Saturday 11/9/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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William Burns

Ole Miss Rebels+110 (Moneyline) ..

As good as the Georgia Bulldogs are, this is a bad spot for them. Georgia can afford to lose another game, in my opinion, and still be safe to get into the playoff. With their performances in recent years, the playoff committee will not want to leave them out for the second consecutive season, especially if they only had just two losses on their schedule against Bama and _. Having said that, Mississippi should take full advantage of that on Saturday.

The Rebels looked absolutely unstoppable last week against Arkansas. Jaxson Dart put himself right back into the Heisman race with his performance of throwing for 515 yards and six touchdowns. Having said that, you know his confidence will be sky rocketing right now. Ole Miss will have to score quite a bit to win this game with, their sub-par defense. However, I believe that their offense is good enough to compete with any team in the country right now. As slight underdogs, I'll go with the Rebels on the money line.

Score Prediction: 34-23 Ole Miss.

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Brandon Lee

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: Colorado -4 -110

I'm laying the 4-points on the road with Colorado against the Red Raiders. The Buffaloes have been way undervalued by the books this season. They come into this game having covered 6 in a row. Colorado is built around their strong passing attack. They will be up against a bad Texas Tech pass defense. Red Raiders are 133rd in the country, giving up 307.2 passing yards/game. They give up 13.3 yards/completion. Texas Tech is going to be able to move the ball, but I trust this Buffaloes defense to get some stops. Colorado is drastically improved on that side of the ball. The other big thing is the scheduling spot. Buffaloes are coming off a bye, while the Red Raiders are in a letdown spot off an upset win on the road against an undefeated ISU team. I like Colorado to win here by at least a touchdown. Give me Colorado -4!

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Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Kennesaw State+4 -110

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on New Mexico State+17.5 -109

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Central Florida +3 -113

Everyone and their broth was on UCF to beat BYU two weeks ago. After losing that game, now everyone is off their scent. The Knights found a QB at the end of that BYU game, and it carried over into their 56-12 win over Arizona last week. Gus Malzahn gave up play calling duties and fired his defensive coordinator heading into that Arizona game. It worked wonders as the Knights went for over 600 yards against Wildcats. QB Dylan Rizk threw for 294 yards and 3 TD while completing 80% of his passes in the win. He also rushed for 55 yards to keep the dual-threat going from the previous QB's Malzahn gave reps to prior to Rizk. Arizona State could be without star RB Cam Skattebo, who suffered an injury against Oklahoma State last week. He has rushed for 1,001 yards and 11 TD with 404 receiving yards and 2 TD. He is almost their entire offense. Even if he goes this week he will be hobbled. Give me UCF.

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Mike Lundin

OKST/TCU CFB FREE PICK

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six games, but the TCU Horned Frogs are only 2-7 ATS for the season.

The Cowboys are a double-digit dog, but this might be Okie State's last chance to pick up a conference win with Texas Tech and Colorado on deck.

This is the fourth time this season that TCU has been asked to cover more than a touchdown. They covered only once, and the last time, they lost outright to Houston as a 16-point favorite.

3% FREE PICK ON OKLAHOMA STATE+10.5 -109

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Jeff Alexander

1* NCAAF - UCF/Arizona State FREE PICK on Arizona St -2.5 -109

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Marc David

David's 1% NBA Free Pick

We really like the Cavs in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that both teams will play on no rest, but the Cavs have a much deeper roster and they could afford to give their starters a rest after jumping to a big lead at HT against the Warriors while the Nets are coming off an OT loss to the Celtics.

This is a 1% free play on the Cavaliers-13 -105

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Nevada +24 -110

The Nevada Wolf Pack are much better than their 3-7 record would indicate this season. They have the numbers of a team that would be .500 on the season, but they have had some misleading finals and tough breaks in close games.

The Wolf Pack showed they could play with anyone taking SMU to the wire in a 29-24 loss as 27-point dogs in their opener. That effort looks even better now considering SMU has only lost once since, and that loss came to unbeaten BYU.

Nevada is 1-3 SU in games decided by 5 points or less with the win coming against Oregon State. Their last two losses were very misleading, which is why this line is inflated. They didn't have QB Brendon Lewis available for their 34-13 loss at Hawaii two games ago. They were only outgained by 15 yards. They lost 38-21 at home to Colorado State last week despite outgaining the Rams by 114 yards.

Lewis returned last week to complete 20-of-28 passes for 252 yards and one TD, while also rushing for 109 yards and two scores to prove he is healthy. He means everything to this team. Despite being 3-7 on the season and with Lewis missing time with injury, the Wolf Pack are only getting outgained by one yard per game on the year.

Boise State is getting a lot of hype now as the favorite to be the Group of 5 team to make the 12-team playoff. The Broncos opened 12th in the initial college football playoff rankings this week. With that hype comes expectations from oddsmakers that are very hard to live up to.

I fully expect the Wolf Pack to give the Broncos a fight this week and to treat this as their 'National Championship' game now that they know they won't be going to a bowl. They also have a bye on deck next week, so they will be 'all in' this week. Lewis will make enough plays to keep them within this 24-point spread for four quarters. Bet Nevada Saturday.

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Rob Vinciletti

The College Football Comp play is on Virginia plus the 7-8 points at Pittsburgh tonight. The Panthers are home here and favored after suffering their first loss of the season last week. That loss sets them up in a Database System that sees Home favorites this late in the season off their initial loss failing to cover 21 of 26 times long term. The Cavs have covered 4 of the last 5 despite losing the last three and should keep this game close. Take the Points here with Virginia. Rob V-

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Stephen Nover

Free Play: Boise State-23.5 -109

Nevada showed some early promise, but the Wolf Pack are regressing. It's not a good time for them to be meeting Boise State.

The Wolf Pack have lost three in a row, including blowout losses the past two weeks as small underdogs to Colorado State and Hawaii. After holding their first five opponents all below 30 points, the Wolf Pack have surrendered an average of 33.6 points in their last five games.

That doesn't bode well for the Wolf Pack's chances against the explosive Broncos, who rank in the top-four in points per game at 45.8, total yards and rushing yards while featuring Heisman Trophy candidate Ashton Jeanty, who is averaging eight yards a carry. Nevada ranks 80th in run defense.

I don't expect the Wolf Pack to get many stops. Their hope is to score enough points to cover the spread. QB Brendon Lewis has displayed promise. However, the Wolf Pack managed only 13 points against Hawaii during their previous road game.

Boise State has 38 sacks. No college football team has more. I don't trust Nevada's offensive tackles to slow down Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Ahmed Hassanein, who have a combined 15 1/2 sacks. The best part of the Broncos' defense, though, has been against the run where they rank 30th, holding foes to 3.4 yards per rush.

The Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. During this span, the Broncos covered a 28-point line against Utah State and a 24-point spread versus San Diego State. By comparison, San Diego State defeated Hawaii, a team that beat Nevada by 21 points.

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Sam Houston State-5 -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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ProSportsPicks

PSP Data Driven 1* Houston-5.5 -110

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Houston are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games. Houston are 17-0 SU in their last 17 games played in November.

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Ricky Tran

Ricky's * play on Canucks+103

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Vancouver are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.

- Vancouver are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference

- Vancouver are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.

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Kyle Hunter

*Free Play Over* The Utah State Aggies have a bottom five defense in the country. Utah State is giving up 6.4 yards per carry in Mountain West play. They have had 74 points or more scored in three of their last four games.

Utah State is second in the country in tempo, so the Aggies are pushing the pace to the extreme. Utah State is pretty good offensively. They are 41st in the nation in yards per play. Washington State is 106th in yards per play allowed.

Washington State is 30th in pace. John Mateer should have a field day in this one. He is a great runner who creates explosive plays. Washington State is 6th in the country in explosiveness on offense. Washington State is averaging 50.75 points per game in their home contests this year. I expect a big number from them here.

The pace and weak defenses here should be enough.

Take the Utah St/Washington St Over 70 -109