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Hondo’s new racing consultant, aka Mrs. Aitch, came through for him yesterday at Belmont, nailing Great Gracie Dane in the first, while missing with In Her Hey Day in the ninth. Unfortunately, the Rangers weren’t nearly as successful, gagging repeatedly to put the accounts payable at 3,595 groats.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will play ’em again -- 20 units on Harrison and the Rangers.
Play Texas (+130) over St. Louis (Top MLB Play) Starts at 8:00 PM EST
Texas has won 25 of the last 35 games coming off a loss by two runs or less and they have also won 79 of the last 126 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Texas has won 23 of the last 33 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and they have also won 52 of the last 80 games when playing on a Friday.
BYU Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Former conference rivals are set to square off under the Friday Night Lights when the BYU Cougars (6-2, 4-4 ATS) invade Arlington, TX to battle the TCU Horned Frogs (5-2, 4-3 ATS); kick-off from Cowboys Stadium is set to go live on ESPN & ESPN3.com at 8:00 ET.
Since making the change at the QB1 position during halftime against Utah State with Riley Nelson taking over for the ineffective Jake Heaps, the BYU Cougars have won four games in a row. Last week’s 56-3 dismantling of Idaho State saw head coach Bronco Mendenhall’s kids cover their second straight game after going into Corvallis the week before and handing the Oregon State Beavers a 38-28 home defeat as 3.5-point underdogs. BYU has gone into some nasty venues this season (Mississippi, Texas, Oregon State), so a trip to Arlington to play on a neutral field shouldn’t be all that intimidating; the Cougars stand 2-1 SU & ATS as a visitor to date. The Cougars don’t really do anything special offensively, but the defense has allowed an average of just 340.5 YPG (#33) and given up an average of 21.5 PPG (#31) while forcing 18 overall turnovers. BYU has won and covered each of its L/3 neutral field battles.
TCU went down in its season opener in a wild one at Baylor that saw it fall 50-48 in the closing seconds. Coach Gary Patterson’s squad then went on to destroy its next three opponents (Air Force, UL Monroe, Portland State) by the aggregate score of 128-49 before falling in overtime at home against SMU. Since then, the Horned Frogs have gotten back to killing the opposition toppling San Diego State 27-15 as five-point road favorites and New Mexico last week 69-0 as lofty 45-point home chalk. While the defense is a much lesser form than the one that dominated Mountain West opposition en route to a Rose Bowl triumph a year ago, the offense has stolen the spotlight with QB Casey Pachall leading the way. He’s thrown for 1566 yards and sports a TD/INT ratio of 17/4. TCU has only been a double digit favorite in a neutral venue once the L/3 seasons, and failed to cover in that role.
Since dropping back-to back games to the Cougars from 2006-07, TCU has dominated the recent rivalry winning the L/3 games by an average of 28 PPG. BYU checks in a perfect 5-0 ATS its L/5 as an underdog as well as 5-1 ATS its L/6 away from Provo. They are however just 1-5 ATS their L/6 Friday night tussles splitting two earlier bouts ATS this season against UCF & Utah State. TCU stands just 3-3 ATS the L/6 times it was favored in the 10.5-21 point range, 0-3 ATS its L/3 neutral field clashes, and 0-5 ATS its L/5 non-conference bouts. PICK: OVER
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