Saturday 9/21/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    Saturday 9/21/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #2
    Race of the Week: Gulfstream's Princess Rooney | Saturday


    September 18, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

    The Lead:
    Named for the Hall of Fame mare and inaugural 1984 Breeders' Cup Distaff winner, the Princess Rooney Stakes is one of America's most important races in the BC Filly & Mare Sprint division. Past winners like Dream Supreme, Gold Mover and Musical Romance line its history, and more recently include BC Filly & Mare Sprint winner Ce Ce as well as last year's third-place finisher Three Witches.

    Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can enjoy up to a $10 money-back special promo on the Princess Rooney Stakes. Get up to $10 back if your win bet finishes second or third in Gulfstream's 10th race on Saturday.

    Field Depth:
    MARYQUITECONTRARY and SOUL OF AN ANGEL both are Grade 2 winners as well as Grade 1-placed. PACHOLLI was a Group 1 winner in her native Uruguay. Other stakes winners in the lineup include HAULIN ICE, UNSOLVED MYSTERY and BETH'S DREAM. In terms of strength of schedule, it's a solid advantage to SOUL OF AN ANGEL, the class of the field.
    ​​
    Pace:
    With 10 sprinters matched up over 7 furlongs, look for early speed from COUSIN KRIST, HAULIN ICE and BETH'S DREAM from the inside/outside posts. IMONRA and UNSOLVED MYSTERY also should be forwardly placed in what looks to be a strong tempo. A late-runner should not be compromised.

    Our Eyes:
    Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

    #1-COUSIN KRISTI: New York-bred snapped an 8-race losing streak with a Saratoga state-bred allowance victory August 24. Solid marks in 4 starts at Gulfstream, despite no wins, but her lack of finishing kick will be under pressure late as she stretches out to 7 furlongs for the first time.

    #2-IMONRA: First of 3 Saffie Joseph Jr. trainees in the field as he seeks back-to-back wins in this race after Three Witches' score in the '23 Princess Rooney. Made the lead in the Sheer Drama last out but couldn't see out the 7F when fading behind return rivals Beth's Dream and Maryquitecontrary. Series of races in pursuit of common rivals she'll meet again Saturday make her hard to recommend.

    #3-HAULIN ICE: Three-year-old steps into the elder stakes ranks for the first time, and it's notable that no sophomore has won the Princess Rooney since 1990. Blowout winner of the Azalea over this track in July over the same distance, and it's excusable that she didn't handle the bullring track in the Charles Town Oaks when the beaten favorite. Expect a bounce-back effort as she was 7-for-7 in the exacta prior to that misfire.

    #4-MARYQUITECONTRARY: Late-running local stakes veteran was runner-up by a half-length as favorite in this race a year ago. Her form has soured after multiple trainer changes, winning just 1 of her last 9 after starting her career 6-for-8. Still, she's reliable with honest efforts and will be passing tired horses at a minimum. No match for Beth's Dream in their last 2 at similar trips.

    #5-SOUL OF AN ANGEL: Route specialist will try to cut back with success after facing some of the strongest racemares in the country -- Idiomatic, Randomized, Pretty Mischievous, Raging Sea et al. Strongest of the Saffie Joseph Jr. trio in this lineup, her 1-turn mile romp in the Grade 2 Ruffian at Aqueduct gives plenty of hope that she'll be able to quicken as needed over the shorter trip. Note a marvelous 112 BRIS late pace figure in that one, a move that would tackle this bunch if repeated. Winless on the GP main is the principal concern.

    #6-UNSOLVED MYSTERY: Colonial Downs allowance winner tries Gulfstream for the first time for high percentage trainer Jorge Delgado. The barn took this one over this year and has just the one start under her belt after a well-traveled career that had seen her previous win come in March of 2022, some 12 starts back. Part of the pace; fitness for 7F and the class rise will be tested.

    #7-BATTLE CRY: Wet track and synthetic surface specialist was no match for Beth's Dream and Maryquitecontrary last time out in June. That's her only start of 2024, so it's hard to see this Victor Barboza trainee making a big leap forward unless the track comes up wet. Leonel Reyes won last year's Princess Rooney aboard Three Witches.

    #8-GALLOP D'HERMES: Freaked last out at 16-1 in a sloppy track victory and, like Battle Cry, will be doing a rain dance on Saturday for her best chance. Will be surprised if this 3-year-old can sprint with these and become the first soph to win the Princess Rooney in the last 34 years.

    #9-PACHOLLI: Uruguayan has won 10 of 17 and makes her first US start for trainer Hernan Parra. It's her second international bid, far back 13th in the Godolphin Mile during the Dubai World Cup card in March and not seen since. Primarily was a 9F-10F performer in her native land, so she'll have to prove she can sprint with these. I'll pass.

    #10-BETH'S DREAM: Favored in 10 of her last 12, the local sprint ace has won 6 times in her last 8 starts. Victor Barboza Jr. has kept her in peak form since March and she'll be right into the mix from the outset. She should put away all the other early challenges and will be the target to catch in the final furlong. Hard to knock.

    Most Certain Exotics Contender:
    BETH'S DREAM is 13 for her last 14 in the trifecta and is reliable over the track and distance.

    Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
    No big prices projected in the main mix, though BATTLE CRY on a wet track might get a look for a piece.​

    Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
    $100 exacta SOUL OF AN ANGEL over BETH'S DREAM.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Mohawk Park Metro-Million Pick 3 Analysis


      September 21, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

      XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

      This is the richest night of racing at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The headliners are the Metro Pace and the Mohawk Million, and the supporting cast is also very strong. Races 7-10 are big money stakes which include two Pick 3 sequences that will be my focus.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 7 Metro Pace Final-$1,000,000 Purse (9:15 PM EST)

      5-Fallout (5/2)-Did get a cozy trip, but when asked, exploded down the lane to roll by in its Elimination. Won't be 7-1 here but could offer some value. Tim Tetrick should have the Tony Alagna pupil close to the leaders at the top of the lane. Draws a choice post and will look for the upswing to continue at a fair price.

      Race 8-Shes A Great Lady Final-$532,000 Purse (9:44 PM EST)

      2-Chantilly (3/5)-Might not have the pedigree of others. But the Nick Gallucci freshman filly is a perfect 6 for 6, and didn't do it with mirrors. Looks solid to make it 7 for 7 at Mohawk with regular pilot James MacDonald in the bike.

      Race 9-Canadian Trotting Classic Final-$713,000 Purse (10:13 PM EST)

      1-Paquet (6-1)-Looking for someone who could upset if the fractions are extra spicy, and the probable odds-on chalk Highland Kismet gets a taxing journey trying to stay on the point throughout. Jody Jamieson needs an alert beginning and to be within reach of the leaders around the last turn. If so, the Muscle Mass colt closed in 26.1 in the Elim and probably has more to give.
      4-Highland Kismet (6/5)-Karl is thought of as the best 3-year-old trotter, but the margin could be shrinking and there are still some big stakes on the calendar. Kismet is a perfect 2 for 2 since the trotting hopples have stayed in the barn. He was very good before the equipment change, could be getting better and this is his race to lose.

      Race 7-8-9 $10 Pick 3

      5/2/1,4
      Total Bet=$20

      Race 10-Mohawk Million-$1,000,000 Purse (10:45 PM EST)

      2-Maryland (9/5)-Won the Wellwood at Wbsb, went off at 17-1, drew off by over 4 lengths and looked like a 2/5 shot. Then shipped to Hoosier for the Haughton, was bet down to 6/5, and performed great again. The Marcus Melander trainee has been dominant in the last 2 races leaving from post 8 and 9. Has booked over $575,000 so far and appears to be getting better.

      Race 8-9-10 $10 Pick 3

      2/1,4/2
      Total Bet=$20

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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Churchill Downs - Race #8
        #5 My Mane Squeeze She has run into some tough customers over the course of her career, and she has some finishing ability in a race full of pressing types. Could see her getting last laugh.
        #7 Manama Gold Think she's better than what we've seen from her so far in the States, but the cutback should work in her favor with a trip waiting for her right up top. In the mix, especially if she winds up on the front end?
        #8 Legadema She can stay better than she did last out, and she might be in a great spot to spy the speed and let the slightly quicker players make their moves and then just tag along.
        Race Summary My Mane Squeeze has been in some much tougher spots and should be able to handle this group while tracking the pace throughout. Think she'll be a handful.
        Churchill Downs - Race #10
        #4 Little Jamie Wonder if she has a little midrange price appeal in here while sitting right up on the splits but letting one or two of the quicker players do the dirtiest early work. Possible if she gets a chance to fight late.
        #12 Miss Justify She's supposed to be tough in here while dropping out of Grade I company, and getting to something like the two-back run would probably do the trick today. Overbet threat?
        #13 Letstalkaboutme She had been pretty honest while nibbling before the graduation run last time out, and she might not be impossibly far off this group at a solid price on the board.
        Race Summary Little Jamie could end up in a perfect spot to get first jump, and she has shown a bit of grit in the stretch in recent starts despite coming up just short.
        Churchill Downs - Race #11
        #2 Pahoehoe D'Oro Get a look at her on the tote and track ahead of this, but I'm not sold on the overall depth of this race and think she's probably coming into it nicely enough to be a player.
        #11 Undercover She's one of the clear threats today, but she's a forward player in a spot with a handful of other speedy types who don't love to finish. She looks best and draws best of those types, but I wonder if she's vulnerable to getting scooped up late.
        #4 Milven Didn't believe myself quite enough to put her on top, but I think there might be enough upside here to be interesting on the move to the main track. A clean getaway would help the cause, and maybe she comes alive late after some of the others battle early? Price will be right.
        Race Summary Pahoehoe D'Oro goes first out and might be ready enough, and I'm hoping he'll find a decent spying spot to avoid being part of the hassle early. #3 Just a Coed has a right to be better here after chasing an easy winner and heading to the bench in December.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #5
          Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


          Laurel Park - Race #2
          #7 WAR MASTER (6-1) Gets class relief, should go well in third start this year for Ness.
          #3 PATIENT CAPITAL (5-1) Steady allowance check-getter prior to race he was claimed.
          #8 MARGIE’S FUN SON (9-5 Seven-time runner-up’s lone win this year was in five-horse field.
          Race Summary WAR MASTER rallied in a three-turn sprint at speed-favoring Timonium in his seasonal debut, then was no factor in a faster-paced and higher-tagged turf route. He’s in the right spot today to spring a mild surprise. Bet to win and place and play a 7/3,8/ALL trifecta.
          Laurel Park - Race #3
          #2 PRIMED TO GO (8-5) Ran well on Laurel lawn as a 2yo, runs first-time tagged in third start at 3yo.
          #5 GOLD ASPEN (2-1) Dueled long way, got caught by 74-1 first-time starter in lone try on the lawn.
          #3 STARLIFTER (8-1) Has been stuck in ‘third’ gear in his last five starts, all going long on the turf.
          Race Summary PRIMED TO GO followed the 3-wide move of Derbyness (3-10, $118k) when second on his prior visit to Laurel Park in a turf route. He earned his top two speed figures at Monmouth and Saratoga in his last two starts. Bet to win and place.
          Laurel Park - Race #7
          #1 LAFITTE’S FLEET (5-1) Discount latest, must stay in closer contact and negotiate traffic from rail.
          #8 GROUP HUG (2-1) Hard-hitting sprinter starts fresh off the claim, breezed 4F in :48-1/5.
          #2 CACTUS (12-1) Snapped winless drought in turf sprint, remains hot at the claim box.
          Race Summary LAFITTE’S FLEET makes his first start in two months for a top-notch layoff and claim barn. The 7-year-old has plenty of back-class to summon as he seeks his first win in his sixth start this year. Bet to win and place and play a 1-2-8 exacta box.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Albuquerque
            PURCHASE
            Albuquerque - Race 8 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta / Third Leg Pick 4 First Half Late Daily Double
            Stakes • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 99 • Purse: $50,000 • Post: 4:25P
            QUARTER HORSE 870Y, LIP CHIP DISTANCE CHALLENGE S. - GRADE 2 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND OLDER, WHICH HAVE QUALIFIED FOR THE LIP CHIP LLC DISTANCE CHALLENGE FINALS. $10,000 ADDED BY THE AQHA CHALLENGE PURSE FUND / $40,000 ADDED BY THE DOWNS AT ALBUQUERQUE. ESTIMATE GROSS PURSE $60,000.00. REFER TO DETAILS AT AQHA.COM/RACING FOR DETAILS. THREE YEARS OLD.126 LBS. OLDER.128 LBS. CHALLENGE ELIGIBLE QUARTER HORSES ONLY.
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * THE GRAND LEGEND: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a pos t position next to it gets out of the gate fast. NICOS FIRST CARTEL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. KJ LEADER OFTHE PACK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (d irt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
            1 THE GRAND LEGEND 2/1 5/2
            3 NICOS FIRST CARTEL 8/1 4/1
            7 KJ LEADER OFTHE PACK 5/1 7/1

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            1 THE GRAND LEGEND 1 2/1 Fast 92 100 3.0 0.0 0.0
            2 UP THE SCORE 2 8/1 Average 89 75 3.7 0.0 0.0
            3 NICOS FIRST CARTEL 3 8/1 Average 110 96 4.2 0.0 0.0
            4 DANCE THE DUST OFF 4 4/1 Slow 83 81 6.1 0.0 0.0
            5 LETHAL FAST MAN 5 8/1 Average 68 63 4.8 0.0 0.0
            6 VOLCOMS FAVORITE 6 6/1 Fast 87 80 2.8 0.0 0.0
            7 KJ LEADER OFTHE PACK 7 5/1 Fast 92 89 2.8 0.0 0.0
            8 HIGH ON CUERVO 8 10/1 Average 80 76 4.3 0.0 0.0
            9 LEWIE GOTTA GO 9 15/1 Average 65 57 4.9 0.0 0.0
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park
              PURCHASE
              Lone Star Park - Race 5 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
              Claiming $10,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 68 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 7:53P
              QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BLINDING LIGHTS B: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 ya rds if a Quarter Horse race). THIS CHICS A ZOOMER: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THIS LADYS TEMPTING: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and n o horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). GOODTIME IN TEXAS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Spee d Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
              10 BLINDING LIGHTS B 8/1 4/1
              4 THIS CHICS A ZOOMER 5/2 6/1
              3 THIS LADYS TEMPTING 6/1 8/1
              8 GOODTIME IN TEXAS 12/1 9/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              1 MOONIN THE ACE 1 10/1 Average/Trouble-prone 64 61 0.0 0.0 0.0
              2 AREASONFORACOCKTAIL 2 5/1 Average 70 57 4.4 0.0 0.0
              3 THIS LADYS TEMPTING 3 6/1 Fast 66 65 3.0 0.0 0.0
              4 THIS CHICS A ZOOMER 4 5/2 Average 71 66 6.0 0.0 0.0
              5 RUNNIN LEGEND 5 12/1 Fast 64 56 1.1 0.0 0.0
              6 MOES ARCTIC BLAST 6 10/1 Average 58 61 4.3 0.0 0.0
              7 SEPARATIST CORONA 7 7/2 Slow 62 61 6.3 0.0 0.0
              8 GOODTIME IN TEXAS 8 12/1 Average 71 62 4.7 0.0 0.0
              9 LA CATRINA MARY 9 15/1 Average 64 56 0.0 0.0 0.0
              10 BLINDING LIGHTS B 10 8/1 Slow 69 78 7.5 0.0 0.0
              11 AGS RUNAWAY 11 10/1 Average 62 58 0.0 0.0 0.0
              12 FLIRTY GIRL 12 10/1 Slow 70 52 7.4 0.0 0.0
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

                PURCHASE
                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.



                Race 5 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 70

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR AB BREDS THAT HAVE NEVER WON FIVE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 5 FULLOUT FIRE 8/5
                # 1 BIG IRISH 2/1
                # 4 QUALITY GRANDSON 3/1
                I back FULLOUT FIRE here. Is worth careful consideration and may be a bet - strong speed figures (67 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Rocha has a win percent of 15 over the last 30 days. He has been running soundly lately while recording very strong Equibase Speed Figures. BIG IRISH - Has earned strong Equibase Speed Figs in dirt sprint races in the past. This horse enters today's race now going off Lasix. QUALITY GRANDSON - Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 56 - of his last effort.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                  PURCHASE





                  Laurel - Race #10 - Post: 4:48pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 49

                  Rating:

                  #4 REMEMBERING LIZZY (ML=9/5)
                  #7 FLORINA (ML=8/1)


                  REMEMBERING LIZZY - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Alvelo gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. Alvelo comes to saddle up after getting to know the filly in the last race. FLORINA - Faced tougher last time out at Colonial Downs. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of strong contenders. A horse coming back this soon after a solid effort is a good signal. Trainer, Gutierrez, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #8 EVALINA (ML=3/1), #5 MY VANILLA (ML=4/1), #3 NEED A MIRACLE (ML=6/1),

                  EVALINA - Don't think that this filly has value at 3/1 this time out. MY VANILLA - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance affairs of late. Improbable to see her doing it this time around either. NEED A MIRACLE - Hard to take this steed at the odds after the finish (fifth) in the last affair. Doubtful that the speed rating she notched on Aug 23rd will hold up in this race.

                  GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - REMEMBERING LIZZY - This filly finished third at low odds in her first career start. Look for her to do well versus these ponies.


                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #4 REMEMBERING LIZZY to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,7]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: 4 with 7 with [5,6,8] Total Cost: $3
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 41

                    FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS.
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 3 NATIVE SPEED 3/1
                    # 9 ATLAS LOVE 10/1
                    # 6 LA LLORONCITA 15/1
                    NATIVE SPEED has a respectable shot to take this race. Looks to beat this group if you believe at all in pedigree - big sire progeny edge having Believe in Royalty as this filly's father. The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this filly. This trainer is strong with starters in baby races. LA LLORONCITA - Has to be worth a bet based on the sire's (Harlan's Pure) offspring very good win rate - 23 percent.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Prairie Meadows - Race #9 - Post: 9:26pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,500 Class Rating: 57

                      Rating:

                      #4 BOX A ROCKS (ML=8/1)
                      #3 ODE TO MY BRO BOB (ML=7/2)
                      #5 P R MO VISION (ML=3/1)
                      #6 WAR ECHO (ML=12/1)


                      BOX A ROCKS - After the race aboard this horse on Sep 1st, the rider is going to be in touch with the gelding much better. This gelding is in first-rate form right now. Ran third last race out and comes back promptly. ODE TO MY BRO BOB - This gelding is in fine condition. Ran third on Aug 24th. This horse could be tough this time, especially since Jordan rode in the last race and now should be familiar with this one. Last out on August 24th was a good tune-up for today. Got respectable betting action in that one, but finished third. Have to give a better effort in this race. For my money, a bullet workout is the best indicator of readiness there is. Look at that last one - 48.3. Very impressive. P R MO VISION - A racer coming back this rapidly after a strong effort is a good omen. Gelding ran well at big odds when he made his bow Sep 1st. When a thoroughbred drops at least 5 pounds (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but its possible this could make the difference. WAR ECHO - Tohill rode this horse for the initial time last out and comes right back in today's contest.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #8 FOOLS CONVERSATION (ML=5/2), #1 INSTANT KARMA (ML=5/1), #2 STRAIGHT DROPBILLY (ML=6/1),

                      FOOLS CONVERSATION - This probable favorite hasn't visited the track in awhile. No workouts since last race. This vulnerable equine ran a mediocre speed figure in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will probably get beat in today's race running that fig. INSTANT KARMA - Last performed on August 24th at Prairie Meadows, finishing fourth. Not likely to advance off of that try in today's race. STRAIGHT DROPBILLY - Last ran on Sep 1st at Prairie Meadows, finishing fourth. Not likely to perk up off of that performance in today's event. Tough to invest in any horse in a sprint race at 6/1 when he hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last couple months. The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this horse as a questionable contender.
                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 BOX A ROCKS is the play if we get odds of 9/2 or better
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4] Box [4,6]
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                      SUPER HI 5 WAGERS: Pass
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