10-29-11

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Kramer

5* Texas -28

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Cantor Football Showdown
Presented by The Las Vegas Sportsline


WEEK 8, OCT. 28
JACK ROSS VS. PHILLIP ADAMS
THEFATJACK.COM

1) Vikings +3.5
2) Arkansas-Vanderbilt Under 52
3) Oklahoma State -13.5
4) Oklahoma -14
5) Hawaii-Idaho Under 56
6) Rutgers +7
7) Navy-Notre Dame Under 62



1) Seahawks +1
2) Lions-Broncos Under 41
3) Nebraska -4
4) Browns +9.5
5) Redskins +5
6) Southern Cal +7.5
7) Oklahoma-Kansas State Under 59



Play No. 7 is rated the strongest

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Landers

5* Stanford -7.5

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Colin Cowherd ( 10-5-1 last 2 wks.)

Nebraska
Tex. A&M
Oklahoma
Florida
Wisconsin
USC

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PowerPLayWins

Nebraska -4
Arkansas -9
Iowa -16
S Carolina -3.5
Miss St -10
Clemson -3.5

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The Boss

1000% godfather overkansasstate
500% untouchable play Syracuse
300% bookie buster parlay overkansasstate Syracuse overnevada
200% dog pound Florida
100% silent assassins kansasstate Baylor sandiegostate

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Jim Feist

Inner Circle GOY - 10* Boston College

Executive Shocker - 5 * Oregon St

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SuperSportsGroup

Georgia v. Florida 3:30pm
Georgia is off a bye week following a 33-28 win at Vanderbilt as -12 point favorites. Aaron Murray threw for 326 yards and three touchdowns as the Bulldogs won their fifth straight game after opening the 2011 campaign with back-to-back defeats at the hands of Boise State (35-21) and South Carolina (45-42). Murray completed 22-of-38 passes, was sacked once and had a pass picked off, while Marlon Brown had four receptions for 121 yards and a pair of TDs in the win. Georgia ended with a 443-349 edge in total offense and took advantage of four Vandy turnovers. Florida also comes off a bye week after losing 17-6 at Auburn two weeks ago as -3½ point road favs. With starting quarterback John Brantley out with an ankle injury, Jeff Driskel and freshman Jacoby Brissett combined to throw for 120 yards as Florida dropped its third consecutive game. The Gators, who also missed star running back Jeff Demps because of an injury, have scored only 27 points in their last three losses. Florida only managed 194 yards of offense against Auburn and turned the ball over three times in the loss. Brantley and Demps are both expected to play this week.
Last year's meeting was a barnburner with the Gators eventually prevailing in a 34-31 final as -1 point favs in the "World's Largest Cocktail Party". It was the first game between Florida and Georgia with both teams unranked since 1979. The Gators have won 18 of the last 21 games in the series. The teams combined for 31 points in the fourth quarter, with Georgia outscoring Florida 21-10. Florida is 11-5 ATS off a SU loss and 9-4 ATS when facing the Bulldogs; while Georgia is 7-19 ATS against winning teams.
8* PICK: Gators +3 Game


Oklahoma v. Kansas St 3:30pm
Oklahoma was stunned last week in a 41-38 home loss to Texas Tech as -29½ point favorites. The Sooners were out of sync, failing to get their high-powered offense into the fast-paced tempo that gives so many opponents trouble. They failed to get a first down in the second quarter, when Tech capitalized to score 17 straight points, and the offense didn't click until it was too late. Oklahoma had 536 yards of offense, but their defense was shredded for 572 yards by Texas Tech's dynamic offense. Landry Jones ended up with 412 yards passing and five touchdowns, but it wasn't enough to rally Oklahoma back from a sluggish start and save its unbeaten season. Kansas State kept rolling last week in their 59-21 win at rival Kansas a -11 point road favorites. Collin Klein threw for a career-high 195 yards and accounted for five touchdowns, freshman Tyler Lockett returned a kickoff for a score and caught a touchdown pass, and #8 Kansas State remained unbeaten on the season. The Wildcats are off to their best start since 1999, when they won their first nine games. Kansas State dominated their in-state rival, holding edges in total offense (466-286) and rushing yards (261-76). Kansas State jumped out to a 21-0 lead early in the second quarter, at which point the Jayhawks had more penalty yards (41) than net offense (23). With the win, head coach Bill Snyder improved to 16-4 against the Jayhawks, including a 59-7 blowout last year and a stretch of 11 straight wins in the 1990s and early 2000s, when Snyder annually fielded one of the best teams in college football before retiring. The 72-year old coach came out of retirement a few years ago and the Wildcats are headed in the right direction again.
Last meeting was in '09, with Oklahoma winning 42-30 as -28 point home favorites. Oklahoma has responded well off a SU loss over the years (19-7-1 ATS) and the Sooners are 7-3 ATS as a double-digit fav, however, K-State is 40-18-1 ATS off a win of 20 or more points and the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS the last nine meetings. The line is ridiculous in this one. Take the 'dog....
10* PICK: K State +13.5 Game
8* PICK: K State +7 1H


Colorado v. Arizona St 6:30pm
The misery continued for Colorado last week as the Buffaloes dropped a 45-2 decision at home to mighty Oregon as +31 point underdogs. Colorado's only bright spot came on a tackle of Oregon punt returner Cliff Harris in the end zone in the third quarter that allowed the Buffaloes to avoid their first shutout at home since losing 28-0 to Oklahoma in 1986. The Buffs fell behind 29-0 in the first quarter and finished with 231 yards of offense, while allowing 527 to the Ducks. Making matters worse, QB Tyler Hansen left the game with a potential concussion in the second quarter, leaving redshirt freshman Nick Hirschman to take over. Hirschman finished 8-of-19 for 71 yards. Arizona State comes off a bye week after losing 41-27 at Oregon two weeks ago as +14½ point underdogs. Brock Osweiler threw for 291 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions on 29-of-46 passing for ASU, which had won three straight to start Pac-12 play before the loss. The Sun Devils were outgained 536-460 and dropped their 16th straight game to teams ranked in the Top-10. Cameron Marshall ran for 97 yards on 20 carries and Gerrell Robinson caught six passes for 120 yards in the loss. ASU trailed 21-17 at the break and only scored 10 points in the second half.
Colorado is 8-24 ATS on the road and 5-21 ATS as a road underdog and the Buffaloes have lost 21 straight road games. CU ranks #102 in total offense (324 ypg) and #107 in scoring (19.8 ppg), while the defense ranks #93 (423 ypg) and allows 37 ppg (#117). Meanwhile, ASU is 15-7 ATS as a double-digit fav and 10-4-1 ATS at home. Only one way to go.
8* PICK: UNDER 56.5 Game


Clemson v. Georgia Tech 8pm
Clemson routed North Carolina 59-38 last week as -10 point home favs in a game that wasn't as close as the final score indicated. Tajh Boyd tied a school record with five touchdown passes, defensive end Kourtnei Brown scored on interception and fumble returns, and Clemson improved to 8-0 for the first time in 11 years. Clemson had a 450-418 edge in offense and capitalized on six NC turnovers. The Tigers were up 59-24 before NC scored two TDs in the fourth quarter to make the final score a bit more respectable. Georgia Tech's recent woes continued last week following a 24-7 loss at Miami-Florida as +3 point road underdogs. Tevin Washington was just 6-of-12 passing for 63 yards and a pick. He ran in the lone score of the game for the Yellow Jackets, who have dropped their past two games after winning the first six of the season. Georgia Tech came into the game ranked 9th in the nation in total offense with 517 ypg, but they only had 211 yards against the Hurricanes, their lowest total since a loss to Iowa in the FedEx Orange Bowl after the 2009 season. Since the start of the 2009 season, Georgia Tech has rushed for less than 200 yards only three times - all of them at Sun Life Stadium. The Yellow Jackets got 95 yards on the ground when they visited Miami in 2009, ran for 143 at the end of that season in the Orange Bowl, and then managed 134 against the Hurricanes last week.
Clemson won last year's matchup with Georgia Tech in a 27-13 decision as -3½ point home favorites. Clemson's defense did a decent job of holding the Yellow Jackets' ACC-leading rushing attack to 242 yards, nearly 100 fewer than their average, and Georgia Tech's point total was its lowest of the season at that point. However, the underdog is 13-4 ATS the last 17 meetings between these two teams and Clemson -4 looks like a trap.
8* PICK: Georgia Tech +2 1H
9* PICK: Georgia Tech +3.5 Game Best bet of the day


Wisconsin v. Ohio St 8pm
Excruciating loss for Wisconsin last week in falling to Michigan State in a 37-31 setback as -7 point road favorites. QB Russell Wilson completed 14-of-21 passes for 223 yards and Montee Ball rushed 18 times for 115 yards for the Badgers, who rallied from a 14-point deficit in the fourth quarter, only to lose on the last play of the game on a Hail Mary pass by Michigan State. Wisky jumped out to a 14-0 lead and it looked as though they were on their way to another blowout win, but the Spartans turned the game around in the second quarter with some impressive work on special teams. Wisconsin ended with a 443-399 edge in total yards, but they were simply outplayed in the loss. Ohio State comes off a bye week after beating Illinois 17-7 as +3½ point road underdogs. Dan Herron rushed for 114 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries and Ohio State's defense forced three turnovers. Freshman Braxton Miller threw a touchdown pass to Jake Stoneburner and kicker Drew Basil connected on his only field goal try, a 43-yarder. In addition to the three turnovers, the Buckeye defense forced six Illinois punts. Ohio State was outgained 285-228 in total yards, but the defense picked up the slack. Ohio State is the 3rd team from a BCS conference since 2000 to win a game in which it completed just a single pass. Georgia Tech has done it twice over that span (2009 against Virginia Tech and 2008 against Georgia).
Wisconsin beat the Buckeyes 31-18 last year as +3½ point home 'dogs. The Badgers broke a three game-losing streak to the Buckeyes in easily the biggest victory since head coach Bret Bielema took over the program from Barry Alvarez. It was Ohio State's only loss of the season in 2010. Wisky is 10-1-1 ATS as a favorite and on a 13-3-1 ATS run dating back to last year, however, Ohio State is 40-15-1 ATS in Big-10 games, 20-8 ATS in October and 17-4 ATS at home; and the 'dog is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 meetings between these two Big Ten adversaries. Too many points!
8* PICK: Ohio St +7 Game


3 Team Parlay for 2*
NC State +18.5 Game
Wake Forest +7 Game
Michigan St +4.5 Game

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Al Demarco

15 DIME ROAD WARRIOR GAME OF THE YEAR
This roadie COVERS by 10 or more!

Clemson

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Steve Budin

Michigan

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Anthony Redd

100 DIME COLLEGE WINNER # 8 OF 10
Arizona

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Steve Budin

CALI-CARTEL 2011 College Blowout of the Year
Team off a loss rolls by 18 or more

Michigan

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From the Real Time(with Bill Maher)Animal:

Saturday free pick is 4* Major Notre Dame -21 :

I played Notre Dame at -20 on Tuesday. Last Saturday I had a 4 1/2* Best Bet on the East Carolina/Navy game 'OVER' the total which was successful. Part of my reasoning was due to Navy's deplorable passing defense. ECU QB Dominique Davis was 26-of-26 in the first half against the Middies and for the game finished 40-of-45 for 372 yards. That is just the latest chapter in what is becoming a horrific story out of Annapolis. In the last five games for Navy opposing quarterbacks have completed, ready for this, 112-of-126 pass attempts. That's 88.8 percent. Now on the season, Navy is statistically #111 in pass defense efficiency with eight teams even worse than the Middies. But that's because Navy's first two games were against Delaware and Western Kentucky, two teams who combined were 36-of-62. But against South Carolina, Air Force, Southern Miss, Rutgers, and East Carolina, only 12 incompleted passes out of 126 attempts. That is absolutely astonishing. Plus consider the fact Garcia at South Carolina is no longer with the team and Air Force only attempted 10 passes completing nine of them. On the season they are allowing 74.75 percent which is not only last in the country but Navy is just one of four teams (New Mexico, Kansas, and Arizona) to allow 70 percent or more completions. To make matters worse, senior corner David Wright, one of the more experienced members of this rebuilt secondary and with 21 tackles, is out with injury. Plus its not like Navy is a stalwart defensively against the run either. Far from it. The Middies are #103 allowing 198 rushing yards a game and 19 touchdowns. Navy also lost starting QB Kris Proctor was knocked out of the game in the 2nd quarter Saturday with elbow/hand injuries. He's officially listed as "highly doubtful" this week. Replacement Trey Miller was 5-of-12 for 126 yards and two touchdowns with 13 carries for 36 yards. But Miller, who gets his FIRST CAREER START, isn't considered to be the best "triple option" QB for the Middies and that is their bread and butter. Another 4* Major last week was Air Force +29 1/2 against Boise State. The reasoning there was it had been 20-plus years since Boise had seen the "triple option" and couldn't possibly be prepared for it. That's not the case this week for Notre Dame having just played Air Force two weeks ago. Proctor actually leads the team in rushing with 591 yards. Navy runs the football 82 percent of the time (401 carries/89 passes). Miller has only completed 7-of-14 on the season and rushed 19 times for 38 yards. On Saturday in South Bend will be the 5th consecutive week of action for Navy. Notre Dame did lose to USC and were out-played also losing turnovers 3-0. But in their previous two games the Irish did not have a turnovers and consequently won and covered defeating Air Force by 26 and Purdue by 28. Plus before the Trojans, Notre Dame was off and perhaps a little rusty last Saturday. I just don't see how the Middies stay on the field in this game and compete. Three weeks ago in Annapolis in a pick-em game, Navy lost to Southern Miss 63-35 and that was with starting QB Miller. You know Coach Kelly isn't pleased coming off the USC defeat and the Irish will certainly take Navy seriously considering they've LOST OUTRIGHT three of the past four meetings including a 35-17 stunner last season as a 6 1/2-point chalk in his first year at the helm. But what does it tell you how bad the Middies are considering they've won three of the past four seasons in this annual rivalry and are still a 20-point dog? Obviously Vegas is trying desperately to get action on the Middies. Don't buy into it. Still found Irish -21 at Heritage today.

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The Busted Bookie

Allen Reese

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -10 / 5 unit
Georgia Bulldogs -2.5 / 5 unit
Clemson Tigers -3 / 5 unit
USC Trojans +8 / 5 unit
North Texas Mean Green +17.5 / 5 unit

Randy Deton

Wake Forest Demon Deacons +7 / 5 unit
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +6.5 / 5 unit
Western Kentucky v.s. UL Monroe - OVER 47.5 / 5 unit
Hawaii Warriors -7 / 5 unit
San Jose State @Louisiana Tech - OVER 50 / 5 unit

Craig Bryant

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -2.5 / 10 unit

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North coast

4. Arkansas -8'
4. Ohio St. +7'
4. Iowa -15'
3. Washington -4
3. Rutgers +6'