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Sunday 9/15/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Colorado are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
- Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado.
- Chi Cubs are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the National League West Division.
The Arizona Cardinals improved down the stretch last year once Kyler Murray returned. They built off that positive momentum all offseason and should be one of the more improved teams in the NFL. I was impressed with the Cardinals taking the Bills to the brink in a 34-28 road loss last week, covering as 7-point dogs.
Now the Cardinals return for their home opener against the Los Angeles Rams. This isn't the same Rams team as last year that made the playoffs because they have been decimated by injuries, plus their best defensive player in Aaron Donald retired.
The Rams suffered two more injuries to their offensive line in their opener against Detroit and now may be without as many as four starting offensive linemen. Last year's Offensive Rookie of the Year in Puka Nacua suffered a knee injury against the Lions and is out for at least four weeks. The Rams are also dealing with injuries at cornerback on defense.
Despite all these injuries, the Rams managed to take the Lions to OT, but fell short in a 26-20 defeat on Sunday Night Football. The Lions really ran them over in OT with David Montgomery and bully ball. The Cardinals are capable of doing the same thing with James Conner as they want to be a run-first team.
I question how the Rams bounce back mentally from that loss to the Lions. They wanted revenge from their 24-23 playoff loss and came up just short again. Matthew Stafford really wanted it against his former team and played as well as you could expect given the circumstances. I question whether or not he can do it again with all these O-Line injuries and being without Nacua.
Speaking of revenge, the Cardinals want some of it themselves after being owned by Sean McVay over the years. I would almost never beat against McVay when facing the Cardinals because of it. But this is the best Arizona team he has seen in quite some time, and this is one of the worst Rams teams given all their injuries.
I'm expecting this line to climb due to these injuries as we get closer to Sunday, so getting Arizona -1 on Wednesday is a nice value currently. Bet the Cardinals Sunday.
The defending Super Bowl Champs started their season with a hard fought prime time win vs Baltimore and could easily follow that up with a letdown performance here vs a an opponent that choked against under rated New England in week 1 action and is badly looking for redemption. . Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow in his NFL career against sides like KC coming off a SU/ATS vcitroy , is 7-0 SU/ATS away. Im betting that the Bengals keep this game closer than the line might indicate. This game screams FG victory and it might not be the favorite taking the cheese.
You might be thinking right now. What am I doing taking the Bengals who lost to the Patriots last week? Well, here's why..
The Bengals are much better than they played last week. They've got the talent to beat any team in the NFL and I expect them to give the Chiefs so
me problems here today. Before last week, there was worry that Cincy wasn't going to be all that strong with the Ja'Marr Chase contract issues. That being said, I don't expect that to be a problem this week. They know that the Chiefs are their biggest threats if they want a chance at glory. They also do not want to fall to 0-2 on the season as they are in one of the toughest divisions in football. Just like I said in my Ravens writeup last week, I believe that this is a more important game for the team in the tougher division. The Chiefs will practically solidify their spot in the playoffs with a win here already with how easy their divisional play should be. Expect the Bengals to keep this one close and maybe even pull off the upset late in this game against Kansas City.
Joe Burrow just doesn't look right with his injured wrist. The Bengals managed just 224 yards and 10 points against the Patriots at home in Week 1. He was without Tee Higgins and will be without him again. Ja'Marr Chase isn't up to full speed after sitting out camp. The Bengals don't have Joe Mixon any more to bail them out. I think the Bengals will struggle again offensively against what has become one of the better defenses in the NFL in the Chiefs. Kansas City won't have Hollywood Brown as he just hit the IR. The Chiefs will give Isaiah Pacheco a heavy workload knowing they can get what they want on the ground against a Cincinnati defense that no longer has run stuffer DJ Reader. The Patriots had a lot of success on the ground against them last week. I think the Chiefs get a lead and try and sit on it as they usually do in the 2H to really eat up clock with long, extended drives that many times end up in FG's. Give me the UNDER.
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