Friday 10/18/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:13 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 18, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

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Yonkers Raceway begins the weekend with a 10-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 7, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

1-Cantkeepmiasecret (9/2)- Drops into a soft spot and could offer a square price. Probably needs to lead from start to finish to cash the top check. Best to respect, there isn't a lot of gate speed in this field.
6-Crazyland (2-1)-Hasn't taken a picture since 7-5 and makes it 2nd straight start at this level. Raced evenly in last from post 8. My take is Jason Bartlett has the pedal down and attempts to go gate to wire. That plan could work but the price should be small.

Race 8 (9:20 PM EST)

5-Ultimate Speed (7/2)-Fits and has been in the hunt with this kind. Likes to race near the top of the stack and ANap should be there shortly after the wings fold. Has 9 wins in 33 starts this year and does good work at YR as well, capturing 8 wins in 32 appearances. The price should be fair, and could be difficult to tackle.

Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

2-Front Page Story (2-1)-Emptied the tank leaving from post 8 to get on the point into a .55 opening half. That trip took its toll but tonight should be different. The plan will be the same but this field doesn't appear very salty and George Brennan should work a less taxing journey this time.

Race 10 (10:00 PM EST)

5-That'smytype (8-1)-This mare does better when it gets off the gate and has a chance to take charge early on tonight. Willing to fade the 6/5 choice, #2 Badittude who will be a tiny price. Jim Marohn could land in the pocket behind the chalk and roll by down the lane.
6-Rocknroll Annie (10-1)-Gets some class relief and comes off 2 aggressive tries. Hasn't won in a long time but is another who could get a close-up seat. Should be a big price and will use in a race that feels like the chalk may get beat.

$5.00 Late Pick 4

1,6/5/2/5,6
Total Bet=$20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:13 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita | Friday

October 18, 2024

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Pick-6 Carryover Analysis and Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita

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Santa Anita 3rd Race – Post: 2:00 PT. Degree of confidence: A-
Main Ticket: 6-Winds of Freedom
Backups: 7-A Votre Sante

Forecast: After beating maiden $50,000 foes with authority last month at Del Mar (and improving his Beyer speed figure by 17 months off his debut performance), Winds of Freedom is properly protected in this starter’s allowance affair and is listed at 4/5 on the morning line. An extremely healthy work tab (four breezes since raced) and a decided edge on numbers, the D. O’Neill-trained colt looks very much like a logical, short priced single. For those who’d prefer protection on a ticket or two, A Votre Sante should be given consideration. He’s not as fast on figure as our top pick but shows a rising pattern and is drawn comfortably outside. With another forward move, he could make a run for it.

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Santa Anita – 4th race - Post: 2:30 PT. Degree of confidence: A-
Main Ticket: 6-Call Me Sir
Backups: 1-Keep Dancin Nick; 2-King of Dragons

Forecast: Here’s another logical short priced single. Call Me Sir didn’t get the best of trips when veering in sharply at the break to cause interference and then being forced wide early from an outside draw in a similar maiden state-bred turf miler for juveniles at Del Ma. Despite all that, he stayed on nicely to be second in a strong second outing performance, with further improvement expected with added experience. He’ll add blinkers today, and with a similar effort minus the trouble the Sir Prancealot colt should be set to graduate but won’t offer much value. Those seeking protection can use the possible pacesetter (and first time router) Keep Dancin Nick and King of Dragon, fourth in the same race our top pick exits in his debut and likely to be a factor if he can drop his head and settle down during the early stages.

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Santa Anita 5th Race – Post: 3:00 PT. Degree of confidence: C+
Main Ticket: 5-In Your Life; 1-One Arrow; 3-Looks Lucky; 4-Beauty N the Bolt
Backups: 2-Beautiful Janet

Forecast: Here’s a messy affair restricted (nw-2) $16,000 older fillies and mares over a mile on the main track. There a several legitimate possibilities but nothing to trust, so we’ll go four deep on our main track and hope to survive and advance. In Your Life got a confidence building win at Los Alamitos with a career top speed figure and has trained well since, so with another forward move the P. Eurton-trained filly has a legitimate chance to score right back. One Arrow was visually quite pleasing breaking her maiden at this trip two runs back at Del Mar but then was in too tough when dropping out of it at the head of the lane in a much stronger starter’s allowance affair over the Del Mar. Back on dirt and realistically spotted, the N. Drysdale-trained daughter of Munnings should be able to return to good form at this level. Looks Lucky has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern, tackles a softer field, and has numbers that are headed in the right direction. She projects to be prominent throughout and have every chance. Beauty N the Bolt

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Santa Anita 6th race – Post: 3:30 PT. Degree of confidence: B+
Main Ticket: 4-Gem Mine
Backups: 7-Collectmythoughts.

Forecast: Gem Mine is winless in six starts over the Santa Anita lawn but at least she hit the board in three of those outings, so it’s not like she can’t handle it. Most effective when she settles into a stalking, second flight position, the veteran daughter of Kantharos has been freshened for two months but has run well off similar layoffs in the past, so we expect a top performance from the R. Baltas-trained mare in a starter optional claimer that came up fairly soft. She’s solid on numbers and project to be along in time. As a back-up, you should consider Collectmythoughts somewhere on your ticket. She had nothing behind her in a 13 length from optional $40,000 maiden claimers at Los Alamitos last month, but she earned a strong speed figure, and her pedigree suggests she can move up on grass.

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Santa Anita 7th Race – Post: 4:00 PT. Degree of confidence: B-
Main Ticket: 7-Windribbon; 6-Special Club
Backups: 5-California Tiger; 1-Bee Eye Gee

Forecast: Windribbon was left at the gate and eliminated in his last outing at Del Mar in early September but miraculously rallied to be third, beaten less than three lengths, in a similar state-bred optional claimer while obviously best. Let’s home he breaks with his field from his cozy outside draw and then have his chance to seal the deal. He’s an eight time winner (from 40 starts) and that gives him a very respectable 20% lifetime win rate. Special Club exits a hot race, shows the route-to-sprint angle, and has numbers that fit. Top rider J. Hernandez stays aboard and knows him well. California Tiger, first or second in five of eight career starts over the Santa Anita main track, and Bee Eye Gee couldn’t take advantage of a perfect trip missing by a neck at this level last time out but he’s produced a forward move according to his speed figures in each of his four starts, so further improvement – enough to make him dangerous – is likely.

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Santa Anita 8th race – Post: 3:30 PT. Degree of confidence: B-
Main Ticket: 1-Upcharge; 4-Last Elizabethan; 9-Above All Else
Backups none.

Forecast: We’ll try to get by using just two in the nightcap, but it’s truly a wide open affair so perhaps the best advice is to use as many as your budget allows. Upcharge is a grinder without any turn of foot, but she’s guaranteed a ground-saving trip and will greatly appreciate this drop from maiden to maiden claimer. She has numbers than can win, so there should be no excuses. Above All Else is drawn farther out than we’d prefer but she’s another showing up in a seller for the first time and removes blinkers, two of our favorite angles.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:14 AM

Keeneland Pick 4 for Friday, Oct. 18

October 18, 2024 | By Frank Carulli

KEENELAND PICK 4
Friday, October 18, 2024

The sun set fast for bettors who played the Late Pick 4 at Keeneland last Friday. A pair of 22-1 winners wiped out most of the tickets in the $407,343 pool. But those who survived were rewarded with a $4,300 payout for a 50-cent wager and a share of one million reward points in 1/ST BET’s Hit & Split Promo. With 10 or more entrants in each race this Friday, Oct. 18, it could be more of the same. Here’s a look at the action:

KEE 7th race (4:12 p.m. EST) -- SERAPHIA, a $1 million sales buy, debuts from post 12 for Asmussen off a series of strong 5F workouts at Churchill Downs recently. The daughter of Hall of Fame inductee Gun Runner (12-19, $15.9 million) is out of the dam Temptress, who produced multiple graded stakes winner and millionaire Tenfold. MAP OUT’s work tab is comparable to Seraphia and she hails from a barn that had three wins and a second from its first five starters at the meet. Morning-line favorite NOSLEEPTILBROOKLYN showed marked improvement in her second start but lacked stretch kick against two next-out winners. BRAVE SAMANTHA was in range of the leaders for a half mile in two long sprints that produced MSW winners at Keeneland. She worked in :48-and-change twice since then and could be in the winning hunt longer in her third start. AMARTH, one of several runners bumped at the start in a heavily-bet debut, settled in mid-pack and made no impact after approaching the stretch in the 7-path. However, four rivals exited that race and finished out of the money, with a top Beyer of 56.

KEE 8th race (4:44 p.m. EST) -- HOWBOUTTHEMAPPLES was ‘out-finished’ when third in her last two grass sprints, but the $250k turf earner adds blinkers and could upgrade to a win, fresh off a :35-1/5, fastest-of-38 workout at Palm Meadows training center. GOLDEN HOSTESS, G-1 placed on the lawn in South Africa, shortens up to 5-1/2F and gets the class test for a barn that is 6-21 with North America arrivals. She gets Lasix, gets Gaffalione to ride and makes the ticket at a good price. PORT TOWNSEND won on firm and soft footing, from on and off the pace on the Fair Grounds lawn before she chased a fast pace and faded in a Grade 3 stakes last out.

KEE 9th race (5:16 p.m. EST) -- PARADISE CITY impressed in her debut at Gulfstream Park. She tucked in behind the pace-setting favorite, switched to the 2-path just in time and won a stretch-long duel against a rival who improved her Beyer speed figure by 19 points after a near miss first out. Her dam was a Grade 2-winning router and her trainer is 23 percent with the sprint-to-route and repeat angles. Make her today’s solo play in the Pick 4. (If she is scratched, use #1 QUINN’S PROMISE in her place.)

KEE 10th race (5:48 p.m. EST) -- Using several double-digit longshots in this one-mile turf allowance. SEA SINGER brushed the side of the stall, was in tight and steadied along the way and rallied to within 2 lengths of West Hollywood, who came back to win the Grade 3 Saranac by 5-1/2 lengths. WILL TAKE IT’S lone try on the turf was a good one. He benefited from a fast pace but sustained a stretch rally to just miss after he was floated to the 6-path. He finished behind a next-out stakes runner-up and ahead of two allowance winners. LEGITIMIZE made a successful trip from Tampa Bay Downs to Saratoga, setting the pace ‘under a hold’ and fending off the 2-to-5 favorite to remain perfect in two starts. SUMMER IN ADRIANE just missed in her lone turf route attempt and, despite drawing post 12, the son of multiple Grade 1-winning router Lemon Drop Kid (10-24, $3.2 million) can use his speed well in this spot. THOMAS AQUINAS can be closer to the pace from an inner post draw, too. He dug into the margin of the 2-1 winner in the stretch in a double-key grass route two back. FRONTLINE WARRIOR gets blinkers and gets a break from stakes company at his maiden-breaking distance. MOUNT RUNDLE, idle 14 months, ran okay off a long layoff last year and bid 4-wide to a brief stretch lead in a 1-1/4-mile marathon in his latest turf allowance.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket

KEE 7th Race: 2, 9, 10, 12
KEE 8th Race: 1, 4, 6
KEE 9th Race: 8
KEE 10th Race: 2, 3, 6, 8, 10, 11, 12

Cost: $42

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:16 AM

Jeremy Plonk: 10 Oklahoma Classics Day Races in 10 Sentences

October 17, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

Remington Park hosts Friday night’s 32nd renewal of the Oklahoma Classics, a full-card celebration of the state’s best Thoroughbreds, and we’ve got your express preview and picks for the 10 coming attractions.

Here goes (in chronological order):

1. Remington Park Race 1, 7:30 pm ET | #9 Artistic Vision and #12 Smart Okie split the local preps for the OK Classics Filly & Mare Starter Stakes, but give a look to #1 Gee Gee (10-1 morning line), who goes second off the layoff and exits a tough foundation builder.

2. Remington Park Race 2, 7:59 pm ET | Now age 8, #5 Absaroka (3-1 morning line) fits better in the OK Classics Starter Stakes than the main event, the Classics Cup, a race he won in 2021 and was third in a year ago.

3. Remington Park Race 3, 8:28 pm ET | With 3 races under her belt, including a win vs. open company allowance sprinters 9 days ago, #9 Afternoon Diva (6-1 morning line) has more foundation than her OK Classics Lassie rivals for the 6-furlong extension.

4. Remington Park Race 4, 8:57 pm ET | The OK Classics Juvenile cast includes several light work tabs since these prospects’ last races, but that’s not the case for hard-trained #11 Cold Fact (6-1 morning line) for local dominators Stewart Elliott-Steve Asmussen.

5. Remington Park Race 5, 9:27 pm ET | Six of the 7 OK Classics Distaff Turf competitors exit the Bob Barry Memorial Stakes, but the new face in the race could quicken the tempo, which would most help the improving #6 C W Charm (5-1 morning line).

6. Remington Park Race 6, 9:57 pm ET | #7 Nice Neighbor (5-2 morning line) was runner-up in last year’s OK Classics Distaff Sprint and holds the edge over #4 Take Me Serious while benefitting from a cozy, outside draw.

7. Remington Park Race 7, 10:26 pm ET | The headline horse on the card goes in the OK Classics Distaff as #6 Miss Code West (3-5 morning line) was 2023’s Horse of the Meeting and returned here last month for a clear second in the $200,000 Remington Park Oaks vs. open company.

8. Remington Park Race 8, 10:58 pm ET | #2 Fly to the Bank aims for a third straight OK Classics Sprint title, but he’s been the bridesmaid more often than not lately, opening the door for the lightly raced upstart #5 Breakable Code (7-2 morning line).

9. Remington Park Race 9, 11:30 pm ET | Discovery Handicap runner-up Winters Lion ships in from Kentucky for Joe Sharp, but #2 C W Prize (6-1 morning line) has been the best state-bred sprinter on the grounds this season, and I like the bold try to go for the $175,000.OK Classics Cup with a chance to be loose on the lead over 1-1/16 miles.

10. Remington Park Race 10, 12:02 am ET | The OK Classics Turf should be a showdown of last year’s winner Eakly and 2022 winner #4 Tap the Dot (2-1 morning line), the latter a rallying head better in the local prep and likely to enjoy the additional distance Friday night.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:18 AM

Race of the Week: FL Sire Stakes Susan's Girl at Gulfstream

October 17, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Another nice $720 score here in the Race of the Week space in the West Virginia Breeders Classic last Saturday leads us into this week's stakes play at Gulfstream Park. The second round of the Florida Sire Stakes series features the Affirmed division for the colts & geldings as well as the Susan's Girl for the fillies. Both series got underway in September over 6 furlongs and both races extend to 7 furlongs on Saturday. Expect Rated By Merit to dominate Race 8 in the Affirmed, so my focus will be the Race 11 Susan's Girl.

Horseplayers with Xpressbet and 1/ST BET take advantage of up to $10 back if your win bet in either FSS race at Gulfstream this Saturday finishes second or third.

Field Depth:
Five of the 7 entered have stakes experience with WIN N YOUR IN and R MORNING BREW stakes winners. Four of these rematch from the FSS Desert Vixen last month.

Pace:
R MORNING BREW led virtually coast to coast in both of her starts and should be pushed up from by inside-drawn WIGGLE AN' WINE and ROGUDE DIAMOND. Who can finish off the additional furlong tells the tale.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-WIGGLE AN' WINE: Runner-up behind Saturday return rivals WIN N YOUR IN and R MORNING BREW, there's concern the additional distance won't aid the Jose Pinchin trainee. But what I do like is that she's had 4 workouts since the FSS Desert Vixen, compared to 2-3 for the others. That tells me she bounced out of it great and her bullet drill October 4 provides real optimism.

#2-ROGUE DIAMOND: Hawthorne debut winner for high-percentage Larry Rivelli outfit brings more speed to the mix in her FSS series unvelling. Weak 65 BRIS late pace figure in the 5-furlong victory while ridden out doesn't inspire confidence adding a quarter-mile to the trip.

#3-WIN N YOUR IN: Sharp Susan Stakes winner was odds-on favorite in the FSS series opener and gave way to a distant third. Appeared in front wraps for the first time in that one for trainer Carlos David. Trio of quick works at Palm Meadows since. She's not fast enough to get the lead, and I'd like to see Miguel Vasqeuz take her a bit farther off the pace. She's got a couple of BRIS late pace figures in races before the FSS Desert Vixen that would make her a late threat -- but she can't chase too close like last time.

#4-DON'T FOOL WITH ME: No match for R MORNING BREW in 2 prior matchups, but rebounded against easier competition to break her maiden Sept. 29. The only FSS Desert Vixen alumna in this race to have raced since, sos Kathleen O'Connell could see improvement with more foundation. Prefer others.

#5-R MORNING BREW: Romping FSS Desert Vixen winner has scored both starts by 10 combined lengths without being challenged late. She's been strong on the back end of those 6-furlong races both visually and in BRIS late pace figures. Her regression will be necessary for others to get into the mix. She has had only 2 workouts since the Sept. 7 first round of the series, fewest of any returnee, and took 22 days to get back onto the tab.

#6-I'MALWAYSTHINKING: Muddy track debut winner August 30 in a modest time takes a big step up in competition and quality. Trainer Michael Yates should get the FSS Affirmed trophy with Rated by Merit, but this figures a much bigger ask.

#7-KIP THE DISTANCE: Most experienced member of the field makes her seventh start and actually cuts back from 1 mile (8 furlongs) to 7 furlongs. Early season juvenile won her second start in May, but doesn't have a lot to show for it since.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
WIN N YOUR WIN will get pace to track and has shown consistency over 4 starts at 3 distances.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
WIGGLE AN' WINE with 4 works since the last race could step up at a fair price.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$75 exacta WIN N YOUR IN over R MORNING BREW. $25 exacta WIN N YOUR IN over WIGGLE AN' WINE.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:18 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Keeneland - Race #4

#6 Hidden Connection	She has some pretty nice names in the company lines with nothing but stakes races on her page right now, and I'm actually pretty encouraged to see her get another shot on the turf after the flat run at Kentucky Downs. Expecting better.
#7 Lute Warm	No argument here from me, as she's got really reliable finishing form and a sharp four-race winning streak to her name. Capable here, but not sure the price will be much.
#4 Stir Crazy	She got past a few of them in the same common race as the top choice, but she has some room to bounce back off that run with a long string of solid tries before that. In the picture.
Race Summary	Hidden Connection might be the right one to try to beat Lute Warm -- she's a stakes-level competitor who is getting another chance on the turf when it would have been really easy to just move her right back to the main after that last one. I'm interested enough.

Keeneland - Race #9

#6 Mizmalice	She was claimed out of the graduation romp against a modest group last out, but I think she might be able to avoid the worst of the pace battle. Going to make a similarly hopeful case for the next one...
#3 Stable Currency	I like that she was able to get past some horses going short in the debut, giving me at least a little hope that she can relax in a race that appears to have a decent bit of pace. She drilled an obviously bad bunch at Hawthorne last out but might be in the frame with these if she can settle.
#8 Paradise City	Price probably won't be appealing off the sharp debut score at Gulfstream, and she should find herself in a perfect spot to spy the pace while the more one-dimensional players sort things out early.
Race Summary	Mizmalice and Stable Currency are both exiting open-length scores against overmatched groups, but they both have some previous form that suggests they might be able to tap the brakes just enough to avoid getting into a battle early.

Keeneland - Race #10

#8 Legitimize	There isn't a ton of super-serious early pace in here, and he should get a perfect trip just off the flank of the rail runner to get the jump on a few interesting finishing threats. High-upside and high-talent threat.
#1 Devil's Harvest	Inside pace probably won't see this out, but a handful of forward players like this have stuck around and outrun their odds in the last couple weeks here. Hoping he and the top choice cat-and-mouse their way to a one-two run the whole way.
#10 Mount Rundle	Hard to get that excited about him with a bunch of really mild efforts on his page, but he has run well at these shorter types of trips in the past and should be a better fit here than he was last out -- which was in stakes company more than a year ago. Capable player, but feel like the price won't reflect how many things need to go right for him to score.
Race Summary	Legitimize looked really good graduating last out at Saratoga, and he presumably has some upside in the second start back off the layoff. Lots to like except the price.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:19 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #1

#6 CATCH THE KITTEN (6-1)	Exits allowances, just missed a three-peat for a $20,000 tag prior.
#5 VODKATINI (6-1)	In top form, third start of cycle, seeks first win on the grass in fifth try.
#7 GOGOCHANEL (8-5)	Overcame trouble to beat ‘Kitten’ for her third victory on Laurel lawn.
Race Summary	CATCH THE KITTEN plays to a steady beat in turf route races and continues to offer good betting value. She gained on the turn, slipped through on the inside to vie for command in the stretch and faded late at 1-1/16 miles in her last start. The same move could translate to a profitable win and place wager

Laurel Park - Race #2

#3 HATEFUL (7-2)	Tries to recapture mid-season form, runs for cheapest tag of her career.
#9 STORM RATE (3-1)	Two seconds and a third at this level this year, takes the blinkers off.
#8 NO FAKE (6-1)	Rallied into slow pace in shorter sprint, takes confident class hike.
Race Summary	HATEFUL backed off the 8-5 pace setter, worked her way outside for the stretch drive but leveled off. She takes a class drop, finished first or second in half her starts at Laurel Park and should factor again. Bet to win and place and play 3-8 and 3-9 exactas.

Laurel Park - Race #3

#8 COLLECTION DAY (12-1)	Reap the rewards in he upsets this field in third start of a strong cycle.
#4 PIRATE (8-5)	Pletcher shipper has been facing better, but is winless since debut victory last July.
#6 TIGER MOON (9-2)	Lightly-raced but ultra consistent 5yo was beaten fave in his last two starts.
Race Summary	COLLECTION DAY emerged from in between a three-way battle on the final turn with the lead. He couldn’t fend off the late-running winner but he battled to the wire as the favorite. He’s 3-for-7 at Laurel Park and worth a win and place bet. Also play a 4-6-8 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:19 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine
PURCHASE

Woodbine - Race 4	Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / 0.20 Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7) 0.20 Jackpot Power PK6 (Races 4-5-6-7-8-9)/ $1 Swinger
Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $28,600 • Post: 2:41P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. UNDER SURVEILLANCE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * UNDER SURVEILLANCE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in avera ge Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. STAR SCHOLAR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the l ast 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	UNDER SURVEILLANCE	8/1	5/2
9	STAR SCHOLAR	6/5	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	UNDER SURVEILLANCE	2	8/1	Front-runner	91	89	62.0	65.8	59.3
7	WEALLLIKEDHIM	7	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	78	65	74.2	65.6	54.6
3	BENLION	3	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	81	69	58.0	64.8	54.8
8	HARPER CITY	8	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	66	56.4	53.2	42.2
9	STAR SCHOLAR	9	6/5	Alternator/Stalker	75	74	47.2	67.6	62.6
1	SMART ALMASTY	1	4/1	Trailer	81	74	42.2	59.1	52.6
4	ROCK IT RED	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	59	57.0	58.4	44.9
5	TREBUCHET	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	66	56.4	61.6	52.1
6	DIXIE'S FLATTER	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	53	32.0	56.6	42.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
PURCHASE

Camarero - Race 2	Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3
Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 45 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 3:10P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. CASTA DIVA is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CASTA DIVA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SKULL MY LOVE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	CASTA DIVA	4/5	3/1
4	SKULL MY LOVE	3/1	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LA AMOROSA	1	7/2	Front-runner	26	35	25.6	33.2	24.7
3	CASTA DIVA	3	4/5	Stalker	46	45	34.3	43.2	40.7
4	SKULL MY LOVE	4	3/1	Stalker	41	43	28.4	40.8	37.3
5	ROYALTY STAR	5	2/1	Trailer	40	40	19.0	37.9	31.9
2	DULCE LIMONADA	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	41	15	28.4	14.2	5.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:20 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - SO - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST THREE STARTS OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500-10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 RED WIND 3/1
# 14 PAGEANT PRINCESS 4/1
# 1 FLASHY TOO 8/1

RED WIND is the best wager in this race. Must be given a chance based on the strong Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last competition. PAGEANT PRINCESS - Is a very solid contender based on figures recorded lately under today's conditions. Earnings per start in turf route races is solid for this horse. FLASHY TOO - Has been running admirably and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:20 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 550y on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 82

QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 LZ KING OF THE KINGS 3/1
# 5 GOOD LOOKIN PATRIOT 6/1
# 4 JESS LOUISIANA BOO 2/1

LZ KING OF THE KINGS looks like the wager in here. His 77 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Has to be considered - I like the figures from the last race. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group of animals. GOOD LOOKIN PATRIOT - Has to be given a shot for this event if only for the very good speed rating put up in the last outing. Sound average speed figures in longer quarter horse races make this horse a definite contender. JESS LOUISIANA BOO - Has decent speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Earned a strong speed fig last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:21 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,600 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#1 SALTY STARKEY (ML=7/2)

SALTY STARKEY - This horse coming off a nice race in the last month or so is a serious competitor in my humble opinion. After the race aboard this horse on September 21st, the jockey is going to be in tune with the gelding much better. Trainer, Brown, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BIG BOY OVI (ML=3/5), #3 SHUFFLE (ML=6/1), #6 NO CONVERSATION (ML=8/1),

BIG BOY OVI - This questionable contender has been disappointing the public as the favorite time and time again. Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests of late. Unlikely to see him doing it this time either. This mount just hasn't been winning as the chalk. SHUFFLE - In any race of 4 1/2 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been looking good in short distance contests recently. Hasn't been close at all of late. NO CONVERSATION - Don't think this entrant has what it takes to be victorious this time out.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - SALTY STARKEY - This gelding has the speed and the post required on this tight track to run to the lead and never look back.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 SALTY STARKEY is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with 6
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2024, 07:21 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Santa Anita - Race #4 - Post: 2:30pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $54,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating:

#7 THEATRICAL CAT (ML=12/1)
#6 CALL ME SIR (ML=6/5)
#1 KEEP DANCIN NICK (ML=3/1)

THEATRICAL CAT - I like this first time starter mainly because his works for this have been here at Santa Anita. This horse comes out of a solid barn for first-time-starters. Hanson has a very great ROI (+110 pct). CALL ME SIR - The most recent speed fig of 77 is the top last race speed fig in the field. This colt has a ton of ability on the turf. Could be long gone by the time they come out of the final turn. Another way to identify class is earnings per race. This horse has the highest in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish line. With 'blinkers-on' this colt should be very competitive. KEEP DANCIN NICK - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is meeting an easier bunch than last time around the track at Del Mar. It looks like Berrios had to be more familiar with this colt on August 31st when riding him for the initial time. Back on board again today. I'm focusing on the class of this race horse, and this one is the 'classiest' of the bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 KING OF DRAGONS (ML=5/2), #3 DON'T HAVE ANOTHER (ML=8/1),

KING OF DRAGONS - When examining today's class figure, he will have to earn a much better speed rating than last race out to compete in this turf route. DON'T HAVE ANOTHER - I don't have a positive sensation about this mount in this affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #7 THEATRICAL CAT on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7] Box [1,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,6,7] with [1,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] Total Cost: $36