10-29-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Bob

Vanderbilt (+10) 2-Stars at +10 points or more.
Florida (+3) 2-Stars at +1 or more and for 3-Stars at +3.5 or more.
Hawaii (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Arkansas State (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less.

Strong Opinions

Florida State (-18 1/2) Strong Opinion at -20 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -17 or less.
Georgia Tech (+3 1/2) Strong Opinion at +3 or more.
Auburn (-12) Strong Opinion at -13 or less.
Kansas State (+13.5) Strong Opinion at +12 or more.

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns

8* new mexico +31
9* notre dame -21.5
10* north carolina -6.5
10* ucla +5
10* ohio st +7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Ness Legend - Washington Huskies

[Mr. IWS]

BIG AL McMordie

10* Florida +3

5* Kansas State +14
5* Georgia Tech +4
5* Ohio State +7

4* Florida State -19
4* Nebraska -4
4* Arkansas state -17

3* UTEP +17
3* Louisiana Monroe -6

4* TB Lightning

UFC 137 - BJ Penn

[timbob]

Larry Ness

Conference GOY - Nebraska

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BRANDON LANG

75 dime play - Kansas State + 13 1/2
15 dime play - Hawaii - 7
15 dime play - NC State +18 1/2
15 dime play - Navy + 21 1/2

[Memyself2112]

Wayne Root

Fortune 500 Oklahoma
Billionaire Tulsa
No Limit UCLA
Millionaire GOY Georgia Tech
Millionaire Ohio State
Insider Rutgers

[timbob]

Joe Gavazzi/PPP

6% Game of the Month Lock on HAWAII

[timbob]

PPP

6% Hawaii
5 Va Tech
5 Washington
4 Rutgers
4 Oregon St
4 Kansas St
4 East Caroina
3 NC State
3 Navy
3 Ohio St
3 USC
5 Over Navy
4 Under Louisville
4 Under Utah
3 Over Indiana
3 Under So. Carolina

[timbob]

BURNS

10* N.Y. Rangers...

[timbob]

Larry Ness' 10* CFB Week 9 Goin' Over Total (6-0-1 or 7-0-1 TY!)
My 10* CFB Week 9 Goin' Over Total is on Illinois/Penn St Over at 3:30 ET.

Penn State’s lone loss this year is 27-11 to Alabama and right now, that sure doesn’t look like a “bad loss.” The Nittany Lions are atop the Big Ten’s Leaders Division at 4-0 and with Wisconsin (2-1) playing at Ohio St, a Penn St win over suddenly slumping Illinois (two straight losses after a 6-0 start) could be HUGE. A Penn St win and a Wisconsin loss would put Penn St “in the driver’s seat” of the Leaders Division. Paterno started McGloin at QB last week and he looks like a way better option than Bolden plus RB Redd (869 YR / 5.3 YPC) has four straight 100-yard games, averaging 141.5 YPG (5.5 YPC). The Penn St offense has shown excellent balance the last two weeks (379 yards passing / 387 yards rushing) and with a defense which allows 13.1 PPG (5th) and 281.9 YPG (8th), PSU looks like the play to me. That being said, I’d much rather go ‘Over’ in this game, despite Penn State’s excellent defensive numbers. Penn St will well-remember that Illinois won last year in Happy Valley, 33-13! A scheduling quirk has the Illini visiting State College again this year and that’s hardly good news for Illinois. Prior to last year’s win, the Illini had never been within double digits of the Lions in Sate College, going 0-6 SU. Illinois opened 6-0 in 2011 (rose to 16th in the AP poll) but does anyone really trust Ron Zook? I sure don’t. The Illini averaged 226.3 YPG on the ground in their 6-0 start but in back-to-back losses to Northwestern and Indiana, they've averaged just 118.0 YPG on the ground. With that in mind, while noting that Penn St is allowing just 101.9 YPG on the ground (3.0 YPC), I’m anticipating that QB Scheelhasse will be a bigger part of Illinois’ attack on Saturday. He was just freshman last year and was great vs the Nittany Lions, completing 15-of-19 for 151 yards (one TD pass) while adding 61 yards rushing. The Illini dominated that game (437 yards to 235 and 23 FDs to seven) and I expect that fact to give them some confidence here. I like Scheelhasse at QB and while RB Leshoure is gone (1,697 yards rushing LY, including 119 vs Penn St), the Illini feature a trio of backs who all have more than 350 yards this season in Ford (392, 3.9 YPC), Pollard (388, 9.0 YPC) and Young (359, 5.8 YPC). This is one of the lowest totals you’ll see in CFB this season and let me note the scores of the last four Illinois/Penn St meetings, from 2007-10. They’ve been 27-20, 38-24, 35-17 and 33-13. That’s a game average of 51.8 PPG, basically 10 points higher than the opening total on this contest. I’ve made ‘hay’ all season by going ‘Over’ in situations like this and will “go to that well’ again this Saturday. Reply With Quote .