Thursday 12/26/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Jerry Ryan** · 12-24-2024, 06:55 AM

Football Jesus LV
12/12 Early Text message bet NFL WK 17
if you’re on text list

12/26 Seahawks @ Chicago under 45? ( Draft Kings )

Will Text Rest of NFL/CFB bets or check website
(NFL 2024 160-73 –3 after last week)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:10 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 12/26/24

December 26, 2024

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Thursday, December 26, 2024
Santa Anita Park

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Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 11:00 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 8-Mas Rapido; 3-Oscar Joy.
Backups : 4-Money Makes Money; 9-Count of Amazonia.

Forecast: Anything goes in these slalom events, but Mas Rapido has winning form over the course and a significant edge in speed figures, plus he’s turning back to a sprint and taking a realistic drop in class. Two easy breezes this month indicate he’s doing well enough, so at 5/2 on the morning line he’s the logical top pick. The main concern is that this barn can get very hot or very cold on a moment’s notice. Oscar Joy is a bit slower on figures than we’d prefer but the route-to-sprint angle is a positive factor for this prototype late-running sprinter and the switch to F. Prat certainly won’t hurt. We’ll include these two on our main track in a grass grab bag that requires as much protection as you can afford.

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Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 11:30 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: 1-Madaket Road; 7-San Saba.
Backups : none.

Forecast: The winner of this maiden special weight sprint almost certainly will be one of the Baffert entrants and it will be quite surprising if they don’t finish one-two in some order. Madaket Road was considered talented enough to begin his career in the Bob Hope S.-G3 and ran quite respectably to be second behind Derby prospect Bullard when well clear of the rest in that seven furlong affair at Del Mar. Today he shortens up a furlong and drops into a maiden sprint, but that’s no ordinary maiden he’ll have to contender in San Saba, a $750,000 first timer by Justify who has trained like a future star leading up to his unveiling. ‘Road deserves top billing due to having had a prior outing but ‘Saba may be comparable to Bullard. There’s no gamble here; we suggest you double the race in your rolling exotics or better yet just pass the race.

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Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 12:02 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 7-Preem; 1-Slick (Ire).
Backups : 5-Lee’s Baby Girl; 2-Big Leap; 3-Lila.

Forecast: Preem was given a very easy run in her better-than-looked seventh place debut at Del Mar and should get serious today. The M. McCarthy-trained filly adds blinkers, retains J. Hernandez, and projects to be in the fray throughout with every chance from the quarter pole home. She’s a good athlete with a decent turn of foot and enough ability to be highly competitive against this group. We’ve listed her at 4-1 on the morning line but wouldn’t be surprised if she actually leaves higher. Slick (Ire) didn’t get the best of trips when in traffic much of the way before winding up a respectable sixth (beaten less than five lengths) in the Jimmy Durante S.-G3 at Del Mar last month. Back with maidens today, the Irish-bred juvenile filly lands the rail and owns enough tactical speed to put her inside draw to good use. She’s solid on numbers, has two smart training track drills since raced, and switches to U. Rispoli, so we’re expecting the P. D’Amato-trained import to step forward.

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Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 12:32 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 1-Stop Digging; 4-Nene Diamond; 9-Barbera.
Backups: 2-Berry Valley.

Forecast: Here’s a challenging main track sprint for entry-level allowance optional claiming state-bred fillies and mares that offers several possibilities. We’ll go three deep on our main ticket with one backup and hope to survive and advance. Stop Digging shortens in trip and might slightly prefer one corner, so if she can avoid trouble from the rail the S. Callaghan-trained sophomore should be able to make amends for her two recent two turn runner-up efforts as the chalk. She picks up F. Prat, so we expect she’ll go favored again. Nene Diamond, never off the board in four starts with two wins and a prior victory over this main track, retains regular pilot J. Hernandez and has the proper second flight style for this extended sprint trip. If ‘Digging doesn’t go favored, ‘Diamond will. Barbera, arguably the quickest of the quick, should pop and go from her outside draw and take this field a long way. Today’s extra half furlong is a concern, but if left alone early she could get brave late. Low profile connections ensure a square price.

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Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 5-Shocking Grey; 13-Sareeha.
Backups : 4-Word Play; 6-Kahuraru.

Forecast: Shocking Grey was a bit unlucky when getting clear too late before winding up third, beaten less than a length, in a similar mile grass event at Del Mar last month. She’s a proven horse-for-course – she’s never been off the board in six starts (with two wins) over the local lawn - and is reunited with J. Hernandez, who has ridden her twice and won both times. The yet-to-be officially announced declarations of Catalina Cocktail and Real Fire guarantee Sareeha (Ire) will draw into the race and despite her extreme outside draw the Irish-bred filly is the one to fear most. F. Prat stays aboard the M. Glatt-trained import, who prefers the front end but can stalk and pounce if the pace flow requires. Based strictly on numbers she’s right there with ‘Grey, and further improvement is likely for the high percentage M. Glatt barn.

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Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 6-Katonah; 7-Tarantino; 3-J B Strikes Back.
Backups : none.

Forecast: The first edition of the Laffit Pincay, Jr. S.-G2 (formerly the San Antonio) is a messy affair with nothing to trust and almost every entrant having some kind of look. Tread lightly, to say the least. Katonah has gone a bit stale of late, but blinkers go on for the first time, and he’s exiting three successive Grade-1 affairs, so against this considerably easier group he’s bound to wake up. The D. O’Neill-trained gelding always has preferred the local dirt track. Meanwhile, Tarantino is in peak form but against much softer company than what Katonah has been facing. Based strictly on recent speed figures, they’re pretty close to each other. J B Strikes Back looks cheap on paper, but his numbers are rising, he projects to bethe controlling speed, and he has trained like he has further improvement in him. Loose-on-the-lead price horses always are enticing, so we suggest you toss him in.

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Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 2:03 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: 4-Johannes.
Backups : none.

Forecast: Johannes was worn down late by the furious far outside closer More Than Looks when second in the BC Mile-G1 but we’re not convinced he ever saw him coming. There’s nobody even remotely that good to worry about in this year’s renewal of the San Gabriel S.-G2, so we’ll be quite surprised if the Nyquist colt doesn’t regain his winning form at what surely will be odds-on. You can use him as a no-value rolling exotic single or simply sit it out.

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Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 6-Mystik Dan; 1-Bentornato.
Backups : 8-Raging Torrent; 7-Stronghold.

Forecast: Mystik Dan makes his first start since a poor outing in the Belmont S.-G1 last June. It appears, based on his work pattern and published comments from trainer K. McPeek, that he’s trained like his old self. A runaway abbreviated sprint winner in Kentucky as a two-year-old in his second career start, the son of Goldencents should be quite effective at this seven furlong distance, especially with a ton of early speed projected to set things up for a closer. A small concern is that his resume suggests he prefers moisture in the ground, so lots will be learned today, but we’ll regard him as a “must use.” Bentornato ran lights out when second in the BC Sprint-G1, putting away his pace challengers before being tagged close him. There’s no doubting his class, but seven eighths might be stretching his limit, especially in a race that won’t likely afford him a breather at any stage. A relatively comfortable opening quarter mile will be critical to his chances.

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Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 3:08 PT Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 1-King of Gosford (GB)
Backups : 4-Siennois (Ire).

Forecast: King of Gosford (Ire) earned a career top number when narrowly beaten in the nine furlong Hollywood Derby-G1 at Del Mar last month and nothing more should be needed today. This more favorable flat mile distance from his cozy inside draw guarantees an ideal ground-saving, stalking trip in what projects to be a slowly run event, what with Curlin’s Kaos an expected program scratch. Also, he’s back with F. Prat, who clearly fit him like a glove, having won both of starts under North America’s top stakes pilot. Already a three time winner over the local lawn (from four starts), the English-bred colt is listed as the program as the 6/5 morning line favorite and on paper looks every bit of that.

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Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 3:40 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 9-Hope Road; 7-One Magic Philly; 6-Kopion.
Backups : 4-Sugar Fish; 3-Kinza; 11-Cavalieri.

Forecast: This is one of the strongest, deepest renewals of the La Brea S.-G1 in recent years, and there are some extremely talented sophomore fillies who are listed at double digits on the morning line due to the depth of the lineup. Hope Road is unbeaten in four starts since joining the B. Baffert barn with excellent Beyer numbers in the mid-90’s, so she’s hard to fault. The daughter of Quality Road is plenty quick but doesn’t need the lead to win, so regular pilot J. Hernandez can play the break and improvise from there. Yes, she’s genuine, consistent, and very good, but so are several of the others, so her best will be required. One Magic Philly also is fast on figures and switches to F. Prat. She finished sixth in the BC Filly & Mare Sprint but was beaten less than three lengths and is better than that race shows. Kopion has really impressed in the morning for her comeback. She was a graded stakes winner over this track and distance last winter before tailing off but looks better now than then and will offer good long shot value on the tote. Use her somewhere.

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Santa Anita Race 11: Post: 4:12 PT Grade: A
Main Ticket: 8-She Feels Pretty; 4-Kathynmarissa.
Backups : none.

Forecast: She Feels Pretty dismantled a top class group of sophomore fillies in the QEII Stakes-G1 at Keeneland in her most recent appearance and a repeat of that race today is more than good enough to win again. Her :48 2/5 main track breeze here last Thursday was as visually impressive as you could imagine. Ten furlongs might be stretching her limit but we’re expecting that she’ll get the trip. The one she’ll have to be concerned about is the rapidly developing Kathynmarissa, successful in the Dueling Grounds Oaks in Kentucky in mid-September (she won with absolute disdain) and then breezing in breathtaking fashion since arriving in California. The daughter of American Pharoah looks ready for stardom, but is she ready for She Feels Pretty?

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:10 AM

Scott Shapiro: Spot Plays Santa Anita Opening Thursday

December 23, 2024 | By 1/ST BET

When I resided in Southern California there were two racing days I looked forward to most. Opening Del Mar and the stakes-laden card that Santa Anita Park presents each year to kick off its meet on December 26. The crowd is always large and the racing is always fun, but this year the card came up particularly strong. Here are a few horses I am building my day around with the Hit/Split Pick 5 Promo and the $2 Pick 6 at the top of my mind.

Race 3:

My first play comes in this MSW event for 2YO fillies at two-turns where I like the chances quite a bit of second-time starter #3 Lila. The Audible filly was beaten almost ten lengths in her debut in late November in San Diego, but there is plenty of reason to believe a big step forward is coming. Not only did she take a ton of support at the windows going off at odds of 7-2 in a full field maiden event over the Del Mar lawn, but she appeared to get lost midway through the race when she fell back towards the rear after a good start. The Ggg Stables homebred rallied a bit from there, but the addition of blinkers by trainer Richard Baltas should do her a world of good. The presence of Luis Saez along with the shades leads me to believe Lila will be sent aggressively from the gate. A much-improved effort appears very likely.

Play: #3 Lila (10-1 ML)

Race 4:

#9 Barbera did not have things her way when we saw her last compete for trainer Aggie Ordonez. The 4YO filly battled early with 9-5-favorite Wishtheyallcouldbe in a similar spot at Del Mar and tired late to finish fifth. Wishtheyallcouldbe held second, but rode a good inside that day to do so. The race shape in this state-bred first-level allowance event for fillies and mares looks much different, which certainly should benefit the speedy daughter of Stay Thirsty, who has hit the board in all three starts over the Santa Anita main track. With a clean break, jockey Diego Herrera should be able to clear from his outside draw and have enough left late to seal the deal.

Play: #9 Barbera (9-2 ML)

Race 8: Malibu (G1)

The Malibu is always a big race but it got a big boost this year when trainer Kenny McPeek decided to ship Kentucky Derby winner #6 Mystik Dan out to Arcadia for the final crack at a Grade 1 against just his own crop. The son of Goldencents has been training forwardly at Fair Grounds and heads cross-country off a bullet 5-furlong drill in 59.4. Some may be worried about the 7-furlong distance for the 5-2-morning line favorite, but that is not overly concerning to me if the pace is honest and he is ready to fire his best shot. However, this is a tall task to be ready for despite working well in New Orleans considering he has not raced since the disappointing eighth-place run in the Belmont (G1). Plus, there is not all that much speed signed on to set him what is likely to be a strong late run under regular rider Brian Hernandez Jr. It would be cool to see him win first off the bench, but from a betting perspective he is a play against.

I like #8 Raging Torrent. The Doug O’Neill trainee ran three big races this spring and summer before chasing the pace down on the inside after being beaten out of the gate in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1). Now, the Maximus Mischief colt has been freshened up and moves to a more favorable outside draw. This should allow Frankie Dettori to sit a much less stressful outside stalking trip just off the pace of #1 Bertonato. Hopefully he has enough to get by the Florida-bred late!

Play: #8 Raging Torrent (9-2 ML)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:11 AM

Scott Shapiro: Santa Anita Opening Thursday Hit & Split P5

December 23, 2024 | By 1/ST BET

One of the biggest days of the year in California racing is nearly upon us!

Opening Day at Santa Anita Park is on Thursday afternoon and the racing office has put together a fantastic 11-race card led by the return of Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan in the Malibu (G1). To help with the holiday and Opening Day celebration, Xpressbet and 1/ST BET have decided to put 5 million 1/ST Rewards Points up for grabs in the two Pick 5 pools on the day. Connect on one of the sequences and split your share of 2.5M points. Personally, I am going to try to hit both, but here are my thoughts on the All-Stakes Late Pick 5 that kicks off with the San Gabriel (G2) at 5:03 eastern/2:03 local time.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Race 7: San Gabriel (G2)
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 4 Johannes
Backups: None

Forecast: I wish I was more creative in this 9-furlong affair over the lawn, but #4 Johannes is far too classy for this group. The Nyquist colt has had an outstanding campaign winning 4 of 5 with the lone loss being a runner-up effort to the hard-charging More Than Looks in the Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1). If you are trying to poke holes in the heavy chalk, I guess you can point to the fact this could be an after-thought after the biggest race of his career or maybe someone can get away from him and leave him with too much to do late, but that seems pretty unlikely given his tactical speed and dominance of this circuit for a solid period of time at this point. I loved him at Del Mar back in early November and think he will be very tough to deny in here.

Race 8: Malibu (G1)
Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 8 Raging Torrent; 1 Bentornato
Backups: 2 Pilot Commander; 4 Senior Office

Forecast: The Malibu is always fun, but the 2024 edition came up particularly strong with the presence of Kentucky Derby winner #6 Mystik Dan obviously adding to the appeal. The Goldencents colt has not raced since his disappointing eighth-place effort in the Belmont (G1) in early June. Nearly all of his success has come at two-turns, but there was a point in his career where distance limitations was a potential knock on his chances of winning a Triple Crown race, so the 7-furlongs is not overly concerning. However, this is an extremely tall task shipping cross-country off over a six-month layoff to take on a field that does not possess all that much early speed. I am not only concerned he could need a race to be at his best, but also he may have too much to do late without a ton of speed signed on. Therefore, I am willing to let Mystik Dan beat me as the 5-2-morning line choice.

I like #8 Raging Torrent most. The stalk and fade off the board finish in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint was clearly not his best, but he was beaten out of the gate and forced to rate along a racetrack where the inside was not the place to be. The Maximus Mischief colt should relish sitting just off what should be a moderate early tempo set by the runner-up in the Sprint #1 Bentornato. The Florida-bred ran huge at odds of 28-1 to finish second to Straight No Chaser. He draws the rail this time and Luis Saez is in to ride. He is very capable of taking this group gate-to-wire.

I had a Kentucky Derby Future Wager on #2 Pilot Commander. The Justify colt clearly was not up for that task, but the talent has always been there for Bob Baffert. He comes in off an easy win against much lesser and could provide some value for a barn that has won this event five times, including last year with Taiba. Brad Cox has won a ton of big races, but never the Malibu. His trainee #4 Senior Officer appears up against it shipping in after just two starts in Kentucky this fall. However, he must be doing great though for them to take this shot. It does not hurt that Flavien Prat will jump aboard.

Race 9: Mathis Mile (G2)
Grade: C
Main Ticket: 1 King of Gosford; 5 Stay Hot
Backups: None

Forecast: #1 King of Gosford was made the 6-5-favorite morning line choice by oddsmaker Jeff Siegel for this year’s Mathis Mile (G2). The 3YO colt has won just 1 of his last 5 after his runner-up effort to Formidable Man last month in the Hollywood Derby (G1), but projects to get a favorable voyage just off a likely moderate pace. Plus, he draws to the inside and attracts the best rider in the country making him the one to beat. That said, I like #5 Stay Hot as much as a racehorse. The Summer Front ridgling has shown an affinity for this course and should appreciate the cutback to one-mile. Hopefully jockey Juan Hernandez can find a way to avoid leaving the Peter Eurton trainee with too much to do in the lane.

Race 10: La Brea (G1)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 7 One Magic Philly; 2 Accuracy; 1 Splendora; 8 Sandy Bottom; 11 Cavalieri; 10 Tamara
Backups: None

Forecast: This year’s La Brea drew a big field, including four fillies from trainer Bob Baffert’s barn. Baffert has won the 7-furlong affair for 3YO gals a record 9-times and amongst his quartet is the 3-1-morning line choice #9 Hope Road. The Cicero Farms homebred was bred to be a star being by Quality Road and out of the talented Blame mare, Marley’s Freedom and she has delivered thus far winning won 4 of 7, including back-to-back graded stakes going long at Del Mar. She has talent and class, but has to prove she can cutback to a sprint and deal with plenty of speed to her inside. She certainly has a chance to end the year on a high note, but I am concerned she either gets caught up in an early battle or is outsprinted early and unable to finish with energy from off the pace. So given the questions and her likely price, I will try to beat her with several, including top choice #7 One Magic Philly. The John Gallegos homebred chased the fast pace last out in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint and was even late, but moves off the inside, gets some class relief, and attracts Flavien Prat.

Race 11: American Oaks (G1)
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 8 She Feels Pretty
Backups: 13 Rashimi

Forecast: The Opening Day card concludes with the final Grade 1 race of the afternoon. This 10-furlong event over the sod for 3YO fillies drew a full field led by Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1) winner #8 She Feels Pretty. Trainer Cherie DeVaux added the blinkers last out to this Karkontie filly and she ran huge winning the Grade 1 event by six lengths under regular rider John Velazquez. The Lael Stables filly has been given plenty of time since and will win right back if she can come close to replicating the mid-October run with the shades on for the initial time.

The best way to beat the She Feels Pretty to the wire is probably to get the jump on her and hope she is not herself after the time off and ship cross-country. Perhaps #13 Rashimi can be the filly that springs the upset. The daughter of Oscar Performance continues to improve. She obviously gets a major class test today, but the price should be right to include her as my backup.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:11 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #1

#2 Noble Reflection	Nothing to write home about in the recent form, but he has been in with far better groups than he is going to see here and has generally been competitive when racing outside of those tougher stakes spots. Chance to wake up at a midrange price.
#4 Money Makes Money	Reliable type hasn't shown as high a ceiling as some of these yet, but he's got good positional pace to find another decent spot right up top while rising to try winners. Dangerous right back.
#9 Count of Amazonia	He finished up OK in the comeback run and probably has some room to come forward in the second start back off the long break. Along late to share?
Race Summary	#8 Mas Rapido is a danger in the opener, but I worry someone will be able to get the jump on him while turning back to this slightly sharper trip down the hill. Noble Reflection needs his 2023 form to be competitive here, but maybe the softer spot will help him wake up.

Santa Anita - Race #3

#5 Lee's Baby Girl	She does her best work on the engine and met some other pace in that stakes try last time out, but she's a better fit back here and should be in a perfect spot right up near the top throughout.
#7 Preem	She needs more than the even debut to land this, but she'll add blinkers while making the second start and could find a slightly more tactical spot. Some upside today.
#1 Slick	She has turned in kind of modest efforts so far, but she's getting down out of stakes company and back in with friends today, giving her some obvious upside. Still, not sold that she's a really serious stakes dropper.
Race Summary	Not super thrilled with most of these, but I think Lee's Baby Girl kept herself in the mix for a good bit of that stakes try despite being forced to truly rate that day. Better back here today with a more appealing race shape.

Santa Anita - Race #4

#9 Barbera	She's meeting a couple other potential forward types, but she draws well to force the issue from the outside and appears to be the most committed of the pace players on paper. Attacking trip lands this?
#4 Nene Diamond	She has been pretty honest so far and figures in line for another good trip right up near the top. She'll have to avoid making an early move in a race where several of them seem likely to be sitting in similar spots right up near the top into the turn.
#3 Big Pop	She was pretty well meant in the debut score earlier this year, and she doesn't seem overmatched with this crew if she can fire fresh with some added maturity from her time away. Take a look at her.
Race Summary	Barbera should get a good run of things with what looks like the best pace of this bunch drawn outside. Consider #2 Berry Valley on the deeper plays that just need to connect in this leg.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:11 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#5 UNSHAKABLE (6-1)	Dead game in turf sprint two back, unmistakable value play.
#7 THANKFULLY (9-2)	Slow start, wide rally into fast pace against top one, use in all gimmicks.
#8 SNITCH DORADA (2-1)	Distant second to 7-5 Joseph-trained firster, gets Irad for surface switch.
Race Summary	UNSHAKABLE is too good to pass up at 6-1 on the morning line. He steadied into the turn two starts back, peeled out 4-wide nearing the stretch and gained late inside on the fleet-footed winner. He was favored against Florida-bred rivals on the all-weather track last out at the same distance but couldn’t reach the 8-1 pace-setter. Bet to win and place, play 5-7 and 5-8 exactas and 5-5 and 7-5 daily doubles.

Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#5 SPUN SIZE (6-1)	Expect a big effort if she breaks alertly in her second go-round, today’s Best Bet.
#1 SLEW DIVA (9-5)	Can make good use of her speed from the rail on the class drop.
#3 SHINE’S MADELIN (6-1)	Showed an early pulse despite bumpy debut, puts blinkers back on.
Race Summary	SPUN SIZE spotted the field several lengths after a troubled start, rallied 5-wide on the turn, got up late for third and galloped out past the winning favorite. She gets in light-weighted again and gets an extra furlong to run. Bet to win and place and play a 1-3-5 exacta box.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#6 DOCTOR JEFF (2-1)	Pace scenario just what the doctor ordered for quarter-million dollar earner.
#5 FULL DISCLOSURE (9-2)	Starts fresh off claim with 16/6-3-2 GP mark, rating tactics could work best.
#8 CADAMASTO (5-2)	Won going away off similar break for new connections, draws favorable post.
Race Summary	A rapid-fire pace can be expected, not that DOCTOR JEFF needs any added bonus. He’s an ultra-consistent sprinter, has a $254k bankroll, packs late kick and runs well fresh. It adds up to a win and place wager to go along with 6-5 and 6-8 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:12 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE

Santa Anita Park - Race 6	Win ($2) / Place ($2) / Show ($2) / Exacta ($1) Trifecta ($1) / Superfecta ($.10) / RollingDouble ($2) Rolling Pick 3 ($1) / Pick 6 ($2)(Races 6-11)
Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 112 • Purse: $200,000 • Post: 1:33P
LAFFIT PINCAY, JR. S. - GRADE 2 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH IF MADE ON OR BEFORE THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12, 2024, CLOSED WITH 13 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $4,000 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY, CLOSED WITH 1 (GOLDENEYE). $1,500 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,500 TO START WITH $200,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH $120,000 TO THE WINNER, $40,000 TO SECOND, $24,000 TO THIRD, $12,000 TO FOURTH AND $4,000 TO FIFTH. THREE YEAR OLDS 123 LBS. OLDER 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADE I OR GRADE II STAKE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 26, 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADED STAKE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 26, 2023 ALLOWED 4 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. J B STRIKES BACK is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * KATONAH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TARANTINO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LAMMAS (GB): Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	KATONAH	3/1	9/2
7	TARANTINO	7/2	5/1
5	LAMMAS (GB)	6/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	J B STRIKES BACK	3	6/1	Front-runner	94	97	82.8	88.4	72.9
7	TARANTINO	7	7/2	Stalker	109	110	109.1	105.7	97.2
2	ASHCROFT	2	5/1	Stalker	98	105	82.2	100.4	87.9
6	KATONAH	6	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	109	110	97.0	106.6	104.1
5	LAMMAS (GB)	5	6/1	Trailer	109	104	85.6	108.4	103.9
4	EXPRESS TRAIN	4	4/1	Trailer	110	102	84.4	95.7	89.2
1	AMERICAN ADMIRAL	1	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	110	100	88.6	95.2	85.7
8	GOLDENEYE	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	103	100	65.4	81.5	70.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:12 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
PURCHASE

Penn National - Race 4	W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $1.00 Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 7:42P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SUNSET PARK is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUNSET PARK: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4	SUNSET PARK	4/1	2/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	SUNSET PARK	4	4/1	Front-runner	75	66	69.2	62.6	59.6
3	COWGIRL NATION	3	9/2	Stalker	63	58	55.3	50.6	43.1
2	GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE	2	9/2	Stalker	63	56	40.2	49.0	40.0
5	WAMPY	5	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	68.9	59.7	53.7
7	WARRIORS JEWEL	7	2/1	Trailer	65	64	59.0	61.8	56.8
8	ANALOG	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	50.2	40.8	29.8
6	CRUZIN ANNA	6	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	46	40.8	45.2	33.2

Unknown Running Style: SIMPLY TENACIOUS (15/1) [Jockey: Lloyd John W - Trainer: Montford Leslie].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:12 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $82000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $18,600 AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 JUST RUTHLESS 7/2
# 3 RANDO 20/1
# 2 MIZMALICE 9/2

I think JUST RUTHLESS is a very good choice. Looks very strong for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in dirt route races as of late. Recorded a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Displays sound Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. MIZMALICE - With a sound 74 average speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:13 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 2:09pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,700 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#9 MUAY THAI (IRE) (ML=8/1)
#2 GROOVY HUEY (ML=6/1)

MUAY THAI (IRE) - Popular angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Should run a big one here. Reyes and Garcia perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +102 return on investment for a jock and conditioner. GROOVY HUEY - This gelding won on September 21st at a higher class level and the same 5 1/2 furlongs distance as today. Kemper drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more knowledge to believe this horse has a good chance at this level. Getting a break of 5 pounds from last race at Turf Paradise. He should make the most of this advantage. Another way to identify class is earnings per race entered. This thoroughbred has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 OUR BOY ROY (ML=3/1), #8 DERBY BOY (ML=4/1), #5 COASTAL FOG (ML=5/1),

OUR BOY ROY - Just can't bet on this horse. Didn't show me anything last race out or on November 18th. DERBY BOY - Pace is so influential, and this front-runner is going to have an early battle on his hands. Don't feel this vulnerable equine will do much running today. That last speed rating was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's Equibase class figure. COASTAL FOG - No value in betting on this mount. Probably won't improve off that December 10th race. I find it hard to play this horse this time. Make him show you something in a short distance event before you wager on him in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #9 MUAY THAI (IRE) to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:13 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Stakes - 11.0f on the Turf. Purse: $140000 Class Rating: 106

VIA BORGHESE S. - FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15. $1,250 TO ENTER. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $100 MAY BE MADE PRIOR TO CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10%

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 FOREVER AFTER ALL 5/2
# 9 LA MEHANA (FR) 4/1
# 10 THREE PRIESTS (JPN) 12/1

FOREVER AFTER ALL is the most favorable bet in this race. The speed rating of 107 from her latest contest looks respectable in here. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the field lately. Has to be given a chance against this group of horses displaying very strong figures lately and an average speed figure of 101 under similar conditions. LA MEHANA (FR) - This racer must be bet upon at the expected big odds. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field lately. THREE PRIESTS (JPN) - Motion has a sharp win percent with horses racing in turf route races. Investors get an edge when playing this trainer in a turf route race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-26-2024, 10:13 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,700 Class Rating: 41

Rating:

#1 VICTORIA COMMAND (ML=6/1)
#5 THELMA LUCILLE (ML=3/1)
#6 SOMETHING LUCKY (ML=5/2)

VICTORIA COMMAND - A wise man taught me to play the lone speed horse. Take a look at this horse. You always have to be on the lookout for profit making jockey/conditioner duos; we have an instance right here. This campaigner coming off a strong contest in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my humble opinion. THELMA LUCILLE - When this jockey and handler join forces you have to take a look. Paucar and Vazquez have been fantastic together. Filly made up a ton of ground in a 6 furlongs race. May go better on the stretchout. SOMETHING LUCKY - I like the way this filly's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a campaigner coming into top form. A horse coming back this soon after a good effort is a good omen. When Zonett and Doering partner up on horses the return on investment has been terrific at +315.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BEAUTIFUL SCORE (ML=7/5), #4 COWGIRLS HUMOR (ML=8/1),

BEAUTIFUL SCORE - This was a live animal, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to watch your step with this one. COWGIRLS HUMOR - A pattern of dropping Equibase speed figs 32/27/14 for this questionable contender.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SOMETHING LUCKY - Registering a speed figure of 17 two back and then following up with a rating of 40 last race on November 20th, this filly is ready to do some damage.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 VICTORIA COMMAND is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,5,6] with [1,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36

**ConleyPicks** · 12-26-2024, 10:28 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
5	5	JAY SEASIDE	4/1	Hanners, Austin - 8	503.92
1	1	NO JOKE FOLKS	9/5	Smith, Jeremy - 17	502.87
4	4	FEAR THE IMAGE	5/2	Mccown, Cameron - 8	495.40
6	6	SEASIDEESCAPE	12/1	Widger, Sam - 12	474.49
7	7	ART'S ARSENAL	9/1	Sutton, Josh - 9	473.48
9	9	WESTENDER	20/1	Smith, Trevor - 10	463.21
2	2	CHECKS ONTHE BEACH	15/1	Hanners, Luke - 6	454.56
8	8	THE PLAN	20/1	Beattie, Jason - 9	420.90
3	3	JOHNNY FREIGHT	20/1	Melloy, Pat Jr - 3	416.15

**ConleyPicks** · 12-26-2024, 10:28 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 17 - Post: 11:32 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$6500 - 2024 CONDITIONED MINI SERIES NON WINNERS $750 PER START IN 2024

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 6 THISJETSABOOKIN 8/1
# 9 LOVIN ON THE BEACH 10/1
# 1 ITSMYCHECK GB 9/2

The consensus today is that THISJETSABOOKIN is the one to beat looking ever better at 8/1 on the morning line. Getting a good instinct about this gelding. Could surprise in this event. LOVIN ON THE BEACH - Feel the need for speed, this race horse has been turning in some terrific speed ratings averaging around 79. It's tricky to consider solely based on class, but this gelding has among the most competitive class markings of the field of horses. ITSMYCHECK GB - This race horse has been making trips to the winner's circle on a routine basis, look for him to make another showing soon.

Thursday 12/26/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 12/26/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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