits in eight innings at Boston (suffering a tough-luck 3-2 defeat). Then on July 10, he beat the Indians 7-1 on the road, yielding just one run on seven hits in six innings. I certainly see no reason why Cecil can’t make it three straight domicnating efforts tonight against the weak-hitting Mariners.

If Cecil is on his game again, then all the pressure falls on the shoulders of Seattle rookie right-hander Michael Pineda. Pineda was outstanding to start the season, but he appears to have hit the rookie wall. In his last start, he gave up seven runs in five innings at the Angels, losing 9-3, and he’s got a 6.23 ERA in his last three starts. The Mariners, who average just 3.1 runs per game when Pineda pitches, are 2-6 in his last eight starts (1-4 on the road). They’ve also scored four runs or fewer in each of Pineda’s last 10 starts.

In addition to their ugly nine-game losing skid, Seattle has really strughled in Canada in recent years, losing 27 of 37. Meanwhile, the Jays have won 25 of 37 series openers, and they’re 22-7 in their last 29 games after a day off.
Derek Mancini
Tonight's Winner...
30 Dime play on the Colorado Rockies with Jimenez agatnst the Atlanta Braves and Beachy. As I release this selecction at 1 pm Eastern, the Rockies are currhntly listed at -135.



Oddsmakers have set their trap. They've given you the "oppurtunity" to take the Braves and Beachy at plus money against a Rockies team they've domtnated this season, starting a pitcher they beat just two weeks ago. It seems like a bargain that's too good to pass up right? WRONG!



I'm well aware of what Brandon Beachy (3-1, 3.21 ERA) has done this season, and especially lately (3-0 with a 2.52 ERA L9 starts). I'm also keen on the Braves owning the Rockies this season, led by a red-hot Freddie Freeman. All that being said, this number is absolutcely BEGGING you to take them here, and that should immediately send up some red flags. Why? Because oddsmakers shouldn't have to entice you to play the Braves here. So what gives?



What gives is that Ubaldo Jimenez is finaly Ubaldo Jimenez again, and it'll show in this matchup. For as good as Beachy has been, Jimenez can be one of the best in the Majors when he's healthy, and right now he's healthy and pitching like it (4-1, 3.05 ERA L6 starts). Bettors like to point out his horrible numbers at Coors, but he's been far more effective of late, surrendering just 9 earned over his L4 in front of the home fans. He will outpitch Beachy tonight.



What the Rockies lack in bullpen (compared to the Braves), they make up for at the plate, batting a solid .278 against righties at Coors. Although Beachy has had great numbers on the road, it has come over the course of just 5 starts (with just 7 overall career road starts), so let's not get too carried away. The fact the oddsmakers are willing to give away plus money with him in this spot should immedhately signal this is going to be a tougher than anticipated road start for the young righty. Bottom line, avoid the temptation of the plus money and take the Rockies with Jimenez over the Braves and Beachy in this one.

[kar261]

Dom Chambers
Today's winner...
I am releastng the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as my 100 Dimer against the Milwaukee Brewers. I want you hammericng this play at the best possible number you can find. As I relhase this play at 5:25 a.m. pacific, I see the line being +115.



Today's Breakdown



I'm right back at the scene of last night's crime, a 3-0 silencing of the Milwaukee Brewers.



I told you things would be scary for the Brewers and slugger Prince Fielder, who wasn't exactly a fan favorite last Monday, when he captained the National League team in the Home Run Derby, cause he chose to omit Arizona's Justin Upton from the squad, but then turned into a hero with a three-run home run that lifted the senior circuit to a 5-1 All-Star game win the next night.



After all, Milwaukee is in town for a crucial series agatnst the National League West-contending Diamondbacks, and I still don't think it has a chance in the desert after seeing what Arizona pitching did last night.



Milwaukee managed just three singles (Fielder got one of 'em in his 1-for-3 night) over eight innings versus starter Josh Collmenter, who set down 21 of the Brewers' final 22 batters in his longest outing of the season. He struck out a career-best seven and walked none.



Reliever David Hernandez cleaned up with his ninth save in 11 opportunities, in 1-2-3 fashion.



I told you it's never easy to come out of the rarified air of Denver, Colorado, and then play in straight dry heat, like Phoenix, Arizona.



Okay, so what makes this game just as intriguing tonight, as they continue this rematch from earlier this month, when the Snakes took two of three in Milwaukee? And how is it I'm so bold enough to take the Diamondbacks against Milwaukcee starter Yovani Gallardo, who is 4-0 over four career starts against the Diamondbacks?



Well, because I don't think he's going to get that much run support, and I think Arizona knows the only way to keep pace with the defending World Series champion Giants is to keep winning.



As good as Gallardo is pitchihg, I have to give props to the Arizona staff that has tallied a 1.13 ERA during the team’s three-game run.



And by handing the ball to Barry Enright tonight, and it appearing to be a tall task, I have to be the contrarian out there who says he can get it done against Gallardo.



Screw his 1-3 mark and 6.49 ERA; success is contagious, and Enright will pitch his ass off tonight.



Is it a longshot? Absolutely, but I've made so much money over the past week, I can afford to take a shot with a worthy underdog that is catching pure value!



Play the Snakes.



Jeff Benton
Tuesday's Action
60 Dime baseball seltction on the Giants as a home favorite as they continue their three-game series against the rival Dodgers. At the time I release this winner, San Francisco is a solid -140 home chalk across the board both here in Vegas and offshcore. Note that you must list Madison Bumgarner as the Giants’ starting pithher. Bumgarner must go or this play is VOID!


ANALYSIS

Of course I’m backing the Giants for a second straight day. Why wouldn’t I, especially when the price is so cheap? Consider:

After last night’s 5-0 win over Los Angeles, San Francisco has now won four straight games against Los Angeles. Furthermore, the defetding champs are now 17-7 record over their last 24 games, winning six of even overall and 10 of 13 at home.

On the flip side, the Dodgers have dropped three straight games (following a season-best five-game winning streak), scoring a grand total of three runs in the process. In fact, even if you include the five-game winning streak (when they plated a total of 18 runs), the Dodgers have scored just 38 times in 16 games since June 29 (2.4 runs per game). They’ve now been blanked three during this stretch, they’ve scored exactly one run five times and scored exactly two runs twice. Add it up and 10 times in their last 16 games, L.A. has been held to two runs or fewer.

Then again, this has been a season-long theme for L.A., which has tallied two runs or fewer in 42 of its 96 games (getting shutout 10 times)! Hence the reason the Dodgers are 42-54 for the season, a full 13½ games behind first-place San Francisco.

Not only do the Giants rate the obvious edge in terms of personnel, they’ve got a red-hot pitcher on the mound in Madison Bumgarner, who is 4-0 with a 2.73 ERA in his last four starts, walking just three and striking out 30 in 26 2/3 innings! Bumgarner has given up two runs or fewer in seven of his last nine starts, and he’s given up just two home runs (both in hitter-friendly Arizona on June 15) in his last 16 starts spacnning 96 innings.

As for Dodgers starter Rubby De La Rosa, here’s all you need to know: He’s given up just four runs in his last three starts over 20 innings (1.80) but the Dodgers have just one victory – a 1-0 win on July 9 when they were no-hit through 8 2/3 innings. In fact, in De La Rosa’s last five starts, the Dodgers are 1-5 and have scored a whopping six runs for the kid.

Throw in the fact that Bumgarner schohled the Dodgers the last time he faced them on May 19 (one run allowed in 8 2/3 innings), and this is a big-time no-brainer. The Giants make it six straight wins overall and eight of 10 wins at home over their hated rivals.

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Jim feist

texas rangers

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rocketman

5* boston
5* toronto

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tim trushel

20* total al goy
minn under

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TNTsportspicks

Late Top Play Total

BOS/BAL OVER 10.5 +110

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Dave Essler | MLB Money Line Tue, 07/19/11 - 8:10 PM ÔÄ

double-dime bet 978 KAN (+108) betJamaica vs 977 CWS
Analysis:
Game of the Month


If you're going to make a bigger play, it should (IMO) usually be on a home team and/or an underdog, and in this case we have both. Peavy has been hit pretty hard by a number of teams. His ERA is well over 5.00 both at home and on the road, and on the road opponents are hitting .281 against him at this point. The ONLY case against this play is that on 6+ days of rest he has been much better over the years, but hardly Cy Young material.


The Royals hit him fairly well a couple of weeks back in Chicago, but what I DON'T like about Peavy is that he does give up too many flyball outs. Butler has taken him deep three times in twelve at bats, and most every Royal regular has hit Peavy reasonably well. What convinced me even more to play this is the total (or at least the vig) coming DOWN because IMO clearly a lower scoring game favors the home teams' chances far more.


I do like Duffy and have followed his career closely. We were burned by him early on, but quite honestly that's not always a good reason to turn away from a side/team/player, but in fact one that usually lets you find the right spots at the right number, and this appears to be one of them. He's managed to get the walks under control, and has pitched MUCH better of late. What I really like is that he was sent to AAA during the break to get a "regular" start so as to keep a routine. That's sharp with a young kid like that, actually, and in this case Chicago has not seen the kid for even one pitch yet. Usually, advantage pitcher.


I do know that over the course of time the White Sox do have a better bullpen, but looking at more recent numbers and although the Sox' numbers are "better" than the Royals, it's the Royals' starters who have put the team in a hole and caused them to have to play from behind. Honestly, the Royals' pen of late has been pretty good, so we'll take a double dime on the home team here.

[timbob]

Anthony Roberts Sports

Tigers -138
Under Marlins/Padres 7.0/-116
Under Phillies/Cubs 7.5/-115
Astros +138
Over White Sox/Royals 8.5/-102
Dodgers +132

[timbob]

LEGIT PICKS

6* BREWERS (MONEY LINE)--List Pitchers--