10-15-11

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  • timbob
    Regular user
    • Aug 2008
    • 7154

    #46
    Dom Chambers Today's winners ...

    My 80 Dime play in on South Florida to cover on the road againat Connecticut. Looking at the sports books in Las Vegas at 1 a.m., South Florida is layaing seven points. If the line goes to 7 ½, buy the half-point. You do not want to get burned by the hook. My 30 Dime play is on Wyoming at home to cover against UNLV. The books are showicng the Cowboys a 10 1/2-point favorite.

    ANALYSIS
    South Florida at Connecticut: South Florida was on a roll after beating Notre Dame, but then went to Pitt and got smacked in the mouth. They were routed 44-17. They had a bye week, so that loss has sat with them for two weeks.

    The Bulls will be lookang to get back on track after that last road trip.

    South Florida has the size and speed to dominate Connecticut. The Huskies rank 101 in the nation offensaively. Look for the Bulls’ defense to have a good day and Connecticut to have a hard time trying to get anything going.

    South Florida’s defense allows only 22.4 points a game and 355 yards total offense. Those numbers are skewed by the beating the Bulls took at the hands of Pitt. Their defense is a little better than those numbers indicate. Connecticut is nothing to get excited about on offense. They average only 23.3 points a game and 331 total yards on offense.

    The big edge for South Florida will be their offense. Behind quarterback B.J. Daniels and runncng back Darnell Scott, the Bulls average 39.8 points a game and 504 total yards on offense. In UConn’s last three games, they have given up an average of 450 total yards and 28 points a game.

    If the Bulls are successful on offense, the Huskies will not be able to keep pace. They just do not have the horses to put up big numbers, offensively.

    In UConn's six games, they only covered once. That was the 17-3 win over Buffalo. They lost four of the five games and did not cover any of those games. The Bulls have covered three of the five games this season so far.

    UNLV at Wyoming: UNLV could very well be one of the worst teams in the country. They are coming off an embarrassang loss to Nevada where it completed only one pass and ran for just over 100 yards.

    The Rebels did beat Hawaii earlier this season, but they did that because the Warriors committed four turnovers and gave the Rebels short fields to work with.

    Wyoming will not have those turnover problaems and the Rebels are going to have to actually have some offense to put points on the board. Wyoming only averages 1.4 turnovers a game.

    UNLV at this point can’t put up many points and will not be able to keep pace with Wyoming. The Rebels are averaging only 16 points a game and only 8 points for road games. They are giving up 41.6 points a game.

    Wyoming’s stats are a little better. They are averaging 28.2 points a game, while giving up 34 points a game and only 26.7 for home games.

    Neither team is outstanding, but the Cowboys are a little more respectcble than the Rebels.

    For UNLV, they have had three road games and lost by an average of 49-8.

    Jeff Benton Saturday's Action
    60 Dime Rivalry Lock on Michigan State over Michigan. The Spartans are a 3-point favarite in this one both here in Vegas and offsahore.

    10 Dime Bonus Blowout is Penn State minus the double-digits at home agcinst the visiting Purdue Boilermakers. The Nittany Lions are 12-point favorites as I type up this release both here in Vegas and offshore.

    ANALYSIS # 1
    I know a ton of folks are on the Brady Hoke bandwagon, as Hoke has rallied the Wolverines to a 6-0 start, but here is where a wheel falls off the wagon, as this is only Michigan's second road game of the season, and it is a major step up from their road game at Northwestern last Saturday.

    Michigan State was off last week, and their last game was that 10-7 defansive blanket that they threw down on Ohio State in Columbus on October 1st. Old Sparty has a defense that can match that of Michigan, and they have a quarterback in Kirk Cousins that knows a thing or two about winning against the Wolverines, as MSU is on three game series win and cover streak, and they are also 8-3 agaainst the spread the last eleven series meetings at Spartan Stadium.

    Michigan is just 3-7 as the road undcrdog the past three seasons, and while it is true that mark was compiled under the departed Rich Rodriguez, my jury is still out on Denard Robinson piercing this Spartans defense on their home turf.

    State's straight up home win streak stands at ten in a row, and this price is low enough for me to believe that a win today will also produce a cover. Spartans the call in this rivalry game.

    ANALYSIS # 2

    I look at the line on this Purdue-Penn State game, and all I can think is how the linemakers are baiting you into backing the Boilers with what looks like a very generous spot.

    I say very generous because Penn State's offense has been held to 16-points or fewer in four of their six games to date. That's OK, because the Nittany's have a defense that is allowing just over ten points per game, and this game will represent Purdue's toughest challenge. The Boilermakers lone "step up" game was against Notre Dame, and the Irish tallied 38-points and racked up well over 500 total yards of offense in that game.

    I have a feeling the Nittany Lions will be able to up their anemic point totals in this game. Penn State is on a 7-2 series spread run, and they have covered 4 of the last 5 meetings at Beaver Stadium. Penn State covers again.

    Lay the double-digits.
    Last edited by timbob; 10-15-2011, 08:58 AM.

    Comment

    • timbob
      Regular user
      • Aug 2008
      • 7154

      #47
      Baseball Crusher
      Play of the Day:

      Detroit + Texas UNDER 9

      Comment

      • timbob
        Regular user
        • Aug 2008
        • 7154

        #48
        Hockey Crusher
        Play of the Day:

        Philadelphia -140 over Los Angeles

        Comment

        • timbob
          Regular user
          • Aug 2008
          • 7154

          #49
          Football Crusher
          Play of the Day:

          Illinois -3 over Ohio St

          Comment

          • timbob
            Regular user
            • Aug 2008
            • 7154

            #50
            FantasySportsGametime

            MLB Baseball Saturday

            Play Texas (-145) over Detroit (Top MLB Play)
            Starts at 8:00 PM EST

            Derek Holland has won 14 of the last 17 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has also won 12 of the last 16 games when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175. Derek Holland has won 9 of the last 13 games coming off a team loss and he has also won 13 of the last 18 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.


            --------------------------------------------------------------


            NHL Hockey Saturday

            Play Washington (-230) over Ottawa (Top NHL Play)

            Comment

            • timbob
              Regular user
              • Aug 2008
              • 7154

              #51
              Saturday Comps.(so far)
              Winner Line-Toledo
              OTM-North Carolina
              Del Carson-Navy
              "Bury"(his clients)Corrigan-North Texas
              Kevin Kennedy-Alabama

              Comment

              • timbob
                Regular user
                • Aug 2008
                • 7154

                #52
                SB Professor

                12 PM EST
                Purdue +12*

                3 PM EST
                Duke +12*

                7 PM EST
                Vanderbilt +11*

                10 PM EST
                Fresno St. +3*

                Rest of Games:
                Bowling Green +8
                Baylor +8.5
                Mississippi St. +3
                UNLV +10.5
                Eastern Michigan +13
                Virginia +7
                Northern Illinois +1.5
                Texas +7.5
                Connecticut +7.5
                Wake Forest +6.5
                Maryland +8
                Auburn +2

                Comment

                • timbob
                  Regular user
                  • Aug 2008
                  • 7154

                  #53
                  Parlay King

                  6pt teaser today on Florida State -6, Virginia +13, and Tennessee +23.5.

                  Comment

                  • timbob
                    Regular user
                    • Aug 2008
                    • 7154

                    #54
                    PowerPlayWins

                    SOUTH CAROLINA(-3)
                    GEORGIA TECH(-7)
                    WESTERN MICHIGAN(-1)

                    Comment

                    • timbob
                      Regular user
                      • Aug 2008
                      • 7154

                      #55
                      Rainman


                      10* LSU
                      5* OKLAHOMA ST
                      5* CINCINNATI
                      3* TOLEDO
                      3* FLORIDA ST
                      1* NORTHWESTERN
                      1* WASHINGTON

                      Comment

                      • timbob
                        Regular user
                        • Aug 2008
                        • 7154

                        #56
                        PhD Picks

                        NCAAF
                        Penn State O41
                        Bowling Green U60.5
                        Pittsburgh O46
                        Michigan State O47.5
                        Cincinnati O48.5
                        North Carolina O53.5
                        Rutgers O53.5
                        Duke O57
                        Virginia O55.5
                        Kent State O41
                        Northern Illinois U68.5
                        Texas U63.5
                        Connecticut U47.5
                        Oregon State O51
                        Florida Atlantic O43.5
                        Mississippi O45.5
                        Wake Forest O50
                        Maryland U53.5
                        Vanderbilt O41
                        Texas Tech O60
                        Memphis O56.5

                        North Carolina -2.5
                        Georgia Tech -7
                        Virginia Tech -6
                        Duke +12
                        Clemson -8

                        MLB
                        Texas -150

                        Comment

                        • timbob
                          Regular user
                          • Aug 2008
                          • 7154

                          #57
                          APPLE HANDICAPPERS
                          James Red-Hot-Dotson
                          3* Oklahoma-35.5
                          3* Michigan/Michigan St Under 48.5
                          -------------------------------

                          Comment

                          • timbob
                            Regular user
                            • Aug 2008
                            • 7154

                            #58
                            Sports Gambling Hotline

                            Today their Twitter Consensus Play is on Texas A+M -8. They are 29-14 on these Twitter plays for the year.

                            Free Play is on Navy +3.5.

                            Comment

                            • timbob
                              Regular user
                              • Aug 2008
                              • 7154

                              #59
                              Mike Hook

                              3* Fresno St. 3.5 (-110)
                              1* Wake Forest 7.0 (-110)
                              1* Michigan St. -1.5 (-110)
                              1* Vanderbilt 11.0 (-110)
                              1* Connecticut 8.0 (-110)
                              1* Tennessee 17.0 (-110)
                              1* Maryland 8.5 (-110)
                              1* Kansas 35.5 (-110)
                              1* New Mexico St. 0.0 (-110)
                              1* Duke 13.5 (-110)
                              1* Indiana 40.0 (-110)
                              1* New Mexico 30.0 (-110)
                              1* Colorado St. 32.0 (-110)
                              1* Washington St. 21.0 (-110)

                              Comment

                              • timbob
                                Regular user
                                • Aug 2008
                                • 7154

                                #60
                                STU FEINER

                                Private Plays
                                Northern Illinois +1.5

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