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9-14-11
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Bill Marzano
Rays at Orioles
Pick: Rays -136
I really like the TB Rays in this game vs the Baltimore Orioles...TB can't afford another loss to Baltimore if they are still going to compete for the Wild Card...I think this is a very favorable matchup for the Rays...W.Davis is 3-2 vs the O's this year and is 4-0 @ Camden Yards in five career starts there...J.Guthrie is just 1-2 vs the Rays this year and 6-10 in his career...the Rays are 7-0 in Davis' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series...7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150...TB is the playComment
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Indian cowboy 7-Unit Play. #916. Take the LA Dodgers -142 over Arizona Diamondbacks (Wednesday @ 10:10pm est).
A bit of juice here to be laid in general for plays that I normally choose, but its one that we can lay for our 3rd straight baseball winner and try to move 17-8 over our last 25 selections. The Dodgers have consistently been beaten by the Diamondbacks over the last few games and I look for LA to rebound a bit at home today with their ace on the mound in Kershaw. Kershaw also has revenge against Arizona from a loss to them earlier this year and where he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings of work. To put that in perspective, after that start, he had given up 4 runs in his next 6 starts which spanned 46 innings. Kershaw, with a 18-5 record and 2.36 ERA certainly remembers the teams that he has lost to and he will likely seek revenge for that loss back in early August. This is not to take anything away from Daniel Hudson who has been dynamic this year for the Dbacks and one of the main reasons why Arizona is in the driver's seat regarding their division. The Dodgers were dominated by Hudson the last time they faced him and I like LA to do well here as the hitters get to see him for the second time around today. Look for the LA to squeeze out enough offense for Kershaw as they take care of everything with one stone today by winning this game with their ace on the mound this evening.Comment
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OC Dooley:
2 UNIT” LATE AFTERNOON UPSET (Twins +140 at Royals in a 4:10 eastern start------Hendricks versus Hochevar): Due to a myriad of injuries to key veterans from both the offense and pitching rotation, this has been a disastrous season for Minnesota who had won a divisional title 7 different times in the past 9 years. Things are so bad for the Twins that they actually trail the lowly Royals by three games in a battle for last-place in the American League Central division which actually makes this late afternoon affair somewhat important. It is easy to see why Minnesota has been cast as a substantial underdog as the team has lost 18 of the past 22 outings and is hitting a horrible .149 during their current road trip. In addition the Twins have unknown rookie Liam Hendricks on the mound but my research indicates that his season statistics are good enough to produce an upset in this spot. Hendricks is getting this major league audition due to 3 different injuries in the Minnesota rotation and did last 7 innings in his debut. But the big news is what Hendricks accomplished at the minor league level where he surrendered only 5 homers all season while posting solid strikeout-to-walk ratio (5’:1). It actually came as a bit of a shock that the Minnesota offense was shutout last night (only 3 hits) considering that the lineup finally got back a pair of ailing veterans. Michael Cuddyer had missed five games (wrist) while Jason Kubel was shelved since last Friday (foot). Both players should be in today’s lineup along with former All Star catcher Joe Mauer who has teed off in his career (9-for-18) when facing Kansas City’s Luke Hochevar. Turning to the database here is an impressive 75-PERCENT SYSTEM (30-10 since 1997 in a battle between a pair of bad teams) which plays ON underdogs like Minnesota immediately after being shutout by a “divisional” opponent. Long term Minnesota has turned a serious ROAD profit (13-4) after batting .175-or-less as a team in a three-game span. In the past three years Kansas City is a disastrous “2-15” after both scoring-and-allowing 4 or less runs in three consecutive contestsComment
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Bob Balfe
Baltimore Orioles +141
Last night, the Rays were trying to inch closer to a wildcard birth and lost with their best pitcher on the mound to the last place Orioles. This shows me that they really do not deserve to be in the playoffs and are more beneficiaries of the Red Sox' recent struggles than their own play. Baltimore is not a bad home team and has the better pitcher on the mound. The Orioles usually play well at the end of the year even when they have nothing to play for. Take Baltimore.Comment
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LEGIT PICKS Dot NET on Facebook
Wednesday 9/14/11 Plays...
HIGHEST RATED 6* RAYS (MONEY LINE)--Listed Pitchers--
---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management Can Lead to Long Term Success---
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Lines2win
1-0 Last Night (+2.14 Units). Sept is now 21-11 (+21.66 Units) and we look to keep it going. Tonight is yet another tough one. Dbacks +124 (2 Units) Lots of folk on the Dodgers tonight, as Kershaw has been damn near unhittable. What the odds makers are forgetting is that Daniel Hudson is 3-0 with a .78 Era over his last 3 games. The Dodgers don't hit well so the first team to get a run or 2 will most likely win this one, and we think that will be the Dbacks.Comment

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