9-25-11

[timbob]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[timbob]

Dr Bob

new Orleans/Houston under the total for 2 stars

[timbob]

Ben Burns (this is the correct play Void the Saints pick)

*10* Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR! (12-4 RUN)

Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

BIG AL

5* Bills/Patriots Under 54
5* Chiefs +15
5* Seahawks +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns: 10* Star BEST BET (his best underdog play) is MINNESOTA

[Mr. IWS]

Root

Perfect play Indy

[Mr. IWS]

Root

Billionaires---Jacksonville +

Millionaires Club--Houston +

No Limit--Minnesota +

PINNACLE—Chicago + underdog game of the Month

Fortune 500--Tampa Bay -

[Mr. IWS]

Lang

80 Dimer

Falcons +1.5 vs. Bucs


40 Dime Double Digit Burial

Saints -4 vs. Texans

20 Dime Underdog Special

Seattle +3.5 vs. Arizona

20 Dime Underdog Special
Radiers +3 vs. Jets

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Spreitzer - SCOTT SPREITZER'S NFL TOTAL ANNIHILATOR! *8-2, 80% Run!
NEW YORK JETS (-2.5, ov40.5)
OAKLAND RAIDERS (+2.5, un40.5)
Sunday, Sep 25 2011, 01:05 PM PST


Take " over "

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 10* Division game of the Year-NFL

10* NFC North Game of the Year is on the Min Vikings at 1:00 ET

Larry Ness' PERFECT STORM-NFL

9* PERFECT STORM is on the Bal Ravens at 4:05 ET

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 10* NFL Total of the Month (8-0, 100% from 2010)
My 10* NFL September Total of the Month is on NYJ/Oak Over at 4:05 ET.

The Jets got a ‘miracle win’ In Week 1 at home vs the Cowboys (thanks to a blocked punt and Romo’s two TOs) and then dominated the Jags 32-3 in Week 2, again at home. The Raiders opened their season with a 23-20 MNF win at Denver and then “let one slip away” in Week 2 at Buffalo, blowing a 21-3 halftime lead in a 38-35 loss (game-winning TD came on a 4th down play with 14 seconds remaining!). This game marks the Jets’ first road game of 2011 and the Raiders’ home opener. Playing away from home is not a daunting task for the Rex Ryan-led Jets, who are 11-5 SU the last two seasons away from home. That doesn’t include the team’s 4-2 road record in the postseason the last two years. New York QB Mark Sanchez has yet to be accepted by Jets fans or the general media but FOUR postseason road wins in his first two years in the league are quite impressive. Sanchez completed 60.3% with four TDs and two INTs (92.7 QB rating) in three road postseason games in 2009 and completed 60.7% in last year’s postseason (again, three games) with a 5-1 ratio and a QB rating of 95.5. Compare those numbers to his two regular-season marks of completion percentages of 53.8 and 54.8 percent with 29 TDs and 33 INTs along with QB ratings of 63.0 and 75.3, and one has to be impressed with his efforts away from New York. The Jets were an excellent running team in Sanchez’s first two seasons, leading the NFL in 2009 with 172.3 YPG and finishing fourth LY with 148.4 YPG (4.4 YPC) but in the first two games of 2011, the Jets have managed a pathetic 73.0 YPG (3.0 YPC) on the ground, which ranks 28th of 32 teams. However, the Jets will face an Oakland rush D which ranks 27th in rushing yards allowed (130.5 per game) and a league-high 7.1 YPC. Overall, Oakland’s D ranks 25th in the NFL this season (395.5 YPG), compared to 322.YPG in 2010. The Raiders ranked second in passing yards allowed last year (189 per game) but are allowing 265 YPG after two games this season. As for Oakland, QB Jason Campbell did little in the Raiders’ 23-20 win on MNF vs Denver in Week 1 but then he completed 23-of-33 for 323 yards (two TDs / 1 INT) vs Buffalo last week. Oakland ranks fourth in rushing yards (160.5 YPG / 4.7 YPC) after two games and in the team's home opener, I expect that the Raiders’ balance should work well vs the Jets D. Bottom line is this. Sanchez is less inhibited away from home (even in the postseason) and just get a look at these numbers. The Jets averaged 25.1 PPG in eight road games last year (includes the team’s 45-3 loss in MNF at New England), while allowing 24.6 PPG. Jets games away from home in last year’s regular season averaged 49.8 PPG (almost a full 10 points higher than the opening number in this game), giving the team an 8-0 (100%) “over mark” last year. I ‘LOVE’ the fact that all EIGHT Jets road games went over last year and I expect this one to ‘fly over’ as well.

Good luck...Larry

Larry Ness' NFL Week 3 Las Vegas Insider (4-1 NFL Week 2)
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the NO saints at 1:00 ET.

The Saints came up a yard shy of having a chance (with a converted two-point conversion) of sending NFL 2011’s first game into OT on a Thursday night at Lambeau Field against the defending champs. In a terrific game, the Saints lost 42-34 to the Packers when rookie Mark Ingram was stopped “dead in in his tracks” on the game’s final play from the Green Bay one-yard line. A score there and New Orleans would have had a chance for OT by converting a two-pointer but it was not to be. In a classic ‘Home Run Derby,’ Brees completed 32-of-49 for 419 yards with three TDs (zero INTs) while Rodgers completed 27-of-35 for 312 yards with three TDs (zero INTs). The Saints returned home in Week 2 and won in wire-to-wire fashion over the Bears, 30-13. Brees threw for a more modest 270 yards vs Chicago but again threw three TD passes and again did not throw an interception. Brees’ 2010 season (his 5th straight of 4,000-plus yards passing, as well as 33 TD passes, one shy of his career-high) was plagued by a career-high 22 interceptions. The fact that Brees has attempted 86 passes in two games without an interception is “big news” for New Orleans fans and “bad news” for the rest of the NFL. I mentioned last week that the fact that Colston is out with a collarbone problem and that Moore would be limited with a groin injury (one catch) wouldn’t matter, as Brees continues to “make do” with whichever receivers line up. Sproles is playing the role of Reggie Bush this season (and he’s a better player) while the RB duo of Ingram (overrated in my opinion) and Thomas is serviceable. The Texans have opened 2-0 and the defense which ranked 30th in yards allowed in 2010 (376.9) while giving up 26.7 PPG, leads the NFL in both categories after two weeks (271.0 YPG / 10.0 PPG). However, Houston’s opponents have been Indy (a real mess right now) plus Miami (the Sparano watch is already on!). Schaub is a quality QB and while he’s completed 70-plus percent in each of Houston’s first two games, he’s thrown for modest yardage totals (220 and 230 yards) with just three TDs and two INTs. He arguably has the NFL’s best WR in Johnson (seven catches and one TD in each of 1st two games TY) plus a dangerous TE in Daniels. LY’s breakout star at RB Arian Foster (1,616 yards / 4.9 YPC / 16 TDs) has been slowed by a hamstring injury (missed Week 1 and had just 33 yards in Week 2) but Brandon Tate looks like TY’s Foster. The Texans drafted Tate in the second round of the April 2010 but then he suffered torn ankle ligaments and a fractured fibula in Houston's first preseason game. That cleared the way for Arian Foster's stunning emergence. Tate ran for 116 yards vs Indy and followed that with 103 yards vs Miami, so Houston has no rushing worries. However, the Houston OL will be tested by a New Orleans D which had six sacks, seven tackles for a loss and 10 QB ‘hits’ vs the Bears. Let’s also note the Saints held Chicago to just 80 yards in the second half. More good news for New Orleans is that DE Smith (5 1/2 sacks LY) is expected back from his suspension this week, as is CB Porter from his preseason injury. The New Orleans D is underrated. The Packers scored just one offensive TD in the second half of Week 1 vs the Saints and Chicago scored just one offensive TD (246 total yards) vs New Orleans, converting 2-of-12 third downs and 0-of-1 4th downs. I just don’t trust Houston, which owns just ONE winning season (9-7 in 2009) since entering the NFL in 2002. Remember the Texans started 2-0 last year (following the team’s lone winning season) and expectations went through the roof. However, a 4-10 finish led to a 6-10 season. I don’t expect the Texans to implode this year but let me add that the Texans entered this season a woeful 21-51 road record in their first nine years. The Saints come in on a nice 10-3-1 ATS run as a non-division home favorite while Houston is on a current run of 2-7 ATS in domes not named Reliant Stadium.

[stephen6432]

10 star total of month from Larry ness is over in jets/raiders game