Sunday 9/15/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #31
    Free play from Atlantic Sports


    Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Cleveland Guardians - 130

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    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #32
      Free play from Sharp Bettor

      SharpBettor FREE Play SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 15, 2024
      FREE

      NFL
      290. Texans -6.5 (5:20 PT / 8:20 ET)

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      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #33
        Free play from Hawkeye Sports


        Early Sunday's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox + 150

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        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #34
          Free play from High Stakes Syndicate


          Free Selection for Early Sunday: Kansas City Chiefs - 6

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          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #35
            Free play from Hollywood Anthony


            Your Free Play from Hollywood


            MLB Take Denver Under 36.5

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            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #36
              Sean Murphy

              Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points (-6.5) -105 over Carolina at 1 pm et on Sunday.

              The knee-jerk reaction, as far as I'm concerned, was to back the Panthers plus the points in this spot, with the belief that they're not as bad as they showed in last week's rout in New Orleans. A closer look, however, leads me to believe that this line is a little light in favor of the Chargers. Note that an already talent-deprived Panthers defense lost arguably its best player in DT Derrick Brown to a knee injury on Sunday. Offensively there remain more questions than answers and I believe it's only a matter of time before we see veteran Andy Dalton take over under center, but likely not this week.

              The Chargers performed about as expected in their home opener against the Raiders in Week 1. We're going to see a rather conservative offense from Jim Harbaugh's team this year, but that's not necessarily a bad thing. I actually think big-armed QB Justin Herbert can be very comfortable in this style of offense. While the likes of Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are no longer in the mix, I do think the Chargers have an underrated pass-catching corps. Meanwhile, RB J.K. Dobbins showed he can smash behind a terrific offensive line in last week's win. This is a key spot for Los Angeles as it will play a more difficult road game in Pittsburgh (the Steelers home opener) next Sunday. Take Los Angeles.

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              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #37
                Rob Vinciletti

                The NFL Comp play is on the NY. Giants plus the points (+1.5) -105 at 1 eastern. This is also our NFL play in the Playbook sports wise guys contest. The Giants were listless last week ion a 20+ point home loss to the Vikings. Expect a more spirited effort her today against a Washington team they beat the last 3 times. NY applies to an early season system that has cashed 14 straight since 2003 and plays on road teams of 6.5 or less that lost by 10 or more and are taking on a team off a loss if the total is 38 or higher and they wont less than 12 games last season. Both teams should move the ball here as Washington moved the ball well with Jayden Daniels last week but allowed 37 to Tampa Bay. Look for NY to take this one. Rob V-

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                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #38
                  Dave Price

                  Dave's Sunday Free Play:

                  1* on Seahawks/Patriots UNDER 39

                  The Key: Two of the best defenses in the NFL will be on display in this game between the Seahawks and Patriots. Mike McDonald is a defensive-minded head coach in his first season. Jerod Mayo is a defensive-minded head coach in his first season. The Seahawks yielded only 231 yards and 3.3 YPP last week against the Broncos. The Patriots held the Bengals to 10 points, 224 total yards and 4.7 YPP in Week 1 on the road. Both teams have poor offensive lines and I think the defensive lines control this game. This feels like a 17-14 type of game that stays well UNDER 39 combined points. Take the UNDER.

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                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #39
                    Marc David

                    David's 1% NFL Free Pick

                    We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that even though Browns QB Deshaun Watson looks past his prime, their defense is strong enough to win games. After giving up 33 points to the Cowboys in Week 1, we expect a much stronger performance from Cleveland’s defense today.

                    This is a 1% free play on the Browns+3.5 -105 on the spread.

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                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #40
                      Kenny Walker

                      Free Pick on Packers+2.5 +100

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                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #41
                        Brandon Lee

                        Sunday's Free NFL Pick

                        PLAY ON: Seahawks -3.5

                        I'm betting the Seahawks -3.5 on the road against the Patriots. There's a chance New England is way better than anticipated, but I'm not going to be one to overreact to their Week 1 upset of the Bengals. I think that was more a result of Cincinnati just not being ready to go for Week 1. Not only did the Bengals have guys holding out, they were missing some key pieces. They also had arguably their biggest game on the schedule looming in Week 2 at Kansas City. Not a big surprise they came out flat as a big favorite against a team that everyone thought was going to be bad. On the flip side, NE was out to prove something after being told how bad they were going to be. I still think this Patriots team lacks a lot, especially on the offensive side of the ball. I don't think they will be able out physical this Seattle team and things could get ugly if they have to play from behind. Give me the Seahawks -3.5!

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                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #42
                          ASA

                          #276 ASA PLAY ON Minnesota Vikings +5 over San Francisco 49ers, Sunday at 1 PM ET

                          This is a tough situational spot for the Niners off a Monday night win and traveling on a short week. We find it interesting that San Francisco destroyed the NY Jets on Monday night in front of the whole world, yet this line opened -6 and has dropped to -5 with sharp money on the Vikes. We agree with the move and still like the value with the home underdog. The Niners had a big yardage edge last week 401 to 266 but they also ran 21 more offensive plays (70 to 49) so the YPP margin was much closer (5.7 to 5.4). The Jets also had 2 turnovers (0 for SF) which both led to points for the 49ers. San Fran is also really banged up coming out of that win with injuries along the offensive line, RB McCaffrey is out, top tackler LB Greenlaw out, and starting safety out. The Vikings also had a dominating victory on the road last week beating the Giants 28-6. They outgained New York by nearly +3.0 YPP with the offense averaging over 6.0 YPP. These 2 met here in Minneapolis last season and SF was a 6 point favorite and lost outright 22-17. It wasn’t a fluke as the Vikes outgained the Niners by 127 yards in that game. This is absolutely one of the toughest road venues for opposing teams in the NFL. The Vikings have been solid money makers as home underdogs going 20-11 ATS their last 31 in that role and dating all the way back to 1980, Minnesota has cashed almost 60% of the time when getting points at home. SF played nearly a perfect game on Sunday night. Can they do it again on the road on a short week with a multitude of injuries? We don’t think so. This one stays close and we’ll take the points.

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                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #43
                            Mike Lundin

                            BUCS/LIONS NFL FREE PICK

                            The Tampa Bay Buccaneers kicked off the season with a 37-20 win over the Washington Commanders, while the Detroit Lions edged out the Chargers 26-20 in their opener.

                            I think the betting market is seriously undervaluing the Bucs in this matchup. They’re well-coached and have an offense that can go toe-to-toe with almost any team in the NFL.

                            If the Chargers were able to find gaps in Detroit's defense, there's no reason Baker Mayfield and the Bucs can't do the same.

                            3% PLAY ON THE BUCS+7.5 -105

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                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #44
                              ProSportsPicks

                              PSP Data Driven 1* Free Pick: Jaguars-3 -112

                              At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.
                              Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

                              Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Jacksonville are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in September. Cleveland are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Jacksonville.

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                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #45
                                Jeff Alexander

                                1* NFL - Chargers/Panthers FREE PICK on Panthers +5.5 -108

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