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  • timbob
    Regular user
    • Aug 2008
    • 7154

    #16
    MLB WRITE UP
    SUNDAY, AUGUST 7

    HOT PITCHERS
    -- Vazquez is 3-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
    -- Latos is 0-2, 3.03 in his last five starts; both losses were 1-0 games.
    -- Greinke is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
    -- Lannan is 3-1,4.07 in his last four starts.
    -- Kershaw is 5-0, 1.86 in his last five starts. Kennedy is 5-0, 2.38 in his last five starts.
    -- Lincecum is 3-2, 1.41 in his last five starts.

    -- Toronto won last three Romero starts (2-0, 1.90). Simon has a 2.81 RA in his last four starts.
    -- Scherzer is 2-2, 2.14 in his last five starts.
    -- Santana is 4-0, 1.93 in his last six starts. FHernandez is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
    -- Beckett is 3-0, 1.29 vs Bronx this year, 3-1, 2.41 in his last six starts. FGarcia is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.

    COLD PITCHERS
    -- Gee has a 5.44 RA in his last seven starts. Minor is 0-1, 4.50 in his three road starts.
    -- JGarcia is 1-2, 5.33 in his last four starts.
    -- Correia, who pitched for Padres LY, is 1-2, 11.77 in last three starts.
    -- Wells is 1-1, 5.34 in his last five Wrigley starts. Arroyo is 0-3, 6.81 in his last six starts.
    -- Norris is 0-1, 5.09 in his last four starts.
    -- Colorado is 0-5 at home when Cook starts (0-4, 6.81).
    -- Oswalt is 1-4, 5.81 in his last five starts, last of which was June 23.

    -- Cahill is 1-5, 6.58 in his last seven starts. Price is 0-3,4.05 in his last three outings.
    -- Chen is 0-3, 7.48 in his last four starts.
    -- Peavy is 0-4, 6.11 in his last six starts. Duensing is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
    -- Tomlin is 1-2, 5.81 in his last five starts. Lewis has a 4.22 RA in his last five starts.

    TOTALS
    -- Seven of Reds' last nine road games stayed under total.
    -- Over is 6-1-1 in Padres' last eight road games.
    -- Under is 5-2 in Gee's last seven home starts.
    -- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Vazquez starts.
    -- Over is 12-3-2 in Greinke's starts this season.
    -- Seven of last eleven Colorado games stayed under the total.
    -- Under is 7-3 in Dodgers' last ten road games.
    -- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Oswalt starts.

    -- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Romero starts.
    -- Under is 7-1 in last eight Beckett starts.
    -- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Tampa Bay games.
    -- Six of last seven Tomlin starts went over the total.
    -- Under is 9-3-1 in Minnesota's last thirteen home games.
    -- Under is 9-3 in last twelve Kansas City home games.
    -- Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Santana starts.

    HOT TEAMS
    -- San Diego won its last three games, scoring 31 runs.
    -- Cardinals won their last three games, allowing seven runs.
    -- Cubs won their last seven games, scoring 45 runs.
    -- Brewers won 10 of their last 11 games.
    -- Dodgers won five of their last six road games.
    -- Phillies won 15 of their last 18 games, are 8-0 since the Pence trade. .

    -- Rays won six of their last nine games.
    -- Red Sox won 14 of their last 21 games. Bronx won 16 of its last 22 games, including eight of their last nine.
    -- Detroit won five of its last six games.
    -- Mariners won five of their last seven games. Angels won seven of 11.

    COLD TEAMS
    -- Marlins lost their last three games, scoring seven rund.
    -- Cincinnati lost 11 of its last 15 road games.
    -- Pittsburgh lost 11 of its last 12 games.
    -- Mets lost five of their last six games. Atlanta is 4-7 in its last eleven road games.
    -- Astros lost six of their last eight games.
    -- Colorado lost nine of its last fourteen games. Washington lost six of its last eight road games.
    -- Arizona lost its last three games, allowing 20 runs.
    -- Giants lost eight of their last nine games.

    -- Orioles lost eight of their last eleven games. Toronto lost three of its last four/
    -- Oakland lost 15 of its last 19 road games.
    -- Royals lost four of their last six home games.
    -- Indians lost 11 of their last 16 games. Texas lost seven of its last 11.
    -- White Sox lost six of their last eight games. Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.

    UMPIRES
    -- Cin-Chi-- Over is 9-0-1 in last ten Nauert games.
    -- Phil-SF-- Last four Everitt games went over the total.
    -- Mil-Hst-- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen Johnson games.
    -- SD-Pitt-- Favorites won five of last six Runge games.
    -- StL-Fla-- Favorites won last four Carapazza games.
    -- Atl-NY-- Underdogs are 4-4 in last eight Randazzo games, with three of last four staying under total.
    -- Wsh-Col-- Six of last seven Hoye games went over the total.
    -- LA-Az-- Seven of last eight Hickox games went over the total.

    -- NY-Bos-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Timmons games.
    -- Tor-Blt-- Seven of last eight Davidson games stayed under total.
    -- Chi-Min-- Over is 14-3-2 in last nineteen Davis games.
    -- Det-KC-- Over is 8-4 in last dozen Drake games.
    -- A's-TB-- Five of last seven Dimuro games went over the total.
    -- Cle-Tex-- Under is 12-4 in last sixteen Reyburn games.
    -- Sea-LA-- Seven of last eight Conroy games went over the total.

    Comment

    • timbob
      Regular user
      • Aug 2008
      • 7154

      #17
      CAPPERS ACCESS

      Reds
      White Sox
      Red Sox RL

      Comment

      • timbob
        Regular user
        • Aug 2008
        • 7154

        #18
        JOE WIZ FREE PICK
        Under 10 runs Cleveland/Texas

        Comment

        • timbob
          Regular user
          • Aug 2008
          • 7154

          #19
          FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

          MLB Baseball Sunday
          Play Tampa Bay (-175) over Oakland (Top Play of the Day)
          Starts at 1:40 PM EST
          Tampa Bay has won 20 of the last 29 games when playing in Game 3 of a series and they have also won 6 of the last 8 games when playing on a Sunday. David Price has won 21 of the last 26 games coming off a loss and he has also won 20 of the last 26 games vs. teams with a losing record.

          Play Milwaukee (-180) over Houston (Top Play of the Day)
          Starts at 2:10 PM EST
          Houston has lost 7 consecutive home games as an underdog of +150 to +200 and they have also lost 21 of the last 27 games after scoring five or more runs in their previous game. Houston has lost 16 of the last 21 games when playing on a Sunday and they have lost 43 of the last 64 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents.
          -----------------------------------------------------------------
          Play Texas (-180) over Cleveland (Bonus)
          Starts at 8:05 PM EST

          Comment

          • timbob
            Regular user
            • Aug 2008
            • 7154

            #20
            VEGAS SPORTS PLAYS

            JOHNNY YANG
            10* Blue Jays -135 ML

            BROOKS RILEY
            3* Dodgers/Diamondbacks - UNDER 7.5

            GLENN LONG
            3* TB Rays -165 ML
            3* Tigers -125 ML
            3* Angels -120 ML

            Comment

            • timbob
              Regular user
              • Aug 2008
              • 7154

              #21
              SPORTS WAGERS

              Washington +115

              This one is pretty much a no-brainer because taking back a tag against Aaron Cook is a play that should be made 100% of the time. The Rockies have lost seven of the past nine games that Cook has started. In 55.2 innings, Cook has been tagged for 73 hits for a BAA of .327 and that’s his good suit. He’s walked more batters (22) than he’s struck out (19) and his 1.73 WHIP is dreadful. Aaron Cook is being paid 10M this season and that’s why he’s out there. The Rocks are going to get every last ounce of anything he has left to eat up some innings and get them to the finish line. He was yanked from his last start after giving up four runs in four innings because of a neck strain and because he was getting pounded again but the Rocks aren’t going to allow him to miss a start. At 10M per, Cook would have to be near death to get any sympathy from the Rockies and miss a start. John Lannan is an extreme groundball pitcher with an outstanding GB/LD/FB profile of 54%/19%/26%. His 3.65 ERA is lined up close to his 3.92 xERA. Over the past month, Lannan’s xERA is a very impressive 3.18. Lannan may not win here but he’s a much better option taking back a tag than Aaron Cook is laying one. We’re going with the best of it by wagering against Cook, a guy that seldom wins and has nothing but trouble getting outs. Play: Washington +115 (Risking 2 units).


              Los Angeles Dodgers +101

              The D-Backs are going bad with three losses in a row and after losing the first two games of this series they have the daunting task of trying to get to Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw might be the game’s best pitcher and if he’s not he’s damn close. In 2010, Kershaw was one of just four National League starters with 200+ strikeouts and an ERA under 3.00. The scariest thing about Kershaw is that at age 23, he’s getting better with every start. He has struck out 177 batters while walking just 42 in 161 IP. Kershaw's ERA (2.68) and corresponding xERA (2.81) back-up what we know to be true: this is an exciting arm. He works deep into games and throws quality start after quality start after quality start. Ian Kennedy is a very good pitcher indeed, which is a topic of discussion better left for another time because he’s not Clayton Kershaw and anytime we can get a tag with Kershaw you can pencil us in with no questions asked. Play: Los Angeles +101 (Risking 2 units).


              San Diego –115

              Well, we hate to kick a team when they’re down as much as the next guy but betting the Padres here is about the easiest decision you’ll have to make today. The Pirates were alone in first place in the NL Central just a short time ago and today they’re an incredible nine games out and right now they can’t buy a win. They’ve given up 28 runs in the first two games of this series and have now allowed an absolutely amazing 77 runs against during their nine-game losing streak. There’s not a single pitcher in the Bucs pen that wants to hear his name being called or summoned. This is a team in free-fall mode and Kevin Correia isn’t the answer. In fact, he’s their worst starter by a wide margin. In 10 home starts, Correia has two wins, a 7.71 ERA and a BAA of .361. In 53 innings at PNC Park, Correia has been taken yard 12 times. Over his last three starts covering a measly 13 frames, Correia has an ERA of 11.08. This guy has no confidence, less skills and he’s crapping in his pants at the very thought of taking the hill today. Meanwhile, Mat Latos is rock solid. Latos has added some velocity on his fastball in recent appearances and while he hasn't duplicated the breakout he had last season, his strikeout rate, good command and groundball bias profile confirm that his skill base remains solid. He's a good bet to finish with a sub-4.00 ERA and sub-1.20 WHIP. The Padres are favored and rightfully so but they’re an undervalued choice in a hugely favorable spot. Play: San Diego –115 (Risking 2.3 units to win 2).

              Comment

              • timbob
                Regular user
                • Aug 2008
                • 7154

                #22
                EasyBaseballBetting
                Our systems say to go for:

                Orioles (+129),
                Pirates (+106),
                Cubs (-101),
                Phillies (+125),
                Mariners (+114),
                Yankees (+146),
                Twins (+106),
                Royals (+122),
                Astros (+158).

                Comment

                • timbob
                  Regular user
                  • Aug 2008
                  • 7154

                  #23
                  THE WINNING ADDICT

                  St. Louis Cardinals -128 (Risk 12.8 units to win 10 units) 1:10 P.M. EST
                  It isn’t often I count on 4 game sweeps for the road team, but this looks as damn good to me as could be. Seriously, I can already hear the haters telling me that A) this is too much to risk on the final game of a series with the road team leaving town and preparing for a huge series vs the team just ahead of them in the division standings and B) that Jaime Garcia sucks on the road and Javy Vazquez has been awesome lately. Yep, well, I’ve heard it all before and I am loving this game more and more as I write about it—because quite frankly, it is going to be a winner. So, why you ask do I feel so rosy? Well, first off this Cardinals team is playing as a unit and has tons of energy right now. Playing as a unit? In baseball? That’s ridiculous. Ok, I hear you, but this team is genuinely enjoying playing with each other right now, and everyone is picking each other up when things slack on one end. Saturday night was a case of the pitching backing up an offense that left like 78 guys on base. The Cards got 14 hits but scored only 2 1st inning runs—and that was it off Ricky Nolasco. Pujols hit a homerun after the umpire missed a call in the outfield on a trapped catch, and that was all Carpenter and Co needed. Jaime Garcia is going to throw a gem of a ballgame today—that’s just how I see it. He is 3-1 during daytime starts with a 2.38 ERA, while Javy Vazquez is 2-4 with a 6.06 ERA during the daytime this season. I know I am always preaching about how careful you have to be when considering stats, but these stats have something to them. Vazquez is 3-6 at home this year with a sparkling 6.14 ERA, and there isn’t anyone in the world that can convince me he will pitch a 3rd straight gem against this brutal Cards lineup who is hitting the ball well. Load up on the Cardinals and win 10 units. (Win 10% of your bankroll)

                  Minnesota Twins +108 (Risk 10 units to win 10.8 units) 2:10 P.M. EST
                  Ok, so the Twins are scuffling again big time. Well, it wasn’t that long ago that this White Sox club was getting embarrassed by the Yankees and just looking for a place to hide. Brian Duensing is going to be the stopper for the Twins today, as he has pitched extremely well vs the ChiSox in his career (take the career stats garbage with not one but two grains of salt), and he has also thrown the ball extremely well during the daytime this season with a 5-4 record and 2.86 ERA. I watched this kid bedazzle Texas two starts back, and I also bet against him July 4th when he destroyed David Price and the Rays with a complete game shutout. When he locates, he is damn tough to center up against. On the other side of the bump is Jake Peavy, who I love and admire for his courage every start. After this surgery that no one has ever come back from he has really gutted it out with less than average stuff. His days of stellar movement with good zip on his fastball are long gone, but he goes out there and pitches his nuts off each outing. Unfortunately, that just isn’t going to be good enough this afternoon. I hate rooting against the guy because he is such a great competitor, but Minnesota needs a win desperately, and as crappy as the Sox have been in Minnesota in the past, I just don’t see them sweeping this series away. Lets pucker up and grow some chest hair today, as we are risking 10% of our bankroll on the Minnesota Twins. Buena Suerte amigos.
                  (Win 10% of your bankroll)

                  Comment

                  • timbob
                    Regular user
                    • Aug 2008
                    • 7154

                    #24
                    Intelligent Betting Tips

                    San Diego Padres ML -108

                    Comment

                    • timbob
                      Regular user
                      • Aug 2008
                      • 7154

                      #25
                      Sportsbook Investing
                      Play of the Day:

                      Yankees + RedSox OVER 9

                      Comment

                      • timbob
                        Regular user
                        • Aug 2008
                        • 7154

                        #26
                        Vic Monte
                        6 - 1 Last 7 Max Out Specials

                        2000* MAX OUT SPECIAL - MILWAUKEE BREWERS -170

                        Comment

                        • timbob
                          Regular user
                          • Aug 2008
                          • 7154

                          #27
                          David Banks
                          Winner yesterday Under Phillies

                          Today no write up
                          OVER Cleveland Indians / Texas Rangers

                          Comment

                          • timbob
                            Regular user
                            • Aug 2008
                            • 7154

                            #28
                            Paul Leiner

                            100* Over 9 Yanks/Redsox

                            50* Padres -115

                            Comment

                            • timbob
                              Regular user
                              • Aug 2008
                              • 7154

                              #29
                              Khaliagent Sports Free Picks: 25-16 +12.62 units (61%)

                              Sunday August 7th

                              Texas ml -169 (medium bet to win 2 units)

                              Milwaukee ml -168 (medium bet to win 2 units)

                              Texas -1.5 (+115) (medium bet 2 units to win 2.3 units)

                              Texas 1st 5 innings (-172) (medium bet to win 2 units)
                              Last edited by timbob; 08-07-2011, 10:00 AM.

                              Comment

                              • golden contender
                                Senior Member
                                • Jun 2010
                                • 2863

                                #30
                                GC MLB System Play

                                Sunday card has an early Dominator system with a Perfect system + a late MLB Totals play. Free MB System side below


                                On Sunday the free play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. Game 907 at 2:10 eastern. The Brewers fit the 12-2 system below that plays on road favorites of -140 or more with a total of 8 or less that are off a road favored win and scored 5 or more runs, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 5+ runs. The Brewers may be a high favorite which is why they are the free play. They are 12-4 of late vs losing teams while Houston is 5.13 of late vs winning teams. The Brewers score 5 runs per game in division play and have averaged 6.7 runs per game the past week. Houston is averaging 2.4 runs per game the past week. Greinke goes today for Milwaukee and he was superb in his only start here going 8 innings allowing just one run in a win. He has a solid 1.83 era the past 3 starts. Norris goes for Houston and he has dropped 3 of his 4 day starts. Look for the Brewers to move to 9-3 vs Houston this season. Take Milwaukee. to Jump on the Big Sunday card GC

                                SU: 12-2 (3.1 rpg)

                                Runs
                                Team: 5.2
                                Opp: 2.1

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