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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Saturday 12/7/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    Meet the Contenders: Saturday’s Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct


    December 2, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

    Last year’s Grade 2 Remsen Stakes exacta eventually produced Fountain of Youth, Belmont Stakes and Haskell winner Dornoch as well as Blue Grass and Breeders’ Cup Classic hero Sierra Leone. What’s in store for this $250,000 co-feature on Saturday’s Cigar Mile Day card at Aqueduct?

    The Remsen is one of several 2-year-old stakes of note this week around the country, including Oaklawn’s Advent on Friday, and Saturday’s Inaugural at Tampa Bay Downs and Maryland Juvenile at Laurel Park.

    Let’s meet the contenders for the 1-1/8 miles Remsen (Race 7):

    #1-TUX: Most lightly raced member of this year’s Remsen won his only start, a November 9 Aqueduct sprint over 6-1/2 furlongs. The Tapit colt is out of Fancy Dress Party, who won 5 of 6 starts (Beaumont et al) as a pure sprinter. Rail speed is beneficial in this race to stretch his game as far as it will go. Trainer Bill Mott is a 2-time Remsen Winner (Court Vision 2007 and To Honor and Serve 2010). Jockey Junior Alvarado won this race in 2015 aboard Mohaymen.

    #2-AVIATOR GUI: A winner in 1 of 3 starts, he broke his maiden over a mile at the Big A in September. Sire Uncle Mo also was responsible for 2021 Remsen winner Mo Donegal and 2016 champ Mo Town. Trainer Chad Brown was runner-up in this race last year with Sierra Leone and won it in 2014 with Leave the Light On. Manny Franco piloted 2017 Remsen winner Catholic Boy, who was also the last winner in this race to prep on turf like Aviator Gui bids.

    #3-POSTER: Unbeaten Kentucky raider brings a 2-for-2 turf mark into his first stakes chance and first bid on dirt. Munnings colt is out of a half-sister to 2006 Preakness and Travers winner Bernardini. Trainer Eoin Harty and Godolphin won last Saturday’s Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs, already putting First Resort squarely on the Triple Crown trail. Jockey Flavien Prat’s 53 graded stakes wins in 2024 lead the nation and are just 2 off the all-time, single-season record of 55 set by Jerry Bailey in 2003.

    #4-STUDLYDORIGHT: Nashua and Tremont winner is the most seasoned Remsen entrant with 3 victories from 6 starts, which include 4 previous road trips to New York venues. The last Maryland-based Remsen winner was Jeremiah O’Dwyer’s Shotski in 2019. Veteran trainer Jerry Robb keeps his Laurel Park A-rider Xavier Perez aboard this son of Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist. That sire’s current 2-year-old crop also includes Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies winner Immersive.

    #5-KEEWAYDIN: Instagrand colt is the highest-priced auction buy in the field at $140,000 amongst an economical cast. Debuted a solid third at Saratoga before an Aqueduct graduation score October 12. Earned field’s top Beyer Speed Figure (91) in his 7-furlong victory. Should be on or near the pace while trying to extend miler’s pedigree under Dylan Davis, who has won more races on the NYRA circuit this year than any other rider. Trainer Chad Brown was runner-up in this race last year with Sierra Leone and won it in 2014 with Leave the Light On.

    #6-SURFSIDE MOON: Delaware Park turf mile winner in August holds a 1-for-5 record, but is 3: 0-0-1 on dirt. Trainer James L. Lawrence II flirted with the Triple Crown in 2016 with Jerome and Withers runner-up Vorticity. Finished 2 lengths behind Remsen rival Studydoright in the Laurel Futurity when fifth. Kendrick Carmouche rode him last out when fifth on grass in the Awad Stakes and returns in the saddle. Catholic Boy (2017) was the last Remsen winner to exit a turf prep.

    #7-GUN TRADER: $8,000 bargain purchase took 6 starts to break his maiden, punching home as the 3-2 favorite on November 4 at Parx. Maximus Mischief successfully took the Parx path to the Remsen winner’s circle in 2018. From the first crop to race by Tom’s d’Etat, who won the Fayette, Clark and Stephen Foster over the Remsen’s 9-furlong trip. Apprentice jockey Francisco Martinez retains the mount and looks for his first graded stakes score. Trainer Uriah St. Lewis is best known for Discreet Lover’s 45-1 upset in the 2018 Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup in a previous NYRA raid.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Race of the Week: Cigar Mile at Aqueduct on Saturday


      December 4, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

      The Lead:
      The 1-turn configuration of the Grade 2 Cigar Mile at Aqueduct welcomes both sprinters and routers to one of the most important late-season races on the calendar. Saturday's field of 11 literally spans from alumni of the Breeders' Cup Sprint to the Dirt Mile to the Breeders' Cup Classic. The Big A card also features the Remsen and Demoiselle for the 2-year-olds, as well as the Go For Wand for the distaffers.

      Field Depth:
      Grade 1 winners abound, including BOOK 'EM DANNO, MULLIKIN, LOCKED and SENOR BUSCADOR. Meanwhile, POST TIME is a Grade 2 winner and Grade 1-placed. SENOR BUSCADOR has kept the strongest company lines overall.
      ​​
      Pace:
      There's not a totally committed front-runner here, but NELSON AVENUE, REPO ROCKS, MULLIKIN and PIPELINE all have discernible speed and should make for a fair pace. No running styles seem advantaged or disadvantaged.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      #1-BOOK 'EM DANNO: Eight 3-year-olds since 2000 have won the Cigar Mile as this late-running sprinter takes on elders for the first time on Saturday. Irad Ortiz Jr. rode him in the Saudi Derby and Woody Stephens, his 2 most important and successful races of the year. Nailed twice on the wire going 1 mile; perhaps 7 furlongs is his best.

      #2-NELSON AVENUE: Longshot pace player was caught late in the Grade 3 Forty Niner, the local prep, by return rival Coastal Mission. Won 2 of 3 since claimed by Wayne Potts for $40,000. Tall task.

      #3-REPO ROCKS: Veteran re-claimed for $75,000 by Jamie Ness in August but hasn't gotten back to his superior 2023 form. Fourth in the Forty Niner against a few of these and the waters get far deeper Saturday.

      #4-VINSANITY: Sophomore won a $25,000 claimer for non-winners of 2 lifetime just 2 starts back and is biting off an overwhelming chunk of the apple here.

      #5-MULLIKIN: Raging good form in all 5 starts this year, most recently third in the Breeders' Cup Sprint. Red-hot trainer Rodolphe Brisset has a fairly fresh horse even at this late stage of the year. Jockey Flavien Prat comes into Saturday with 23 graded stakes wins, just 2 shy of the single-season American record (Jerry Bailey, 25, 2003). Mile will be his longest trip, but pedigree and form relieve worries.

      #6-LAW PROFESSOR: Rob Atras claim for $80,000 last out off a 9-furlong victory at the Big A. True course specialist at 7: 5-1-1 locally and a multiple local stakes winner. Fresh and fires second off the layoff while stepping back up in class.

      #7-LOCKED: Todd Pletcher's 6 wins are a Cigar Mile record, while jockey John Velazquez could tie Jerry Bailey's race record with a fifth victory (and third straight) if successful. Visually dominant in his allowance return win after 11 months on the bench and ran huge in the second start of his form cycle last summer at Saratoga. Gun Runner colt could be a massive player in 2025, and would be no surprise to get a headstart on that Saturday.

      #8-PIPELINE: Ninth in this race last year after pushing the pace and likely again will be a in similar forward position. Banner year for trainer Cherie DeVaux, but can't recommend this one off his last several stakes bids.

      #9-SENOR BUSCADOR: Deep-closing veteran has made just shy of $13 million, one of the richest careers in North American racing history. But his 3 starts since a fabulous Saudi-UAE run this spring have not inspired confidence he's anywhere near his best form. Fifth in the Breeders' Cup Classic was a decent effort, but not sure he's in as good of form as he was when second in this race a year ago.

      #10-COASTAL MISSION: Charles Town legend has proven himself many times on the road, including victories in the Parx Mile and the local Cigar Mile prep, the Forty Niner, in his most recent starts. Jockey Arnaldo Bocachica made a middle move with Coastal Mission in last year's Cigar Mile before flattening out to fifth. Patience displayed in the Forty Niner will be the blueprint Saturday if he's good enough.

      #11-POST TIME: Maryland-bred millionaire went national this year with success, winning the Carter at Aqueduct and hitting the board in the Met Mile, Whitney and Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. Brittany Russell trainee has an uncanny ability to be push-button once straightened for home, often looking like he's spinning his wheels just prior. Length of stretch at Aqueduct plays well for him.

      Most Certain Exotics Contender:
      POST TIME is 14-14 in the trifecta lifetime and has a beneficial outside post draw with a long run to the only turn.

      Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
      LAW PROFESSOR has some back class on the re-rise and loves the track.​

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $100 win POST TIME.
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      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20513

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Fair Grounds - Race #6
        #2 Crank It Up She stepped forward nicely in that second start when getting on the turf for the first time at Ellis, and she looks like a danger if she's ready to fire fresh after a few months away.
        #5 Fancy Quality Wouldn't be a surprise to see her rally to land this after a decent Aqueduct debut back in September. Dangerous with a move forward.
        #6 Polyrhythmic Not a ton to argue with in the Horseshoe Indianapolis debut run, and she should find a good spot to get the jump on the top two with that positional pace she showed at first asking.
        Race Summary Crank It Up took a step forward when trying turf, and I think the presence of a couple others in here who will command some cash might keep the price just playable.
        Fair Grounds - Race #8
        #8 Glacial Power Think he's got the right style sit just off the pace types and get first jump. Dangerous sprint form in a race where a couple cutback players make sense.
        #4 Sovereigns Joy Chasing pace hasn't been able to stay going long, but that kind of positional route speed might translate well enough on the move to a sprint for the first time. Some midrange price appeal.
        #9 Drunk on Sake Route speed has given way in most of his starts, but he could find a cozy trip while turning back from the outside. Still worried that he hasn't shown he can pass horses yet, but maybe this trip on the grass will give him a chance to do that.
        Race Summary Glacial Power can be tough here with something like the two-back run, and he should get a perfect trip right up on the speed that should advantage him over the turnback runners.
        Fair Grounds - Race #9
        #10 Show' Em Nola Nothing but brief speed before fading in those first four starts, but she's getting a good bit of class relief while cutting the tag and trying Louisiana-breds for the first time.
        #8 Honor His Half Nothing to be afraid of on paper in the rest of this group, so I wouldn't argue with anyone looking for a fresh face. Check him out on the tote and track, but I'm guessing he's meant for a competitive try at this level right out of the box.
        #3 Crawfish Burl Wonder if you couldn't get a little something out of her going 7.5 furlongs on this turf course, but either way she's an OK fit at this dirt sprint. She hasn't been in this easy, and she should be in a decent spot turning for home -- a big plus in a bad race.
        Race Summary Show' Em Nola doesn't have any serious form, but she has faced much better groups and could wake up in a hurry here at a decent price. Chasing trip turns to some success?

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20513

          #5
          Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


          Laurel Park - Race #1
          #3 SADIE THE GOAT (6-5) Duplicate of latest would be enough on class drop to winning level.
          #8 GUN RUNNIN’ GAL (6-1) Had trouble twice recently, runs for cheapest tag yet, changes riders again.
          #6 BUCKIN LUCKY (6-1) ‘Gun’ stablemate tries to recapture form before allowance tries.
          Race Summary SADIE THE GOAT battled bravely on the front end off a six-week rest, earned her top speed figure to finish third, now carries 10 pounds more on the class drop. She romped in her only start on conventional dirt at this distance. Make a flat win bet and play 3-6, 3-8 and 6-3 exactas.
          Laurel Park - Race #2
          #3 LOVING CUP (3-1) Bid 3-wide on turn, dueled to the finish in turf route won by the 3-to-5 favorite.
          #1 FAINOR’S FILETS (10-1 Wide trip from post 10 in comeback, long sprint should suit her well.
          #4 BAD TEMPER (5-2) Three wins at distance and proven at this level.
          Race Summary LOVING CUP doesn’t race often, but she won an allowance race off similar rest to start her year, had trouble two back for a $12,500 tag and dueled for this far in a turf route before getting caught late. She’s well-spotted in here as today’s Best Bet. Play a 3-ALL exacta and 3/1,4/ALL trifecta.
          Laurel Park - Race #4
          #11 KATE’S GOLDEN DUDE ( Has 17 wins, earned most of $300k bankroll at 6F, post the concern.
          #2 PIT STOP MAN (7-2) Can stalk and pounce for new connections, working well for return.
          #4 THE WOLFMAN (9-2) Won off long layoff to begin last season, seems to always show up.
          Race Summary Parx invader KATE’S GOLDEN DUDE, a vet scratch November 20 at Penn National, makes only his second career start at Laurel Park. But he loves to win and stands an upset chance to do so again if he avoids a wide trip from post 11. Bet to win and place and play a 2-4-11 exacta box.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20513

            #6
            Gulfstream Park Hotlist - December 7


            Dec. 05, 2024

            By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

            Hot List Key:

            A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

            2nd race – (2) Kid Mattie Matt gets plenty of speed to chase and can work out a winning trip. (8) Bad Gal Party flopped in a stakes but can rebound here. (5) Maddy R looked good in winning her turf debut. (1) Glory Glory gets the benefit of a rail trip. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-8.

            4th race – (2) Oconee Life was third last time and can take a step forward here. (3) Steeler Mischief drops off the Fawkes claim and should be a main threat. (6) Freakazoid looked good in his first try on Tapeta. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-6. Doubles: 2-3-6 with 1-3-11-12.

            5th race – (1) Salamis moves to turf for Brown and should thrive on it. (3) Murabeh is an interesting firster. (11) Battle Drum will welcome a return to turf. (12) Roscoe Pine should benefit from his debut but landed a rough post. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-11-12.

            8th race – (5) Oscar Season missed by a head at Churchill Downs and looks best here. (7) Fredo has been rested and seems set for a sharp try. (9) Princetown turned in a solid effort to win his turf debut and cannot be ignored. (8) Samburu fits in with this group. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-7-8-9.

            10th race - (2) Lord of War has been away but returns at a level where he can prevail. (10) Yono was fourth at this level last time and switches to Gaffalione. (1) Lucky Curlin will get a boost from a ground-saving trip. (11) Space Launch has a bad post but has talent. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-10-11.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20513

              #7
              Aqueduct Hotlist - December 7


              Dec. 05, 2024

              By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

              Hot List Key:
              A:
              A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

              2nd race [Alw 50000s, 6 ? F] – (1) Forward Move is in top form for Linda Rice since moving from turf to dirt three races back at Aqueduct. (4) Beaver State broke his maiden at Laurel Park and missed another win by a nose moving up to a starter allowance. (5) Play returns from a May layoff when was second in a race similar to today’s spot. (3) Hatch was claimed from 5 out of his last 6 starts at Aqueduct and Saratoga. During that span of races, he won twice and was second two times.

              3rd race [OC 80k/N1X, 1mi] – (1) Uncle Jim and (1A) One Man Team are both win contenders after winning in their first starts. (2) Cyclone State made a big jump in speed figures when he broke his maiden in his sixth start. (6) My Mitole came back from a five-month layoff to get his first start in a maiden restricted by auction sales price. (4) Ican broke his maiden by more than six lengths at Horseshoe Indianapolis in October for hot trainer Rick Dutrow.

              4th race [OC 62k/N2X, 6 ? F] – (5) El Grande O came back from a long layoff when he was prominent on the Aqueduct road to the 2024 Kentucky Derby and won a first level allowance while running with Lasix for the first time. (1A) Gun It runs for the claiming option to fit the conditions of this race. Three races back he was second behind Locked who is running in the Cigar Mile on Saturday. (3) Bramito won the first-level allowance three races back with a closing move. (6) Reddington won a starter allowance at Saratoga and then a first-level allowance at Aqueduct before running fifth in a race like today.

              7th race [OC 50k/N1X, 1 1/8 mi] – (5) Brown Suga Babe again ships from Parx for Jamie Ness as a winner of 3 out of her last 4 races with two of those wins in NY-bred allowances but remains eligible for the open company N1X allowance. (2) Stamp of Approval returned from a four month layoff to win a $75,000 maiden claimer. (6) Bernietakescharge won the second-level NY-bred allowance by more than six lengths. (4) Just Music was third at this level last time with a starter allowance victory in her prior start.

              Best bets: LaPenta and Madaket entry (3rd); El Grande O (4th). Best value: Forward Mone (2nd); Brown Suga Babe (7th).

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20513

                #8
                Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | December 7, 2024


                Dec. 05, 2024

                Race 4 at Aqueduct | Saturday December 7 | Post Time 1:08 PM Eastern

                Go For Wand Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $200,000 | One Mile | Fillies and Mares, Three Years Old and Upward

                Analysis and top contenders:

                Comparative (5) appears to stand out in this field, and I believe she will not be the favorite because she’s coming back from nearly eight months off and because others in the field have top form in more recent races.

                The reason I believe Comparative has such a strong chance to win is the race she ran the last time she came back from a layoff. She had been off from May of 2023 to November of 2023, nearly identical to the layoff she’s coming back from today as she last ran in April. That effort in a one-turn mile race at Aqueduct identical to this one-turn mile race at Aqueduct, was one of the best of her career. Under Manny Franco, who rides today, Comparative stalked the early pacesetters in third, then second, for the first three-quarters of a mile, then early took over and drew away late. That effort earned her a career-best 103 Equibase Figure, which she nearly equaled two races later, also at Aqueduct, when winning the Ladies Stakes in January.

                Then one month later this past February, Comparative won the Grade 2 Bayakoa Stakes at Oaklawn, also under Franco, before two poor efforts which led to the layoff she’s coming back from today. Cox has a tremendously good 36%-win rate with horses coming back from six months off more and if that 103-speed figure effort from November of last year is repeated, she is going to be very tough to beat. It could even be improved upon now that she’s a more mature four year old, and since she has five wins in 11 races on fast dirt which it is likely she’ll be running on in this race, and no seconds, not only is Comparative a good win bet, she’s also a good exacta key bet in the win position, because some of the others may off excellent value for exacta wagers.

                Movie Moxy (4), Ain’t Broke (7) and Shidabhuti (8) all have a slight chance to win and an even better chance to be part of the exacta, as do Tizzy in the Sky (1) and Occult (3). That leaves only Stonewall Star (2) and Rachel’s Rock (6) asnon-contenders, and so the best thing to do for exacta tickets played is to use all seven other horses, although I could see leaving off Stonewall Star and Rachel’s Rock as well.

                Bets:

                Win: Comparative (5) at odds as low as 3 to 2, a low odds overlay win bet.

                Exactas: Comparative over ALL.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20513

                  #9
                  Aqueduct Tip Sheet - December 7


                  Dec. 06, 2024

                  Race #1

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 11:40 AM ET

                  Best Bet #4 CALL HER BLUFF $85,000.00

                  Race 1 Allowance Optional Claiming
                  Win 2-1 4 Call Her Bluff J Rosario
                  Place 9-5 3 Malu K Carmouche
                  Show 5-2 2 Munny Grab L R Rivera Jr.
                  Wild card 6-1 5 Clover Street J R Velazquez
                  Alternate 1 8-1 1 Racing Colors D Brown
                  Alternate 2 20-1 6 Krystalheir R R Maragh
                  Exacta 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

                  Race #2

                  Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:10 PM ET $45,000.00

                  Race 2 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 6-5 11 Trinity River F Prat
                  Place 10-1 4 Monte Avi J Lezcano
                  Show 20-1 6 Man From Malta J Alvarado
                  Wild card 8-1 3 Viking Warrior J Rosario
                  Alternate 1 12-1 5 Solar Glare Y O Ramos
                  Alternate 2 7-2 1 Total Silence I Ortiz Jr.
                  Exacta 11-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                  Trifecta 4/6/11 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

                  Race #3

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 12:39 PM ET $90,000.00

                  Race 3 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 20-1 6 No Merlot L R Rivera Jr.
                  Place 9-2 1 Derz Smart S Russell
                  Show 7-2 2 A Bourbon for Toby D Davis
                  Wild card 8-1 5 Take Home the Cup J Rosario
                  Alternate 1 6-1 9 Timely Decision I Ortiz Jr.
                  Alternate 2 10-1 3 Snookie Bear J Lezcano
                  Exacta 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

                  Race #4

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:08 PM ET $200,000.00

                  Race 4 Stakes
                  Win 9-2 8 Shidabhuti D Davis
                  Place 5-2 3 Occult I Ortiz Jr.
                  Show 3-1 1 Tizzy in the Sky F Prat
                  Wild card 6-1 4 Movie Moxy J Lezcano
                  Alternate 1 5-1 7 Aint Broke E Cancel
                  Alternate 2 6-1 5 Comparative M Franco
                  Exacta 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/3/8 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

                  Race #5

                  Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:37 PM ET

                  Best Bet #5 ALS RUBY $80,000.00

                  Race 5 Allowance
                  Win 2-1 5 Als Ruby J Rosario
                  Place 9-2 2 First Class Cat F Prat
                  Show 6-1 7 Peony D Davis
                  Wild card 12-1 4 Fabulous Fox R R Maragh
                  Alternate 1 8-1 1 Darn That Song L J Luzzi
                  Alternate 2 12-1 3 Snappin Buttons F Martinez
                  Exacta 5-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

                  Race #6

                  Dirt

                  6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:07 PM ET $75,000.00

                  Race 6 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 4-1 1 Army Gal J Lezcano
                  Place 7-2 10 Tale of the Tail M Franco
                  Show 5-2 2 Oklahoma Smoke I Ortiz Jr.
                  Wild card 8-1 6 Currane J Rosario
                  Alternate 1 20-1 7 Tower Twenty Two K Carmouche
                  Alternate 2 9-2 8 Leonoras Secret D Davis
                  Exacta 1-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/2/10 BOX, 2/6/10 BOX

                  Race #7

                  Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 02:36 PM ET $250,000.00

                  Race 7 Stakes
                  Win 6-5 5 Keewaydin D Davis
                  Place 9-2 4 Studlydoright X Perez
                  Show 3-1 1 Tux J Alvarado
                  Wild card 6-1 2 Aviator Gui M Franco
                  Alternate 1 5-1 3 Poster F Prat
                  Alternate 2 20-1 6 Surfside Moon K Carmouche
                  Exacta 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

                  Race #8

                  Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 03:05 PM ET $250,000.00

                  Race 8 Stakes
                  Win 4-5 1 Muhimma F Geroux
                  Place 9-2 8 Beauty Reigns J Alvarado
                  Show 20-1 7 Five a Side J Rosario
                  Wild card 12-1 4 Carmens Candy Jar I Ortiz Jr.
                  Alternate 1 15-1 3 Fortuna Mia E Cancel
                  Alternate 2 8-1 10 Ballerina dOro D Davis
                  Exacta 1-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/7/8 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX

                  Race #9

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 03:35 PM ET $500,000.00

                  Race 9 Stakes
                  Win 3-1 5 Mullikin F Prat
                  Place 7-2 11 Post Time S Russell
                  Show 9-2 7 Locked J R Velazquez
                  Wild card 6-1 9 Senor Buscador J Rosario
                  Alternate 1 4-1 1 Bookem Danno I Ortiz Jr.
                  Alternate 2 12-1 10 Coastal Mission A Bocachica
                  Exacta 5-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
                  Trifecta 5/7/11 BOX, 7/9/11 BOX

                  Race #10

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:04 PM ET

                  Best Bet #8 QUICK TO ACCUSE $92,000.00

                  Race 10 Allowance
                  Win 4-1 8 Quick to Accuse M Franco
                  Place 7-2 4 Commuted R Silvera
                  Show 10-1 10 Night Effect F Geroux
                  Wild card 3-1 7 Reynolds Channel J Alvarado
                  Alternate 1 12-1 9 Magnificent Mile F Martinez
                  Alternate 2 8-1 6 Treaty Obligation F Prat
                  Exacta 8-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX
                  Trifecta 4/8/10 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20513

                    #10
                    Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - December 7


                    Dec. 06, 2024

                    Race #1

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:45 PM ET $15,000.00

                    Race 1 Claiming
                    Win 4-1 7 Vero Campione E M Murray
                    Place 8-1 5 Handsome Harold J A Guerrero
                    Show 5-1 1 Its Wild Again T S Albert
                    Wild card 3-1 8 Righteous Freedom M Murrill
                    Alternate 1 5-2 4 Slick and Fast D L Parker
                    Alternate 2 8-1 6 Razz J Ramirez Jr.
                    Exacta 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/5/7 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

                    Race #2

                    Dirt 1 Mile 70 Yards - Post Time: 02:15 PM ET $60,000.00

                    Race 2 Allowance
                    Win 4-1 7 Gamer Nate C McMahon
                    Place 7-2 2 Cajun Ami M Pedroza Jr.
                    Show 3-1 3 The Boss Soss J L Ortiz
                    Wild card 6-1 6 Titanium Deal J A Guerrero
                    Alternate 1 4-1 1 Purrrfect Rhythm A Concepcion
                    Alternate 2 8-1 5 My Pal Sweet M Murrill
                    Exacta 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/3/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX

                    Race #3

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:45 PM ET $32,000.00

                    Race 3 Maiden Optional Claiming
                    Win 3-1 8 Colonel Yorke B J Hernandez Jr.
                    Place 7-2 5 Somekinda Mischief J L Ortiz
                    Show 4-1 1 Face the Future M Murrill
                    Wild card 9-2 2 Diamond Eyed Jack B Curtis
                    Alternate 1 8-1 3 Raising Kane J Graham
                    Alternate 2 8-1 4 Justawalkinthepark J A Torres
                    Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/5/8 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

                    Race #4

                    Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 03:15 PM ET

                    Best Bet #1 AGATINO $25,000.00

                    Race 4 Claiming
                    Win 3-1 1 Agatino J L Ortiz
                    Place 7-2 9 Kick a Buck A Concepcion
                    Show 6-1 16 Concentration J A Torres
                    Wild card 12-1 10 Skalkaho J Loveberry
                    Alternate 1 9-2 2 Gotta Keep Him M Murrill
                    Alternate 2 8-1 14 If I Were You D Cohen
                    Exacta 1-9 BOX, 9-16 BOX, 16-10 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/9/16 BOX, 9/10/16 BOX

                    Race #5

                    Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 03:45 PM ET $59,000.00

                    Race 5 Allowance
                    Win 6-5 2 Doro Unbridled J L Ortiz
                    Place 5-2 7 Welaka A Concepcion
                    Show 6-1 1 Tiger Moon J A Torres
                    Wild card 20-1 4 National Eclipse J Loveberry
                    Alternate 1 7-2 3 Boltage B Curtis
                    Alternate 2 20-1 5 Coppermaster M Pedroza Jr.
                    Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/2/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

                    Race #5

                    Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 03:45 PM ET $59,000.00

                    Race 5 Allowance
                    Win 6-5 2 Doro Unbridled J L Ortiz
                    Place 5-2 7 Welaka A Concepcion
                    Show 6-1 1 Tiger Moon J A Torres
                    Wild card 20-1 4 National Eclipse J Loveberry
                    Alternate 1 7-2 3 Boltage B Curtis
                    Alternate 2 20-1 5 Coppermaster M Pedroza Jr.
                    Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/2/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

                    Race #6

                    Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:15 PM ET $58,000.00

                    Race 6 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 5-2 6 Polyrhythmic J L Ortiz
                    Place 3-1 5 Fancy Quality B J Hernandez Jr.
                    Show 6-1 7 Star Anise J A Torres
                    Wild card 6-1 2 Crank It Up J Loveberry
                    Alternate 1 6-1 8 Moon Mist A Concepcion
                    Alternate 2 8-1 3 Iseult M Pedroza Jr.
                    Exacta 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
                    Trifecta 5/6/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

                    Race #7

                    Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:45 PM ET

                    Best Bet #5 MAYCOCKS BAY $60,000.00

                    Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 2-1 5 Maycocks Bay B Curtis
                    Place 3-1 1 Snead J Loveberry
                    Show 7-2 4 Chrome Baby M Pedroza Jr.
                    Wild card 8-1 6 Unified Dreams M Murrill
                    Alternate 1 8-1 7 Cascade Cruiser D Cohen
                    Alternate 2 10-1 2 Uxmal J A Torres
                    Exacta 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

                    Race #8

                    Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:15 PM ET

                    Best Bet #10 UNLEASH THE POWER $59,000.00

                    Race 8 Allowance
                    Win 7-2 10 Unleash the Power J L Ortiz
                    Place 4-1 11 Think Big B Curtis
                    Show 9-2 8 Glacial Power A Concepcion
                    Wild card 12-1 3 Sono M Murrill
                    Alternate 1 12-1 5 Rock N Roll Bolt J Loveberry
                    Alternate 2 6-1 9 Drunk On Sake B J Hernandez Jr.
                    Exacta 10-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 8/10/11 BOX, 3/8/11 BOX

                    Race #9

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:45 PM ET $15,000.00

                    Race 9 Maiden Claiming
                    Win 3-1 3 Crawfish Burl B Curtis
                    Place 5-1 1 Platinum Midnight C J Hernandez
                    Show 8-1 5 Custom V K W J Barbosa
                    Wild card 4-1 8 Honor His Half J Loveberry
                    Alternate 1 12-1 11 Fret No More J Graham
                    Alternate 2 8-1 14 Uthinkicare C McMahon
                    Exacta 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/3/5 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20513

                      #11
                      Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - December 7


                      Dec. 06, 2024

                      Race #1

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:30 PM ET

                      Best Bet #7 BOOGIE WOOGIE GAL $34,000.00

                      Race 1 Maiden Claiming
                      Win 8-5 7 Boogie Woogie Gal E Esquivel
                      Place 8-1 4 No Pay No Hay R Bowen
                      Show 5-1 2 Chiquita Reina T W Bacon
                      Wild card 9-2 1 Lil Knockout C Murphy
                      Alternate 1 5-2 5 Foxy Zorra H Hernandez
                      Alternate 2 15-1 3 Indian Spirit A Pusac
                      Exacta 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/4/7 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

                      Race #2

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:58 PM ET $33,000.00

                      Race 2 Claiming
                      Win 9-5 1 Mr Puk R A Vazquez
                      Place 5-2 4 Principe Carlo I Castillo
                      Show 5-1 8 Stand Proud C A Torres
                      Wild card 3-1 5 Worth Looking M Chuan
                      Alternate 1 12-1 7 Risk Profile E Asmussen
                      Alternate 2 30-1 6 Stomping Hotrod A Pusac
                      Exacta 1-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/4/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX

                      Race #3

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:26 PM ET $40,000.00

                      Race 3 Maiden Claiming
                      Win 8-5 2 Staygoldponyboy R Bejarano
                      Place 3-1 3 Improbability T W Bacon
                      Show 5-2 7 Maxi Boots C A Torres
                      Wild card 10-1 9 Sweet La Crema W De La Cruz
                      Alternate 1 12-1 5 Arjun for Karz H Torres
                      Alternate 2 8-1 1 Tip Toe Joe F Arrieta
                      Exacta 2-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/3/7 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

                      Race #4

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:54 PM ET $33,000.00

                      Race 4 Claiming
                      Win 6-1 1 Axton I Castillo
                      Place 2-1 3 Afternoon Heat S Camacho Jr.
                      Show 7-2 9 Man On the Moon K J Asmussen
                      Wild card 4-1 7 Pinky Ring Bling C A Torres
                      Alternate 1 10-1 8 Permafrost T W Bacon
                      Alternate 2 5-1 4 Guided Arrow E Esquivel
                      Exacta 1-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/3/9 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

                      Race #5

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:22 PM ET $34,000.00

                      Race 5 Maiden Claiming
                      Win 2-1 7 Classic Cinema C A Torres
                      Place 4-1 1 Get Away With It E Esquivel
                      Show 3-1 14 Bradford K J Asmussen
                      Wild card 9-2 13 Coach Sam P A Pusac
                      Alternate 1 7-2 9 Stillbilly R Bejarano
                      Alternate 2 12-1 10 Unnecessary Tricks W De La Cruz
                      Exacta 7-1 BOX, 1-14 BOX, 14-13 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/7/14 BOX, 1/13/14 BOX

                      Race #6

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:50 PM ET

                      Best Bet #11 KEY TO SUCCESS $130,000.00

                      Race 6 Allowance
                      Win 5-2 12 Theresasilverlinin R A Vazquez
                      Place 7-2 4 Popperina K J Asmussen
                      Show 4-1 7 Lite It Up Louie I Castillo
                      Wild card 5-1 5 Mischievous Gal C A Torres
                      Alternate 1 20-1 11 Key to Success T W Bacon
                      Alternate 2 12-1 13 Wild Bout Hilary H Hernandez
                      Exacta 12-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
                      Trifecta 4/7/12 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

                      Race #7

                      Dirt 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:18 PM ET

                      Best Bet #3 LIKE A SALTSHAKER $40,000.00

                      Race 7 Starter Allowance
                      Win 9-5 3 Like a Saltshaker F Arrieta
                      Place 7-2 5 Im Wide Awake C A Torres
                      Show 9-2 7 Atomic Tone I Castillo
                      Wild card 10-1 4 Atta Party R A Vazquez
                      Alternate 1 8-1 1 Born Flawless M Chuan
                      Alternate 2 10-1 2 Philipsburg R Bowen
                      Exacta 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
                      Trifecta 3/5/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

                      Race #8

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:46 PM ET $75,000.00

                      Race 8 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 5-2 7 Quality Style E Asmussen
                      Place 7-5 6 Magic Mover R A Vazquez
                      Show 10-1 5 Hola Joey A Pusac
                      Wild card 20-1 9 Studeny F Arrieta
                      Alternate 1 15-1 3 Frack Baby C A Torres
                      Alternate 2 6-1 2 Covert Law I Castillo
                      Exacta 7-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
                      Trifecta 5/6/7 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX

                      Race #9

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:14 PM ET $150,000.00

                      Race 9 Stakes
                      Win 2-1 1 Happy Is a Choice R A Vazquez
                      Place 3-1 6 Gulfport E Asmussen
                      Show 9-2 4 Disco Ball S Camacho Jr.
                      Wild card 10-1 7 Of a Revolution D Van Dyke
                      Alternate 1 4-1 3 Gulfstream Way C A Torres
                      Alternate 2 5-1 5 Run Classic F Jara
                      Exacta 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/4/6 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX

                      Race #10

                      Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:40 PM ET $110,000.00

                      Race 10 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 8-1 2 La Houligan H Hernandez
                      Place 3-1 12 Dreaminblue C A Torres
                      Show 7-2 5 Mischievous Intent E Asmussen
                      Wild card 4-1 4 Winning Campaign R A Vazquez
                      Alternate 1 8-1 7 Baobab M Chuan
                      Alternate 2 10-1 1 Putting Eagle R Bejarano
                      Exacta 2-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/5/12 BOX, 4/5/12 BOX

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20513

                        #12
                        Turfway Park Tip Sheet - December 7


                        Dec. 06, 2024

                        Race #1

                        All Weather Track 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:55 PM ET $17,500.00

                        Race 1 Claiming
                        Win 9-2 14 Winging Ways A Bendezu
                        Place 5-2 6 Upstriker C A Emigh
                        Show 4-1 11 Woodythebidspotter G Saez
                        Wild card 6-1 4 Jareth P W Ouzts
                        Alternate 1 10-1 8 Rivzonaroll G Corrales
                        Alternate 2 6-1 2 One for Richie A Cedillo
                        Exacta 14-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 6/11/14 BOX, 4/6/11 BOX

                        Race #2

                        All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET $15,500.00

                        Race 2 Claiming
                        Win 3-1 5 Rapper Zapper C Roman
                        Place 5-2 2 Spacone G Corrales
                        Show 8-1 9 Cooperstown A Cedillo
                        Wild card 8-1 8 Elm Street V Lebron
                        Alternate 1 8-1 3 Toms Spirit Y Navas
                        Alternate 2 6-1 4 Fierce Assault S Sanjur
                        Exacta 5-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
                        Trifecta 2/5/9 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX

                        Race #3

                        All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:55 PM ET

                        Best Bet #6 ANYTIME ANYWHERE $29,900.00

                        Race 3 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 7-2 6 Anytime Anywhere V Cheminaud
                        Place 8-1 2 Coach Clint A Jimenez
                        Show 15-1 12 Baytown Bump K Leonard
                        Wild card 4-1 4 Xavi C Miller
                        Alternate 1 12-1 13 Mister Rosso R Aragon
                        Alternate 2 15-1 7 Brave Words G Terraza
                        Exacta 6-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 2/6/12 BOX, 2/4/12 BOX

                        Race #4

                        All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:25 PM ET $27,800.00

                        Race 4 Claiming
                        Win 5-2 9 Faire Plaisir A Cedillo
                        Place 7-2 3 Candy Craze A Jimenez
                        Show 10-1 13 Cant Stop Staring O Villarreal
                        Wild card 10-1 11 Sprat K Leonard
                        Alternate 1 10-1 14 Come to Mama J D Ramos
                        Alternate 2 8-1 6 Serene Waters I Moncada
                        Exacta 9-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/9/13 BOX, 3/11/13 BOX

                        Race #5

                        All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:55 PM ET $80,000.00

                        Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                        Win 3-1 4 Im McDreamy A Burgos
                        Place 4-1 10 Nyquist Frequency F De La Cruz
                        Show 6-1 9 Mohtafil G Corrales
                        Wild card 7-2 7 Periculum A Beschizza
                        Alternate 1 9-2 3 Warp Nine A Achard
                        Alternate 2 15-1 12 Steppin Silver E A Roman
                        Exacta 4-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
                        Trifecta 4/9/10 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX

                        Race #6

                        All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 08:25 PM ET

                        Best Bet #1 WHERE YA AT VINCE $31,900.00

                        Race 6 Claiming
                        Win 5-2 1 Where Ya At Vince G Corrales
                        Place 9-2 2 Rodeo Zone F De La Cruz
                        Show 4-1 10 Childers J D Ramos
                        Wild card 6-1 13 Huntertown S Sanjur
                        Alternate 1 10-1 3 Sergeant Gump C Roman
                        Alternate 2 10-1 7 Speed Warning O Villarreal
                        Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-13 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/2/10 BOX, 2/10/13 BOX

                        Race #7

                        All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:55 PM ET

                        Best Bet #4 ZIGGZAPPA $27,800.00

                        Race 7 Claiming
                        Win 7-2 4 Ziggzappa A Jimenez
                        Place 3-1 11 Lady Hamilton O Villarreal
                        Show 6-1 2 World of Wonder A Burgos
                        Wild card 10-1 12 Fireside Kitten E A Roman
                        Alternate 1 20-1 7 Hot Dame R Mojica Jr.
                        Alternate 2 20-1 8 Alsanah P W Ouzts
                        Exacta 4-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX
                        Trifecta 2/4/11 BOX, 2/11/12 BOX

                        Race #8

                        All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 09:25 PM ET $84,000.00

                        Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming
                        Win 3-1 7 Two Eagles River J D Ramos
                        Place 5-1 6 High Front E Asmussen
                        Show 8-1 11 Voodoo Zip S E Bermudez
                        Wild card 4-1 13 Vote No G Corrales
                        Alternate 1 9-2 10 Heavy Pour W A Rodriguez
                        Alternate 2 6-1 9 Guanare C A Emigh
                        Exacta 7-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX, 11-13 BOX
                        Trifectac6/7/11 BOX, 6/11/13 BOX

                        Race #9

                        All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 09:55 PM ET $29,900.00

                        Race 9 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 7-2 5 Heart Headed Woman F De La Cruz
                        Place 10-1 10 Tiz Sweet Emotion A Jimenez
                        Show 4-1 4 Our Finest Hour J D Ramos
                        Wild card 5-1 13 Lils Coffee W A Rodriguez
                        Alternate 1 15-1 14 Perfect Manhattan A Jimenez
                        Alternate 2 10-1 7 Cairnhill G Corrales
                        Exacta 5-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX, 4-13 BOX
                        Trifecta 4/5/10 BOX, 4/10/13 BOX

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20513

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.


                          Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 86

                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.
                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 3 STEELER MISCHIEF 5/2
                          # 1 CHARGE OFF 9/2
                          # 2 OCONEE LIFE 4/1
                          STEELER MISCHIEF has a strong shot to take this race. Gaffalione will probably be able to get this gelding to break out sharply for this event. Had one of the most respectable speed figures of this group of horses in this race in his last outing. Recent figs for the jockey - 18 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group of animals. CHARGE OFF - Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 78 speed figure which is one of the strongest in this group of animals. Must be given a chance given the class of races run as of late. OCONEE LIFE - Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt route races recently. Should be given a chance based on the very good Equibase speed fig garnered in the last contest.

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20513

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts






                            Pleasanton - Race #5 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 77

                            Rating:

                            #7 LUVAHAPPYENDING (ML=4/1)


                            LUVAHAPPYENDING - When a thoroughbred drops at least five pounds (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but this should help.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SAHARA SUE (ML=5/2), #6 LA POPIS (ML=3/1), #2 TIGERIZE (ML=6/1),

                            SAHARA SUE - This filly is always close, but just doesn't finish on top. Difficult to play her on the win end. LA POPIS - A sustainer like this one needs an early speed duel to set things up and she isn't likely to get one this time around. TIGERIZE - Really had to give me much more in the last race. Never made much of an impact. This runner ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last race out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that figure.
                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #7 LUVAHAPPYENDING on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Skip
                            TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20513

                              #15
                              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs
                              Tampa Bay Downs - Race 7 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 7-8-9) / Super High 5
                              Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 87 • Purse: $53,000 • Post: 3:40P
                              FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED 2ND OR 3RD FOR $25,000 OR MORE.)FOR TWO YEAR OLDS UNDER INTERNATIONAL MEDICATION PROTOCOL. HORSES ENTERED TO COMPETE SHALL NOT BE ELIGIBLE TO RECEIVE FUROSEMIDE LESS THAN TWENTY-FOUR (24) HOURS PRIOR TO POST TIME FOR THE RACE. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND FORTY YARDS.).
                              Contenders Race Analysis
                              P# Horse Morn
                              Line
                              Accept
                              Odds
                              Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SKY MASTERSON is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SKY MASTERSON: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                              9 SKY MASTERSON 8/5 4/5

                              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                              Line
                              Running Style Good
                              Class
                              Good
                              Speed
                              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                              Figure
                              6 SPURIOUS 6 10/1 Front-runner 67 52 49.3 49.3 39.3
                              1 BABY ANTONIO 1 30/1 Front-runner 0 0 36.0 36.0 22.5
                              9 SKY MASTERSON 9 8/5 Stalker 82 84 96.1 80.2 77.7
                              4 MR MILES 4 20/1 Alternator/Stalker 0 0 73.0 43.6 36.6
                              3 ORTHO STAR 3 3/1 Trailer 65 64 61.7 67.5 63.0
                              8 INNATELY GOOD 8 30/1 Trailer 0 0 35.1 35.1 25.1
                              7 MISCHIEVOUS HAN 7 30/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 32.2 32.2 23.7
                              Unknown Running Style: UNANSWERED PRAYERS (9/2) [Jockey: Morales Pablo - Trainer: Casse Mark E], HIGHLAND TIGER (9/2) [Jockey: Gallardo Antonio A - Trainer: Motion H Graham], WAR FIRE (20/1) [Jockey: Lindsay Chad - Trainer: Lusk Brian R].

                              Comment

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