Saturday 7/20/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-18-2024, 07:39 AM

Race of the Week: Saturday's Woodbine Oaks

July 17, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Trainer Kevin Attard seeks a third Woodbine Oaks trophy in the last 4 years and takes no less than 5 shots to get it in this 14-runner lineup. Separating the Attard quintuplets is just one of the handicapping challenges in this 1-1/8 miles test that will be the longest race in any of these fillies' careers to date. We've been up to the challenge of late, scoring $522, $870 and $518 scores in this Race of the Week space in just the last 4 editions.

Horsesplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET can take part in a Bet $200, Get $20 promotion this weekend at Woodbine. Bet at least $100 on both Saturday and Sunday on Woodbine races and receive a $20 wagering credit into your account.

Field Depth:
Restricted to Canadian-foaled fillies, 6 of the 14 entrants in the main body of the field have won stakes in their careers, notably BA DEE YAH and A LITTLE FRISKY doing so in open company stakes. INUDATION, HURRICANE CLAIR, WAR PAINTER and SHAMANS GIRL own victories in restricted stakes.

Pace:
Early speed should come from well-drawn LOOKIN TO CONQUER in post 3 and wider-out CAITLINHERGRTNESS. A deep cast of pace-pressers should insure that this bulky field of 14 keeps an average or above-average tempo with positioning important and turning up some heat. There don't appear to be any major pace advantages.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-INUDATION: First of 5 Kevin Attard chances, Collected filly pulled a 12-1 upset win in the Princess Elizabeth Stakes to close her 2YO season. She's run just once this year, outrun in an common allowance shared by several of these.

#2-HOLIDAY IN JAIL: Catholic Boy filly is 1-4 lifetime with just a maiden/optional claiming score on her resume. Veteran trainer Bobby Tiller puts her in a stakes for the first time, while leaving open company for the first time as well. Pace presence.

#3-LOOKIN TO CONQUER: Pacemaker in her last 2 starts, this Lookin At Lucky filly failed to carry that speed in a common allowance several of these used June 22. Easy pace that day with no excuses and distance and waters deepen now.

#4-KIN'S CONCERTO: Runner-up in common June 22 allowance that shows up often amongst this field, but picks up 8 pounds in weight. Only victory came via disqualification, but she hasn't missed a trifecta in 4 starts for 2-time Oaks-winning trainer Josie Carroll.

#5-HURRICANE CLAIR: Ridden out June 23 in a turf allowance victory by a widening 3-1/4 lengths that looks a bit better on paper than it may be. High-percentage jockey-trainer combo merits respect; well-drawn with a pressing running style and Sahin Civaci looks to ride the Oaks winner for a second straight year. Consider.

#6-VUCCHELLA: 6-race maiden adds depth to the Kevin Attard cast as he bids for a third career Oaks win. Plenty of pedigree for the trip, but has been flat late in all starts and difficult to see that improving over 110 yards farther.

#7-BRAVO KATE: Sid Attard, uncle to Kevin, takes his Woodbine Oaks shot with this 1-for-6 filly who has finished out of the money in the Fury and Princess Elizabeth Stakes. Damside pedigree questionable for the distance.

#8-MY GIRL DELLA: True, 9-furlong pedigree for this Meadgalia d'Oro filly who was overconfidently ridden 4-wide throughout last out when getting no pace help in the June 22 common allowance shared by several of these. Rider change to 4-time Woodbine Oaks winner Patrick Husbands and bullet work since last start make this the most intriguing of the Kevin Attard charges to my eye.

#9-BA DEE YAH: Tom Amoss sends this Uncle Mo filly north of the border to her birthland for the first time in her racing career. She won the LaCombe Memorial at Fair Grounds in March, an off-the-turf affair. Modest pair of turf efforts to start her career, while she's been consistent on dirt since. Sire Uncle Mo's offspring hit an outstanding 22% at Woodbine on Tapeta with a powerful $1.36 return for every $1 bet from more than 150 starters.

#10-CAITLINHERGRTNESS: Visually impressive turf allowance winner 2 weeks ago wheels back quickly, but liked what I saw in her Canadian unveiling for Kevin Attard. The ex-Todd Pletcher trainee broke sharp, came to hand for '22 Oaks-winning rider Raphael Hernandez, and galloped out powerfully. Sire Omaha Beach hasn't had much success on synthetics, but if she transfers her recent form, she's a major player.

#11-WAR PAINTER: Final of the 5 Kevin Attard charges won last year's Victoria Queen on the lawn, but has been equally effective on the Woodbine main track. Beat elder, open-company allowance foes last out and fits very well back with the Canadian-bred sophomores.

#12-A LITTLE FRISKY: Beaten favorite in common allowance prep several of these exit, left with little chance rallying into a terribly slow pace that day. Sprint-on-sprint pedigree brings questions for this distance, despite respect for Woodbine Oaks-winning jockey and trainer in play.

#13-LUNCH WITH BERNIE: Even-running sprinters often are stretch-out threats and this filly fits that bill off an even third in the 7F Fury. Failed in a couple of route tries at 2, but has shown marked improvement since then with more foundation and bred to love the trip for 4-time Woodbine Oaks winner Mark Casse. Tough draw almost assures some ground loss, however.

#14-SHAMANS GIRL: Debut sprint stakes winner has been well-beaten in 3 stakes bid since and will get Lasix for the first time on Saturday. Plenty of pedigree for 9F, but no indication of a major wakeup on horizon.

AE #15-BEAUTIFUL SKY: 4-start maiden would be a devout longshot if she draws in from a tough post.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
No obvious standout here, but WAR PAINTER is 5-for-5 in the trifecta on the Woodbine main, exits a win and has never been beaten more than 1-1/4 lengths on the Tapeta.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
MY GIRL DELLA may not be a huge price, but she'll be more than fair, and I'm solidly in her camp Saturday.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$100 win MY GIRL DELLA.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-18-2024, 07:40 AM

Fun in the Sun Tourney Returns Saturday for Sar/Dmr

July 17, 2024 | By 1/ST BET

Xpressbet’s annual Saratoga and Del Mar handicapping tournament, Fun in the Sun, will offer its “Final Table” format for the fifth straight year when contest play commences this Saturday. Seven weekly sessions lead to a grand finale on September 2, which includes a progressive contest jackpot and $10,000 prize pool seeded by Xpressbet.

Qualifying Weeks (Saturdays)

July 20, 27
August 3,10,17,24,31

Final Table

September 2 (Monday)

The weekly contest format includes a $100 buy-in and $25 entry fee, which includes the tournament’s 10 weekly $10 win bets from Saratoga (last 5 races) and Del Mar (first 5 races). The Top-5 finishers by earnings each of the seven qualifying weeks earn berths into the Final Table. With 100% of tournament fees paid back to players, weekly prize pools compromise of 70% paid out to the Saturday leaderboard, while 30% rolls over to the Final Table (in addition to the $10,000 seed from Xpressbet).

Last year, Joe Tambasco topped Week 2 of the contest and later earned the $8,911 first prize at the Final Table, which had a prize pool in excess of $16,000.

Fun in the Sun Final Table Winners

2020 Robert Rosen
2021 Wayne Tam
2022 Kevin Saunders
2023 Joe Tambasco

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:20 AM

Al Cimaglia: Summerside Raceway Analysis

July 20, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

It's a big night at Summerside Raceway as the 56th Governor's Plate rolls in Race 16 and has a $35,000 purse. Xpressbet/1stBet account holders who register get a sweepstake entry for every $5 bet made at Summerside Raceway on July 20. The contest winner will receive a trip for two to the Gold Cup and Saucer on Saturday, August 17.

The selections below are on six races at Summerside concluding with the Governor's Plate. My comments are based on a fast track.

Race 1

4-Bethereinabit (7/2)-Likes to race on the lead but was able to do that and finally seal the deal last week. Finished off with a .29 last panel and looks like a strong double up possibility.

$5 Win #4

Race 4

1-Lovemattersmost (3-1)-Left from post 6 at Truro, got the top and didn't look back. The last time at Summerside a similar game plan was followed, got on the engine and made every call a winning one. Using from the rail coming off a win with a top conditioner and a strong pilot.

$5 Win #1

Race 13

3-Blood Money (5/2)-Will toss last week's Elimination race started from the outside and never was in the hunt. The Sweet Lou veteran does best when racing near the top of the stack early in the mile. That type of trip seems possible and will look for a strong bounce back effort.

$5 Win #3

Race 14

4-Merigo Magic (5/2)-The Adam Merner pupil brings a perfect 6-6 record this year and shouldn't have an issue landing in the pocket or on the point. It looks like this race will go through the 3-year-old gelding who has never missed the board in 16 starts and has taken 11 pictures.

$5 Win #4

Race 15

2-Flip The Script (5/2)-Winner of 4 in a row is on a nice run. Versatile mare can post a victory in different ways and it looks like it will take a bumpy trip to stop the winning streak.

$5 Win #2

Race 16

5-Twin B Tuffenuff (3-1)-Comes off an even effort from post 7 last week and will overlook that start. Tonight's program chalk #8-Roll Em walked to the half in 58.1 and went on to win that race. No disrespect to Roll Em last year's winner from post 7 but will look to fade tonight from post 8. Tuffenuff can be forwardly placed throughout, and the factions should be much sharper than last week. Might land on the point and not look back or could be in striking range to tackle the leader down the lane.

$5 Win #5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:21 AM

Scott Shapiro: Saratoga Late Pick 5 Analysis | Saturday

July 18, 2024 | By 1/ST BET

The second Saturday of the 2024 Saratoga summer meeting is headlined by the return of Kentucky Oaks (G1) and Acorn (G1) winner, Thorpedo Anna in the Coaching Club American Oaks. The Grade 1 event for 3YO fillies goes as Race 11 on a twelve-race extravaganza that kicks off at 12:35PM eastern time. The featured event makes up the fourth leg of a fun Late Pick 5 sequence that gets rolling in Race 8.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 8:
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 2 Federal Judge
Backups: None

Forecast: #2 Federal Judge makes his first start since the Woody Stephens (G1) at Belmont Park last June. Prior to being thrown to the wolves by former trainer Rodolphe Brisset, the son of Army Mule had been impressive rattling off back-to-back victories to kick off his career, including a length win against the highly regarded Extra Anejo on the Kentucky Derby undercard a year ago. The 4YO now appears in the Brad Cox barn and comes in off a steady series of drills in Kentucky and most recently a solid 4-furlong drill in 48 seconds flat over the Saratoga training track. He should be fit enough off the bench to handle this group of second-level allowance foes under jockey Manny Franco.

Race 9:
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 1 Major Dude; 9 Steady On
Backups: 8 Andthewinneris; 5 Cash Equity;

Forecast: There is very little speed signed on in this high-level optional claimer at 1 1/8 miles over the turf. Therefore, I will lean most on a pair of Todd Pletcher runners that should find prominent spots early, including #2 Major Dude. The Bolt d’Oro colt shook off the rust last out when he almost nailed gate-to-wire winner, Big Everest at the wire in his first start since last September. Expect Hall of Famer John Velazquez to send from the gate and find a good forward position in this one’s first start over the Saratoga sod. #9 Steady On looks like the other potential pacesetter but he is unlikely to get in a tussle with his stablemate on the backstretch. Instead, Dylan Davis will probably sit just off the early pace leading to a moderate early tempo. This $275k Keeneland September 2020 purchase should have every shot to run by Major Dude in the lane if he is good enough.

#8 Andthewinneris makes his first start for new trainer Chad Brown. The son of Oscar Performance was impressive in his late running debut win at Keeneland back in April of 2022 but he disappointed for the most part during his 3YO campaign. Perhaps the time off, the ultimate equipment change, and moving into the hands of one of the best turf trainers in the world will lead to significant improvement. #5 Cash Equity ships into New York having finished second in three straight starts. He clearly fits against these but may have too much to do late given the likelihood of a moderate early tempo.

Race 10: Lake George S. (G3)
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 2 Oversubscribed; 1 Gavea;
Backups: 7 De Regreso;

Forecast: #2 Oversubscribed has done little wrong through three starts. The Klaravich Stables filly has won 2 of 3 to start her career with the lone defeat coming two-back at Aqueduct when she not only raced against the flow chasing a lone speed winner to the wire, but she was forced to check before they reached the far turn. She should be tough to hold off in her first graded stakes try assuming jockey Joel Rosario is able to work out a cleaner off the pace voyage. #1 Gavea ran huge in her Stateside debut last September at Churchill Downs but it clearly took a lot out of her. She was eased in her start after it in New York and given time until June when she put forth a very solid return effort in the Regret (G3). Trainer Al Stall Jr. is off to a strong early start to the meet making this filly the clear value play in this year’s Lake George (G3).

#7 De Regreso ships in from Florida for trainer Antonio Sano off of three consecutive victories at Gulfstream Park, including two of their lawn. Trainer Antonio Sano is 2 for 9 with turf runners at Saratoga over the last five years with five of them finishing in the money. Her versatility gives her a shot to spring the upset.

Race 11: Coaching Club American Oaks (G1)
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3 Thorpedo Anna
Backups: None

Forecast: #3 Thorpedo Anna was excellent as a juvenile winning in back-to-back starts to kick off her career before suffering her lone lifetime defeat to Intricate in the Golden Rod (G2) to conclude her 2YO campaign. The Fast Anna filly did not return to the races until late March but she stamped herself as a top contender for the Kentucky Oaks with her four-length victory off the layoff in the Fantasy (G2) at Oaklawn Park. The rest has been history. The Kenny McPeek trainee dazzled against the best in her crop this spring with dominant wins in the Oaks and Acorn (G1) and has already proven success over this surface. I have zero interest in trying to beat her despite her very short price.
Race 12:
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 6 Vintage Vino; 3 Artempus; 9 Four Top; 10 De La Cruz
Backups: None

Forecast: The Saturday card concludes with a ten-furlong event over the Saratoga Inner Turf where I will be hoping to beat #1 Factor Analysis. The Chad Brown trained colt has lost at 2-1 or less in four starts to kick off his career despite finishing within a length of the winner in all four tries. The Vino Rosso colt clearly appears to lack a will to win early on his career making a short price extremely tough to swallow. He is listed as the 7-5-morning line favorite along with stablemate #1A Take Your Seats who needs a defection or two to draw in off the AE list. Hopefully, we can navigate our way through the first four legs and give ourselves a chance to beat the chalk to close things out.

I lack a strong opinion outside of being against Factor Analysis, so I will use several including #2 Artempus who has also burnt a lot of money thus far but has been gelded since his last start in Kentucky, #6 Vintage Vino who gets blinkers in his third career start for Linda Rice, #9 Four Top who is protected in his first start off the claim for Mike Maker, and #10 De La Cruz who makes his third start of the form cycle for trainer Christophe Clement. Let’s get one of them home to end the day!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:22 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #9

#6 Iscreamuscream	Nothing wrong on paper through two starts, and she looks like a potential handful if she has any more to offer in the second start back in her sophomore campaign. Wonder if she might be mildly playable as the second choice?
#10 Medoro	No faults here after four consecutive wins to open her career, and she's an obvious player again today while facing some she has handled in the past.
#11 Flattery	Maybe she's the price to get in the frame with the logical top two, as she might still be capable of something a little better with the comeback run under her belt.
Race Summary	#3 Sakura Blossom is interesting enough to use at a price in the some of the deeper spots, but the top pair are probably too good in here. Iscreamiscream is a high-ceiling filly who gets her class test today.

Del Mar - Race #5

#2 Esprit Enchante	She goes second off the break today after what I'm hoping was a useful comeback run, and the jury is still out on her around two turns, as her only previous route try came in Grade I company.
#5 In Theory	She looks like the one to beat while getting on the turf for the first time, as her three dirt starts so far have been really solid, and she brings a versatile pedigree with her. Dangerous from close range if she likes the footing.
#9 Where's My Ring	She wasn't too far off things in a Grade III in her only previous turf try, and she could turn things around quickly after getting drilled by Thorpedo Anna in her last two starts.
Race Summary	Esprit Enchante has some price appeal for me here while bringing some reasonable upside in her second start back, and she might like this trip while trying it for the first time.

Del Mar - Race #7

#10 Rothschild	He's not totally exposed on the turf with just that one Grade III try over the footing here late last year, and he might be able to relax off the pace and watch everything unfold. Hoping a positive race flow and some upside into his 3-year-old season will make him a price player today.
#4 Guy Named Joe	He has some reliable enough finishing ability that would serve him well if a couple of the forward players hook up and the pace starts to come back. Not far off what it might take here.
#3 King of Gosford	Not a whole lot to argue with here after rattling off three wins in a row since arriving in the states, but I have a mild worry that he's going to be just a touch too close to the front in a race with a few potential pace players. Capable talent.
Race Summary	Rothschild and Guy Named Joe might be the right pair to use to try to get the last laugh in a race that has a few potential pace players and some other pressing/tracking types signed on.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:22 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #1

#3 MALINOIS (9-5)	Got Lasix, chased stakes-placed Oaklawn shipper, earned his top speed figure.
#5 ENERGY EFFICIENT (7-2)	Returns to level of claim, looks to recapture early-season form.
#4 MAGICAL MONARCH (2-1)	Carried speed to three route wins this year by a combined 30 lengths.
Race Summary	MALINOIS won three in a row to start his 3-year-old campaign, then bled and was eased in a stakes race. He bounced back strong, however, chasing the pace-controlling favorite around the track and earning his top speed figure with first-time Lasix. Bet to win and place and play 3-4 and 3-5 exactas.

Laurel Park - Race #2

#7 BOSS IS A PAL (5-1)	Scratched from $16k claimer yesterday, stands 5-11 on Laurel lawn.
#1 KADRI (9-5)	Carried over sharp dirt form to win for first time on turf and surpass $500k in earnings.
#4 SPEAK UNITY (3-1)	Benefited from fast pace, made up 10 lengths for third off Russell claim.
Race Summary	BOSS IS A PAL scratched from a $16,000 claiming race on the Colonial Downs lawn yesterday for this tougher spot. He sprung a 9-1 upset at this level two starts back but was no factor chasing a torrid pace as the favorite last out. He’s 5-for-11 on the Laurel Park turf and at least offers good value for a win and place bet.

Laurel Park - Race #5

#6 FLAT DISCOUNT (6-1)	Don’t discount starter allowance form at CT, has 11 wins, gets Rodriguez.
#2 SWEET HEIDELBERG (8-5)	Ran second in 3 of last 4 on or near lead, cuts back in distance.
#1 MIT MAZEL (5-2)	Useful try after 14 months away, sheds 11 pounds from the rail.
Race Summary	FLAT DISCOUNT earned his keep at Charles Town with a 10/2-1-3 record this year, mostly in starter allowance races around two turns. She picks up 8 pounds but lures Rodriguez for her Laurel Park debut. Play a 6/1,2/ALL trifecta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:23 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings
PURCHASE

Hastings - Race 4	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 3:57P
(PLUS UP TO $2,750 THRIF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 20 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 20 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $3,000 2 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Trailer. ARTISTIC JEWLER is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ARTISTIC JEWLER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highes t average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	ARTISTIC JEWLER	8/5	5/2
6	DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER	4/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER	6	4/1	Front-runner	72	68	78.8	62.5	58.0
3	ICE BREAKER	3	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	66	70	58.6	62.8	57.3
5	AMANDA	5	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	67	64	56.6	64.5	58.0
4	ARTISTIC JEWLER	4	8/5	Trailer	76	78	79.4	76.2	72.7
2	BAKZONE	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	67	63.2	59.4	48.4
1	WALKINTHEWALK	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	61	50.6	61.7	51.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:23 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Emerald Downs
PURCHASE

Emerald Downs - Race 5	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $15,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $18,500 • Post: 3:21P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2024 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 3 LBS. (MAIDEN RACES, CLAIMING RACES AND STARTERS RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. AWESOME MOVE is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * OVERLY FAST: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. C ORN POP: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SMOKEN SHADOW: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. CREATIVE BID: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CHUCKANUT BAY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
8	OVERLY FAST	7/2	9/2
4	CORN POP	9/2	7/1
9	SMOKEN SHADOW	6/1	8/1
7	CREATIVE BID	3/1	8/1
5	CHUCKANUT BAY	5/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	MISTER MAFIOSO	2	12/1	Front-runner	85	82	86.6	76.6	63.1
9	SMOKEN SHADOW	9	6/1	Alternator/Front-runner	90	92	79.0	73.4	61.4
8	OVERLY FAST	8	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	97	91	78.6	83.8	77.8
6	NAPOLETANO	6	8/1	Stalker	84	78	69.2	79.8	67.8
7	CREATIVE BID	7	3/1	Stalker	96	94	69.2	78.0	72.5
4	CORN POP	4	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	93	90	76.8	84.2	77.2
5	CHUCKANUT BAY	5	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	86	68.6	84.4	79.4
3	AWESOME MOVE	3	15/1	Trailer	87	81	60.6	79.8	67.3
1	DUTTON	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	92	94	34.1	57.8	45.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:23 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Prairie Meadows

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $44540 Class Rating: 60

FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 MARITIME MILLIE 9/2
# 12 GLAD VON D 5/2
# 5 DIXIE SURPRISE 7/2

I give the nod to MARITIME MILLIE here. She looks competitive in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Don't let this filly slip past you. Could score at a juicy mutuel. GLAD VON D - Jordan has this filly travelling well and is a very strong selection based on the very good Speed Figures put up in sprint races recently. She has been running soundly and the Speed Figures are among the strongest in this field. DIXIE SURPRISE - Have to bet on this filly with the reliable earnings per start in dirt sprint events.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:23 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Belterra Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:35pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,200 Class Rating: 56

Rating:

#3 PARTY POOPER (ML=7/2)
#2 WILDCAT DANCER (ML=3/1)

PARTY POOPER - You have to like that last race speed rating, 54, which is the top most recent race speed fig of this bunch. Taking a big class drop in class figure points from his May 30th race at Belterra Park. Based on that data, I will give this animal the advantage. Gelding will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance. Maiden is switching to the dirt, and may not have liked the turf last out. Has a good chance to win for the 1st time. WILDCAT DANCER - Drury sends this one on to the track for the first time. With a win percentage of 28 with first timers, I'll give this one a long hard look. McKee and Drury have had fabulous success together over this last year. I always like to see a thoroughbred getting Lasix for the first time. Drury adds it on this one today. I have all the data you need right here. Dam stats for first-timers, winners 50 percent of the time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LIAM'S ROCKET MAN (ML=2/1), #1 SAMURAI WAY (ML=4/1), #4 COUSIN JOE (ML=9/2),

LIAM'S ROCKET MAN - Today's race is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint contest in the last couple of months. Not the best of omens. Doubtful that this horse will finish better than he did last time out when ending up third. Hasn't raced or had any morning drills since Jun 14th. Not much value on this chalk horse. Notched a mediocre fig last race out in a Maiden Special race on Jun 14th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating. SAMURAI WAY - On a downward moving sequence. Equibase speed figures keep deteriorating. COUSIN JOE - This mount just hasn't looked sharp of late.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PARTY POOPER - This racer looks good with such a big gap in the spread of the TM Power Rating between him and the second-rated horse.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 PARTY POOPER to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:24 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sacramento

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 94

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 ACCLIDER 5/2
# 1 WELLSWORT (IRE) 8/1
# 4 RICH GOLD 10/1

I lean toward ACCLIDER here. Ramos has this horse running well and is a competitive selection based on the very good Speed Figures put up in route races lately. Has decent front speed and ought to fare very well versus this group of horses. The Equibase Speed Fig of 81 from his most recent contest looks decent in here. WELLSWORT (IRE) - This pony ought to be played at the expected high odds. With a nice class rating average of 92, has one of the top class advantages in this group. RICH GOLD - Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been competitive - 84 avg - of late. Is a solid contender - given the 95 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-20-2024, 10:24 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Delaware Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,500 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#6 LITTLE HOT MESS (ML=6/1)
#1 CHALICE (ML=6/1)

LITTLE HOT MESS - This filly is in fine condition. Ran third on Jun 30th. This front-runner is running a shorter distance today. Should aid her chances of winning. I'm focusing on the class of this fine animal, and this one is the 'classiest' of the bunch. CHALICE - A repeat of that last performance on Jun 12th where she notched a fig of 77 looks lofty enough to win in this contest. May be extremely hard to beat this horse on the grass today. Last time around the track scored a nice turf fig, the highest of any of these animals.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MAGNOLIA WIND (ML=7/2), #2 SWEET SUMMER LOVE (ML=5/1), #3 A LOTTA MOXIE (ML=8/1),

MAGNOLIA WIND - This equine hasn't been hitting the board in either of her last couple of races. SWEET SUMMER LOVE - Doesn't appear to be worth 5/1 today. Pass on her this time. A LOTTA MOXIE - Equibase speed figures tell a story of declining form. Not likely that the speed rating she earned on Jun 14th will be good enough in this race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CHALICE - Posting a better speed rating each of her last couple of events. This filly is a prime candidate to win today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #6 LITTLE HOT MESS to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

Saturday 7/20/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 7/20/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment