8-27-11

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John Harrison

Pats/Lions OVER

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 37 bet. Houston and San Francisco

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SPORTS WAGERS

Tampa Bay –1 +110 over TORONTO

If you don’t have the option of laying one run you can comfortably lay 15 cents in this one with TB. The Rays took the opener last night 6-1 and have now won 12 of its past 16 games. They catch a completely different looking Jays team than the one we saw about a month ago when Toronto was playing some exciting baseball and winning games. Colby Rasmus is on the 15-day DL. Adam Lind has been seeing BB’s for a month and his average is now down to .250. Both Aaron Hill and John MacDonald were traded and Rajai Davis is also out. The Jays now have a line-up that features Mike McCoy, Kelly Johnson, Eric Thames, Brett Lawrie and J.P. Arencibia among others. It’s rookies and while one or two in a line-up is exciting, this current Blue Jays line-up is a wealth of inexperience and you can add today’s pitcher Luis Perez to that list. Perez has made 30 appearances this season and just one start and it was a good one in Oakland that Toronto won 1-0. He has been a groundball machine so far in the majors, which tracks with his minor league scouting report, which said his "87-92 mph sinking fastball induces an inordinately high number of grounders." However, his lefty-righty splits have been extreme: he has held LHB to a .228 BA while RHB have hit .308 against him and that plays into the Rays strength, as Tampa Bay is loaded with righties and have won 24 of 38 games v southpaws. Jeff Niemann struggled with a back issue early in the season. Now healthy, Niemann had a great July and an even better August. Over his last five starts covering 38 innings, Niemann has struck out 36 while walking 10. He’s also posted a 2.61 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. His groundball % is rising (53% over the past two months) and if you dismissed him early in the season, now's the time to take another look. The Jays offense has been simply awful for all of August and things don’t figure to get better here. Play: Tampa Bay –1 +110 (Risking 2 units).


DENVER –5 over Seattle

Kyle Orton and the Broncos offense will play into the third quarter in this one and so will Tavares Jackson and the Seahawks offense. That’s a good thing for Broncs bettors because Orton has been sharp with the first unit, scoring on four of nine possessions and hitting 63% of his passes. The Seattle starters have yet to score, getting shut out in San Diego in two times on the field, then getting shut out in the first half against the Vikings last Saturday night. In fact, the Seahawks offense is a complete mess. They have a weak offensive line that can’t protect Jackson and Jackson with protection isn’t very good. Without it, he has no shot. The third week of preseason is the closest thing to the real thing that we see until the season begins and this edition of the Seachickens is troubling. They have no passing game, no protection and a weak defense. In years past they could count on Matt Hasselbeck to keep them competitive. Tavares Jackson is a huge step down in class. For the Broncs, this is a team with a new attitude under John Fox. They want to play defense and they want to establish the run. They’re getting sharper with each passing preseason quarter and Fox will really try to instill some strong confidence in them with one final “dress rehearsal” and they couldn’t have handpicked a better team to get “sharper” against. The Broncos are confident already and it can only get better here. Play: Denver –5 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).


CALGARY –1 over Montreal

The Als have had the easiest schedule in the league by a wide margin with games against all the dregs, not once but twice. They’ve played SASK twice, the Argos twice, B.C., Hamilton and two weeks ago they played a depleted and reeling Eskies club. Despite that they still have two losses and the only team they’ve played with a .500 record is the TiCats, which they lost to. The Als are simply not as strong as advertised with a defense that can get shredded and the Stamps are more than capable of ripping them apart. The Stamps have won three in a row and five of six. They’re scoring at will with 99 points over their past three games. The scary thing is the Calgary hasn’t even hit their stride yet, especially at home and this is a game that it could all come together. Montreal is dangerous on offense and will likely score some points. That’s not the problem with them. Their problem is keeping Calgary from scoring and thus far the Als have not proven that they can stop anyone and this is by far their toughest assignment to date. Underlay. Play: Calgary –1 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

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JTGPicks
Flat bet system TO WIN 100 dlls

Detroit -201

Cincinnati -147

Milwaukee -190

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MARKET SQUARE EXPERTS
By hrc staff
Categories: VIP Access

Rotation: 278
Pick: Broncos
Line: -4

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MLBPredictions
Kevin

Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox - ATHLETICS +1.5 (+110)

(Note: I'm risking 2 units to win 2.20 units)

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Todays Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks ML -140

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Northcoast

3 Jax +3 -120
3 Miami +3.5

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Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action
30 Dime baseball selection on the Rays as they continoue their weekend series with Toronto at the Rogers Centre. At the time I releose this winner, the odds have Tampa Bay -120 across the board both here in Vegas and offshore. Note that when placing your action, you must list Niemann and Perez as the starting pitchers. Both must start, or this play is VOID!

10 Dime NFL preseason blowout winner is the Denver Broncos at home minus the points over the Seattle Seahawks. At the time I release this winner your way, Denver is -5 across the board both here in Vegas and offshore.

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SHARP MOVES

UNDER 8.5 - Chicubs / Milwaukee

Oakland A´s ML +230

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Winning Points

MLB TOTALS -- SATURDAY

SATURDAY, AUGUST 27

10:10 pm
***BEST BET
OVER 8
Colorado at LA Dodgers
Milwood vs. Billingsley
Dare we suggest going Under in each of the Oakland-Boston games today as they try to squeeze in two games so everyone can get the heck out of there day earlier than scheduled and avoid being swept into the Atlantic Ocean? Too bad yesterday’s Under at Fenway didn’t go as planned, because it creates hesitation. But there is a boomerang situation for Colorado’s Kevin Millwood, who held the Dodgers to 3 runs on 7 hits in 7 innings of work on Sunday. Tonight, he goes right back out there against the same team. The Dodgers are fast learners, as they demonstrated against Josh Collmenter earlier this season. Millwood was a relative stranger to them despite being a 14-year veteran, because he was making only his third MLB start this season and had been in the American League for a few years. Chad Billingsley of the Dodgers has walked 17 batters in his last five starts. He was the losing pitcher against Millwood in the 5-3 game from Sunday and he, too, figures to suffer from the recent exposure.

Saturday, August 27, 2011

DETROIT (Verlander) -200 over MINNESOTA (Pavano)

The Tigers chalked up another win vs. the Twins last night, pushing their record in head to head
play to 10-3 (+$630). They've taken command in the AL Central (8-3, +$555 in their last 11)
and they send the league's best pitcher to the mound tonight. Justin Verlander has been great
this year (+$875, 2.28 ERA in 28 starts) and he should have no trouble dispatching a Minnesota
team that is only 36-54 vs. righties (-$1300 with 3.6 runs per game). Carl Pavano has been a bust
in 2011 (4.54 ERA) and the Twins are heading to the division basement. We'll lay the big price here.

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Khaliagent Sports Free Trial: 49-37 +2.74 units

Milwaukee brewers -185 (medium bet to win 3 units)

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GoodFella | MLB Money Line

dime bet 921 TAM (-108) Hilton vs 922 TOR

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Gambling Geeks

Saturday, August 27th:
BIG: UNDER 7.5 Minnesota/Detroit, 4:10pmET
MED: LA Dodgers -150 ov Colorado, 4:10pmET

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Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Ben lee lost again (2 in a row) on Friday with the "2nd "Chalkest" game that was on the board the Phillies -$210/Marlins.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Indians -$150/Royals.

"Mr Chalk" is 85-54 -$259 for the 2011 MLB regular season.