Monday 12/30/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358257

    Monday 12/30/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 7 Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Parlay (Races 7-8-9)
    Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $16,100 • Post: 3:33P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 30. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BREEZY MONEY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BREEZY MONEY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. DOCTOR WU: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GEAUX YOSHKA: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its fi rst and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COLLECTORATE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of t oday's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
    4 BREEZY MONEY 12/1 5/1
    5 DOCTOR WU 7/2 6/1
    3 GEAUX YOSHKA 8/5 6/1
    8 COLLECTORATE 6/1 8/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    4 BREEZY MONEY 4 12/1 Front-runner 85 79 70.6 79.6 72.1
    7 C J ALL THE WAY 7 5/1 Stalker 89 69 80.6 71.2 61.7
    5 DOCTOR WU 5 7/2 Alternator/Stalker 87 85 73.6 79.6 73.6
    8 COLLECTORATE 8 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 88 84 68.2 76.4 66.4
    3 GEAUX YOSHKA 3 8/5 Trailer 93 88 78.0 88.0 84.0
    1 NAPA DUDE 1 20/1 Trailer 83 71 24.4 59.0 43.0
    6 CUGINE 6 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 83 72 58.6 73.4 61.4
    9 CREDIT RIVER 9 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 91 88 49.4 69.4 58.4
    2 BLESS THE KITTEN 2 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 82 69 41.8 74.0 62.5

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #3
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
      Parx Racing - Race 4 Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 4-7) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
      Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 1:26P
      (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 30. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
      Contenders Race Analysis
      P# Horse Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds
      Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * LOOKIN' SUPER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TURNSANDCONDITIONS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JW'S THIRD MISCHIE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. THESEGUYSGOTGAME: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HARLEY'S CHARLY: Ho rse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
      9 LOOKIN' SUPER 4/1 5/1
      7 TURNSANDCONDITIONS 9/2 6/1
      2 JW'S THIRD MISCHIE 5/1 8/1
      8 THESEGUYSGOTGAME 5/1 9/1
      6 HARLEY'S CHARLY 15/1 9/1

      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
      Line
      Running Style Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
      Figure
      3 JEBOLOGIST 3 5/1 Front-runner 84 73 69.0 67.4 54.4
      4 PARDSY 4 10/1 Front-runner 86 78 58.2 61.4 50.9
      10 SIX WHIPS 10 3/1 Front-runner 85 82 56.8 75.8 64.8
      2 JW'S THIRD MISCHIE 2 5/1 Alternator/Front-runner 80 87 54.8 71.8 61.8
      8 THESEGUYSGOTGAME 8 5/1 Stalker 86 78 54.6 72.3 63.3
      9 LOOKIN' SUPER 9 4/1 Alternator/Stalker 83 80 50.8 77.6 71.6
      6 HARLEY'S CHARLY 6 15/1 Trailer 86 78 32.6 70.2 62.7
      7 TURNSANDCONDITIONS 7 9/2 Trailer 87 74 20.4 74.4 69.4
      5 GOLDEN WILDCAT 5 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 76 66 28.8 60.8 45.3
      1 MODERN MIDAS 1 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 79 71 25.4 62.2 43.7

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #4

        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Turf Paradise - Race #3 - Post: 12:50pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 99

        Rating:

        #4 ANNIE'S BOY (ML=3/1)
        #6 POP D'ORO (ML=4/1)


        ANNIE'S BOY - Trainer Barraza gave this gelding a good stiff morning drill. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. When a pony drops at least 5 lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but this certainly could make the difference. POP D'ORO - Possibly a peak effort for this gelding today. Been getting closer to the winner with each recent start. This rider and handler have a positive ROI when they unite. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is solid. Diodoro drops him in this event ready to go.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FIRST CALL (ML=5/2), #3 BIYOMBO (ML=7/2), #5 LOBDELL LAKE (ML=8/1),

        FIRST CALL - 5/2 is not offering enough value for any animal in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint event of late. BIYOMBO - Will be hard for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the questionable contenders list. LOBDELL LAKE - This gelding hasn't had any promising efforts in short distance events in the last two months.
        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 ANNIE'S BOY to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]
        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #5

          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.


          Race 2 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 97

          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2023 - 2024. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 6 INSIDE STUNT 9/5
          # 1 GRAN ANDREWS 5/2
          # 2 HOLY SAINT 8/1
          INSIDE STUNT figures to be the wager in here. He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the strongest in this field. Handler has sharp win rate (18 percent) at this distance and surface. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this field of horses. GRAN ANDREWS - This gelding has posted some nice finishing positions in his last few tries. He has been racing strongly recently while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures. HOLY SAINT - Looks quite good against this field and ought to be one of the early speedsters. Is a contender - given the 91 speed rating from his most recent race.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #6

            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.


            Race 7 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 78

            PARX FUTURE STARS FILLY DIVISION S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $50 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $250 MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. $100 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX, $100 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $75,000 GUARANTEED TO BE DIVIDED*: 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 6%
            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 8 BEYOND BELIEF 9/2
            # 3 BELLE BOTTOMS 7/2
            # 6 TIP LINE 8/1
            BEYOND BELIEF has a very strong shot to take this race. Is hard not to examine based on speed figs which have been respectable - 78 avg - of late. Ought to compete admirably in the early speed battle which bodes well with this field. Must be given a shot in this competition if only for the formidable speed figure posted in the last contest. BELLE BOTTOMS - The speed fig of 80 from her last contest looks decent in here. Nunez has one of the best jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to investors +86 percent. TIP LINE - Last time out, this filly faced a tougher bunch. This filly has some longshot angles I like to take a chance on.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #7
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 1:53pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 75

              Rating:

              #10 WOULDJA COULDJA (ML=7/2)
              #6 MISCHIEF MAXEY (ML=6/1)


              WOULDJA COULDJA - Note that although this filly finished 2nd in her last race, she was well in front of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. Horse's last race was at Parx Racing. Finished second, but had a decent chunk of the win pool. Could be dangerous in this race. This horse already beat the probable favorite in the last race at Parx Racing. MISCHIEF MAXEY - This horse coming off a sharp try in the last month or so is a serious competitor in my book.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #3 OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL (ML=3/1), #9 SPUNDERELLA (ML=4/1), #5 PATIENT FI (ML=8/1),

              OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL - This filly has already been defeated as the favorite twice. Hard to give her another chance. SPUNDERELLA - No good fortune for this steed in a sprint contest over the last couple of months tells me that this filly is in a tough situation PATIENT FI - Morning line odds of 8/1 make this thoroughbred a pass by my approach.

              GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - WOULDJA COULDJA - I believe there is a good probability this filly could win this race based on a strong closing kick.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #10 WOULDJA COULDJA is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,10]
              TRIFECTA WAGERS: 10 with 6 with [2,4,5] Total Cost: $3
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #8
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway
                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 12
                4 4 ANNA LOVE N 9/5 Noble, Dan - 28 558.13
                2 2 TARAPASTA 3/1 Hanners, Austin - 9 521.78
                5 5 FRISKIE JOLIE 10/1 Smith, Tyler - 11 514.97
                3 3 DEFINING MOMENT 9/2 Page, Chris - 15 513.31
                1 1 CAPYTREACH 9/2 Widger, Sam - 13 505.18
                6 6 SHADOWRAGE 20/1 Ross, Jordan - 13 451.95
                7 7 ALLY'S TREASURE 20/1 Hanners, Luke - 6 451.40
                9 9 ROSE RUN VISION 20/1 Miller, Lewayne - 9 440.84
                8 8 VELOCITY LADY 20/1 Sutton, Josh - 8 435.72

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #9
                  Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park
                  P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                  RACE 1
                  4 4 SADODAKA 12/1 Mc Kirgan, Don - 10 485.12
                  2 2 DIRTY MONEY 6/5 St Louis, Marc Jr - 11 479.46
                  10 10 SWAN LEADER 25/1 Massey, Kody - 8 467.16
                  1 1 HITWITHTHEGUY'S 4/1 Ebersole, Luke - 9 465.73
                  5 5 BLOGMASTER 4/1 Kash, Keith Jr - 7 455.14
                  3 3 FUTURE MVP 20/1 Thompson, Jason - 4 447.32
                  8 8 P L JERICO 25/1 Angus, Tyler - 8 445.20
                  9 9 FLIGHT NUMBER ONE 10/1 Sugg, Kurt - 12 442.40
                  7 7 IT'S ALL ME 25/1 Irvine, Justin - 13 423.41
                  6 6 ALAN 25/1 Lems, Chris - 11 404.27

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #10
                    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.

                    Race 6 - Post: 1:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$5900 - F& M NW $500 PS L5 OR PS IN 2024 AE: NW 7 PM LT $8900 PC LS AE:$8000 CLM W/A B ALDRICH JR 6 OVER 4
                    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                    # 2 MYSTICAL GAL 5/2
                    # 6 LADY CHRISLYN 3/1
                    # 1 SANDY COURT 7/2
                    After thorough analysis by the consortium, MYSTICAL GAL comes out as the top pick. Worth a look here on the basis of the statistics in the speed rating department alone. A good class horse should not be be forgotten. With an average class figure of 74 all signs say this is the one to beat. Could unquestionably defeat this bunch given the 65 TrackMaster SR recorded in her last race. LADY CHRISLYN - Considered a solid wager based solely on her high win clip. Many expert selectors will recognize the excellent speed rating in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this pack. SANDY COURT - A formidable win percentage has been recorded by race horses beginning from the 1 hole. Should compete well in this contest as her style of running fits well in this pack.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.

                      Race 1 - Post: 7:10 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$14000 - POP UP SERIES: NW $30,000
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 5 VILLEFRANCHE AS 3/1
                      # 7 DELCREST BRENT 7/2
                      # 9 PRINCE OF SUSSEX 10/1
                      After thorough analysis by the number crunching team, VILLEFRANCHE AS comes out as the top pick. Not many knocks against this fine animal, let's give her a shot. This race horse looks tough. Take a good look at the 80 avg speed figure. Been competing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 79). DELCREST BRENT - The wagering panel noted a strong affair out of this solid standardbred last time. Hoping for a repeat of that to score. Hudon is racking up the wins lately. Outstanding win statistic makes this nice horse our selection. PRINCE OF SUSSEX - Gelding has one of the strongest win rates in the field and that could be the deciding factor when they head for home.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #12
                        Free play from Mike Wynn
                        Free Pick: Chicago -6 over Charlotte

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #13
                          Free play from Totals4U


                          Monday's Free Selection: Dallas/Sacramento under 227 1/2

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #14
                            Free play from #1 Sports


                            Monday's Free Play: Sacramento Kings - 3 1/2

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #15
                              Free play from Hawkeye Sports


                              Monday's Free Pick: Winnipeg Jets - 155

                              Comment

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