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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98673

    #16
    MLB
    Write-Up


    Wednesday, August 3

    Hot pitchers
    -- Jackson is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts. Wolf has a 2.66 RA in his last three starts.
    -- Denver native Halladay is 4-1, 2.34 in his last seven starts.
    -- Vogelsong is 2-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
    -- Hensley is 1-1, 2.65 in three starts for the Marlins.

    -- Texas won last five Harrison starts (4-0, 2.04).
    -- Guthrie is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts. Hochevar is 2-0, 3.26 in his last three starts.
    -- Floyd is 3-0, 1.21 in his last three starts.
    -- Baker is 3-1, 1.11 in his last four starts.

    Cold pitchers
    -- Braves lost Beachy's last three road starts (0-1, 5.94). Wang gave up six runs in four IP in his first 2011 start.
    -- Hammel is 2-3, 8.00 in his last five starts.
    -- Marquis is 1-3, 6.15 in his last five starts.
    -- Garza is 0-2, 8.34 in his last five road starts. Morton is 1-3, 7.90 in his last six outings.
    -- Gee is 2-2, 5.17 in his last five starts.
    -- Houston lost last ten Lyles starts (0-6, 5.07). Willis is 0-1, 3.52 in four starts for the Reds.
    -- Lilly is 1-1, 7.02 in his last three starts. Stauffer is 1-3, 4.01 in his last four starts.

    -- Gonzalez is 1-3, 7.71 in his last four starts. Furbush was 0-2, 12.97 in two starts for the Tigers.
    -- Fister was 0-3, 5.06 in his last four starts for Seattle.
    -- Carrasco is 0-5, 9.13 in his last five starts. Wakefield has a 7.43 RA in his last six starts.
    -- Shields is 1-2, 8.66 in his last three starts. Villanueva is 1-1, 6.48 in his last three outings.
    -- Burnett is 0-3, 5.12 in his last five starts.
    -- Pineiro is 0-2, 17.00 in his last three starts.

    Totals
    -- Eight of last ten Atlanta road games went over the total.
    -- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven St Louis road games.
    -- Over is 8-3 in Philly's last eleven road games.
    -- Giants' last four games all went over the total.
    -- Four of last five Pirate home games went over the total.
    -- Five of last six Florida road games stayed under the total.
    -- Four of last five Houston home games stayed under total.
    -- Over is 9-2-1 in last dozen games at Petco Park.

    -- Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Safeco Field.
    -- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Texas road games.
    -- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cleveland road games.
    -- Four of last five Toronto road games stayed under total.
    -- Under is 6-2 in last eight Kansas City home games.
    -- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Bronx road games.
    -- Under is 8-3 in Angels' last eleven home games.

    Hot Teams
    -- Washington won its last four games, outscoring foes 20-8.
    -- Florida won 11 of its last 14 road games.
    -- Cubs won their last three games, scoring 22 runs.
    -- Brewers won 10 of their last 12 home games. Cardinals won eight of their last twelve games overall.
    -- Phillies won 11 of their last 14 games.
    -- Dodgers won their last three road games, allowing two runs.
    -- Arizona won eight of its last ten games.

    -- Detroit won three of its last four games.
    -- Red Sox won 12 of their last 17 games.
    -- Bronx won 13 of its last 18 games.
    -- Blue Jays won five of their last six games.
    -- Royals are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
    -- Angels won nine of their last thirteen games.
    -- Mariners won three of their last four games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Braves lost their last four road games, allowing 29 runs.
    -- Mets lost their last four games, scoring eight runs.
    -- Pittsburgh lost seven of its last eight games.
    -- Astros lost nine of their last twelve games. Cincinnati is 5-9 in its last fourteen road games.
    -- Colorado lost seven of its last ten games.
    -- San Diego lost 17 of its last 24 games.
    -- Giants lost their last five games, outscored 31-8. .

    -- Rangers lost five of their last six road games.
    -- Indians lost nine of their last twelve games.
    -- Rays lost five of their last seven home games.
    -- White Sox lost 10 of their last 14 home games.
    -- Orioles lost five of their last seven games.
    -- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
    -- Oakland lost 10 of its last 12 road games.

    Umpires
    -- Chi-Pitt-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen Davidson games.
    -- Atl-Wsh-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Carapazza games.
    -- Fla-NY-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last eleven Fletcher games.
    -- Cin-Hst-- Seven of last nine Campos games stayed under.
    -- StL-Mil-- Under is 14-5 in last 19 Darling games; road team won 10 of his last 12 games behind the plate.
    -- Phil-Col-- Under is 7-0-2 in last nine Meals games.
    -- LA-SD-- Last seven Conroy games went over the total.
    -- Az-SF-- Five of last six Hoye games went over the total.

    -- A's-Sea-- Underdogs are 12-7 in last 19 Everitt games, with last three going over the total.
    -- Cle-Bos-- Over is 14-2-2 in last 18 Davis games.
    -- Tex-Det-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Tumpane games.
    -- Tor-TB-- Road team won seven of last nine Johnson games.
    -- Balt-KC-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Timmons games.
    -- NY-Chi-- Four of last five Runge games stayed under the total.
    -- Min-LA-- Eight of last ten Hickox games went over the total.
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98673

      #17
      FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

      MLB Baseball Wednesday
      Play Philadelphia (-190) over Colorado (Top Play of the Day)
      Starts at 3:10 PM EST
      Roy Halladay has won 18 of the last 20 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has also won 9 of the last 10 day games. Roy Halladay has won 16 of the last 18 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 2-0 vs. Colorado over his career with an ERA of 0.77.

      Play Boston (-175) over Cleveland (Top Play of the Day)
      Starts at 7:10 PM EST
      Cleveland has lost 9 of the last 12 games and they have also lost 3 of the last 4 games when the total posted is 10 runs or more. Carlos Carrasco has an ERA of 8.11 vs. Boston over his career and he is 0-3 over his last three starts with an ERA of 7.02.
      -----------------------------------------------------------------
      Play Atlanta (-155) over Washington (Bonus)
      Starts at 1:05 PM EST
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98673

        #18
        Sports Wagers

        Chicago –106 over PITTSBURGH Pinnacle
        The happiest team in the majors today? How about the Cubbies, a team that has had nothing but misery against the Pirates over the past few years but is paying them back now. Prior to this season, Chicago had been in a position to make a run at a playoff spot when the dreadful Pirates showed up on their schedule and the Buccos did a number on the Cubs to end all hope. That’s when the Pirates were losing 100 games a year. This season, as irony would have it, the roles are reversed and it’s the Cubbies that are putting the Pirates to bed. The Pirates have slipped to 5½ back after losing the first two games of this series and things don’t look so good today. Charlie Morton was the early season feel good story but that was a long time ago and now he’s back to being Charlie Morton. In the past month, covering four starts, Morton has a 1.93 WHIP to go along with an ERA of 5.95 after walking 12 and allowing 16 runs in 20 IP. In fact, Morton has not made it out of the sixth inning in eight straight starts and has been knocked out in five innings or less in four of those eight starts. The man is running on fumes and let’s not ignore that he pitched to a 7.57 ERA over 17 starts last season. Meanwhile, Matt Garza has elite skills right across the board that include a terrific strikeout rate (122 k’s in 122 IP), an outstanding groundball rate of 60% and an elite xERA of 3.19. The Pirates has the worst OPS in the NL since the All-Star break (.589), and a .218 BA/.283 OBP/.306 slg line. That’s ugly and Charlie Morton pitching does not make it prettier. Play: Chicago –106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

        DETROIT +100 over Texas Pinnacle
        Texas is money at home, but they’re just 26-29 on the road, which is not surprising, since they hit .258 on the road. Matt Harrison is 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA over his last five starts and that’s why the Rangers are favored here. His ERA is a complete illusion and we say that because it does not match his skills. In fact, over his past five starts, Harrison has allowed 38 hits in 33 innings against Oakland, Seattle, Baltimore, Toronto and Minnesota but escaped jam after jam with an unsustainable and off the charts strand rate of 89%. If you look at his last nine starts he’s faced the above mentioned five teams along with Houston, the Mets, Atlanta and Minnesota again. Arguably, Harrison has faced about eight of the worst batting lineups in the majors and his hit rate is not impressive. When he faced the Tigers back on June 6 at Comerica he didn’t make it past four innings after allowing eight hits and four runs. A big correction in Harrison’s numbers is forthcoming and the time to sell high on this guy is right now. Doug Fister makes his Tigers debut and he has to be ecstatic about switching uniforms. Fister was an unjust 3-12 with the pitiful M’s but he has the skills and stats to be about 12-3. He’s pitched into the eighth inning in eight of his past 10 starts and comes in with a road ERA of 3.00. He’s given up one jack over his past seven starts and that lone HR came against the Yanks in New York in which he threw seven complete and surrendered just seven hits and three runs. Fister has elite command, he’s a groundball pitcher and he’ll finally be able to pitch for a team that can score some runs. He’s a solid addition to the Tigers rotation. Wrong side favored. Play: Detroit +100 (Risking 2 units).
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98673

          #19
          Vegas Sharp


          # 2 Units #
          602 Los Angeles Sparks +3


          # 2 units #
          907 Arizona Diamondbacks ML +132

          (Listed Pitchers Marquis/Vogelsong)


          # 2 Units #
          919 Texas Rangers ML -105

          (Listed Pitchers Harrison/Fister)


          # 2 Units #
          929 Minnesota Twins ML -105

          (Listed Pitchers Baker/Pineiro)
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98673

            #20
            MLBPredictions
            Kevin
            Winner yesterday Under Tampa Bay

            3.5* Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants – UNDER 7.5 (-115)

            Another solid pitching match up for this afternoon game between the Diamondbacks and Giants. The Dbacks will send Jason Marquis to the rubber for the first time since being acquired from the Nationals. He is 8-5 on the season with a 3.95 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Marquis seems to love pitching against the Giants, as he is 5-3 lifetime against them with a 2.47 ERA. Also note that at AT&T Park he is 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA. On the mound for the Giants is Ryan Vogelsong, who is having a tremendous season. Vogelsong is 8-1 on the year with a 2.23 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Batters are hitting .240 against Vogelsong. Ryan hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in his last 15 starts, and is 5-1 at home with a stellar 1.28 ERA. Note that the UNDER is 8-1 in Vogelsong’s last 9 home starts, and 12-3 in his last 15 starts overall. The UNDER is 8-2 in his last 10 starts with a total set between 7 and 8.5, and the UNDER is 6-2 in his last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record. The following numbers don’t take Tuesday’s game into consideration, as I am writing this up while watching the bottom of the 7th inning of that game (with the Dbacks leading 2-1). The UNDER is 29-11-1 in the Giants last 41 home games, 7-2 in their last 9 games vs a team with a winning record, and 9-4 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. The UNDER is 6-1 in these two teams last 7 meetings in San Fran, and 11-3 in their last 13 meetings overall. Again we have a great spot for the UNDER with a pitcher who has great numbers against the Giants, another pitcher who is dominant at home all season, and two teams who are in a pennant race that play the UNDER against each other. The 7.5 total is a generous one, get on it before it moves to 7. Take the UNDER here.
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98673

              #21
              EasyBaseballBetting
              Our systems say to go for:

              Marlins (+127),
              Rockies (+180),
              Dodgers (+111),
              Pirates (+100),
              Brewers (+102),
              Blue Jays (+146),
              Mariners (+132).
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98673

                #22
                Todays Picks

                Pittsburgh Pirates ML

                Texas Rangers ML

                Minnesota Twins ML
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98673

                  #23
                  David Banks (comp)
                  Fail yesterday Over Phillies

                  Today no write up
                  OVER Baltimore Orioles / Kansas City Royals
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98673

                    #24
                    Paul Leiner
                    NL Bank Heist

                    500* Brewers -120

                    100* Giants -150

                    50* Mets -130
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98673

                      #25
                      Luke Anthony

                      3* Chicubs / Pirates OVER 7.5

                      Matt Garza is on the hill for the Cubs and he is having problems on the road, going 1-5 with a 5.96 ERA away from Chicago! Charlie Morton is going for the Pirates and he is not too much better in his last 3 starts, going 1-1 with a 5.65 ERA. The Cubs seem to be hitting the cover off the baseball lately and if the Pirates want to stay in this NL Central race, they will have to hit Garza tonight and get a W. I expect a high scoring game with it coming down to the best bullpen to win this baseball game and it going well over this total.
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98673

                        #26
                        Chase Diamond (ksp)

                        30 Dimes Chicago Cubs ML
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98673

                          #27
                          Jimmy Boyd

                          5* "Underdog Game of the Week" Pittsburgh Pirates

                          4* "Power Play" New York Mets

                          3* "Afternoon Delight" San Francisco Giants

                          Free pick: 1* Cincinnati Reds
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98673

                            #28
                            JACK HOWARD

                            MLB:
                            Chicago/Pittsburgh Over 7.5(-110) 5 Dimes
                            Cincinnati/Houston Under 8.5(+100) 5 Dimes
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98673

                              #29
                              RICHIE CARRERA

                              Chicago/PITTSBURGH OVER 7.5- 5 Dimes
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                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 98673

                                #30
                                Sportsbook Investing
                                Play of the day

                                San Francisco Giants ML
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