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Free Play Friday
Montreal/Edmonton under 54
Free Play Friday
Montreal/Edmonton under 54
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MLB
Write up
Friday, September 23
Hot pitchers
-- Strasburg is 0-0, 1.29 in three starts this season.
-- Dickey is 3-2, 1.94 in his last six starts.
-- Pomeranz is 1-0, 1.69 in his first two big league starts.
-- Gallardo is 4-2, 3.33 in his last seven starts. Volstad is 0-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
-- Myers is 3-0, 1.48 in his last four starts.
-- Carpenter is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Giants are 4-0 when Surkamp starts (2-0, 3.38).
-- Lilly is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
-- Porcello is 3-1, 3.24 in his last five starts.
-- Price is 3-2, 1.98 in his last eight starts.
-- Harrison is 3-0, 2.41 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts. Gonzalez is 4-1, 3.58 in his last five outings.
Cold pitchers
-- Hudson is 0-3, 6.87 in his last three road starts.
-- Volquez is 1-4, 6.89 in his last six starts. Locke is 0-2, 6.75 in his two starts this season.
-- Hamels is 1-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Dempster is 0-5, 4.71 in his last six starts.
-- Collmenter is 0-2, 5.19 in his last three starts.
-- Leblanc is 2-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.
-- Simon is 0-3, 6.75 in his last five starts.
-- Lester is 0-2, 6.55 in his last couple starts. Garcia is 0-1, 10.95 in his last three starts.
-- Morrow is 1-4, 7.75 in his last six starts.
-- Masterson is 2-3, 5.87 in his last six starts. Pavano is 2-4, 5.72 in his last six starts.
-- Stewart is 1-4, 6.75 in his last six starts. Chen is 1-3, 5.47 in his last four starts.
-- Vasquez is 0-4, 10.61 in his last four starts.
Totals
-- Three of Hudson's last four road starts went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Volquez starts stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Dickey starts stayed under the total.
-- Last four Myers starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Volstad's last eight road starts.
-- Under is 6-3 in Dempster's last nine starts.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Collmenter starts.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Lilly's last five home starts.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Simon's last five starts.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in Lester's last fifteen starts.
-- Five of last six Masterson starts went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Price home starts.
-- Four of five Vasquez starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Stewart starts went over the total.
-- Under is 17-7 in Weaver's last 24 starts.
Hot Teams
-- Washington won 10 of its last 12 games.
-- Astros won three of their last four home games.
-- Brewers won six of their last nine games.
-- Cardinals won 10 of their last 13 games.
-- Giants won nine of their last eleven games. Arizona won three of its last four games.
-- San Diego won five of its last six games. Dodgers won six of their last eight games.
-- Bronx won five of its last seven games.
-- Tigers won 15 of their last 19 games. Orioles won eight of their last ten games.
-- Royals won eight of their last ten games.
-- Mariners won four of their last six road games. Rangers won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels won six of their last eight home games.
Cold Teams
-- Atlanta lost eight of its last 12 games.
-- Pittsburgh lost 11 of its last 14 games. Reds lost three of their last four road games.
-- Phillies lost seven of their last eight games. Mets lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Marlins lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Cubs lost their last three road games, allowing 17 runs.
-- Red Sox are 5-16 so far this month.
-- White Sox lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Minnesota lost 11 of its last 12 games. Cleveland lost six of its last eight home games.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last four games. Toronto lost four of its last five road games.
-- Oakland is 6-10 in its last 16 games.Comment
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Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
UCF/ BYU Under 43.5: As many of you might have guessed itt I am more of an Under player in football than an over player and I know that there has been a lot of points scored this year in Both CFB and the NFL, but that will even out soon enough. Now as I stated in my CFB Tip Sheet games with an OU line of 50 or less have gone 11-27-2 to the Under. Pretty good numbers there. Last year UCF allowed just 17 ppg and 315 ypg on the year and this year they brought back just 4 starters on that side of the ball, so a drop off should have been expected. Not so fast my friends as this Knight's defense is as stout as ever. UCF comes in allowing just 166 ypg and just 7 ppg. Their defense has to be tough as the offense hasn't done very much vs their 2 FBS foes they faced this year, putting up just 20 points and 366 ypg vs them. Last week BYU allowed 54 points to Utah, but that was mostly due to the short field they gave Utah, thanks to 7 TO's. Yes they allowed 481 yards last week, but Utah did hit just 3 or 13 on third down and that will be key here as UCF is not a home run hitting team and will probably have many 3rd down attempts. Overall BYU has allowed 28 ppg, but just 326 ypg. The BYU offense has not been good this year as they can''t run the ball (48ypg) and Heaps has been inconsistent with just 3 TD's and 4 INT's. Both defenses also rank in the top 15 nationally in 3rd down defense and that will come in to play as both offenses should be facing plenty of third downs tonight. I expect a low scoring tight ballgame in Provo tonight. KEY TRENDS: The Under is 8-0 IN UCF's last 8 games in September and 9-1 in their last 10 non-conf games, while the Under is 9-1 in BYU's last 10 games during the first half of the season.
2 UNIT PLAY
UCF +2.5 over BYU: The Knights are off an embarrassing loss to FIU and they really need this one bad. Their defense has been stellar this year, allowing just 166 ypg and 7 ppg, plus they are ranked 1st in the nation in 3rd down defense allowing teams to convert just 20% of their 3rd down attempts. The BYU offense has been inconsistent and QB heaps has more INT's than TD's this year. The BYU defense has struggled vs the run allowing 157 ypg on the ground this year and that give UCCF a big edge as they are primarily a running team and they have put up 223 ypg and 5.0 ypc on the ground this year. UCF will use their ground game and stout defense to come up with a big road win here. KEY TRENDS--- UCF is 17-3 ATS the last 3 years when playing with 6 days or less rest and 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games on grass fields.Comment
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FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Friday
Play Texas (-275) over Seattle (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST
Seattle has lost 26 of the last 37 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have also lost 47 of the last 61 games as a road underdog of +150 or higher. Seattle has lost 71 of the last 108 games vs. division opponents and they have also lost 8 of the last 9 road games when the total posted is between 10 and 10.5 runs.
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Play Detroit (-175) over Baltimore (Bonus)
Play Cleveland (-190) over Minnesota (Bonus)Comment
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David Banks
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars
This week’s Friday night telecast takes us to Mormon Country where the BYU Cougars will look to turn the page on last week’s embarrassing home loss in the “Holy War” when they line up against the upstart Knights of Central Florida; kick-off from LaVell Edwards Stadium is set for 8:00 ET on ESPN.
UCF invades Provo having just had its four game SU & ATS winning streak snapped dating back to last season when it fell to the up and coming Florida international Golden Panthers 17-10 as 6.5-point road favorites. A number of things cost head coach George O’Leary’s kids a win, and though they outgained FIU 300-238, the mistakes were too big to overcome. The 51-yard fumble return for a score killed all the momentum the team built right before the break, and losing the turnover battle 2:0 along with 10 penalties didn’t help matters either. Still, this is a team that’s gotten better with every passing season under the watch of the current coaching regime, and QB Jeff Godfrey is cut of the same cloth Denard Robinson of Michigan is in terms of electrifying with both his arm and legs. UCF has also been fabulous to its backers as visitors covering the closing spread in 13 of its L/16 away from Orlando.
After escaping Oxford with a 14-13 win over the Mississippi Rebels in Week 1, the Cougars ended up landing on the wrong end of a one-point defeat the following week in Austin where they fell to the Texas Longhorns 17-16 as 7.5-point underdogs. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s squad then took on the Utah Utes last week in the first battle between the hated rivals with both school’s not residing in the same conference. If ever a mulligan was issued in college football, BYU would be first in line looking for the do-over. The Cougars turned the pigskin over an unheard of seven times (six fumbles), which allowed Utah to turn what was a close game right before the half into an all out gut-busting laugher. The 54-10 smackdown dropped the Cougars to 1-2 SU & ATS on the year; they’re 5-2 ATS the L/7 times they took the field off a loss of 20+ points the previous week.
Tonight’s gridiron meeting marks the first time these programs have faced one another. UCF is a moneymaking 10-4 ATS when installed underdogs the L/14 times as well as 7-1 ATS its L/8 as road pups. On the flipside, BYU is 6-2 ATS its L/8 non-conference match-ups as well as 13-1 SU its L/14 on Friday nights with the lone defeat coming last season against Utah State. The ‘under’ is a perfect 6-0 in the Knights L/6 games played as well as 5-0 in the Cougars L/5 under the Friday night lights.
The under trend takes a turn tonight as the 2 teams light it up in front of a national audience.
PICK: UCF/BYU OVERComment
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Lines2win
Another NCAAF win last night, We are now 17-8-2 (+19.03 Units) and look to continue our good fortunes in College Footbal. Today we have Byu.
BYU -2 (3 Units) - UCF is a small underdog tonight on the road against a BYU team that is struggling right now. BYU took a beating at the hands of Utah last week at home. They are quite angry and losing 2 in a row at home is not an option. UCF beat a very bad Boston College team who still can't find their way. The line suggests this game will be close, but after crunching some numbers we see BYU covering this one easily.Comment
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