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WEST CAPPER
(directly from the west capper email)
MLB YTD: +92.4 UNITS
POSTSEASON SO FAR: 17-5 (+26.05 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Tigers to win series vs Yankees +120 (WINNER, +4.40 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Brewers to win series vs DBacks -170 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Rays/Rangers under 8.5 runs (LOSS, -2.2 UNITS)
OCTOBER 3: 1* Rays/Rangers over 8 runs (LOSS, -1.1 UNITS)
OCTOBER 3: 2** Tigers -125 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 4: 1* Rays -105 (LOSS, -1.05 UNITS)
OCTOBER 4: 2** Rangers/Rays under 8.5 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 6: 2** Tigers/Yankees under 9.5 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 7: 1* Brewers/Dbacks under 7.5 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 7: 1* Cardinals/Phillies under 7 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 10: 3*** Rangers -140 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 10: 1* Rangers/Tigers over 9 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 11: 1* Tigers -140 (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 11: 2** Tigers/Rangers under 9 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 12: 3*** Rangers -120 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 12: 2** Cardinals/Brewers over 7 runs (PUSH)
OCTOBER 13: 3*** Tigers -150 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Rangers/Tigers under 7 runs (LOSS, -1.10 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Brewers +120 (WINNER, +1.20 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Brewers/Cardinals under 8.5 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 14: 1* Cardinals -140 (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 14: 1* Brewers/Cardinals under 7.5 runs *LOSS, -1.10 UNITS)
TIGERS @ RANGERS
Tonight’s game is a rematch from game two in Arlington, in which we had 3*** on the Rangers. Derek Holland never really found his command, as he fell behind early but Texas rallied to an extra inning 7-3 win. Texas should be looking at today’s game like an elimination game, because if they allow this series to go seven games, they will face a large disadvantage with Doug Fister on the mound. The righty has been the best pitcher in the AL down the stretch, so the Rangers need to win today and avoid him at all costs if they want to advance to the WS.
Holland goes for the Rangers, looking to control his nerves and get ahead of hitters. The lefty threw incredibly well his last five starts, but has struggled with command in the postseason. He lasted only 2.2 IP in game two and walked four, but this is a guy who was 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA in September. His home numbers (8-2, 4.69 ERA at home vs a 8-3, 3.39 ERA on the road) are worse than his road numbers, but that is typical of most Rangers pitchers, as the Ballpark at Arlington is very hitter friendly. The Tigers didn’t face Holland in the regular season, so the brief history the Tigers hitters have is from game two, when Holland wasn’t really Holland. Delmon Young (6-for-12, 2 HR) is heating up and hits Holland really well. Over his last nine starts of the regular season, Holland struck out over a batter an inning, yet in the postseason he only has two strikeouts in nine IP this postseason while walking six.
Justin Verlander saved the Rangers season and bullpen in game five, so they should have the services of Benoit and Valverde to back up starter Max Scherzer. Scherzer has some of the best stuff in the game, but really struggled on the road this season, posting a 5.23 ERA. All of his postseason starts this year have come on the road, and he threw well in game two in Arlington. Elvis Andrus (2-for-15) and the banged up Josh Hamilton (2-for-12) have really struggled against Scherzer, while Beltre and Kinsler have respectable numbers against the righty.
The major difference in game five as opposed to game two is the Tigers offense. Demon Young was banged up in game two, but he finally looked healthy last game and their offense is playing with confidence. So while this was a 3*** (it was a 4**** if Delmon Young sat out), today’s game will be smaller. The Rangers better hope to wrap this series up tonight, because if they don’t, I think they are in a lot of trouble tomorrow.
I think Holland calms his nerves a little knowing this isn’t a “win-or-go-home” situation for the Rangers. The lefty has premium stuff, and as long as he can get ahead of hitters I think the Rangers advance. Scherzer has pitched well this post season, but the Rangers hitters are much more familiar with Scherzer than the Tigers are with Holland. Both bullpens are fully rested, so you should give the advantage to the Rangers. Texas will close this series out and wrap up a trip to the World Series tonight. Take the Rangers (-145) for 2** units and the over 9 runs for 1* unit.
(directly from the west capper email)
MLB YTD: +92.4 UNITS
POSTSEASON SO FAR: 17-5 (+26.05 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Tigers to win series vs Yankees +120 (WINNER, +4.40 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Brewers to win series vs DBacks -170 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
SEPTEMBER 30: 2** Rays/Rangers under 8.5 runs (LOSS, -2.2 UNITS)
OCTOBER 3: 1* Rays/Rangers over 8 runs (LOSS, -1.1 UNITS)
OCTOBER 3: 2** Tigers -125 (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 4: 1* Rays -105 (LOSS, -1.05 UNITS)
OCTOBER 4: 2** Rangers/Rays under 8.5 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 6: 2** Tigers/Yankees under 9.5 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 7: 1* Brewers/Dbacks under 7.5 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 7: 1* Cardinals/Phillies under 7 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 10: 3*** Rangers -140 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 10: 1* Rangers/Tigers over 9 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 11: 1* Tigers -140 (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 11: 2** Tigers/Rangers under 9 runs (WINNER, +2.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 12: 3*** Rangers -120 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 12: 2** Cardinals/Brewers over 7 runs (PUSH)
OCTOBER 13: 3*** Tigers -150 (WINNER, +3.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Rangers/Tigers under 7 runs (LOSS, -1.10 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Brewers +120 (WINNER, +1.20 UNITS)
OCTOBER 13: 1* Brewers/Cardinals under 8.5 runs (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 14: 1* Cardinals -140 (WINNER, +1.00 UNITS)
OCTOBER 14: 1* Brewers/Cardinals under 7.5 runs *LOSS, -1.10 UNITS)
TIGERS @ RANGERS
Tonight’s game is a rematch from game two in Arlington, in which we had 3*** on the Rangers. Derek Holland never really found his command, as he fell behind early but Texas rallied to an extra inning 7-3 win. Texas should be looking at today’s game like an elimination game, because if they allow this series to go seven games, they will face a large disadvantage with Doug Fister on the mound. The righty has been the best pitcher in the AL down the stretch, so the Rangers need to win today and avoid him at all costs if they want to advance to the WS.
Holland goes for the Rangers, looking to control his nerves and get ahead of hitters. The lefty threw incredibly well his last five starts, but has struggled with command in the postseason. He lasted only 2.2 IP in game two and walked four, but this is a guy who was 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA in September. His home numbers (8-2, 4.69 ERA at home vs a 8-3, 3.39 ERA on the road) are worse than his road numbers, but that is typical of most Rangers pitchers, as the Ballpark at Arlington is very hitter friendly. The Tigers didn’t face Holland in the regular season, so the brief history the Tigers hitters have is from game two, when Holland wasn’t really Holland. Delmon Young (6-for-12, 2 HR) is heating up and hits Holland really well. Over his last nine starts of the regular season, Holland struck out over a batter an inning, yet in the postseason he only has two strikeouts in nine IP this postseason while walking six.
Justin Verlander saved the Rangers season and bullpen in game five, so they should have the services of Benoit and Valverde to back up starter Max Scherzer. Scherzer has some of the best stuff in the game, but really struggled on the road this season, posting a 5.23 ERA. All of his postseason starts this year have come on the road, and he threw well in game two in Arlington. Elvis Andrus (2-for-15) and the banged up Josh Hamilton (2-for-12) have really struggled against Scherzer, while Beltre and Kinsler have respectable numbers against the righty.
The major difference in game five as opposed to game two is the Tigers offense. Demon Young was banged up in game two, but he finally looked healthy last game and their offense is playing with confidence. So while this was a 3*** (it was a 4**** if Delmon Young sat out), today’s game will be smaller. The Rangers better hope to wrap this series up tonight, because if they don’t, I think they are in a lot of trouble tomorrow.
I think Holland calms his nerves a little knowing this isn’t a “win-or-go-home” situation for the Rangers. The lefty has premium stuff, and as long as he can get ahead of hitters I think the Rangers advance. Scherzer has pitched well this post season, but the Rangers hitters are much more familiar with Scherzer than the Tigers are with Holland. Both bullpens are fully rested, so you should give the advantage to the Rangers. Texas will close this series out and wrap up a trip to the World Series tonight. Take the Rangers (-145) for 2** units and the over 9 runs for 1* unit.
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