10-2-11

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

DCI

Sunday, October 2, 2011

CHICAGO 28, Carolina 12
Buffalo 24, CINCINNATI 19
Tennessee 18, CLEVELAND 17
Detroit 26, DALLAS 25
Washington 23, ST. LOUIS 14
PHILADELPHIA 23, San Francisco 22
Minnesota 21, KANSAS CITY 20
New Orleans 33, JACKSONVILLE 17
Pittsburgh 24, HOUSTON 21
N.Y. Giants 27, ARIZONA 17
Atlanta 27, SEATTLE 19
SAN DIEGO 28, Miami 14
GREEN BAY 37, Denver 15
New England 34, OAKLAND 30
BALTIMORE 23, N.Y. Jets 18

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

Don Wallace Sports - EARLY WEEK ALERT

(219) MINNESOTA (-1, un140)
(220) KANSAS CITY (+1, ov40)
Sunday, October 2nd, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
Take: (395) MINNESOTA
Analysis: All the pressure will be on the Matt Cassel this week against an opponent than can rush the passer and stuff running games. With Jamaal Charles, Tony Moeaki and Eric Berry out, the Chiefs offense is depleted of weapons. Dexter McCluster (9 carries, 45 yards) energized the ground last week and should get a lot of chances aside the aging Thomas Jones. Offense has been a major struggle for Donovan McNabb and the Minnesota Vikings too. Despite having perhaps the best running back in football, the points have not come easy thanks to a poor vertical attack. A relatively decent performance from either offense should be enough to grind out a win. I trust the Vikings to provide that against Kansas Citys defense more than the other way around. Kansas City has yet to face a running back like Adrian Peterson, and do not have the personnel to stop him. Dwayne Bowe is a good receiver, but the Viking's defense will do what it can to keep the ball away from him. Did I mention how terrible Kansas City was in the first two weeks. The Vikings squandered a pair of substantial leads in home losses to the Buccaneers and Lions. This time they will finally break through and get it done outside the comforts of the Metrodome. MINNESOTA 27 KANSAS CITY 10

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

THE DAILY BOBBER

Two-game teaser (6 points): Bears -1, Chargers -1.5 (-110)

Analysis: If you followed me this past weekend, you’re probably as happy as I am right now. Including the victory on my MNF teaser, I put down a nice 3-0 record over the weekend. Having said that, I love this play more than all of those. I get an underrated Bears team that is 1-2 but has lost to great teams in New Orleans and Green Bay. On top of that, I get them against an overrated Panthers team that lost to Arizona in Week 1 and struggled to beat a pathetic Jacksonville team at home on Sunday. Teams have now had a few weeks to get a good look at Newton, and believe me, that benefits a veteran defensive coach like Rod Marinelli more than it does a rookie quarterback. I expect this line may even come down a bit due to the widespread Newton-mania, but the line on our next game is already moving up, so there is no time to waste. In the Mia/SD game, I think we get incredible value at 1.5. For starters, San Diego made a number of mistakes which allowed Kansas City to stay in the game last week, and they are going to come out with a strong desire to play better in Week 4. Under Philip Rivers, the Chargers have the 6th ranked passing game through three weeks. Meanwhile, as I stated in my previous column, the Miami secondary is just awful, allowing an average of 311 yards per game thus far, which ranks 30th in the NFL. I expect San Diego to make an effort at stopping the run while putting help over the top on Brandon Marshall, and stifling this Miami offense. Rivers should have a field day, and the Chargers should have no problem covering 1.5 points at home against this 0-3 team. I’m releasing this early so that you can get it in before the lines shift.

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

Vegas Sports Informer

3 Unit #222 Take Chicago -6 over Carolina (1:00p.m., Sunday, Oct 2)

2 Unit #223 Take Over 45 Pittsburgh at Houston (1:00p.m., Sunday, Oct 2)

2 Unit #236 Take Baltimore -3 ½ over New York Jets (8:25p.m., Sunday, Oct 25)

5 Unit #233 Take Over 55 New England at Oakland (4:15p.m., Sunday, Oct 25)
(Total Game of the Weekend)

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

Strike Points

6-Unit Take 'Over' 44 NY Giants at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)
NFL Total of the Month

3.5-Unit Take #220 Kansas City (+1.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

4-Unit Take #222 Chicago (-6) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

Indian Cowboy

4* Lions / Cowboys UNDER

4* Giants / Cardinals OVER

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

Docs Sports Football
NFL

5* Green Bay -12.5
4* Houston -4
4* Cleveland -1
3* Indianapolis +10

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:21 AM

CKO

10 *HOUSTON over Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
*HOUSTON 26 - Pittsburgh 13

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:22 AM

Robert Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take #215 Tennessee (+1.5) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

4-Unit Play. Take #207 Detroit (+1.5) over Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

3-Unit Play. Take #212 Philadelphia (-8.5) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

3-Unit Play. Take #225 Atlanta (-4.5) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

2-Unit Play. Take #209 New Orleans (-7) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

2-Unit Play. Take #223 Pittsburgh (+4) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

3.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 44.0 N.Y. Giants at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.5 Detroit at Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:22 AM

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #133. Take Western Michigan +3 over Connecticut (Saturday @ 3:30pm est).

Western Michigan could very well win this game Outright. Both these teams are 2-2 but if you've noticed the line on this game is set at just -3 for Connecticut which is a bigger named program that Western Michigan. Why such a short line and notice that most of the public is on Conn to win with the short spread at home. For starters, Western Michigan is no slouch. This is a team that played a competent Illinois team on the road and just fell short 20-23 and they were 14 point underdogs going into that game. Prior to that, this team beat Central Michigan 44-14 as 7 point favorites, and although fell short against Michigan in the beginning of the year, they are certainly itching to play another bigger named program. With Conn coming off a nice win against Buffalo on the road 14-3, I can see them having a bit of a let down here at home as Western Michigan will be hungry coming into this game following a loss and Conn will likely find it difficult to get up for this game. Western Michigan is actually the 35th ranked defense in the nation and note they are 3rd in the league in their pass defense. Western Michigan is also a top 50 team when it relates to their passing offense as well. Conn is is ranked 104th in the nation in offense and 14th in the nation in defense, but note that at the end of the day, with Western Michigan having a decent offense and strong defense, I believe this will make the difference.

4-Unit Play. #208. Take Under 46 Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys (Sunday @ 1pm est).

I know most folks think that this game is expected to go over, but I like for this game to go under. Note that 66% of the public is on the Lions here to do well, but the line has not shifted from Dallas being a small favorite at -1. Dallas is slowly becoming a defense minded team and we can still hit the Under as it relates to this team for a couple weeks to come - primarily at home. Dallas because of Ryan is ranked 5th in the league in defense, 2nd in the league in rush defense, and frankly, it is because of this defense keeping them in contests, that has allowed this team to be 2-1 at this point - winning against both Washington and San Fran because of a defense that is getting better by the week. After all, how often could we say last year that Dallas can win a game by scoring just 18 points like they did against Washington on MNF. Yes, Detroit has put up a ton of points but I suspect that Stafford will have some trouble with Ryan's defense and I suspect that Romo, who had trouble against Washington's defense will also have trouble against a hungry Lions defense. This should be a decent public fade and I think this game should dip just under for a win for us.

4-Unit Play. #228. Take Over 44.5 New York Giants vs. Arizona Cardinals (Sunday @ 4:05pm est).

This is the classic active dog over theory that we are accustomed to. We made a similar play with Buffalo/New England Over if you remember and this is based off that principle. Note, that 70% of the public is on the Giants after their big win over Philadelphia and this is a classic let down spot against a team like Arizona who had a rough road trip and has returned home for the first time since the Carolina win. Look for Arizona to be hungry at home as they come off back to back losses and I can see them being an active dog against New York who could let their guard down after two big wins including their win against St. Louis on primetime television and their win against Philadelphia for a game they got up for. I can't see the Giants "getting-up" for this game so to speak and tack that on with the line being as low as it is, look for Arizona to do well and in that same token, look for New York to keep pace as this should be a tight contest and quite possibly could end in a final score to a tune of 27-24 on Sunday afternoon as Arizona could very well bury the public.

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:22 AM

WUNDERDOG (NFL)
1 OF 7
Game: San Francisco at Philadelphia (Sunday 10/02 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 44 -110

It looks like Michael Vick is going to play. Reports are that he practiced Wednesday and the swelling has gone down. With him in the game and trest of the Eagles playmakers, I expect the Eagles to score points here. They have posted 26 or more points in nine of their last 12 games. The Niners offense has been steadily improving. They come into this one averaging 23.3 points per game themselves, and the Philadelphia defense is not their strong suit. That was evident last game when they got pushed around. They haven't yet figured out how to best utilize Nnamdi Asomugha who hasn't adjusted very well to playing zone. The Eagles stop-unit has allowed 25.7 ppg in their last 13 games. The Eagles often find themselves in shootouts vs. winning teams. Under Andy Reid, they are 51-36 OVER vs. winning teams including 35-16-1 in their last 52 such games. The Niners have played six straight to the OVER vs. NFC teams and this series shows 6-1 to the OVER in the last seven meetings. Play the OVER

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:22 AM

OCAL SPORTS

4* Saints -7

4* Vikings -2

4* Falcons -5

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:22 AM

THE WILDCAT(ny post)

TITANS+1.5

BENGALS+3

LAST WEEK 1-1

YTD

5-1-1

**Mr. IWS** · 10-02-2011, 08:22 AM

Colin Cowherd

Chicago
Atlanta
New England
NY Jets

10-2-11

10-2-11

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