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#603 Seattle Storm +9
WNBA
#603 Seattle Storm +9
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Sports Wagers
N.Y. Mets –1 +111/04 -114 over WASHINGTON
If you don’t have the option of laying a single run than the recommendation is to lay the 14 cents with the Mets. The Mets are hot while the Nats are cold with five straight losses and playing hot v cold is rarely a bad idea. Next we have the Nationals giving Chien-Ming Wang a chance and that’s less likely to work then the Cubbies Doug Davis experiment. Ya’all might remember Wang’s last major-league experience back in ’09 when he was run out of the Bronx because he literally couldn’t retire a batter. Trust us on this one, the Nats didn’t find lightning in a bottle with this stiff. Making two starts for Syracuse of the International League, Wang allowed 15 hits and eight runs in 10 innings. With rising control issues, rising BAA, rising hr/f ratio and other concerns, about a thousand things have to go right for this science experiment to work and that’s not happening. The only way we lay off this bet is if the Mets hunted down Russ Ortiz and were starting him here and last time we checked they weren’t. Mets offense stays hot and they really should score a bunch again. Wang and Gee must start if you’re laying the one run. Wang must start while Gee doesn’t have to start if you’re laying the 14 cents. Play: N.Y. Mets –1 +111 (Risking 2 units).
Houston +174 over MILWAUKEE
The Brewers have scored 16 runs over their last seven games, they scored nine runs in their last three home games versus the brutal pitching staff of the Cubs and 10 days ago, in a four-game set at hitter-friendly Chase Field in Arizona, they were shutout twice. Instead of Rickie Weeks they are now forced to go with Craig Counsell and his current 0-41 streak. The Brewers bats are ice-cold with the exception of Ryan Braun. Randy Wolf is showing signs of tiring big time. The Crew have lost four of his last five starts and over that stretch he’s allowed 39 hits in 33 innings while striking out 18, walking 15 and posting a WHIP of 1.62. We’ve also seen his GB/FB ratio tilt heavily in favor of the fly-ball over that span. This is not a guy to be laying more than –180 with right now. Besides, isn’t this the time of year that the Astros get hot every season? Houston is coming off back-to-back wins over Jamie Garcia and Chris Carpenter in St. Louis. Jordan Lyles is winless in 10 starts and you have to be pretty good to remain in the rotation with a record like that. Despite being winless, his base skills have been really good. He has a xERA of 3.90 and Lyles has very good command with just 18 walks and 46 k’s in 61 frames. Lyles owns a solid history of terrific, sometimes elite command, and highly consistent control. Those are two exciting skills to see in any young pitcher, but to see them in a 20-year-old is remarkable and that first illusive win is going to happen real soon. Play: Houston +174 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +124 over ST. LOUIS
When the White Sox traded away Edwin Jackson and ultimately ended up with a reliever in Jason Frasor, one really has to wonder why they did this in the middle of a pennant race. We all know how scarce reliable starters are these days and it makes even less sense when you consider that the South Side traded away Daniel Hudson to acquire Jackson less than a year ago. Jason Frasor is good but he’s not going to be the difference between winning a pennant or not while a good starting pitcher can be. Did the White Sox staff see some serious warning signs in Edwin Jackson? That’s what it sounds like but we’ll see how that plays out over time. For now, he makes his Cardinal debut for that genius, who said there was no room for Colby Rasmus but had Cory Patterson playing left-field last night. St. Louis has lost two in a row and they’ve scored just eight runs over its past three games. When they face a good pitcher they rarely produce and they’ll face a very good one here in Matt Garza. Garza has changed his pitch mix quite a bit this year. He is throwing less fastballs but is throwing them harder. He is throwing more sliders and changeups in their place. His average fastball velocity is the fifth highest in the NL. His new pitch mix and elevated velocity has resulted in the highest strikeout rate of his career and his 3.19 xERA suggests that his sub-4.00 ERA has even more upside. This is a good stretch run target for sure. Garza has had success against the Cards, holding STL batters to a .232 BA (13-56). He has been particularly effective against Lance Berkman (2-15, .133 BA) and Matt Holliday (2-11, .182 BA) and he absolutely gives the Cubbies a great chance to win. Play: Chicago +124 (Risking 2 units).
CFL
HAMILTON +3½/+149 over Montreal Pinnacle
Anthony Calvillo is back but is also a hit away from watching this one from the rail again with eye problems (blurred vision). Regardless of whether Calvillo lasts the whole game or not, the Als defense is a huge concern and that defense or lack thereof makes this team a big risk laying road points. Montreal is still the class of the East but like we said when the season began, they’re not as good as last year’s squad and frankly, they’re very fortunate to be 3-1. They lost to the winless Roughies last week and were down by 11 points when Calvillo got knocked out. They were fortunate to win the season opener against the 0-5 Lions and even the 40-17 win over the Argos two weeks ago was a misleading score. The Als only convincing win came against these Tigercats when Hamilton was reeling in week 2. That’s no longer the case, as The TiCats have won two in a row and the offense is clicking on all cylinders. They now have a shot at redemption and it says here they get it against a Montreal team that is getting far too much credit for being a mlot stronger than they actually are. Play: Hamilton +149 (Risking 1.5 units) Play: Hamilton +3½ (Risking 1.53 units to win 1.5).
EDMONTON –8½ over Toronto Pinnacle
The Argos were a bad club before last week and then the Bombers showed up and started banging bodies. As a result, the Argos will play this one with a ton of injuries and a ton of questions too. For instance, how will they score points and how will they prevent points? The answer to both is they won’t. Toronto is a team in big trouble and no answers are in sight. Meanwhile, the Eskimos are no flukes. They’re playing with intense focus and they’re also playing near flawless football. Edmonton is 4-0 and they’ve won its two home games by a combined 34 points over Hamilton and B.C. Surely they’re not taking a step down in class against an unproductive Argos club that is getting progressively worse with each passing game. The only chance the Argos have of covering is if the Eskies take a week off but with a coaching staff that has this team strongly focused every week and in front of a sellout and crazed crowd, don’t expect that to happen this week. The Eskimos should be able to name the score here. Play: Edmonton –8½ (Risking 3.09 units to win 3).Comment
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Sports Wagers
N.Y. Mets –1 +111/04 -114 over WASHINGTON
If you don’t have the option of laying a single run than the recommendation is to lay the 14 cents with the Mets. The Mets are hot while the Nats are cold with five straight losses and playing hot v cold is rarely a bad idea. Next we have the Nationals giving Chien-Ming Wang a chance and that’s less likely to work then the Cubbies Doug Davis experiment. Ya’all might remember Wang’s last major-league experience back in ’09 when he was run out of the Bronx because he literally couldn’t retire a batter. Trust us on this one, the Nats didn’t find lightning in a bottle with this stiff. Making two starts for Syracuse of the International League, Wang allowed 15 hits and eight runs in 10 innings. With rising control issues, rising BAA, rising hr/f ratio and other concerns, about a thousand things have to go right for this science experiment to work and that’s not happening. The only way we lay off this bet is if the Mets hunted down Russ Ortiz and were starting him here and last time we checked they weren’t. Mets offense stays hot and they really should score a bunch again. Wang and Gee must start if you’re laying the one run. Wang must start while Gee doesn’t have to start if you’re laying the 14 cents. Play: N.Y. Mets –1 +111 (Risking 2 units).
Houston +174 over MILWAUKEE
The Brewers have scored 16 runs over their last seven games, they scored nine runs in their last three home games versus the brutal pitching staff of the Cubs and 10 days ago, in a four-game set at hitter-friendly Chase Field in Arizona, they were shutout twice. Instead of Rickie Weeks they are now forced to go with Craig Counsell and his current 0-41 streak. The Brewers bats are ice-cold with the exception of Ryan Braun. Randy Wolf is showing signs of tiring big time. The Crew have lost four of his last five starts and over that stretch he’s allowed 39 hits in 33 innings while striking out 18, walking 15 and posting a WHIP of 1.62. We’ve also seen his GB/FB ratio tilt heavily in favor of the fly-ball over that span. This is not a guy to be laying more than –180 with right now. Besides, isn’t this the time of year that the Astros get hot every season? Houston is coming off back-to-back wins over Jamie Garcia and Chris Carpenter in St. Louis. Jordan Lyles is winless in 10 starts and you have to be pretty good to remain in the rotation with a record like that. Despite being winless, his base skills have been really good. He has a xERA of 3.90 and Lyles has very good command with just 18 walks and 46 k’s in 61 frames. Lyles owns a solid history of terrific, sometimes elite command, and highly consistent control. Those are two exciting skills to see in any young pitcher, but to see them in a 20-year-old is remarkable and that first illusive win is going to happen real soon. Play: Houston +174 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +124 over ST. LOUIS
When the White Sox traded away Edwin Jackson and ultimately ended up with a reliever in Jason Frasor, one really has to wonder why they did this in the middle of a pennant race. We all know how scarce reliable starters are these days and it makes even less sense when you consider that the South Side traded away Daniel Hudson to acquire Jackson less than a year ago. Jason Frasor is good but he’s not going to be the difference between winning a pennant or not while a good starting pitcher can be. Did the White Sox staff see some serious warning signs in Edwin Jackson? That’s what it sounds like but we’ll see how that plays out over time. For now, he makes his Cardinal debut for that genius, who said there was no room for Colby Rasmus but had Cory Patterson playing left-field last night. St. Louis has lost two in a row and they’ve scored just eight runs over its past three games. When they face a good pitcher they rarely produce and they’ll face a very good one here in Matt Garza. Garza has changed his pitch mix quite a bit this year. He is throwing less fastballs but is throwing them harder. He is throwing more sliders and changeups in their place. His average fastball velocity is the fifth highest in the NL. His new pitch mix and elevated velocity has resulted in the highest strikeout rate of his career and his 3.19 xERA suggests that his sub-4.00 ERA has even more upside. This is a good stretch run target for sure. Garza has had success against the Cards, holding STL batters to a .232 BA (13-56). He has been particularly effective against Lance Berkman (2-15, .133 BA) and Matt Holliday (2-11, .182 BA) and he absolutely gives the Cubbies a great chance to win. Play: Chicago +124 (Risking 2 units).
CFL
HAMILTON +3½/+149 over Montreal Pinnacle
Anthony Calvillo is back but is also a hit away from watching this one from the rail again with eye problems (blurred vision). Regardless of whether Calvillo lasts the whole game or not, the Als defense is a huge concern and that defense or lack thereof makes this team a big risk laying road points. Montreal is still the class of the East but like we said when the season began, they’re not as good as last year’s squad and frankly, they’re very fortunate to be 3-1. They lost to the winless Roughies last week and were down by 11 points when Calvillo got knocked out. They were fortunate to win the season opener against the 0-5 Lions and even the 40-17 win over the Argos two weeks ago was a misleading score. The Als only convincing win came against these Tigercats when Hamilton was reeling in week 2. That’s no longer the case, as The TiCats have won two in a row and the offense is clicking on all cylinders. They now have a shot at redemption and it says here they get it against a Montreal team that is getting far too much credit for being a mlot stronger than they actually are. Play: Hamilton +149 (Risking 1.5 units) Play: Hamilton +3½ (Risking 1.53 units to win 1.5).
EDMONTON –8½ over Toronto Pinnacle
The Argos were a bad club before last week and then the Bombers showed up and started banging bodies. As a result, the Argos will play this one with a ton of injuries and a ton of questions too. For instance, how will they score points and how will they prevent points? The answer to both is they won’t. Toronto is a team in big trouble and no answers are in sight. Meanwhile, the Eskimos are no flukes. They’re playing with intense focus and they’re also playing near flawless football. Edmonton is 4-0 and they’ve won its two home games by a combined 34 points over Hamilton and B.C. Surely they’re not taking a step down in class against an unproductive Argos club that is getting progressively worse with each passing game. The only chance the Argos have of covering is if the Eskies take a week off but with a coaching staff that has this team strongly focused every week and in front of a sellout and crazed crowd, don’t expect that to happen this week. The Eskimos should be able to name the score here. Play: Edmonton –8½ (Risking 3.09 units to win 3).Comment
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WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 3
Game: Arizona at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 +100
The Dodgers' pitching has been keeping them in games. Here is a team that has shutout six of their last 25 opponents, that is an amazing 24% and they sit 10 games below .500. It is because their bats just don't make enough noise, and good pitching efforts get wasted. The Dodgers' staff has allowed 46 runs in their last 16 games for less than 3 per contest, but has a losing record in their last 11. Arizona starter Joshua Collmenter isn't likely to give the light-hitting Dodgers' offense much to hit, as he has allowed 3 runs in his last three starts. The D-Backs have problems solving lefthanders on the road, running their under tally to 15-7 in their last 22 when facing them on the road. The Dodgers are having similar issues facing right-hand pitching where they are 20-6-1 to the UNDER in their last 27.
The UNDER gets the call.Comment
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Sport System Specialists
Yesterday 2-4 -7.73
Overall since jun.17 +359.79
PHI -1.5 -115 risking 10.13
NYY -1.5 +100 risking 10.13
BOS ml +100 risking 4.5
ATL -1.5 +140 risking 50
STL -1.5 +170 risking 15.20
TEX -1.5 +130 risking 15.19
TB -1.5 +160 risking 10.13Comment
Comment