Saturday 7/6/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:50 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays - 7/6/24

July 6, 2024

Jeff Siegel’s National Prime Plays
Saturday, July 6, 2024

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Belmont at the Big A – Sixth Race – Post: 3:08 ET
Prime Play: Legend of Time (GB)

Forecast: This year’s edition of the Belmont Derby Invitational-G2 projects to have a slow early, fast late race shape that is likely to prove challenging to Endlessly, the 6/5 morning line favorite. . The M. McCarthy-trained colt is certain to enjoy the return to grass (he’s a two-time graded stakes winner on turf) but without a significant turn of foot it’s possible he’ll be caught for speed when the pressure is turned on straightening for home. So, let’s look elsewhere. Legend of Time (GB) , a five-time winner from just seven career starts for the powerful Godolphin/Appleby outfit, quickened off moderate splits to win the Pennine Ridge S.-G2, over the local lawn last month and not much more will be needed for a repeat score. The son of Sea the Stars lands the favorable rail and is reunited with regular jockey W. Buick, who already has won four races under this talented sophomore. He’s listed as the second choice at 5/2 and that seems about right.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Belmont at the Big A – Eighth Race – Post: 4:11 ET
Prime Play: 5-Millikin (2-1)

Forecast: Millikin is extremely fast on figures and lands the cozy outside draw while facing a field without much early speed in this year’s edition of the John A. Nerud S.-G2 for older sprinters. A daylight winner in his last two starts, most recently over this track and distance in an overnight race last month, the son of Violence faces his toughest test to date but given the projected race flow it’s easy to foresee the R. Brisset-trained colt establishing the lead without pressure and then dominating to the wire. He’s listed at 2-1 on the morning line and will offer value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics if you can get it.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Belmont at the Big A – Ninth Race – Post 4:42 ET
Prime Play: 7-She Feels Pretty

Forecast: Go back and watch the replay of last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Filly Turf S.-G1 and you’ll probably agree that third place finisher She Feels Pretty deserved to win. Victimized by her outside 11 post position, the daughter of Karakontie-Jpn was forced to race very wide without cover every step of the way before understandably paying the price in the final 50 yards and winding up third, beaten just a half-length, behind Hard to Justify. Worth noting is that the runner-up in the race, Porto Fortuna-Ire, wound up second in the English 1000 Guineas this spring and then won the Coronation S.-G1 at Royal Ascot. The form was further franked when this Cherie DeVaux-trained filly cruised to the easiest of victories upon her return in the listed Hilltop S. at Pimlico on Preakness Day in mid-May while earning a career top number. Already a Grade-1 winner (last year at Woodbine in the Natalma S.-G2), she should prove very tough to beat in this year’s edition of the Belmont Oaks-G1

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Prairie Meadows – Eighth Race – Post 9:08 CT
Prime Play: 3-Henro (12-1)

Forecast: Henro is untested in stakes company and around two turns but offers a reasonable price chance at or near his morning line of 12-1 line in this year’s edition of the Iowa Derby. It’s entirely possible that the sophomore son of Collected is nothing more than a late-running sprinter but in his first try over a distance of ground the Chris Hartman-trained gelding gets a chance to prove otherwise. His sprint numbers continue to rise with each outing and in his most recent start – a fast finishing second with a sharp gallop-out in a hot allowance extended sprint race at Churchill Downs last month - he produced a strong and steady late kick that produced a career top 92 Beyer speed figure, one that makes him a major player despite the class hike. We’ll anticipate a mid-pack early position before arriving at the moment of truth at the quarter pole, at which time he’ll have every chance to produce a winning late kick under regular pilot R. Bejarano.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:51 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Pick 4 Analysis

July 6, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

The Meadowlands has an 11-race card. The headliners are the Graduate Series Finals for Trotters and Pacers and both races have a $230,000 purse. Also, the Meadowland Pace Eliminations roll in Races 7 & 8. The 0.50 Pick 4 starts in Race 8, it has a $50,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8 (9:22 PM EST)

2-McCrunch (8-1)-Just missed in last by a nose against older and Nancy Takter should have the Captain Crunch colt primed for a big try. Does good work at M1 (6-5-1-0). Doesn't have the pedigree or resume of some others and didn't race at 2. But Yannick Gingras will have him forwardly placed and his best race might be good enough to surprise at a nice mutuel.
5-Nijinsky (5/2)-Has been facing top competition and has won 5 straight. Deserved all of those wins and the talented, versatile colt is the one to beat. The only question mark is the Mohawk invader has never raced at the Big M.
6-Funtime Bayama (3-1)-My view was this 3-year-old raced better than the line looked when it finished 3rd in the NA Cup. Likes to race on the lead and will be making its 1st start for the Andrew Harris barn after a private sale. Can down this group with the right trip. Dexter Dunn needs to race at the top of the stack and not get bottled up down the lane. If so, he could reward the new owners with a big payday at first asking.

Race 9 (9:48 PM EST)

2-Chapercraz (10-1)-Raced well to come 2nd to the 5-Winner's Bet in a quick mile (149.3). The Burke trainee is 0-9 at M1 and 0-9 on the year, usually that wouldn't attract my allegiance. But this is 2nd time Lasix, could improve from the last start and may win off a suck-around trip.
3-Hasty Bid (3-1)-The Takter entry has looked great in the Graduate series and has won easily in the last 2 starts. JMac, the usual pilot should work another efficient trip and if so would be tough to down.
5-Winner's Bet (2-1)-Has won both Graduate Series races rather easily like the one above. Has a big chance tonight, benefits from being more versatile than others. Has gone off as a big odds-on choice in the last 2 races, will be bet again and won't offer any value.

Race 10 (10:14 PM EST)

1-Huntinthelastdolar (3-1)-Worked to get on the point last week but was put into the pocket by #9-Ken Hanover and they finished that way. The beaten chalk has a clear plan in mind. Gingras will be looking to make every call a winning one. The pedal will be down until he hits the wire or runs out of gas.
6-Voukefalas(9/2)-The Mike Russo 4-year-old has hit the board in 17 of 20 at M1 with 9 pictures. That said, often seems to leave me wanting more. Does have the ability to get the jump on some who drew inside. Recent form has been fine but my gut says a large effort is coming at a square price.

Race 11 (10:40 PM EST)

6-Oakwood Ardan IR (2-1)-The program chalk has been dominant at the Big M winning 9 of 10 starts and missing by a neck in the other race. Comes into this off a rough start finishing 5th after drawing the 8-hole at Mohawk in the Gold Cup and has been idle since 6-15. Can close like a jet and Todd McCarthy should have in striking range at the top of the lane.
7-It's My Show (4-1)-Comes off a sharp try in a race that Scott Zeron may have not been overly concerned with winning. Was used hard into a 26.1 opening quarter to land on top. Then stayed inside in a quick mile and rallied nicely to finish 2nd with a 26.1 final panel. Hasn't had 2 strong starts in a row this year, but will look for that tonight and has the gate speed to be put in play early on.

1.00 Pick 4

2,5,6/2,3,5/1,6/6,7
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:51 AM

Scott Shapiro: Belmont at the Big A Saturday Pick 5

July 6, 2024 | By 1/ST BET

Exciting times on the New York Racing Association calendar with the Saratoga meeting right around the corner. However, there are a couple of big days left at the Belmont at the Big A spring meeting, including a stakes-laden card on Saturday that includes a late Pick 5 sequence that commences in Race 7.

In conjunction with the big day of racing on Saturday in the Big Apple, Xpressbet and 1/ST Bet are giving horseplayers a chance to earn a share of two-million rewards points up for grabs. Simply register for the promotion and cash in if you are able to connect on all five races. As often is the case with these no-brainer promotions, I will be jumping in. Here are my thoughts:

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 7:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 4 Vespucci
Backups: 2 Camm’ Duke; 1 Big Night Out

Forecast: Saturday’s Late Pick 5 sequence gets rolling with a conditional $40k claimer at seven-furlongs over the main track where #4 Vespucci is listed as the even-money favorite in his first start in for a tag for trainer Patrick Reynolds. Reynolds is winless in seven starts over the last 45 days and this colt underwhelmed as the 2-1-favorite against allowance foes at Monmouth Park but this is certainly a decrease in competition from his last race, where he chased undefeated Little Ni around the racetrack. I am slightly concerned that the Empire Maker colt will have too much to do late given a likely moderate early tempo but he simply has been faster than these thus far in his career.

If you are trying to beat the even-money favorite, perhaps #2 Camm’ Duke can bounce back after a stalk and fade effort against better on June 6th. With a clean break, Dylan Davis should have the speed to make the lead from his inside draw. #1 Big Night Out is also an intriguing option. He was outrun in his first start off the claim for Oscar Barrera III back in early June but he cuts back to a sprint, moves back to the main track, and retains the services of Irad Ortiz Jr. The Into Mischief gelding’s lone victory came over this surface.

Race 8: John A. Nerud (G2)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 1 Everso Mischievous
Backups: 5 Mullikin

Forecast: This year’s John A. Nerud drew a compact group of five and much like the lower-level event to kick this late Pick 5 off, this 7-furlong dash lacks significant early speed. This should bode well for #1 Everso Mischievous who shook off the rust with a perfect trip workmanlike win against allowance foes at Churchill Downs on May 31. The Into Mischief colt draws the rail and has the tactical speed in this field to be prominent early under jockey Tyler Gaffalione. I like his chances to earn his second graded stakes win and earn his second victory overall at the Big A.

#5 Mullikin has the talent to win this and the speed to make the lead from the outside but he has often struggled to get out of the gate. That said, the Violence colt has done little wrong thus far winning 3 of 7 to date and will be tough to beat if he is able to avoid playing catch up early under Flavien Prat.

Race 9: Belmont Oaks Invitational (G1)
Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 7 She Feels Pretty
Backups: None

Forecast: She Feels Pretty heads into her fifth lifetime start a wide voyage in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf away from being a perfect 4 for 4 to kick off her career. The Karakonite filly came off the bench in the Hilltop at Pimlico back in mid-May and showed no signs of rust crushing a field of seven by nearly six lengths in the end under regular rider John Velazquez. With seven weeks since her first start of 2024, the Lael Stables filly should be set for her career best in the Belmont Oaks Invitational (G1) as she tries longer than eight-furlongs for the first time in her career. Single city.

Race 10:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 2 Torigo
Backups: 7 Capture the Flag

Forecast: #4 Alexis Zorba makes her first start since mid-May and second consecutive at one-mile over this course after setting the pace in a similar spot for trainer Mike Maker. In a vaccum, that effort was forgivable since the Zoustar colt went quick but overall he is very tough to trust as the 2-1-morning line choice. He is 1 for 11 in his career with six seconds and has really struggled to finish off races regardless of distance. I am willing to take a stand against him in this first-level allowance event in search of some separation within the sequence.

Unfortunately, I did land on the second choice in #2 Torigo who exits the same race as Alexis Zorba over this course on May 18. In that third-place effort, the Munnings gelding worked out a great mid-pack trip under Kendrick Carmouche but was unable to get by the top two who got the jump on him. A two-month break since that solid run at 7-1 is a bit concerning but trainer Danny Gargan is pulling the right strings of late evidenced by his 21%-win rate and $2.25 ROI in 39 starts over the last 90 days. I will also include a wild card in #7 Capture the Flag. The well-bred Quality Road colt has not gotten back to the winner’s circle since his debut victory at Saratoga in July of 2022 but he got a good prep in for new trainer Todd Pletcher last month. Saturday is likely the day If he is ever going to turn things around for his high-profile connections.

Race 11:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 8 Prospero
Backups: 6 Side Eye

Forecast: The 11-race card concludes with a maiden special weight event at six-furlongs over the Outer Turf where I will take a swing against the even-money Chad Brown/Klaravich Stable coupled entry of #1 Creditworthy and #1A Research Results. They can win but I prefer #8 Prospero. The No Nay Never colt has only raced once and it came last September here in New York. In that start going three-quarters of a mile over the sod, the former Jorge Abreu trainee raced against the flow against a much-better group than he encounters today. New trainer Cherie DeVaux is having an outstanding 2024 and has proven very capable with horses entering her barn for the first time. DeVaux ships the Irish-bred colt in from Louisville where he is an intriguing alternative to the chalk if ready to fire fresh.

#6 Side Eye is worth including as a backup despite lacking a will to win thus far. He was caught wide throughout in the same turf sprint Research Results and was beaten just a length. He will find his friends eventually.
Good luck on Closing Weekend at the Big A!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:52 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Ellis Park - Race #3

#6 Second Service	He got past a few horses late in the debut run and might be dangerous at second asking in a race without a whole lot of other finishing punch on paper.
#8 Incursion	A little worried that he's got the same kind of chasing style as a few others in here, but he does seem like one of the most likely forward players to see this out.
#3 Coach Campbell	His form is all over the place, but something like the two-back try might keep him in the frame, and it is probably worth drawing a line through the turf try last out.
Race Summary	Second Service has some logical upside in this second start, and the race flow might work in his favor if a handful of these are heading in the wrong direction late.

Ellis Park - Race #7

#9 Prestwick	She's one of a pair of interesting debuters drawn widest, so get a look at both of them on the track and tote ahead of this. Enough to like on paper in a spot that might not be the deepest we'll see for the level.
#2 Ella Elizabeth	She took a nice step forward in that comeback run while making her 3-year-old debut, but I worry she's going to take some cash and have a little company early on. Logical player if she has some upside today.
#7 Life's For Living	She has some upside while making her second lifetime start, but she'll have to find a little more enthusiasm late with that race under her belt. In the mix.
Race Summary	Prestwick isn't coming into this with anything seriously flashy, but I don't love the race overall and think the wide draw could work in her favor.

Ellis Park - Race #8

#11 Ms. Tart	There is some decent sprint form on her page, and she has some obvious room to improve while getting back on the turf after the modest dirt comeback run.
#4 Moonlit Lady	Speed should appreciate the move back to the turf where she impressed a couple starts back, and she might not yet have shown her very best on the lawn with just the one try over the footing. Obvious appeal.
#9 Carolina Candy	Wonder if she might be able to commit to finding a settle-and-finish trip that could give her the best chance of landing a share while rising into a tough spot on the turf. Style could suit, and she has some appeal if it goes on the dirt, too.
Race Summary	Ms. Tart might like this trip right now while ready to take a step forward in the second start back off the break, and we might get a midrange kind of price for a tough barn.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:52 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #1

#3 ROCK BULLET (8-1)	Rallies from clouds, runs for cheapest tag yet, good value play.
#2 OXFORD UNION (1-1)	Best numbers, troubled trip in latest, strictly one to beat on class drop.
#11 NORTHERN CARDINAL (4-1)	Can carry speed a long way on the stretch-out in distance.
Race Summary	ROCK BULLET rallied from far back to within 2 lengths of the winner in a pair of higher-tagged grass routes recently. He should get ample pace flow and his main rivals have suspect company lines, so he’s worth a win and place bet. Also play a 2/3,11/ALL trifecta and 2-3 exacta box.

Laurel Park - Race #5

#7 SCHRADER (12-1)	Busy prepping from the Laurel Park gate, dam was a runner.
#5 UP IN FLAMES (8-5)	Has speed, gets class relief, wears blinkers for first time.
#2 BLESSED CANDY (7-2)	Works indicate readiness; dam won $16k maiden claimer here by 10 lengths.
Race Summary	SCHRADER worked 5F from the gate four times to get ready for his debut. His dam, Grecian Maiden, was 5-for-13, a stakes winner of $213k and a Maiden Special Weight runner-up in her first start at Keeneland. Bet to win and place.

Laurel Park - Race #9

#4 RIGHT QUICK (9-2)	Now or never land approaching for lightly-raced 5-year-old.
#1 UNDER THE OVERPASS (2-1)	Loves to run second, claimed for the third time this year.
#3 FORCEFUL (1-1)	Russell class-dropper transitions from the turf, will be an underlay.
Race Summary	RIGHT QUICK has improved with blinkers after a two-year absence, ran second to the odds-on winner at 6F two back, then was slowed by the pace when third in a route race last out. He appears the value among the favorites, so bet to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:52 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings
PURCHASE

Hastings - Race 1	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Daily Double
Claiming $4,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 2:30P
(PLUS UP TO $2,750 THRIF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 6 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $3,000 2 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ANIMA: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses com ing off a layoff is at least 25. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. ANOTHERSUNNYDAY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. C C SUNRISE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. AMANDA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
1	ANIMA	5/1	5/1
5	ANOTHERSUNNYDAY	5/2	5/1
6	C C SUNRISE	2/1	6/1
4	AMANDA	4/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	ANIMA	1	5/1	Front-runner	71	64	74.4	56.0	48.0
6	C C SUNRISE	6	2/1	Front-runner	74	68	63.6	62.0	54.5
5	ANOTHERSUNNYDAY	5	5/2	Front-runner	70	68	54.2	63.6	59.1
3	TEXAS LEGACY	3	9/2	Trailer	67	61	42.0	56.8	48.3
4	AMANDA	4	4/1	Trailer	67	64	39.6	67.2	63.2
2	WALKINTHEWALK	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	61	28.6	55.4	47.4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:53 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race 6	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1.00 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 6-10)
Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $26,000 • Post: 3:28P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 6, 2024. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. TIZ A PRINCE is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * GOOCH GO BRAGH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FORWARDLY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. POST FACTO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff.
6	GOOCH GO BRAGH	8/5	9/2
3	FORWARDLY	7/2	6/1
1	BIG BUCKSALOT	20/1	7/1
2	POST FACTO	5/2	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	POST FACTO	2	5/2	Front-runner	93	92	85.0	77.6	69.1
1	BIG BUCKSALOT	1	20/1	Alternator/Front-runner	94	93	76.2	77.4	68.9
8	TIZ A PRINCE	8	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	77	82.4	68.1	58.6
3	FORWARDLY	3	7/2	Trailer	87	80	90.8	76.9	72.4
6	GOOCH GO BRAGH	6	8/5	Trailer	91	85	71.0	82.2	76.2
9	PAPA KATZ	9	30/1	Trailer	76	73	53.8	61.4	47.4
4	COACH ABERNATHY	4	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	82	78	79.6	76.2	62.2
7	AMERICAN PURE	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	99	89	68.9	69.8	61.3
5	ERIC THE SALESMAN	5	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	85	65	47.4	61.0	46.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:53 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $26100 Class Rating: 62

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 6, 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 RUFFIN 9/5
# 4 ENTICED BY CHANCE 4/1
# 1 CRAFTED 7/2

RUFFIN looks very good to best this field. Always seems to be close at the finish. With a strong 70 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Jimenez will most likely have this colt in excellent position to win the race. ENTICED BY CHANCE - He has been running strongly lately while recording strong Equibase speed figs. When this rider and trainer team up, players often make money. CRAFTED - Has been running in the most competitive company of the group of horses in this race as of late. Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (56 average) at today's distance and surface lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:53 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 2:51pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $111,300 Class Rating: 84

Rating:

#2 BORROWED BANDIT (ML=8/1)
#4 BANKINGONAMIRACLE (ML=12/1)
#9 SUMMER BUCK (ML=3/1)

BORROWED BANDIT - The 'x-factor' at work here is that this gelding has been working over this track getting ready for his first start. When this rider and handler are put together you have to take a look. Munger and Wright have been wonderful together. BANKINGONAMIRACLE - Have to give this horse a good look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figs on the turf at this distance. Nice return on investment for this jock and handler twosome. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should run well today. SUMMER BUCK - Kimura comes to ride after getting to know the gelding in the last race. Kimura and Nosowenko perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +56 return on investment for a jockey and trainer. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 GILT EDGE (ML=2/1), #1 RAPID GREY (ML=4/1), #3 PHILLIP MY WINE (ML=6/1),

GILT EDGE - This colt hasn't had any recent success in short distance affairs. Not easy to bet on him in this affair. Couldn't make up ground whatsoever on May 25th. Hard to bet on in today's event at the expected odds. RAPID GREY - This entrant just hasn't looked fit recently. PHILLIP MY WINE - In any race of 6 1/2 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been looking good in sprint affairs recently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #2 BORROWED BANDIT to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:53 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30500 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 MINNESOTA

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 EMBER 2/1
# 5 SECRET POTION 6/1
# 4 T BONES TRICK 9/2

EMBER has a decent shot to take this race. Has competitive Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this race. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. Is a solid choice - given the 92 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. SECRET POTION - The Equibase speed fig of 92 from his most recent race looks formidable in here. T BONES TRICK - Is worth careful consideration and may be a wager - strong Equibase speed figs (87 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Should go to the lead and could never look back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-06-2024, 10:54 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Prairie Meadows - Race #10 - Post: 10:04pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,500 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#2 GOLD MEMBER (ML=3/1)
#3 AIR FORCE HUMOR (ML=6/1)

GOLD MEMBER - Tohill and Murphy partnered together are a railbird's friend. Jockey hops back on board after getting to know the horse by riding last time around the track. That's always a good tip. AIR FORCE HUMOR - Loy drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping information to believe this thoroughbred has a shot at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 THE HOOF (ML=2/1), #1 RIDING DOUBLE (ML=7/2), #5 LITTLEJACKRABBIT (ML=5/1),

THE HOOF - Would have to get more than the morning line of 2/1 to play this horse. RIDING DOUBLE - Don't think that this gelding has value at 7/2 today. LITTLEJACKRABBIT - Finished fourth last time out. Would have to move up to land in the top three today. Finished fourth in his most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - GOLD MEMBER - When a horse takes such a big drop in the class rating department, I always have a look. I like what I see with this one and am wagering on him.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 GOLD MEMBER is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip