8-3-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

Wednesday’s Betting Tips: Marlins Lose Ramirez

Who's Hot

MLB: Texas is 20-7 in its last 27 games as a favorite.

MLB: Nine of the last 11 meetings between Philadelphia and Colorado have played over the total.

WNBA: Connecticut has covered in five of its last six games.

Who’s Not

MLB: St. Louis is just 3-13 in its last 16 games as an underdog.

MLB: Toronto has won just seven of its last 32 games in Tampa Bay.

WNBA: The under is 2-7-2 in Los Angeles’ last 11 games.

Key Stat

57.5 – Over the last month, MLB road underdogs have cashed in on 57.5 percent of their games on the runline ahead of Tuesday night’s action.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Paul Konerko, Chicago White Sox – Konerko was out of the lineup again Tuesday after being hit in the back of the leg by a pitch Sunday. The club hopes he will be able to play Wednesday, but won’t know until closer to game time. Konerko is hitting .305 with 25 homers and 76 RBIs.

Game Of The Day

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (-155, 7.5)

Notable Quotable

"If they're tired of my big-playmaking ability, maybe they'll ship me out. Maybe they'll keep me. I don't know. Who knows? I want to be where I'm wanted. If I'm wanted here, then here. If I'm not appreciated here, then life goes on, and I move on." – Philadelphia Eagles cornerback Asante Samuel on his role with the team following the additions of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Nnamdi Asomugha. Oddsmakers have dropped Philly’s Super Bowl odds to +600 after their free agent spending spree.

Tips And Notes

The Los Angeles Sparks have the over riding an 11-4-3 streak heading into Wednesday’s game against the Connecticut Sun, which is easily the best over record in the WNBA. Interestingly enough, the Sparks and Sun have played over the total in seven of their last nine meetings. L.A. is currently set as a 2.5-point home underdog Wednesday with the over/under at 158.

Florida Marlins shortstop Hanley Ramirez left Tuesday’s game with a shoulder injury after diving in an attempt to catch a Angel Pagan single. Ramirez was in obvious pain on the field and was unable to move his arm afterward. Early speculation is that he may have suffered a separated shoulder. Ramirez is hitting .242 with 10 homers 45 RBIs and 20 stolen bases this season.

[Mr. IWS]

LADY LUCK

Wednesday's Best WNBA Bets

Connecticut Sun at Los Angeles Sparks (2.5, 158)

Things were looking up for the Sparks after they canned Jennifer Gillom and made Joe “Jellybean” Bryant their head coach. They had a jump in their step and won back-to-back games after the move.

Since then though, that spark has faded and the club is in another major tailspin. The Sparks have dropped five of their last six both straight up and against the spread.

Meanwhile, the Sun have really turned it on. They have won and covered in five of their last six, including an impressive 99-92 win over Atlanta the last time they took the court. Renee Montgomery led the way with 19 points but the Sun had three other players score in double-digits as well.

"I thought we were playing horribly defensively at halftime, they made some great shots, but they shot 62 percent in the second half and lost," Sun coach Mike Thibault said after the win. "I thought we forced turnovers, we got to the free-throw line, and we hung in the game when it looked pretty bleak."

If Connecticut comes out with that same sort of fight Wednesday, the Sparks are going to be in serious trouble.

PICK: Connecticut

[Mr. IWS]

Wednesday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox (9-9, 3.96 ERA)

Floyd has made just two major mistakes over his last three starts – a pair of solo homers. Outside of those he hasn’t allowed a run since he was hammered for seven earned runs in a loss to Minnesota early in July.

The 6-foot-6 starter has struck out 16 batters over that span while walking only three in beating the Tigers, Indians and Red Sox.

Matt Harrison, Texas Rangers (9-7, 2.94 ERA)

Harrison went undefeated in July, winning three out of his five starts while posting a 2.04 ERA. The Rangers won all five of those outings and Harrison has now allowed more than four runs only once since the begging of May.

“He has been doing this all season,” manager Ron Washington told reporters of Harrison. “He stayed out of deep counts, got a lot of ground balls, had some quick innings early, and he executed his pitches.”


SLUMPING

Gio Gonzalez, Oakland Athletics (9-8, 2.84 ERA)

If there’s one thing the A’s have been able to count on this season, it has been strong pitching from Gonzalez. However, he is coming off consecutive bad starts, allowing six earned runs in a loss to the Yankees before allowing four more runs in 5 1/3-inning performance that ended up in a loss to Minnesota.

"Two bad starts," Gonzalez told reporters following the latest setback. "In my opinion, it happens to anybody. Not to say it's a streak or anything like that. Just two bad starts."

Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians (8-9, 4.67 ERA)

Carrasco is expected to pitch Wednesday after appealing his six-game suspension for throwing at Billy Butler’s head last week. Indians bettors hope the league’s ruling will give him a bit of a reality check.

After being chased after just 3 1/3 innings against Kansas City, Carrasco has lost five straight starts, giving up a whopping eight homers and 24 runs over that span.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Preview
By: Dave Consolazio

New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox (-104, 9)

The New York Yankees take on the Chicago White Sox in the third game of their four-game series this Wednesday night. Both teams are looking to gain ground in their respective division title hunts.

U.S. Cellular Field will play host to the game, which is scheduled to start at 5:10 p.m. (PT) and will be televised by ESPN. AJ Burnett is set to take the mound against Gavin Floyd.

Heading into Tuesday’s action, the Yankees were one game behind the Boston Red Sox in the AL East standings and the White Sox were third in the AL Central, 4.5 games behind Detroit. After splitting their first four game series with Chicago 2-2, New York took the early lead in this one in a 3-2 win with CC Sabathia on the mound.

New York (65-42) appears to have a playoff spot fairly well in hand with a seven-game lead in the Wild Card race, but they’d much rather enter the playoffs with the American League’s best record and another AL East Title. The Yankees are looking to carry the momentum of a nice 7-3 homestand (+1.95 units) into this road trip that started with a win Monday night behind the pitching of CC Sabathia.

Burnett (8-9, 4.23 ERA) was on the mound for two of those three losses during the homestand. In nine starts since June 13, Burnett is just 2-5 and hasn’t received more than five runs of support in any of those outings. The Yankees are 4-5 (-3.85 units) over the slump.

Burnett hasn’t fared well against the White Sox over the course of his career at 2-5 with a 4.84 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in eight starts. He did pitch eight strong innings allowing only one run when these two teams met back on April 25, but was outdueled by Phil Humber and lost as a 185 favorite.

At 52-55, the 2011 season has been a frustrating one for the Chicago White Sox, who have struggled with their offense and bullpen issues all season long. Still, with no one grabbing a stranglehold of the AL Central, the White Sox are still alive if they can start stringing some wins together.

Sending Floyd (9-9, 3.96 ERA) to the mound may be a good place to start. Floyd has been outstanding in three second-half starts, going 3-0 (+3.85 units) while allowing just two earned runs over 22 1/3 innings.

Floyd’s red-hot start out of the all-star break is a sharp contrast to the slump he was in going into it, as Chicago had lost in his previous six starts (-8.25 units). Floyd won as a 120 underdog in his last meeting against the Yankees on April 26, fanning 10 over eight innings and giving up just two runs.

The total has gone ‘under’ in five of the last six games between these two teams.

New York is 28-20 on the road (+6.35 units). Chicago is 24-29 at home (-14.27 units).

New York has Alex Rodriguez (knee) on the disabled list.

Weather reports suggest a nice day in the Chicago area with a north wind up to 11 mph. Ivan Nova and Philip Humber are expected to take the mound in the final game of the series on Thursday.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Wednesday's Best MLB Bets

Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros (+115, 8.5)

You have to hand it to Dontrelle Willis – the guy just won’t go away.

After pitching himself out of the big leagues while suffering through an anxiety disorder, he now has four starts under his belt after being called up by the Cincinnati Reds. So far, the results have been relatively positive. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of those outings and the Reds are 2-2 when he’s taken the ball.

Willis is the only lefty in the Cincinnati rotation right now and – right now at least – it looks as though he could be a regular in that spot for the rest of the season. Sure, he’s still giving up too many hits and can’t sit down batters like he used to, but he’s battling.

As long as he gives the Reds a chance to win, he’s not going anywhere. We’re thinking he’ll pick up his first win of the season against the woeful Astros.

PICK: Cincinnati


Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (+145, 8.5)

It’s safe to say the Washington Nationals have pretty low expectations of Chien-Ming Wang after he spent the last two years rehabbing after shoulder surgery.

He allowed the first five batters he faced to reach base in his first MLB start since hitting the shelf and ended up giving up six runs (four earned) over four innings in an 8-5 loss to the Mets. He allowed eight hits while striking out two and walking one.

Still, manager Davey Johnson was relatively pleased with the 31-year-old’s effort.

“I was actually impressed,” Johnson told reporters. “His delivery looked really easy. He had some good velocity on the ball. I was pleased. I really didn’t think I was going to see that much.”

Johnson also indicated that he expects Wang to remain in the rotation for the rest of the season. The heavy road chalk is a little tough to swallow so we’ll take a shot with the over.

PICK: Over

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

689- 516 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Wed: KC Royals -125

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Hondo, who snapped his seven-game skid Monday night, started a new one last night when the Tribe flopped in Fenway to boost the accounts payable to 2,075 tekulves.

Today, Mr. Aitch is putting Anthony Affrunti's horse sense to use -- 10 units to win on Mi Hermana in the third at Saratoga. Tonight, Mr. Aitch will give Morton, that old salt, one more chance to earn a stall in the stable -- 20 units on the Pirates. Also, he can't find a reason to put any of his hard-earned dinero on Pineiro, so he will try a 20-unit play on the Twins.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play WEDNESDAY

Cards/Brewers un 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at San Diego

The Padres look to build on their 6-1 record in Tim Stauffer's last 7 Wednesday starts. San Diego is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 3
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST Game 901-902: Atlanta at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 15.208; Washington (Wang) 14.467
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-155); Over Game 903-904: St. Louis at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Jackson) 14.860; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.623
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 8.5
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-120); Under Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.597; Colorado (Hammel) 14.434
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Over Game 907-908: Arizona at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Marquis) 15.377; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.769
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Under Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 14.266; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.759
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Over Game 911-912: Florida at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Hensley) 15.238; NY Mets (Gee) 14.716
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+115); Under Game 913-914: Cincinnati at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Willis) 14.824; Houston (Lyles) 15.196
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lilly) 14.368; San Diego (Stauffer) 15.372
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Over Game 917-918: Oakland at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.201; Seattle (Furbush) 16.001
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Over Game 919-920: Texas at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 16.152; Detroit (Fister) 15.344
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under Game 921-922: Cleveland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.091; Boston (Wakefield) 16.000
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under Game 923-924: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Villanueva) 16.210; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.672
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Over Game 925-926: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.866; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.649
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+100); Under Game 927-928: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.624; White Sox (Floyd) 15.865
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Over Game 929-930: Minnesota at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.421; LA Angels (Pineiro) 14.946
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Over

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Connecticut at Los Angeles

The Sun look to take advantage of a Los Angeles team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against a team with a winning SU record. Connecticut is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-3). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 3
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST Game 601-602: Connecticut at Los Angeles (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 112.980; Los Angeles 107.936
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 5; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 3; 158 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-3); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Joe Wiz
free play
Under 8.5/ Cincy and Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Mets Tuesday night.

Wednesday it's the Brewers. The deficit is 2824 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Giants -150 over Dbacks

[Mr. IWS]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Giants -150 over Dbacks