10-30-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

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Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Killer Sports SBB's Selections:

4* NE 31; Pitt 21

4* J'ville 28 and Houston 24...OVER 40.5

MTI's Selections:

4.5* J'ville +9.5 over Houston
4* Arizona 28, Baltimore 34...OVER44

[Mr. IWS]

MoneyMaker

NFL PLAYS

FRANK'S NFL TOTALS OPINIONS

INDY UNDER ARIZONA/BALTIMORE
ARIZONA UNDER CLEVELAND/SAN FRANCISCO
MIAMI UNDER DALLAS/PHILLY
WASH OVER SD/KC

FRANK'S NFL SIDE OPINIONS

PITT
CLE
SEA
DAL
Indy
Zona
Miami
Wash

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Moneymakers:

KC 27 SD 21

Ten 27 Indy 10

Texans 31 J'ville 13

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Football Weekly Best Bests:

Balt over Zona -12.5

No -7.5 over Stl

SF -9 over clev

Hou/J'ville UNDER 46

[Mr. IWS]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Vikings
Lions
Eagles

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 39 bet. Cleveland and San Francisco

[Mr. IWS]

Platinum Plays

Premier (Top Play)

NYG
DET

500K (Medium)

Indy

400K (Medium

Dallas
Dall UNDER

Reg Plays

Carolina
Balt
Balt UNDER
NE
NE OVER
SF
Jax/Hous UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 U

Top Play

Carolina/Minn UBDER 47

Reg Plays
Indy/Tenn UNDER 43-
NO/Rams UNDER 47
Balt/Ariz UNDER 43
NYG/Mia OVER 41-
Det/Denv OVER 41-
NE/Pitt UNDER 52-
Clev/SF UNDER 38-
Cincy/Seattle OVER 37-
Dall/Phil OVER 48

[Mr. IWS]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = BALTIMORE
3* = "OVER" on Ravens/Cardinals
3* = MINNESOTA
2* = NEW ENGLAND
2* = SEATTLE

[Mr. IWS]

RICK NEEDHAM

Vikings at Panthers (-3.0), Oct 30, 1:00 PM FOX


Well Folks: Two bottom dwellers in the NFC will slug it out this Sunday when the Carolina Panthers welcome the Minnesota Vikings to Bank of America Stadium. The game will feature two teams that have had disappointing seasons thus far through 2011 with 3 wins combined. The Vikings have been the bigger disappointment as they sit at the 1-6 mark on the season. Minnesota acquired QB Donovan McNabb over the off-season to bring in immediate help behind center in hopes to make something out of the 2011 season. However, McNabb has failed to deliver this season and was benched last week to make way for rookie QB Christian Ponder to get his feet wet in the league. Last week Ponder completed just 13 of 32 passing for 219 yards with 2 scores and 2 picks in a 33-27 loss to the Packers. While Ponder did not answer any major concerns on offense, it was a step in the right direction. This week the Vikings will turn to Ponder for the 2nd straight week in hopes to revive the lifeless Vikings offense on the road in Charlotte.
For the Panthers, they captured a big win at home last week against the Redskins 33-20 to reach their 2nd win on the season. Carolina captured just 2 wins for the entire 2010 season and there is hope that the program is improving with new head coach Ron Rivera. One thing that is certain is that rookie QB Cam Newton may be the most exciting player in football to watch. Despite throwing the 2nd most interceptions out of any quarterback in the NFL (9), Newton has single handedly restored the Panthers passing offense. Newton is a guy that has the athletic talent to scramble to keep passing plays alive and the speed to tuck the ball away while running for first downs as well. The scrambling ability has been huge for the offense this season and Newton has been able to make the throws to give the Panthers receivers the opportunity to make plays. Overall, Newton has completed 60% passing for 2,103 yards with 8 touchdowns. Of course the turnovers remain a concern, but Newton is also averaging 288 yards per game through the air this season which ranks 5th in the NFL.

Remember a year ago, the Panthers ranked dead last year averaging 258 yards of "total" offense. Therefore, you can see just in the numbers what type of different Newton has made on the offense. Panthers WR Steve Smith has been superb with the regenerated passing attack this season. Smith currently leads the NFL with 818 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns while averaging over 20 yards per reception. Smith has been the primary weapon in the Carolina passing offense this season and Newton will definitely look his way frequently this Sunday. On the other side of the field, the Vikings have struggled to find any success in their passing offense. However, the Vikings still have one of the best weapons in the NFL by way of running back Adrian Peterson. Peterson leads the league with 712 rushing yards with 8 touchdowns on the season. The Panthers defense has been horrible against the run this season given up the 3rd most yards (133ypg) of any team in the NFL. Peterson has averaged 5.0 yards per carry this season and he is expected to be the focus point in the Vikings offensive attack this Sunday against the Panthers. It is important that the Vikings control the ground game this Sunday to not only move the football on offense, but to also provide rest to the Vikings defense. If the Vikings defense can stay rested, they will be competitive against the Carolina passing attack. However if the Vikings fail to get things going on offense, the Panthers have an offense that can wear down defenses late in ball games which will play a big impact in the outcome if that scenario plays out.

Ultimately this game will come down to the defense that can step up and play well. As previously stated, the Panthers have been gashed this season for 133 yards per game on the ground and now have the responsibility of trying to stop the best tailback in the NFL. For the Vikings, their pass defense has been horrific this season giving up 275 yards per game through the air. This week Minnesota faces a Carolina passing attack that has moved the ball against everyone and shown no signs of slowing down. Therefore, the defense that can rise to the challenge will likely play a huge factor in deciding this Sunday's winner in Charlotte.

BOTTOM LINE DEPARTMENT: The obvious play here is the over 47.0 total. The Panthers defense failed to stop any offense this season and the Vikings running game alone will score points even if Ponder does not play well. Additionally, Carolina will score their fair share of points as well against that weak Minnesota pass defense. Both teams have reached the over total in 5 of their last 7 games and that is the play here again. I'll TAKE THE OVER (47.0)!

RICK'S "HOT-SPOT" PLAYS

GIANTS (-10.0) OVER DOLPHINS
TITANS (-9.0) OVER COLTS

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

HOUSTON -9.5 over Jacksonville: When most people think about the Texas, they think about Offense, but this team is not all about their offense, but a defense that currently ranks 8th in the league, allowing 302.9 ypg and 5th in points allowed (18.7 ppg). This will be Blaine Gabbert's 4th game in a row vs a top 10 defense and has not not fared well so far, hitting just 48% of his passes and he has compiled just a 69.4 QB rating. His numbers are better that that of Luke McCown, but he does not have good enough numbers to think that he can put up enough points to stay close to Houston here. The Houston pass defense ranks 8th (230 ypg), while their rush defense ranks 7th, allowing just 99 ypg, so it will be tough for the leagues worst offense to move the ball either way. Now on the other side, the Houston offense has been one of the best this year and they are even better now that the appear to be fully healthy. Houston comes in ranked 7th overall 400.6 ypg), 5th in rushing offense (139 ypg) and 7th in scoring (26 ppg). Arian Foster is beginning to crank it up after his awesome performance last week, while Matt Schaub hes been very efficient, compiling a 96.8 QB rating. The Jax defense has been tough this year (6th overall), but having a short week to prepare for all the weapons Houston has is not a good thing and I feel they will struggle here. An offense that has used 6 different OL's this year, will just not be able to put enough points on the board to keep this one close. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against any team off a MNF game if they scored 13 points and are now on the road. This system is 27-12-1 since 1997.

4 UNIT PLAY

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

New Orleans/ St Louis Over 48: Boy what a night the Saints had on Sunday as they became just the 3rd team ever to put 60+ points on the board with 200 yards rushing and 300 yards passing and I expect them have good success vs this St Louis defense this week. St Louis defense is 29th overall, allowing 410 ypg and they are 31st in points allowed at 28.5 ppg. Those are not good numbers when you are facing this powerful Saints offense that is 2nd in yards (467 ypg) and 1st in points (34.1 ppg), The trickiest part of tis play is that I will need a Rams offense that has averaged just 9.3 ppg on on the year to put up some points here. It won't be easy as the Saints do have a good defense, but I also expect New Orleans to be so far ahead that in the 2nd half this Rams offense should be going up against a lot of Saints backups on defense and that should give us enough late points to get a comfortable over play. The OU is 25-9-1 when the Saints are off an ATS win and 20-6 when the Rams are at home vs a winning team. I look for about 55 points in this one. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play the over when the road team covered by 30 or more points last week. This has gone 32-14 since 1989. (1-1 this year).

3 UNIT PLAYS

Minnesota/ Carolina Under 46.5: Last week Christian Ponder gave a spark to this Minnesota offense, but they were more or less force to throw tha ball last week in oreder to keep up with all the scoring that the Pack did. Remember that this is a team with Adrian Petersen on on it and teams have found it much easier to run vs the Panthers defense than throw vs it. The panthers pass defense ranks a solid 12th in the league, allowing just 225 ypg, but they come in 29th vs the run allowing 133.4 ypg and they are 26th in ypa allowing 4.7. The Vikings will look to run more here, so they can keep the ball away from this strong Carolina offense, and that will eat a lot of clock. The Panther offense is strong and they come in ranked 5th overall (416 ypg), but they are just 14th in scoring at 23.7 ppg. One of the most telling stats about what a team really does with the ball and yards they make is yards per point and Carolina rankes 23rd in that department with a 17.5 ypp mark, so they may get their yards, but they can bog down in the scoring zone. These teams both have trouble in the redzone as they both convert on just 50% of their chances. Sure their is some bad defense in this game, but I do see a game with more running and FG's than passing and TD's. Look for right around 40 points here.

New England/ Pittsburgh Over 52: I have results of games dating back to 1989 and the Steelers have not been involved in a regular season game with an OU line this high in that time frame. The Patriots are off a bye week so they have had some time to get ready for this tough Pittsburgh defense. New England had a rough offensive showing in their last game vs the Cowboys, but if you've learned anything from this team over the years, its that they just don't have two bad offensive games in a row. The Pats have averaged 30.8 ppg and 474 ypg so far this year and they have hit 30+ points in all but 1 of their games. Offense has never been an issue for this team, but their defense has been trully bad. The Pats are dead last in total defense 432 ypg) and dead last in yards per play (6.6), meaning teams don't use long time consuming drives to score on them. last week this Pitt defense allowed an average Arizona passing game to throw for 257 yards on them, so what will Brady do to them today. The Pitt offense has been good this year, ranking 9th overall (383 ypg) and 9th in passing (265 ypg). This pitt team will put up some points vs this bad Pats defense. Both offense come in in the top 8 in yards per play as New England averages 6.9 ypp, while Pitt averages 6.0 ypg. A lot of big plays and quick scores can be expected in this one as these teams approach 60 points. KEY TRENDS--- The OU is 17-4 in the Pats last 21 as a favorite and 7-2 in Pitt's last 9 vs the AFC East, plus 7 of the last 8 in this series has gone Over the total.

2 UNIT PLAY

BALTIMORE -12.5 over Arizona: What a bad game the Ravens played on MNF, but they should bounce back in a big way this week. Prior to last weeks game the Ravens had put up 33 ppg, but they were stymied by a tough Jags defense. That is one the Cards don't have is a tough defense. Arizona Checks in at 26th overall (388.3 ypg) and 28th vs the pass (274 ypg), plus they do allow 25.5 ppg (28th). the Cards are middle of the pack in total offense, but they can't score, putting up just 19.3 ppg, including just 13.7 ppg on the road and a measly 10 ppg when playing on the fake stuff. The raven's have played awesome at home averaging 32.7 ppg and 351 ypg, while allowing just 12.7 ppg and 251 ypg in the friendly confines this year. That's right they have outscored their opponents by 20 ppg at home and that's just about where i see this one ending up. A 3 TD win by the Ravens here.

1 UNIT PLAYS

Indianapolis +9 over TENNESSEE: Ok, sometime pride has to take over. The Colts are winless on the year and are off a 55 point loss to the Saints. The Titans are off a bad loss themselves, but the Colts were embarrassed on National TV and I feel that hurts them a bit more and will motivate them even more to have a good game and try for thier first win of the year. I also feel that 9 points is too much for a team that is off a 34 point loss to lay over another NFL team. Titans by a FG here.

Buffalo/Washington Under 45.5: John Beck is an upgrade over Grossman, but he is missing other key parts to this offense as a couple of lineen are out, along with their #1 RB, #1 WR and # 2 TE, so how will this team score? Before all the injuries, the skins were just 24th in scoring, averaging 19.3 ppg. Granted they will not be facing a tough defense, but it will be still hard for this team to generate much. The Washington defense has been solid this year and they will need to look to it if they expect to win this game. The Bills are 4th in the league in rushing and that is their primary attack as teams have figured out their passing game of late, while the Skins will also look to run the ball to take the pressure off the young Beck. All that running will just eat a lot of clock and I just can't see more than 40 points in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

SEATTLE +125 over Cincinnati

Julius Caesar once said that, “Experience is teacher of all things.” The young Bengals may learn something about that here. No matter what the Seahawks’ record may be, teams visiting Seattle quickly find out that things don’t come easy at Qwest Field. The Seachickens have covered five of their past six here and their two games at home this season have been decided by three points or less. Seattle plays its first home game in a month and under similar conditions last week the Saints whacked the Colts by 55. Of course Seattle isn’t New Orleans but the home/road discrepancy of the Seahawks has always been the biggest in the league. Seattle has been outstanding against the run, not allowing a 100-yard rusher yet and that means Andy Dalton will be forced to the air with Cedric Benson out. The Bengals are a poor favorite at home and are rarely favored on the road and while its story has been great, it isn’t ready to take on this role as road chalk just yet. Play: Seattle +125 (Risking 2 units).

Cleveland +9 over SAN FRANCISCO

While we’re well aware of Cleveland’s inability to find the end zone, we’re equally aware of its stellar defensive play. In reality, the 49ers play a similar style to these Browns. That’s why this over/under total sits at a moderate 38½, indicating a low-scoring defensive battle. San Francisco is not known for its offense nor is it familiar with spotting big pointspreads, having just one win by more than six points in their past five games. RB Peyton Hillis is expected back for Cleveland and that also helps control the tempo here. Let’s also not ignore the fact that the 49ers are coming off that big emotional win in Detroit. They celebrated all the way home and well into the night and then had a bye week. Don’t be surprised if a smug and rusty San Francisco bunch gets caught off-guard here and loses outright. Play: Cleveland +9 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Washington +6 over BUFFALO (at Toronto)

Ask yourself this. What would the line be if this game was being played in Buffalo? We don’t think it would be any higher and that offers us an opportunity to take advantage of a misconception by the marketplace. Treating this game in Toronto like they would a true home game is a mistake. The Rogers Centre in Toronto lacks atmosphere with a crowd that would rather be sipping on café lattes than beer. Tailgating? Where? Bills jerseys throughout? More Steelers and Cowboys shirts are likely. You get the picture. This is not Ralph Wilson stadium with rabid Bills fans. Again, the Rogers Center is like a morgue and in no way can it motivate or amp up the Bills like Ralph Stadium does. How do we know this? Well, we all live in Toronto and there are more tickets floating around for this game than a Blue Jays game in early April. Yes, the Skins have some issues but not enough of them for us to refuse this erroneous offering. Play: Washington +6 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

The rest with no wagers

Indianapolis +8½ over TENNESSEE

This is way deeper than Peyton Manning. This is a Colts team in rapid decay and the upcoming chill of winter will not be sufficient to keep down the stench emitting from this pile of dead ponies. However, we much prefer taking a slew of points with a Colts team that was completely humiliated in front of a national audience last week than a Titans team that is falling apart, as it can’t find a running game while its passing game has gone south. Game opened at –9 and has come down to –8½ or –9 – big juice otherwise it may have made our top choices. Play Indianapolis +8½ (No bets).

HOUSTON -9½ over Jacksonville

Jaguars could suffer significant letdown here after huge upset of Ravens on Monday night and then travelling on a short week. Even with that victory, Jacksonville’s offense remains one of the league’s weakest, averaging a league-low 12 points per game. Houston can score while its defense is vastly improved. Also see our “Survivor” pick this week. Play: Houston –9½ (No bets).

CAROLINA –3½ over Minnesota

Hard to imagine the 1-5 Vikings having a letdown game but after a semi-respectful showing at home to Green Bay last week, they could be even flatter than usual here. Minnesota’s three road games thus far, all on grass, have produced an 0-3 mark while being outscored 85-44. Panthers defense is ranked a stellar 12th in the league and they appear to be getting stronger with each passing week. Vikes are an ugly proposition after game with rival Pack. Play: Carolina –3½ (No bets).

ST. LOUIS +14 over New Orleans

Boo! If that didn’t scare you, the Rams will. Giving up junk-time touchdowns are what the Cowboys do. Yet the Rams stood there on the one-yard line like a drunk that couldn’t jam the key in the lock with four tries and couldn’t get in. Don’t laugh at these kinds of people. They need help. However, the Saints tend to hiccup against dreggy teams and more so as visitors with just four covers in previous 16 away. Saints could get also get caught napping here after 62-7 thrashing of Colts and with eye on avenging recent loss to Bucs who will visit next week. Just can’t do it, that being laying 14 road points. Play: St. Louis +14 (No bets).

BALTIMORE –13 over Arizona

Arizona’s only win this season came in home opener against the Panthers in Cam Newton’s NFL debut. The Cardinals are up to 10 straight road losses and its defense is among the league’s lamest. We thought these guys might show some life against an unsuspecting Steelers team, but instead they got four quarters of the Gaddafi treatment. Thanks for coming. The Ravens just love beating up on bad teams because rarely can they beat up on good one’s. After horrendous offensive showing last week, expect the Ravens to roll in an attempt to make everyone forget about last Monday’s debacle. Play: Baltimore –13 (No bets).

Miami +10 over N.Y. GIANTS

Dolphins are a horror movie but this number is still an overreaction to last week’s meltdown to the Broncos. There is something special happening here. Losing games is losing games, but the Dolphins yanking defeat from the grasp of victory against of the Denver Tebows was a work of art. Still, the Giants are at their best when taking points and with a diminished roster and a trip to New England on deck, this is certainly not an occasion to be spotting double-digits. Do the G-Men ever win easy when they’re supposed to? Play: Miami +10 (No bets).

Detroit –3 over DENVER

The Tim Tebow show was fun to watch but the reality is that we’d rather have a banged up Matthew Stafford throwing from a wheelchair than an able-bodied Tebow attempting passes. Detroit has dropped consecutive games after its 5-0 start and this is a perfect candidate to get back on track against. Frankly, we have no idea how the Denver Tebows don’t get whacked here. Play: Detroit –3 (No bets).

PITTSBURGH +3 over New England

Both defenses have issues but Pittsburgh’s unit appears to be solidifying more and more as the weeks goes by. We're offered a rare opportunity to take points with the Steelers at home and with their solid run game and quick-strike passing game, the Patriots will have their work cut out for them. Furthermore, the whole betting world is laying the points and that’s always a big cautionary flag. From a handicapping standpoint, one has to like the Patriots but one can never ignore the warning flags that accompany “easy looking” games and this one has all of them. Play: Pittsburgh +3 (No bets).

Dallas +3½ over PHILADELPHIA

Despite previous frustrations, have to rely on the Cowboys more complete roster than that of the non-dimensional Eagles. Dallas’ defense did something that 13 others before it could not, by holding the Patriots to less than 28 points. Eagles struggling at home with five straight losses, they’re coming off the dreaded “bye” week and surely they don’t deserve this billing. The only reason it didn’t make our top plays is because the oddsmakers came out with a –3½ not a –3 and that little tick makes us wonder why. Play: Dallas +3½ (No bets).

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

5* Football: Steelers vs. Patriots OVER 52

[Mr. IWS]

Week 8 NFL Trends & Angles

We get that there seems to be a larger gap than usual between the better teams and the worse teams in the NFL this season, and we are sure a lot of that has to do with the lockout, as the bad teams did not get much of a chance to work on improving their weaknesses before the season.

As a case in point, prior to this year, only four NFL teams since 1960 had begun a season at 0-6 both straight up and against the spread, and yet there are two such teams this season (Miami, St. Louis). However, never forget that the Bookmakers are smarter than the general public, so if you are looking for a sure bet, it is that the books will catch up to these bad teams and end the gravy train that squares have been riding this season.
So with that backdrop, we will continue to look at contrarian angles and let the chips fall where they may.

Play on any road underdog that lost its last game by 40 points or more (10-5-1, 66.7% ATS since 2000): Yes, we understand that this sample size is very small, but we are presenting this for two reasons: first, we wanted to illustrate just how infrequently NFL teams lose as badly as the Colts did Sunday night, but second, that on the few times it does happen, the teams usually respond well if cast as road underdogs the following week, as teams do not want to embarrassed two weeks on a row and being a road underdog usually helps them keep their focus. Obviously, the qualifier this week is the Colts +9 at Tennessee.

Play on any road underdog coming off of six or more consecutive straight up losses (77-51-1, 60.2% ATS since 1985): We went all the way back to 1985 to make this sample size as meaningful as possible, and the results are quite good. These are teams that most squares would never bet their hard earned money on but that sharps love, as they are almost always getting added line value. The Colts +9 are just one of two qualifiers this week, with the second being the Miami Dolphins +10 at the New York Giants.

Play on any road underdog coming off of seven or more consecutive straight up losses (52-24-1, 68.4% ATS since 1985): Add a seventh loss to the losing streak coming in and this contrarian angle flies off the charts through 76 decisions. The Colts are the only qualifiers in Week 8.

Play against any double-digit favorite that lost straight up as a road favorite in its last game (50-34-1, 59.5% ATS since 1989): This is the angle that failed the Colts miserably in Week 7. Teams that are favored after losing as favorites the previous week are often overrated teams, and this becomes truer if they are double-digit favorites the following week. Incredibly, if we tweak this angle to only include teams that are favored by 14 points or more after losing as road favorites, it improves to 16-2 ATS including a perfect 15-0 ATS in the -14 to -16½ point range over this timeframe! This angle has a chance to redeem itself this week with the Arizona Cardinals +13 at Baltimore, as the Ravens got shocked as road chalk Monday night.

Play on any road team in a division game coming off of a road game (64-35-2, 64.6 ATS since 2008): This is a more recent angle that involves Bookmakers giving added value to teams playing on the road in consecutive weeks with the knowledge that bettors tend to shy away from these teams. The difference here is that this angle involves teams playing division games on the back end, meaning that they are very familiar with their opponents, which thus lessens the impact of being on the road again. This rather simple system keeps producing nice results as it went a perfect 2-0 in Week 7 with the Texans and Chiefs both winning in routs as road underdogs! There are two qualifiers this week, with one being our ugly Trends & Angles Play of the Week in the Colts +9 and the other being the Chargers -3½ at Kansas City on Monday night.

Play on any team that lost its last game by 20 or more points at home (100-75-2, 57.1% ATS since 2002): Professional teams do not like to get embarrassed, especially at home, and they usually come back strong in their next game. Believe it or not, this angle actually says to play against the Colts, as it points to Tennessee -9 after the Titans got blown out at home by Houston last week. It is also worth mentioning that the Raiders lost 28-0 at home to Kansas City in Week 7 but are on a bye this week, meaning that Oakland will qualify under this angle in Week 9 next week.

Play against any non-conference road team coming off of two or more home games (58-40-4, 59.2% ATS since 2005): It is hard enough for NFL teams to go on the road after a little home stand, but having to do so vs. non-conference teams is even tougher because non-conference games are the least important games on the schedule in regards to playoff tiebreakers, making it rather easy for teams that haven't traveled in a while to lose focus. This angle says to take the Denver Broncos +3 hosting the Detroit Lions this week.

Play on any divisional road team looking to avenge a loss of 14 points or more (75-52, 59.1% since 2002): NFL teams or all professional teams for that matter do not like getting embarrassed, and most of them have long memories. This angle went a perfect 2-0 ATS, coincidentally with the same two upset winners a prior angle (Texans and Chiefs). There is one qualifier in Week 8, that being Jacksonville +9½ at Houston.