8-14-11

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Silver Key Pick for Sunday ML Baseball

Mets Capuano -L +1.5 Runs, -160 over ARIZONA

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 8 runs bet. Texas and Oakland

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MLB
Write-Up


Sunday, August 14

Hot pitchers
-- Willis has a 3.15 RA in his last three starts.
-- Halladay is 4-0, 2.86 in his last four starts.
-- Vogelsong is 3-1, 3.28 in his last six starts.
-- Beachy is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts. Garza is 1-1, 2.72 in his last six outings.
-- Morton is 2-0, 0.00 (15 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Kuroda has a 2.33 RA in his last three starts.
-- Rogers is 3-0, 3.18 in his last three starts. Jackson is 1-0, 2.77 in two home starts for the Cardinals.

-- Huff is 1-1, 1.53 in his three starts this season.
-- Haren is 2-1, 2.01 in his last four starts. Cecil is 2-1, 2.17 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 2-0, 0.55 in his last couple starts.
-- Danks is 3-1, 2.51 in his last five home starts.
-- Harrison is 5-1, 2.61 in his last seven starts. Harden is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Leblanc is 0-2, 4.55 in five starts this season.
-- Wang is 1-2, 7.20 in three starts for Washington.
-- Volstad was 1-1, 9.00 in last four starts before being sent to AAA.
-- Marcum has a 5.67 RA in his last five home starts.
-- Lyles is 1-3, 5.64 in his last six starts.
-- Marquis allowed 15 runs in eight IP in his first two Arizona starts. Capuano is 1-3, 5.23 in his last five starts.

-- Slowey is making first '11 start; he is 39-21, 4.43 in 82 career starts. So far this year, he's allowed eight runs in 14.2 IP in six relief stints.
-- Reyes is 2-4, 9.62 in his last seven starts.
-- Burnett is 0-4, 6.21 in his last seven starts.
-- Fister is 1-3, 5.05 in his last six starts.
-- Francis is 1-6, 4.83 in his last ten starts.
-- Wakefield is 0-2, 4.79 in three tries for his 200th career win. Furbush is 1-1, 8.00 in two starts for the Mariners.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Washington road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 9-5 in San Francisco's last fourteen road games.
-- 10 of last 12 San Diego road games went over the total.
-- Eight of Cubs' last nine road games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-4 in Pittsburgh's last fifteen games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight St Louis games.
-- Over is 8-4 in Mets' last twelve road games.
-- Six of Dodgers' last eight home games went over the total.

-- Seven of last eight Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Haren's last eight road starts.
-- Six of Royals' last eight road games stayed under the total.
-- Last ten Oakland home games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Seattle home games.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies are 21-7 in their last 28 home games.
-- Cincinnati won seven of its last nine home games. Padres are 6-4 in last ten road games, but lost last two.
-- Cubs won 10 of their last 13 games. Atlanta won seven of nine.
-- Brewers won 15 of their last 17 games, 11 in a row at home.
-- Cardinals won six of their last nine home games.
-- Arizona won its last five games, scoring 35 runs.

-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of last eleven games. Bronx won 11 of its last 15 games.
-- Tigers are 8-4 in their last twelve games.
-- White Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Boston won five of its last seven games overall. Mariners won five of their last seven home games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington is 7-14 in its last 21 road games.
-- Florida lost eight of its last nine games. Giants lost 11 of last 15.
-- Pirates lost 15 of their last 18 games.
-- Colorado is 5-9 in its last fourteen games overall- they've lost their last 16 Sunday games.
-- Mets lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Houston lost eight of its last nine games. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last seven home games, but won last two, allowing one run.

-- Minnesota lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games. Toronto is 0-4 this month in the game following a win.
-- Baltimore lost nine of its last eleven games.
-- Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Oakland lost three of last four games, allowing 27 runs.

Umpires
-- Col-StL-- Last four Fairchild games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Phil-- Over is 11-4 in Conroy games this season.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Visiting team won six of last seven Barry games.
-- Chi-Atl-- Six of last seven Cooper games went over the total.
-- SF-Fla-- Underdogs won five of last seven Hernandez games.
-- SD-Cin-- Eight of last ten Iassogna games stayed under total.
-- NY-Az-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Cederstrom games.
-- Hst-LA-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Estabrook games.

-- LA-Tor-- Four of last five Rackley games stayed under total.
-- Tex-A's-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Tumpane games.
-- TB-NY-- Six of last eight Miller games stayed under total.
-- Min-Cle--Five of last six Demuth games went over total.
-- Det-Balt-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Nelson games.
-- KC-Chi-- Seven of last eight Muchinski games went over the total.
-- Bos-Sea-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight O'Nora games.

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SPORTS WAGERS

N.Y. Mets First Five Innings +128

Laying juice with Jason Marquis is bad strategy because he’s no good and he’s going to give up runs. In two starts since joining the Snakes against the Astros and Giants, Marquis has been tagged for 19 hits and 15 runs (11 earned) in eight innings. He couldn’t get Houston or San Fran batters out and before that he faced the Dodgers, Houston again, Pittsburgh, the Angels and Seattle. Of the 48 batters he faced since joining the D-Backs, 23 of them safely got on base. He was lousy last year, he had a few good starts with the Nats this year but it was all on account of luck. The D-Backs are a .500 team versus lefties and will face a good one here in Chris Capuano. In 134 innings, Capuano has walked just 41 while striking out 110. He has a low line-drive rate of 16% (league average is 21%) and that’s should bode well at this park. The D-Backs are hot with five wins in a row and they’ve scored 35 runs over that span but they’ve also faced five weak pitchers (Jordan Lyles, Henry Sosa, Brett Myers, Mike Pelfrey and Dillon Gee). Arizona is an overachieving club that has somehow managed to win a lot more games than they’ve lost. They’ve also come back from a lot of large deficits and it’s for that reason combined with the Mets shaky pen that will play this one in five innings. Play: N.Y. Mets in the first five innings +128 (Risking 2 units).


Detroit –1½ +121

The O’s are 11-25 versus lefties, they’ve lost three in a row and six of seven and they’ll send out newly acquired Jo-Jo Reyes, who they picked up off the waiver wire on August 1. His first start with the Orioles was a lot like his 20 starts with the Blue Jays and his 57 other career starts – not very good. He did not strike out a single batter and he surrendered two jacks in just four innings of batting practice. In fact, in three of his last five starts he did not strike out a batter. Reyes has a BAA of .305, a 1.59 WHIP and in one previous start against the Tigers this season he was tagged for five runs in seven innings. The Tigers have won 14 of 21 games on the road versus lefties. Doug Fister has not struck out a batter in two starts since joining the Tigers. However, he struck out nine Orioles in 7.1 innings this season and overall in 20 IP against BAL he’s struck out 16 batters. The Tigers are in a much better frame of mind too and after two close games the past two days, this one has blowout written all over it. Play” Detroit –1½ +121 (Risking 2 units).

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JOHNNY YANG

10 UNIT Braves -145

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Reds Saturday night.

Sunday it's the Reds. The deficit is 2,743 sirignanos.

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chris jordan:

200: LA Dodgers (RUN LINE)

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OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

1 UNIT Twins +137
1 UNIT Rangers -135

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PHD PICKS

Cleveland Indians -147
Cincinnati Reds -146
Atlanta Braves -154
Chicago White Sox -163
St. Louis Cardinals -154

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SuperSportsGroup MLB

Anaheim v. Toronto 1:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +114 Game Hidden Gem #1

Chicago v. Atlanta 1:35pm
PICK: Cubs ML +144 Game

Detroit v. Baltimore 1:35pm
PICK: Orioles ML +135 Game

Kansas City v. Chicago 2:10pm
PICK: Royals ML +150 Game

NY v Arizona 4:10pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game -105 Hidden Gem #2

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Paul Leiner

100* Giants -125

50* Yanks -125

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OCALSPORTS

1.5* Giants -125

1.5* Angels -133

1.5* Phillies -1.5 -130

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Todays Picks

Texas Rangers ML -120

San Francisco Giants ML -125

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Sports Picks Direct

Washington (Wang) @ Philadelphia (Halladay)

1* PLAY: Philadelphia (Halladay) RL -1.5, -130

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Dave Essler | MLB Money Line

dime bet 965 NYM (+125) Bookmaker.com vs 966 ARI