Thursday 11/21/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

---

Churchill Downs - Race #7

#2 Fearless Lady	Like the way she moved forward at second asking when sent going long, and she should be in line for a great trip while right up on whatever pace there is. Another small step in the right direction would probably do the trick today.
#1 Tiger Division	She didn't stay on with a ton of enthusiasm late in the only route try, but that came on the turf where she turned in a couple lesser tries before moving to the dirt. Enough logical appeal in the first dirt route.
#6 Multiplication	She might be the controlling pace again here, but she'll have to stick around a bit better this time if she's going to turn the tables on the one drawn outside her.
Race Summary	Fearless Lady progressed well in her second start, and I think she's going to get a dreamy run of things right off of Multiplication.

Churchill Downs - Race #9

#10 Bourbon Boss	Forward player got brave to score in that first route trip, and there are a handful of pretty decent names in his company lines overall. Willing to take that last one at face value and hope he can control this one the whole way right back while facing winners.
#8 Royal Sandrin	Finisher turned in a good effort on the rise last out and fits here again today. Mild worry about the race flow, but he's in the mix on paper.
#7 Navy Seal	He wasn't embarrassed in Grade III company last time out, and he was competitive with a similar group at Saratoga two starts back. Think something like that will make him a player with these again.
Race Summary	Bourbon Boss looked good winning in his first turf route try, and I'm hoping he's quick enough to force the other forward types to try to rate and press a bit.

Churchill Downs - Race #10

#3 Catchphrase	She has been working regularly at Turfway ahead of this, and I think the price should be fair enough with a couple logical players drawn in here who should take some cash.
#2 Here'syourtrouble	She finished up with a little bit of energy in the debut at the 2023 Saratoga meet, and she caught the eventual Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies winner Just F Y I that day, so I expect her to stack up pretty well with this group off the bench today.
#1 Upon a Star	He and #6 Lord I Wonder both make a lot of sense and have similar profiles with a little bit of forward pace. Respect the team and the running lines, but I worry the price won't be fair.
Race Summary	Catchphrase and Here'syourtrouble are the two most appealing for me in here, and I'm hoping the presence of decent running lines from Upon a Star and Lord I Wonder will help keep the prices somewhat playable.

zz0.m4jjb2ghi9kzz

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

---

Penn National - Race #1

#2 TROPHY ROOM (5-1)	Been winning the close ones, steps up after joining $100,000 Club.
#5 ONE WAY FARRIOR (9-5)	Overcame rough trip to win at Laurel in second start off the claim.
#3 DEE JAY (2-1)	Raced 4-wide, went down fighting against winning fave at this level three back.
Race Summary	TROPHY ROOM rallied to win three of his last four sprints in photo finishes, catching short-priced pace setters twice. He retains good betting value on the class rise with similar rest since his last start. Bet to win and place and play 2-4, 2-5 and 5-2 exactas.

Penn National - Race #4

#8 SAPONARA (5-1)	Duplicate of latest could be enough with an extra half-furlong to travel.
#1 I ONCE STOOD ALONE (4-1)	Runs well fresh, earned top speed fig while geared down in latest.
#2 POSITIVELY AWESOME (6-1)	Can be excused for latest, hit best stride prior to that.
Race Summary	SAPONARA has run some good races at Penn National this year but seldom strings together two good ones. He bid 4-wide on the turn off a six-week layoff, gained late on the winner and held off the 3-to-5 favorite to finish second at 5-1/2F last out. Bet to win and place and play a 1-2-8 exacta box.

Penn National - Race #5

#7 HIDDEN CACHE (4-1)	Dead game in winning long sprint on the front end, can handle class rise.
#6 TOOTALOO KANGAROO (5-2)	Likes Penn National, earned top speed figure in narrow defeat.
#2 WEST ABBOTT (5-1)	Has good speed, has yet to carry it to victory in five starts at this distance.
Race Summary	HIDDEN CACHE was collared on the turn and found more to hold off the deep closers and win at 7F for her new connections. She is unproven in allowance company but could be poised for a breakthrough with a 3-for-10 record and $75,920 bankroll this year. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct
PURCHASE

Aqueduct - Race 7	Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 7 &8
Optional Claiming $45,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $85,000 • Post: 3:10P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $45,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER IN 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE IN 2024 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $45,000 (ALLOWANCE HORSES PREFERRED)(1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TRUE EMPRESS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest T rackMaster Power Rating. MYBRONXBABY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. A MAIZE ZING DOTIE: Horse had a bullet workout within the l ast seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SUE ELLEN MISHKIN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff.
6	TRUE EMPRESS	5/2	5/1
7	MYBRONXBABY	4/1	5/1
2	A MAIZE ZING DOTIE	2/1	6/1
5	SUE ELLEN MISHKIN	7/2	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	MYBRONXBABY	7	4/1	Front-runner	86	80	91.2	80.0	73.0
5	SUE ELLEN MISHKIN	5	7/2	Front-runner	88	80	85.0	78.4	69.9
2	A MAIZE ZING DOTIE	2	2/1	Front-runner	87	84	82.6	81.6	74.1
3	GONE AND FORGOTTEN	3	15/1	Trailer	89	68	54.0	76.6	68.6
4	FOXY CARA	4	12/1	Trailer	82	74	42.6	70.8	60.8
6	TRUE EMPRESS	6	5/2	Trailer	88	92	29.6	84.4	78.9
1	HARLAN'S BOND	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	80	50.6	77.8	68.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
PURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Parlay (Races 2-3-4)
Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $33,700 • Post: 1:12P
FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FLAME FOR REAL is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BANANA PUDDING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COUNTESS COLETTE: Today is a rou te and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FLAME FOR REAL: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. STICK AROUND: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	BANANA PUDDING	2/1	7/2
1	COUNTESS COLETTE	3/1	7/1
7	FLAME FOR REAL	4/1	7/1
4	STICK AROUND	7/2	8/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	FLAME FOR REAL	7	4/1	Front-runner	44	51	68.3	41.7	34.2
2	BEAUTIFUL CHARADE	2	8/1	Stalker	43	49	51.9	46.6	36.1
6	BANANA PUDDING	6	2/1	Trailer	67	64	57.5	61.1	57.1
1	COUNTESS COLETTE	1	3/1	Trailer	64	53	54.0	54.0	49.0
4	STICK AROUND	4	7/2	Trailer	64	49	48.3	53.1	47.1
5	EMERALD EYES	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	50	42	23.4	33.4	22.9
3	IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	33	20	19.7	19.7	7.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 62

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 CHUCHI 12/1
# 3 TAKE IT TO COURT 8/1
# 4 DAT'S A GOODE ONE 4/1

I give my vote to CHUCHI in here especially at a such a nice price. TAKE IT TO COURT - She has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the best in this field. With a nice class rating average of 68, has one of the top class advantages in this group. DAT'S A GOODE ONE - Has to be given a chance versus this group of horses displaying very good figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 62 under similar conditions. Earning some nice money in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating:

#7 GENGHIS (ML=8/1)
#6 I KNOW MAP (ML=6/1)
#2 TROPHY ROOM (ML=5/1)
#5 ONE WAY FARRIOR (ML=9/5)


GENGHIS - He'll be laying in perfect stalking position, right behind the early speed. Have to like the way Kravets has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Equine is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. I KNOW MAP - Faced tougher in the last race at Penn National. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of contenders in this race. TROPHY ROOM - The jockey and conditioner combination have a beneficial ROI when they combine forces. Torres comes to saddle up after getting to know the gelding in the last event. McClellan must have known this gelding would run well at this track. Won his last race here on Oct 24th and now goes for back-to-back wins. I like to wager on this angle, a pony coming back off a solid outing within the last 30 days. 61-65-87 are last three speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this event. ONE WAY FARRIOR - Just see his most recent speed fig, 88. That one fits in this group. Ranks at the top in earnings per start. A solid try right here will add to that bankroll. This horse has increased his speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking a look at.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DEE JAY (ML=2/1),

DEE JAY - Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a sprint race to be worth the chance at low odds in a sprint. This gelding showed little last time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 GENGHIS to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $36100 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 FANNY M 3/1
# 10 WEGOTTATALK 5/2
# 5 PRIZED SPIRIT 4/1

FANNY M supports the wager in here. Looks very strong for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races recently. Could provide positive profits based on decent recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 53. Ran a solid last race. PRIZED SPIRIT - Is hard not to look at given the company run in lately. I would give my vote to this filly on the jockey and conditioner numbers alone.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Churchill Downs - Race #3 - Post: 1:58pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $42,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#5 MAN OF MISCHIEF (ML=3/1)
#11 GOLDEN ICE (ML=12/1)


MAN OF MISCHIEF - Faced tougher last time around the track at Belmont at the Big A. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders in this race. Is ranked highest in earnings per start (EPS). A dominant effort right here can add to that total. GOLDEN ICE - This rider and trainer's animals have been producing a profitable return on investment. With 'blinkers-on' this colt should be very competitive.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 STORM THE STREETS (ML=7/2), #1 HAUNTED FLAME (ML=4/1), #6 WINTER CREEK (ML=5/1),

STORM THE STREETS - This gelding has already been beaten as the chalk twice in a row. Hard to give him another chance. Doubtful for this one to make an impact with no recent success in a short distance race. HAUNTED FLAME - This colt finished out of the money on Jul 5th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either. WINTER CREEK - This colt hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint affairs. Not easy to play him in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 MAN OF MISCHIEF to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	None

[rocky57]

Dave Sharapan (Ex Bookmaker)
NFL Steelers