10-15-11

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KB Hoops

Top Play

Florida -2

10* Oregon St -3

10* Arizona State +14.5

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Platinum Wins

2* Baylor +9.5

2* Georgia Tech -7

3* LSU -17

2* Clemson -7.5

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Jack ClaytonGuaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 15, 2011
$25.00 Guaranteed: Jack Clayton packages 3 big games on the Saturday college football card, including a 5-Star SEC Shocker of the Month. 3 plays in all for the price of one. Go inside the numbers -- with full analysis -- with Jack Clayton's 3-Pack of College Football Gridiron Trifecta and CA$H 3 times Saturday! 10/13/2011 3* (119) CLEMSON (-8.0, ov53.5)
(120) MARYLAND (+8.0, un53.5)
Saturday, Oct 15 2011, 04:00 PM PST
I don't think much of rebuilding Maryland, especially on defense, and they won't be able to hang with red hot Clemson (6-0 SU/5-0 ATS). They have a new look offensively as Coach Dabo Swinney hired Tulsa's Chad Morris as offensive coordinator. Morris had spent last year running Tulsa's attack, leading the Golden Hurricanes to 41.4 points a game. Sophomore QB Tajh Boyd (15 TDs, 3 INTs) leads the offense that is striking for 35 points, 284 yards passing and 196 rushing. They are off a 36-14 victory over Boston College on Saturday. The Clemson is potent and balanced with junior RB Andre Ellington. 9 starters return on offense, 7 on 'D'. The defense is strong, allowing 21 points per game. Boyd and No. 13 Clemson became the first Atlantic Coast Conference team to beat ranked teams three weeks in a row, and did it resoundingly with a 23-3 victory against No. 11 Virginia Tech. The Hokies had a miserable night offensively, gaining 258 yards. Clemson has converted 53 percent of its third-down opportunities, which has allowed it to keep defenses on the field and suck the life out of its opponents with its relentless, no-huddle attack. Maryland (2-3 SU/2-2 ATS) is in the middle of a perilous stretch in which it must face three top-25 teams over three weeks. The Terps are off a loss to Georgia Tech, 21-16, but it was a bit misleading, down 21-3 after 3 where the offense had just 176 total yards Junior QB Danny O'Brien (4 TDs, 6 INTs) is below average. The defense can't rush the passer and allowed 480 yards (388 passing) to West Virginia and a 38-7 loss to Temple. They were outgained by 42 yards in a 28-3 win over Towson, giving up 161 yards rushing. Good luck stopping Clemson! Play Clemson.

5-Star SEC Shocker: Play Auburn.
(155) FLORIDA (-2.0, ov49.5)
(156) AUBURN (+2.0, un49.5)
Saturday, Oct 15 2011, 04:00 PM PST.
The Florida Gators (4-2 SU/ATS) have all kinds of problems, with junior QB John Brantley (5 TDs, 3 INTs) battling a high ankle sprain and true freshman QB Jeff Driskel on the shelf. Freshman QB Jacoby Brissett started last week, the first Florida freshman quarterback to take his first career snap as a starter, a move made because of injuries to senior John Brantley and freshman Jeff Driskel. Florida was so desperate on offense that had to use the Wildcat. The Gators are 2-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Auburn Tigers (4-2) run an uptempo attack under offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn, averaging 28 points and over 180 yards rushing and passing. Junior QB Barrett Trotter (9 TDs, 6 INTs) is fine and the defense is improving with a 16-13 upset at No. 10 South Carolina. The ground game has 5-9 sophomore RB Michael Dyer and junior RB Onterio McCalebb. The Tigers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 conference games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play Auburn!

4* (175) GEORGIA (-11.0, ov41.0)
(176) VANDERBILT (+11.0, un41.0)
Saturday, Oct 15 2011, 04:00 PM PST
Georgia (4-2 SU/3-2 ATS) has a fine offense, averaging 30 points, 225 yards passing and 163 rushing behind sophomore Aaron Murray (13 TDs, 6 INTs) and talented freshman RB Isaiah Crowell. Isaiah Crowell ran for two touchdowns as Georgia beat Tennessee 20-12 on Saturday night to give coach Mark Richt his 100th career victory. The win keeps the Bulldogs (3-1 SEC) in a two-way tie with South Carolina for first in the Southeastern Conference East Division. The defense (20 ppg allowed) has talent, led by senior LB Marcus Downtin and LBs Jarvis Jones and Alec Ogletree, plus 3 returning starters in the secondary lead a group that was 17th nationally in pass defense a year ago. Georgia has used a no-huddle offense and three-and four-receiver sets, trying to be more uptempo. Aaron Murray threw two touchdown passes in the first quarter, Isaiah Crowell ran for 104 yards and Georgia took advantage of a strong start to beat Mississippi State 24-10. That was against a run-oriented team and they face another one here. Vandy (3-2 SU/2-2 ATS) doesn’t have much offense for new Coach James Franklin. They may average 23 points, but the ground and passing games average less than 135 yards each. Senior QB Larry Smith (3 TDs, 3 INTs) is a better runner than passer, so they’ve turned to junior QB Jordan Rodgers (1 TD, 2 INTs). The last two games they’ve scored 3 and 0 points to SEC teams. The offense didn’t look good with 259 yards and 3 turnovers but they squeezed out a 24-21 win over sloppy UConn. They had a 21-3 loss at South Carolina getting outgained 367-77! The offense had 4 yards rushing and 3 turnovers. The Commodores are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Play Georgia!

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Frank Patron 100,000 play:

Georgia Tech -7

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TEXAS SPORTS WIRE

OKLAHOMA STATE at TEXAS

6th-ranked Oklahoma State (5-0 SU/4-1 ATS) obliterated Kansas last week in a 70-28 home win as -31 point favorites. QB Brandon Weeden tossed four touchdowns in the first quarter as the sixth-ranked Cowboys dominated the Jayhawks. Weeden completed 24-of-28 passes for 288 yards and five touchdowns in less than two quarters before sitting out the rest of the game with matters well in hand. Hubert Anyiam and Justin Blackmon each caught two TDs for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys had a 600-478 edge in total yards and pulled their starters in the second quarter. Okie State led 56-7 at the half and won the turnover battle 4-0. Oklahoma State’s 70 points were the most they have scored in a game in the modern era (since 1915). They beat Southern Illinois 70-7 in 1973. Their 56 points in the first half also matched the most they had scored in the first half, also in that same Southern Illinois game. Texas (4-1 SU/3-2 ATS) was hammered last week in a 55-17 loss to Oklahoma as +11 point ‘dogs. David Ash and Case McCoy split time at quarterback, with neither faring too well. McCoy connected on 9-of-16 throws for 116 yards and Ash completed 11-of-20 passes for 107 yards with a touchdown, but the two were under constant pressure all day from a Sooner defense that registered eight sacks. The Longhorns turned it over five times overall, which resulted in 31 points for Oklahoma. Texas only had 259 yards of offense and the Longhorns’ offense had 17 plays that resulted in negative yardage. The Longhorns are playing with revenge this week after dropping a 33-16 decision to the Cowboys in Austin last year as +4 point home ‘dogs. Oklahoma State rolled up 308 yards in taking a 26-3 lead into halftime and finished with 532 yards to break a 12-year losing streak to Texas. Oklahoma State has been on a nice ATS roll (13-3) and the Cowboys are 21-5-2 ATS when favored between -3½ and -10 points. Okie State is also 44-17-2 ATS as a favorite and 18-7-1 ATS on the road. Conversely, Texas is on a dismal 6-14 ATS run and the Longhorns have underachieved in Austin, going a mere 5-15-1 ATS as a host.

SELECTION: OKLAHOMA STATE

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ALLEN EASTMAN aka ACE ACE

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

6* Take #119 Clemson (-8) over Maryland (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 16)
This is my college football Game of the Month.
Right now the Tigers are as hot as any team in the country and they are the best team in the ACC. They are a very hot team and they have covered the spread in four straight games. This team won by 20 points at Virginia Tech two weeks ago so they aren't afraid of going on the road. And this Maryland team is still struggling with the transition to a new coaching staff. My sources tell me that the team does not like Randy Edsall's approach and a lot of players are very frustrated. That could have something to do with the benching of Danny O'Brien last week and now the Terps have a quarterback controversy on their hands. Maryland's only win in the last month came against FCS team Towson. And Maryland was even outgained in that game. The Terps don't have the offense to keep up with the explosive Tigers in this game and Clemson has an even bigger edge on the defensive side of the ball. Clemson won 31-7 in this matchup last year and they are a much stronger team this season. The Tigers have their focus set on that elusive ACC championship and they understand that they can't take any weeks off. They are a team that is on the rise and Maryland is a team that is still sliding back. I had this number closer to 13 and I think that the line value and the matchup here are just too good to pass up!

2* Take #144 Oregon (-14) over Arizona State (10 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 16)
It is too easy for the public to jump on the points with Arizona State in this game. They are a ranked team and right now are the favorites in the Pac-12 South. So they should be able to play with Oregon, right? Wrong! Oregon is going to lay a big number on ASU in this game! Oregon is 5-1 in the last six meetings and the Sun Devils do not play well when they have to travel to the northern states in this conference (Oregon or Washington). ASU may be 5-1 right now but they are just 2-4 at the window and they have been big underachievers under Dennis Erickson. Oregon will be excited to have ESPN at this game and a national audience and their full talent will be on display. Oregon is 19-6-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.

3* Take #147 LSU (-17) over Tennessee (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 16)
Tennessee had to do everything it could not to get blown out by the Bulldogs at home last week. LSU is much better than Georgia and I think that the Tigers will be ready for a blowout in this game. Tennessee doesn't defend very well and if they get behind early then the LSU defense will take over. That is exactly what I see happening here. LSU only won 16-14 against Tennessee last year so they won't be taking them lightly. The Tigers have also won their last three games by an average of 28 points and just got done beating Florida by 30. I think that they will win this one by even more than that and Tennessee just isn't ready to compete at this level.

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RANDY BRUCE

5 dimes Rangers -1.5 RL, +145

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Brian Mac's Friday Night Hot Side, 4-1 this year, is on LSU.

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Cappers Access

Penn st -12
Oklahoma st -7
Auburn +2
Northwestern +6-

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Platinum Plays

Premier Pick (Top Play)
Utah Ures
Oregon Ducks

500K Play (Medium Play)
Baylor
Clemson

Regular Plays
Bowling Green
Mich State
Concy
Missouri
Wake Forest
Florida U
Georgia
Kansas St

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Total 4U

Top Plays
LSU OVER
Mich UNDER
Stanford UNDER

Regular Plays
Ohio St OVER
Okla St OVER
Utah U OVER
Baylor UNDER
Clemson OVER
Florida UNDER

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DOUBLE DRAGON NCAA 10-15 (6-1 Last Week)

OKLAHOMA STATE -7 (-120) at texas
KANSAS STATE +3.5 at texas tech
BAYLOR +8.5 at texas a&m
GEORGIA TECH -7 (-120) at virginia
WISCONSIN -40 vs indiana
BYU +3 at oregon state
ALABAMA -27.5 at mississippi
STANFORD -21 at washington state
OKLAHOMA -35 at kansas
UTAH STATE -3 at fresno state

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RANDY BRUCE

5 dimes Rangers -1.5 RL, +145

NCAA Football:
5*Georgia Tech -7
5* LSU -17
5* Stanford -21
5* Oregon -14
10* Oklahoma State -7
10* Georgia -11

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Trusted Picks

Sides:
Wisconsin -40
LSU -16.5
Florida St -13.5
Baylor +9.5
South Carolina -3
Alabama -25
South Florida -7

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NORM HITZGES

DOUBLE PLAYS
Oklahoma State
South Florida

SINGLE PLAYS
SMU
Boise State
Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh
Western Michigan
Utah State
Ohio
Nevada
Marshall
Tulsa
Michigan State