Saturday 1/18/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369828

    #1

    Saturday 1/18/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20513

    #2
    Gulfstream Park Hotlist - January 18


    Jan. 16, 2025

    By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

    Hot List Key:

    A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
    *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
    *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
    * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

    1st race – (3) Ro Town gets back on turf and should prove best. (9) Ms. Tart fits in nicely with this field. (2) Smiling Ellie should be effective at this level. (5) Bravo Kitten may pose a late threat. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-9.

    3rd race – (5) Society Man should get a nice pace setup. (2) Stretch Ride could offer the biggest threat. (3) Digital Ops deserves a look after facing stakes rivals. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5.

    6th race – (1) Ninja Star can work out a winning trip from the rail. (9) Boppy O tends to finish second. (2) Adios Cole will be a threat on his best try. (5) Victory Achieved has thrived on Tapeta but can handle turf as well. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-9.

    9th race – (1) Classify (A) comes off a big win and looks best here. (3) Comedy Town disappointed last time but can bounce back here. (6) Mish seems set for a strong effort. (7) Damon’s Mound is worth a look despite the layoff. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-6-7.

    11th race - (4) Abundance has a nice pedigree for turf and is the top pick. (5) Spirit of the Law should be closing quickly at the end. (12) Constitution Road is a big threat but drew a bad post. (11) King of Ashes should make a smooth switch from Tapeta to turf. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-11-12.
    No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
    (1) Classify A, 12/22 9 GP Comes off a sharp win

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20513

      #3
      Aqueduct Hotlist - January 18


      Jan. 16, 2025

      By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

      Hot List Key:
      A:
      A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
      *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
      *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
      * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

      1st race [Clm 16000 N2L, 1 mi] – (7) Lem Me Drink (B) ran in traffic heading into the stretch and then went well to get third. (3) Wild Iris broke her maiden two races back going seven furlongs for a $20,000 tag and then was two lengths behind in a starter allowance. (2) Accelerina had the lead in a similar spot, drifted out in the stretch, and got beat by a nose. (6) Political Spin was a winner two weeks ago of a $20,000 maiden race where he closed from a stalking position.

      7th race [Alw 82000 N1X, 6 ? F] – (1) Radio Red and (1A) Crazy Mason make a Reeves Thoroughbred entry and both should be considered win contenders. Crazy Mason was fourth in an allowance following a six month layoff from a third in the Long Branch at Monmouth Park. (4) Quick to Accuse has a pair of allowance second-place finishes and regular rider Manny Franco stays on board. (5) Beaver State has two wins and a second in his last three races moving from a maiden claiming win to a second and a first in starter allowances. (6) Silo Ridge returns from a year off as a new gelding. He won a maiden special weight and was second in an allowance and has been away since a fourth in February.

      8th race [Busanda, 1 1/8 mi] – (9) Running Away began his career with two turf races where she ran second at Saratoga and third by a neck at Keeneland. Moving to the dirt, she broke her maiden by five lengths at Churchill going long. (3) Ramify won her only start last month rallying from far behind in last while racing greenly. (8) Bernieandtherose won her last two starts after finishing third in her debut. Those victories were against NY-breds by a combined 14 lengths while increasing from seven furlongs to a mile. (1) Sharp Smile broke her maiden in her third start for Brad Cox.

      9th race [NY, Md 25000, 6F] – (3) Vamonos Vamonos (C) was bet down from 5-1 to be the 5-2 favorite, got to the lead from the far outside post in a full field, finished second well clear of the rest of the field, and got claimed. (6) Cada Dia Mejor was third in his first start at this level after a very wide trip. (9) Monte Avi has been running for a $40,000 tag where he was third twice recently. (4) Whiskey Frens drops out of two starts in maiden special weights for Rick Dutrow.

      Best bets: Reeves entry (7th); Running Away (8th). Best Value: Lem Me Drink (1st); Vamonos Vamonos (9th).

      Saturday Pick 3 Special --
      Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 7-p and includes the Busanda ? 1/1A, 4, 5, 6 with 3, 9 with 3, 4, 6, 9 = $32.
      No. Name Letter
      last race
      Today's Race Comments
      (7) Lem Me Drink B on 11/29 1 Encountered heavy traffic into the stretch.
      (3) Vamonos Vazmonos C on 12/28 9 Broke from the 12 hole and finished second.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20513

        #4
        Derby Prep Hotlist - The Lecomte | January 18, 2025


        Jan. 16, 2025

        By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

        The $250,000 Lecomte (G3), Fair Grounds

        Race 12The 1 1/16 mile Lecomte is the second of four stops on the Fair Grounds road to the 2024 Kentucky Derby with qualifying points [20-10-6-4-2] that are available to the top five finishers. Five horses in this full field of 14 have already earned some Derby points. (4) Magnitude ran at the Lecomte distance in his last two starts. In the Gun Runner, which is the first Derby prep race at the New Orleans track, he pressed the eventual winner and finished second well clear of the rest of the field. The Lecomte post-position draw was in his favor as the Gun Runner winner Built drew the 13 spot in the starting gate. (6) Golden Afternoon will move from turf to dirt after three impressive races on the grass. He was a debut winner in a rich maiden race at Kentucky Downs by almost three lengths. He was then second in the Bourbon (G2) at Keeneland ahead of a horse that won his next start. In November he won an allowance at Fair Grounds. With morning line odds of 20-1 it is worth a play. (13) Built is the horse to beat with an impressive maiden win followed by the Gun Runner victory in his last two starts, but the no. 13 post position will make it very hard to win the race. (3) Admiral Dennis was the favorite in all three of his races. He had troubled trips in his first start and still finished third and then in the Gun Runner he stumbled out of the gate. His maiden victory by more than three lengths was at Churchill going a mile. Betting strategy: Exacta box: 3, 4, 6, 13.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20513

          #5
          Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | January 18, 2025


          Jan. 16, 2025

          Race 12 at Fair Grounds | Saturday January 18 | Post Time 6:30 PM Eastern

          Lecomte Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $250,000 | Three Year Olds | One Mile and One Sixteenth

          Analysis and top contenders:

          Innovator (1) is the horse the rest of the field will likely have to catch to win this year’s Lecomte Stakes. The son of 2020 Kentucky Derby winner Authentic has won just one of seven races to date but has finished second in four other races. Last summer when he was still a maiden and coming off a pair of runner-up efforts, Innovator ran in the Hopeful Stakes but was bumped hard at the break and did not get a good early position, losing any chance he had. Moved back to the maiden ranks in late November, Innovator ran too well to lose, coming up a head short on the wire and earning a strong 97 Equibase Speed Figure. The winner of that race was the highly regarded Barnes, who won the San Vicente Stakes on January 4 in only the second start of his career. Still very highly regarded by his Hall-of-Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas, who won the 2013 Lecomte with Oxbow, Innovator ran in the Advent Stakes on December 6, leading from the start and finishing second with a 95 figure. Returning three weeks later on December 29 and returned to the maiden ranks, Innovator sailed along on an easy early lead and held on by a neck to win, earning a career-best 101 figure which is the highest figure earned by any horse in this field. Drawing the ground saving rail for the Lecomte, Innovator is likely to be sent to the front as usual and could establish an easy early lead. Based on his pedigree, Innovator should have no problem running as well at this distance as he did in the shorter race last time out, because not only is he a son of a Derby winner, but his dam produced Carmel Road, who won at a mile then was second at this distance in the 2022 Los Alamitos Futurity. Given all the above, Innovator is the one to catch, and to beat, in this year’s Lecomte.

          Disco Time (11) is unbeaten and untested in two races to date, the most recent of which earned a 96 figure. That effort, in a one-turn mile race at Churchill Downs at the end of November, is likely to be improved upon as he makes his third career start. Disco Time has drawn the 11 post for the Lecomte, which might be disadvantageous, but appears to have enough tactical speed to get a decent position before the first turn without losing too much ground. Per a Race Lens query, trainer Brad Cox has an extremely good record in dirt route stakes races for three-year-old males the past five years, winning 49 of 146 (34%). With the number one jockey for the barn, Florent Geroux, in the saddle, Disco Time appears to be a strong contender in this field.

          Dapper Moon (9) shipped in from Kentucky to prep for this race last month. In his first start over the track, on December 19, Dapper Moon relaxed in third in the early stages of a six-furlong sprint then moved to lead easily, earning a career-best 98 figure in the process. Prior to that he finished fourth in three straight top races for two-year-olds, including the Street Sense Stakes at this distance. In that race, Dapper Moon began fifth then moved up aggressively to lead by a half-length with an eighth of a mile to go, before tiring. Now that he’s in winning form, and with a 98 last race figure very close to the 101 top contender Innovator earned in his most recent start, Dapper Moon must be respected when considering our wagers in this race.

          Built (13) took advantage of the fact betting favorite Admiral Dennis stumbled at the start in the Gun Runner Stakes at Fair Grounds four weeks ago, establishing an easy lead in a field of five and extending his margin throughout the race. The 95 figure was a career best and a nice improvement off the 88-figure earned two months earlier, so can be improved upon again, which makes the colt a contender. On the other hand, Built appears unlikely to be anywhere near the early lead in this race on fractions of 24.6, 49.2 and 1:13.6 as he set in the Gun Runner. Built drew the rail in the Gun Runner and gets the 13 post for the Lecomte, which could be disadvantageous as he will likely try for a good early position before the first time but will find himself going wide. However, if he can establish a mid-pack position without losing too much ground, Built could be competitive once again.

          Tough Catch (8) is trained by Dallas Stewart the same as Dapper Moon and just won the six-furlong Sugar Bowl Stakes after a pair of runner-up finishes in sprint stakes. He opens at 10 to 1 and coming off 96 and 90 figures could get a piece of the purse once again. Similarly, Magnitude (4) is a horse to consider for exacta tickets, as both his two-turn races have been good ones. He won in November at the distance with an 89 figure then although no match for lone front runner Built last month in the Gun Runner, he held his own. Jose Ortiz stays aboard, and he could get a good stalking trip from the inside and be in the money again.

          Bets:

          Win Bets – There should be superb value on both Innovator (1) and on Disco Time (11) and I would not hesitate betting either, or both, to win at odds of 3 to 1 or more.

          Dapper Moon (9) may also offer odds well above the 4 to 1 I think are fair for considering a win bet (as he opens at 12 to 1) so I might consider a win bet on him as well.

          Built (13) starts at 3 to 1 odds too low to consider for a win bet in this field with multiple contenders, particularly from an extreme outside post.

          If any of the three top contenders should scratch, I might consider Tough Catch (8) at odds of 5 to 1 or more.

          Exacta: I think the key to profit lies in Innovator (1) finishing first or second, as he’s done in five of his last six races. Therefore, the best exacta is a “Key Box” with Innovator in both the first and second positions, with a few other horses, as follows:

          Innovator (1) over Magnitude (4), Tough Catch (8), Dapper Moon (9), Disco Time (11) and Built (13).

          Magnitude (4), Tough Catch (8), Dapper Moon (9), Disco Time (11) and Built (13) over Innovator (1).

          I could also see playing these exactas:

          Box Innovator (1), Dapper Moon (9), Disco Time (11) and Built (13).

          Box Innovator (1) Magnitude (4), Dapper Moon (9), Disco Time (11) and Built (13).

          We can substitute Touch Catch (8) in the exacta boxes above if one of the other contenders should scratch.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20513

            #6
            Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - January 18


            Jan. 17, 2025

            Race #1

            Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:15 PM ET $20,500.00

            Race 1 Claiming
            Win 7-5 6 Awesome Empress S Camacho
            Place 9-2 3 Jassai S Marin
            Show 4-1 1 Utopia Rose P L Cotto Jr.
            Wild card 5-1 2 Play Free Bird A A Gallardo
            Alternate 1 5-1 7 Violets Smile M Iorio
            Alternate 2 12-1 4 Frothy S Leon
            Exacta 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
            Trifecta 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

            Race #2

            Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:45 PM ET

            Best Bet #7 K PAZ $22,000.00

            Race 2 Maiden Claiming
            Win 9-5 7 K Paz S Marin
            Place 5-2 4 Hightail Fox I O Rodriguez
            Show 7-2 5 Opera House A. D. C Gil
            Wild card 12-1 8 Go Stormy J C Ferrer
            Alternate 1 6-1 1 Skyloft J L Castanon
            Alternate 2 20-1 2 Express Pass R Montanez
            Exacta 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
            Trifecta 4/5/7 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX

            Race #3

            Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 01:15 PM ET $25,000.00

            Race 3 Starter Handicap
            Win 2-1 5 Adaay In Asia S Camacho
            Place 5-2 1 Red Wind S Marin
            Show 5-1 4 Mrs. Katz S Leon
            Wild card 7-2 7 Laloba Feroz P L Cotto Jr.
            Alternate 1 3-1 2 Its Goodtobe Jose S Marin
            Alternate 2 20-1 9 She Fled the Scene A Santos
            Exacta 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
            Trifecta 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

            Race #4

            Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:45 PM ET

            Best Bet #8 SILVER SLUGGER $18,000.00

            Race 4 Claiming
            Win 2-1 8 Silver Slugger C Gil
            Place 9-5 3 Granted Success S Marin
            Show 3-1 7 Dither M Iorio
            Wild card 12-1 9 Indulge C Maragh
            Alternate 1 6-1 1 D Coldest S Leon
            Alternate 2 15-1 4 Burn Jakey Burn K S Tohill
            Exacta 8-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
            Trifecta 3/7/8 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

            Race #5

            Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 02:15 PM ET

            Best Bet #1 LATE CALL $25,000.00

            Race 5 Starter Handicap
            Win 3-1 1 Late Call S Camacho
            Place 9-2 9 Royal Luck A Quinonez
            Show 5-1 2 Dark and Fitzy D Centeno
            Wild card 6-1 5 Puttheblameonme P Morales
            Alternate 1 9-2 7 Eddie the Great S Marin
            Alternate 2 12-1 4 E Minor H R Diaz Jr.
            Exacta 1-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
            Trifecta 1/2/9 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX

            Race #6

            Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 02:45 PM ET $21,000.00

            Race 6 Claiming
            Win 6-1 11 Shivaree S Marin
            Place 6-1 1 Hari S Leon
            Show 5-1 9 Hey Padre S Camacho
            Wild card 6-1 8 Break the Ice H R Diaz Jr.
            Alternate 1 7-2 10 Lord Knows J L Castanon
            Alternate 2 6-1 4 Woke Up in Love J A Batista
            Exacta 11-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
            Trifecta 1/9/11 BOX, 1/8/9 BOX

            Race #7

            Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 03:15 PM ET $53,000.00

            Race 7 Allowance
            Win 3-1 2 Deuteronomy S Camacho
            Place 2-1 6 Going Concern A A Gallardo
            Show 7-2 4 Why Not Me P Morales
            Wild card 15-1 10 Noble Factor J L Castanon
            Alternate 1 15-1 13 Lonely Ride S Camacho
            Alternate 2 20-1 12 Magic Heart R A Bracho
            Exacta 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX
            Trifecta 2/4/6 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX

            Race #8

            Dirt 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:45 PM ET $27,500.00

            Race 8 Claiming
            Win 6-1 6 Twizzle S Marin
            Place 3-1 3 Prettyn Awesome A Santos
            Show 5-2 7 Spanish Delight J C Ferrer
            Wild card 4-1 8 Laconia K S Tohill
            Alternate 1 12-1 9 Lil Miss Camille S Hess
            Alternate 2 6-1 1 Tator Made S Spanabel
            Exacta 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
            Trifecta 3/6/7 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX

            Race #9

            Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:15 PM ET $53,000.00

            Race 9 Maiden Special Weight
            Win 4-1 4 Sky Masterson S Spieth
            Place 5-1 7 Thingamabob S Marin
            Show 8-1 11 Levitating D Centeno
            Wild card 10-1 6 Authentic Honour D Centeno
            Alternate 1 12-1 3 Peace Cloud H R Diaz Jr.
            Alternate 2 9-2 1 Zappo S Leon
            Exacta 4-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX
            Trifecta 4/7/11 BOX, 6/7/11 BOX

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20513

              #7
              Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - January 18


              Jan. 17, 2025

              Race #1

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:25 PM ET $110,000.00

              Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
              Win 4-1 10 Woodcut F Arrieta
              Place 5-1 13 Plinko Chip J M Romero
              Show 8-1 3 Toodle Loo E Asmussen
              Wild card 6-1 11 Re Res Rocket C A Torres
              Alternate 1 7-2 6 Beachya R Bejarano
              Alternate 2 3-1 5 Stephanie Starfish T W Bacon
              Exacta 10-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX
              Trifecta 3/10/13 BOX, 3/11/13 BOX

              Race #2

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:55 PM ET $32,000.00

              Race 2 Claiming
              Win 9-2 4 Inventing Anna C A Torres
              Place 5-1 11 Spite Lite R Bowen
              Show 4-1 8 Chiquita Reina T W Bacon
              Wild card 3-1 5 Tres Chic R Santana Jr.
              Alternate 1 8-1 2 Thorn Crown A Pusac
              Alternate 2 20-1 6 Charlina J R Gutierrez
              Exacta 4-11 BOX, 11-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
              Trifecta 4/8/11 BOX, 5/8/11 BOX

              Race #3

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:25 PM ET

              Best Bet #2 SPRING DANCER $110,000.00

              Race 3 Maiden Special Weight
              Win 9-5 2 Spring Dancer R A Vazquez
              Place 3-1 5 Going Steady T W Bacon
              Show 6-1 6 Rational Theory E Asmussen
              Wild card 4-1 3 Dare to Fly K J Asmussen
              Alternate 1 10-1 9 Lethal Caracal I Castillo
              Alternate 2 12-1 10 Trading Secrets N Juarez
              Exacta 2-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
              Trifecta 2/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

              Race #4

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:55 PM ET $32,000.00

              Race 4 Maiden Claiming
              Win 7-2 8 String Theory R Santana Jr.
              Place 5-1 3 Safe Bet L S Quinonez
              Show 4-1 4 Phenomenal Dream R A Vazquez
              Wild card 5-2 10 Lord Diamond E Asmussen
              Alternate 1 8-1 11 Westeros E Esquivel
              Alternate 2 15-1 6 I Got a Guy T W Bacon
              Exacta 8-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX
              Trifecta 3/4/8 BOX, 3/4/10 BOX

              Race #5

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:25 PM ET $44,000.00

              Race 5 Claiming
              Win 2-1 11 Without Borders R Santana Jr.
              Place 5-2 7 Fort Warren C A Torres
              Show 15-1 4 Market Street T W Bacon
              Wild card 6-1 8 K Crown R Bowen
              Alternate 1 15-1 6 League of Legends F Arrieta
              Alternate 2 20-1 1 Ravins Town W De La Cruz
              Exacta 11-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
              Trifecta 4/7/11 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX

              Race #6

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:55 PM ET $68,000.00

              Race 6 Maiden Optional Claiming
              Win 5-1 12 First Division J R Leparoux
              Place 5-2 10 Magic Mover R A Vazquez
              Show 15-1 4 Bold Exchange I Castillo
              Wild card 30-1 7 Sixtyseven Mustang F Arrieta
              Alternate 1 4-1 5 Putting Eagle T W Bacon
              Alternate 2 30-1 6 Jinxzi J Elliott
              Exacta 12-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
              Trifecta 4/10/12 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX

              Race #7

              Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:26 PM ET

              Best Bet #14 LAT LONG $130,000.00

              Race 7 Allowance
              Win 5-2 14 Lat Long J R Leparoux
              Place 9-5 5 Gunoe C A Torres
              Show 3-1 13 Big City C A Torres
              Wild card 20-1 1 Happy Strike E Esquivel
              Alternate 1 4-1 9 Toddchero I Castillo
              Alternate 2 10-1 11 Im McDreamy R A Vazquez
              Exacta 14-5 BOX, 5-13 BOX, 13-1 BOX
              Trifecta 5/13/14 BOX, 1/5/13 BOX

              Race #8

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:57 PM ET

              Best Bet #10 HUSH IT HONEY $130,000.00

              Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming
              Win 5-2 10 Hush It Honey R Bejarano
              Place 7-2 13 Lassie My Girl R Santana Jr.
              Show 4-1 9 Popperina K J Asmussen
              Wild card 10-1 3 Tiffany Twist I Castillo
              Alternate 1 12-1 14 Managing Mischief R Bowen
              Alternate 2 3-1 4 Dont Ju Forget R A Vazquez
              Exacta 10-13 BOX, 13-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
              Trifecta 9/10/13 BOX, 3/9/13 BOX

              Race #9

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:25 PM ET $150,000.00

              Race 9 Stakes
              Win 3-5 4 Kales Angel R A Vazquez
              Place 6-1 7 Wildncrazynight R Bejarano
              Show 8-1 5 Piquant S Camacho Jr.
              Wild card 5-1 1 Perfect Magic E Asmussen
              Alternate 1 10-1 3 Three Echoes K J Asmussen
              Alternate 2 12-1 2 Wisconsin Gal J C Bealmear
              Exacta 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
              Trifecta 4/5/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX

              Race #10

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:05 PM ET $130,000.00

              Race 10 Allowance
              Win 3-1 8 Absinthe K J Asmussen
              Place 15-1 6 Pretty Layla R Bejarano
              Show 7-2 7 Roman Grace R A Vazquez
              Wild card 12-1 12 Ashburn Alley R Santana Jr.
              Alternate 1 5-2 3 Brunch Punch C A Torres
              Alternate 2 15-1 1 Wise Miss J Elliott
              Exacta 8-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX
              Trifecta 6/7/8 BOX, 6/7/12 BOX

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20513

                #8
                Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - January 18


                Jan. 17, 2025

                Race #1

                Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:00 PM ET

                Best Bet #7 KENMORE WEST $60,000.00

                Race 1 Allowance
                Win 3-1 7 Kenmore West J A Torres
                Place 5-1 6 Louisiana Wildlife M Murrill
                Show 9-2 1 Benji Star J L Ortiz
                Wild card 6-1 8 Springtown B J Hernandez Jr.
                Alternate 1 4-1 3 Givemeasecond J Barbosa
                Alternate 2 5-1 9 Razor Crest M Pedroza Jr.
                Exacta 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
                Trifecta 1/6/7 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX

                Race #2

                Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:30 PM ET $60,000.00

                Race 2 Maiden Special Weight
                Win 4-1 3 The Rain Is Gone J L Ortiz
                Place 4-1 6 Liams Mist J A Torres
                Show 7-2 10 C C Short Drive M Murrill
                Wild card 6-1 4 Rosalba the Wicked E M Murray
                Alternate 1 6-1 9 Kalil T Thornton
                Alternate 2 6-1 7 Wosiemaks M Pedroza Jr.
                Exacta 3-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX
                Trifecta 3/6/10 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX

                Race #3

                Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:00 PM ET

                Best Bet #11 SICILIAN DEFENSE $60,000.00

                Race 3 Allowance
                Win 5-1 11 Sicilian Defense J L Ortiz
                Place 3-1 6 Sand Pipes F Geroux
                Show 8-1 8 Funnyflame J A Guerrero
                Wild card 8-1 10 Rock N Roll Bolt J Loveberry
                Alternate 1 9-2 12 My Boy Tony L Saez
                Alternate 2 6-1 15 My Noble Knight E Morales
                Exacta 11-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX
                Trifecta 6/8/11 BOX, 6/8/10 BOX

                Race #4

                Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:30 PM ET

                Best Bet #11 MOONIE PIE $60,000.00

                Race 4 Maiden Special Weight
                Win 7-2 11 Moonie Pie J Graham
                Place 9-2 9 Canal Street A Concepcion
                Show 6-1 6 A Wicked Number J Barbosa
                Wild card 6-1 5 Margies Intention D Cannon
                Alternate 1 5-1 8 Swamp Queen J A Torres
                Alternate 2 6-1 3 Thundering Desire J L Ortiz
                Exacta 11-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
                Trifecta 6/9/11 BOX, 5/6/9 BOX

                Race #5

                Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:00 PM ET $60,000.00

                Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                Win 7-2 13 Yourcuznfromboston J L Ortiz
                Place 6-1 9 Hard Line B J Hernandez Jr.
                Show 10-1 1 Remi M Pedroza Jr.
                Wild card 7-2 5 Pair of Socks L Saez
                Alternate 1 10-1 2 Cajun Coaster F Geroux
                Alternate 2 6-1 7 Customs Cleared M Murrill
                Exacta 13-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
                Trifecta 1/9/13 BOX, 1/5/9 BOX

                Race #6

                Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:30 PM ET $100,000.00

                Race 6 Stakes
                Win 6-1 11 Bear River A Concepcion
                Place 9-5 1 Nobals E T Baird
                Show 6-1 2 Gilded Ruler B J Hernandez Jr.
                Wild card 10-1 4 Demolition Duke J L Ortiz
                Alternate 1 12-1 3 Kavod L Dettori
                Alternate 2 15-1 7 Uncashed W A Rodriguez
                Exacta 11-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
                Trifecta 1/2/11 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

                Race #7

                Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:00 PM ET $60,000.00

                Race 7 Maiden Special Weight
                Win 3-1 5 Doroteo A Concepcion
                Place 6-1 8 Global Quote F Geroux
                Show 12-1 3 Magical Wish C J Hernandez
                Wild card 9-2 7 Cromwell J L Ortiz
                Alternate 1 10-1 6 Hypnus B J Hernandez Jr.
                Alternate 2 9-2 1 Yinzer L Dettori
                Exacta 5-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
                Trifecta 3/5/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX

                Race #8

                Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:30 PM ET $100,000.00

                Race 8 Stakes
                Win 10-1 7 Austere D Cannon
                Place 6-1 6 Way to Be Marie F Geroux
                Show 5-1 3 Stir Crazy J Rosario
                Wild card 5-1 13 Nanda Dea J L Ortiz
                Alternate 1 15-1 2 Lakota Spirit E Morales
                Alternate 2 4-1 1 Cupids Crush J Barbosa
                Exacta 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX
                Trifecta 3/6/7 BOX, 3/6/13 BOX

                Race #9

                Dirt 1 Mile 70 Yards - Post Time: 05:00 PM ET $150,000.00

                Race 9 Stakes
                Win 3-1 3 Simply Joking J A Torres
                Place 8-1 6 Gowells Delight C J Hernandez
                Show 4-1 1 Chasten F Geroux
                Wild card 7-2 2 Golden Gamble B J Hernandez Jr.
                Alternate 1 5-1 5 California Sunset J Rosario
                Alternate 2 8-1 7 Shes a Swede L Saez
                Exacta 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                Trifecta 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

                Race #10

                Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:30 PM ET $100,000.00

                Race 10 Stakes
                Win 7-2 7 Gigante J L Ortiz
                Place 5-1 11 Wadsworth F Geroux
                Show 5-1 1 Northern Invader L Saez
                Wild card 8-1 8 Higgins Boat D Cannon
                Alternate 1 8-1 5 Idratherbeblessed B Curtis
                Alternate 2 30-1 6 Stitched E Morales
                Exacta 7-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
                Trifecta 1/7/11 BOX, 1/8/11 BOX

                Race #11

                Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:00 PM ET $175,000.00

                Race 11 Stakes
                Win 9-2 5 Skinner J L Ortiz
                Place 5-2 1 Hit Show F Geroux
                Show 10-1 10 Maycocks Bay B Curtis
                Wild card 8-1 8 Track Phantom B J Hernandez Jr.
                Alternate 1 8-1 9 Komorebino Omoide J Melancon
                Alternate 2 15-1 7 Velocitor D Cohen
                Exacta 5-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
                Trifecta 1/5/10 BOX, 1/8/10 BOX

                Race #12

                Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:30 PM ET $250,000.00

                Race 12 Stakes
                Win 3-1 13 Built J Loveberry
                Place 10-1 8 Tough Catch L Saez
                Show 9-2 11 Disco Time F Geroux
                Wild card 12-1 9 Dapper Moon E Morales
                Alternate 1 6-1 4 Magnitude J L Ortiz
                Alternate 2 8-1 3 Admiral Dennis J Rosario
                Exacta 13-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX
                Trifecta 8/11/13 BOX, 8/9/11 BOX

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20513

                  #9
                  Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - January 18


                  Jan. 17, 2025

                  Race #1

                  Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:30 PM ET $60,000.00

                  Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 8-5 7 Lord Dunmore A Lezcano
                  Place 5-1 2 Giant Luther J J Hernandez
                  Show 10-1 4 Horizon Wildcat G Franco
                  Wild card 15-1 6 Millbo Baggins D A Herrera
                  Alternate 1 20-1 9 Twilight Time K Kimura
                  Alternate 2 6-1 8 Three Georges W Antongeorgi III
                  Exacta 7-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/4/7 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

                  Race #2

                  Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:58 PM ET

                  Best Bet #6 CAVIAR COWBOY $14,000.00

                  Race 2 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 9-2 6 Caviar Cowboy F T Alvarado
                  Place 6-5 8 P Twentytwo K E Orozco
                  Show 6-1 5 Unusual Memories G Franco
                  Wild card 5-1 4 Shake the Dust H Herrera
                  Alternate 1 30-1 9 Jeffrey On the Run E Garcia
                  Alternate 2 12-1 1 Captain Willis A Gomez
                  Exacta 6-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                  Trifecta 5/6/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX

                  Race #3

                  Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:28 PM ET $33,000.00

                  Race 3 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 3-5 2 Mayacama J J Hernandez
                  Place 3-1 4 Naturally Blonde F Prat
                  Show 9-2 3 Miss Miche Lada G Franco
                  Wild card 20-1 1 Be a Goldfish T J Pereira
                  Alternate 1 6-1 5 Our Lovin Feelin C Ortega
                  Alternate 2 30-1 6 Spicy Ride R Gonzalez
                  Exacta 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

                  Race #4

                  Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:58 PM ET $125,000.00

                  Race 4 Stakes
                  Win 2-5 4 Big City Lights K Kimura
                  Place 6-1 3 Smiling Beast A Ayuso
                  Show 30-1 5 Haywood E A Maldonado
                  Wild card 5-2 1 Clovisconnection W Antongeorgi III
                  Alternate 1 10-1 2 Geezer H I Berrios
                  Exacta 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
                  Trifecta 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX

                  Race #5

                  Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:28 PM ET $60,000.00

                  Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 6-5 4 Miles Finch F Prat
                  Place 7-5 3 Cullen J A Fresu
                  Show 8-1 7 Got Soul K Kimura
                  Wild card 12-1 9 Glass of Jameson J J Hernandez
                  Alternate 1 20-1 6 James J. Braddock T J Pereira
                  Alternate 2 20-1 8 Bennys Puzzle T Baze
                  Exacta 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
                  Trifecta 3/4/7 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX

                  Race #6

                  Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:58 PM ET

                  Best Bet #5 OUR BUCKY CHARM $61,000.00

                  Race 6 Allowance Optional Claiming
                  Win 5-2 5 Our Bucky Charm J J Hernandez
                  Place 7-5 7 Lonesome Stew A Fresu
                  Show 15-1 1 Duty First T J Pereira
                  Wild card 9-2 8 Devil Among Us E A Maldonado
                  Alternate 1 8-1 4 Windribbon F Prat
                  Alternate 2 30-1 2 Shady Appeal G Franco
                  Exacta 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/5/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX

                  Race #7

                  Downhill turf 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:28 PM ET $125,000.00

                  Race 7 Stakes
                  Win 6-5 7 Stay and Scam U Rispoli
                  Place 2-1 8 Safa T J Pereira
                  Show 8-1 2 Moments Pleasure K Kimura
                  Wild card 15-1 6 Shocking Grey A Fresu
                  Alternate 1 12-1 4 Satellite Heart F Prat
                  Alternate 2 20-1 9 Quantum Innergy A Ayuso
                  Exacta 7-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/7/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX

                  Race #8

                  Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:58 PM ET

                  Best Bet #8 PAX A PUNCH $33,000.00

                  Race 8 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 9-2 8 Pax a Punch T J Pereira
                  Place 12-1 5 Citizen Barrett A Lezcano
                  Show 4-1 10 Oscars Mark J J Hernandez
                  Wild card 20-1 7 Checks On the Way M Gutierrez
                  Alternate 1 10-1 11 Marc the Money Man S Carmona
                  Alternate 2 7-2 3 The Gypsy Cowboy T Baze
                  Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX
                  Trifecta 5/8/10 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX

                  Race #9

                  Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 06:28 PM ET $175,000.00

                  Race 9 Stakes
                  Win 5-1 1 On the Whim T J Pereira
                  Place 8-5 3 Old Pal A Fresu
                  Show 6-1 7 Aligato F Prat
                  Wild card 15-1 5 We Can T Baze
                  Alternate 1 20-1 11 Barely Funtional M Gutierrez
                  Alternate 2 8-1 10 Coalinga Road U Rispoli
                  Exacta 1-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/3/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

                  Race #10

                  Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:58 PM ET $175,000.00

                  Race 10 Stakes
                  Win 3-1 6 R Heisman F Prat
                  Place 5-2 1 Shea Brennan A Fresu
                  Show 7-2 2 Im a Bad Boy R Gonzalez
                  Wild card 5-1 3 Style Cat J J Hernandez
                  Alternate 1 6-1 7 Drop Um M E Smith
                  Alternate 2 10-1 8 Gotm Cotm K Frey
                  Exacta 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

                  Race #11

                  Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:28 PM ET $175,000.00

                  Race 11 Stakes
                  Win 9-2 6 Take Another Card H I Berrios
                  Place 8-1 8 Miso Phansy U Rispoli
                  Show 12-1 11 Pavel Is Appealing M Gutierrez
                  Wild card 5-2 10 Hey Jessie K Frey
                  Alternate 1 6-1 2 Tequilaandtherapy E A Maldonado
                  Alternate 2 20-1 13 Musical Number K Kimura
                  Exacta 6-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX
                  Trifecta 6/8/11 BOX, 8/10/11 BOX

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20513

                    #10
                    Turfway Park Tip Sheet - January 18


                    Jan. 17, 2025

                    Race #1

                    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:55 PM ET $80,000.00

                    Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 3-1 8 Hiiaka I Moncada
                    Place 8-1 2 Starship Beauty S Doyle
                    Show 7-2 6 Montego Bay V Cheminaud
                    Wild card 8-1 3 Vicki Rose W A Rodriguez
                    Alternate 1 6-1 1 Elhuboob G Corrales
                    Alternate 2 12-1 12 Foolish Front Fifi R Miranda
                    Exacta 8-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/6/8 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX

                    Race #2

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET

                    Best Bet #11 EL GUNNER $27,800.00

                    Race 2 Claiming
                    Win 4-1 11 El Gunner L Contreras
                    Place 3-1 13 Dr Kringle A Jimenez
                    Show 6-1 10 God of Wine G Saez
                    Wild card 5-2 6 Oscarsson L Machado
                    Alternate 1 15-1 2 Acting Debut T Canuto
                    Alternate 2 12-1 7 One Last Bid V Cheminaud
                    Exacta 11-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
                    Trifecta 10/11/13 BOX, 6/10/13 BOX

                    Race #3

                    All Weather Track 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:55 PM ET

                    Best Bet #4 MOTOWN DYNAMIC $21,600.00

                    Race 3 Claiming
                    Win 5-2 4 Motown Dynamic I Moncada
                    Place 9-5 6 Sophisticated Cat A Beschizza
                    Show 10-1 8 Fast N Happy S Sanjur
                    Wild card 6-1 10 Gatita Suave Y L Correa
                    Alternate 1 10-1 5 Beautiful Temple J D Ramos
                    Alternate 2 20-1 3 Scoot Along G Terraza
                    Exacta 4-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX
                    Trifecta 4/6/8 BOX, 6/8/10 BOX

                    Race #4

                    All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:25 PM ET $15,400.00

                    Race 4 Claiming
                    Win 5-2 7 Baie Longue A Cedillo
                    Place 4-1 14 Epic Knight A Calleja
                    Show 12-1 4 Dream Traveler S Sanjur
                    Wild card 10-1 5 Bekhamboy R Miranda
                    Alternate 1 5-1 3 Faster S Doyle
                    Alternate 2 8-1 2 Slink I Moncada
                    Exacta 7-14 BOX, 14-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                    Trifecta 4/7/14 BOX, 4/5/14 BOX

                    Race #5

                    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:55 PM ET $41,200.00

                    Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 15-1 12 Cruising Gal F De La Cruz
                    Place 7-2 9 Pretty in Pearls A K Poston
                    Show 4-1 13 Citizen Judy J E Felix
                    Wild card 5-2 10 Belle of the South A Achard
                    Alternate 1 6-1 3 Lil Miss Behaving G Corrales
                    Alternate 2 5-1 14 Moochie Girl L Machado
                    Exacta 12-9 BOX, 9-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX
                    Trifecta 9/12/13 BOX, 9/10/13 BOX

                    Race #6

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:25 PM ET $125,000.00

                    Race 6 Stakes
                    Win 6-1 1 Chunk of Gold L Machado
                    Place 2-1 4 Banks A Beschizza
                    Show 5-2 6 Cant Deny It G Corrales
                    Wild card 10-1 8 Hard as Life W A Rodriguez
                    Alternate 1 12-1 2 Baby Max A Cedillo
                    Alternate 2 3-1 7 Church and State R M Hernandez
                    Exacta 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/4/6 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX

                    Race #7

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:55 PM ET $16,500.00

                    Race 7 Claiming
                    Win 9-5 1 I Lucked Out A Jimenez
                    Place 5-1 14 Temper Tantrum W A Rodriguez
                    Show 6-5 13 Richiesgotgame G Corrales
                    Wild card 5-2 3 Colosseo J E Felix
                    Alternate 1 10-1 8 Broken Justice I Moncada
                    Alternate 2 15-1 11 Royally Bitter A Calleja
                    Exacta 1-14 BOX, 14-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/13/14 BOX, 3/13/14 BOX

                    Race #8

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 09:25 PM ET $30,900.00

                    Race 8 Claiming
                    Win 7-2 9 Noahs Ark L Machado
                    Place 2-1 8 Underdressed G Corrales
                    Show 15-1 5 Candy Tycoon A Achard
                    Wild card 5-1 1 Cool Rags G Saez
                    Alternate 1 9-2 6 River Redemption S Sanjur
                    Alternate 2 20-1 11 Bartulia I Moncada
                    Exacta 9-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
                    Trifecta 5/8/9 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

                    Race #9

                    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 09:55 PM ET $82,000.00

                    Race 9 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 8-1 4 Jimmy Rules L Machado
                    Place 3-1 5 Perfect Prankster V Cheminaud
                    Show 4-1 6 Tigers Legacy S Doyle
                    Wild card 10-1 7 Goldentown G Ashton
                    Alternate 1 8-1 8 Retained A Jimenez
                    Alternate 2 8-1 9 Bloodline E A Roman
                    Exacta 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                    Trifecta 4/5/6 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

                    Race #10

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 10:25 PM ET

                    Best Bet #11 D BIGALOW $80,000.00

                    Race 10 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 5-2 11 D Bigalow M Gutierrez
                    Place 7-2 12 Culture War A Beschizza
                    Show 5-1 3 Maruvy L Machado
                    Wild card 10-1 5 Tartarian G Corrales
                    Alternate 1 12-1 14 Free Advice L Machado
                    Alternate 2 30-1 7 Spirit Rags A Jimenez
                    Exacta 11-12 BOX, 12-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/11/12 BOX, 3/5/12 BOX

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20513

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.


                      Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $44000 Class Rating: 98

                      OP - R5 - FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18, 2024 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 18, 2024 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000, IF FOR $30,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 8 K CROWN 6/1
                      # 11 WITHOUT BORDERS 2/1
                      # 7 FORT WARREN 5/2
                      I think K CROWN is a decent choice. Will most likely compete quite well in the pace contest which bodes well with this group. Has recorded solid Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. WITHOUT BORDERS - Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 92 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the best in this group. Ought to be given a shot - I like the numbers from the last affair. FORT WARREN - Is tough not to consider given the company run in lately. Very good choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20513

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.


                        Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $60000 Class Rating: 86

                        FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 5 DOROTEO 3/1
                        # 1 YINZER 9/2
                        # 8 GLOBAL QUOTE 6/1
                        DOROTEO is the best bet in this race. His 88 average has this colt with among the top speed figures for this event. Could wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. Ought to be given a shot in this race if only for the decent speed figure put up in the last race. YINZER - Look for a very good pace improvement from this equine who enters with second time Lasix today. With Dettori aboard him, this colt will probably be able to break out early for this race. GLOBAL QUOTE - The average Equibase class rating alone makes this one a solid contender. Very good rider and conditioner combo winning 28 percent of their races working together.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20513

                          #13
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sam Houston Race Park
                          Sam Houston Race Park - Race 5 WPS / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
                          Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 59 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 3:00P
                          (PLUS UP TO $440 ATB) FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $7,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                          Contenders Race Analysis
                          P# Horse Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds
                          Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * UBSINGINTHEBLUES: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CONNOR TALKSTRASH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
                          1 UBSINGINTHEBLUES 3/1 5/2
                          4 CONNOR TALKSTRASH 15/1 6/1

                          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                          Figure
                          2 FREEWAY 2 6/5 Front-runner 0 0 68.2 20.2 10.7
                          1 UBSINGINTHEBLUES 1 3/1 Front-runner 66 44 59.4 44.8 39.8
                          5 BIGTIMEINTHECITY 5 20/1 Front-runner 0 0 57.2 37.0 27.5
                          7 WITT'S RINGER 7 4/1 Front-runner 0 0 50.5 39.9 31.4
                          4 CONNOR TALKSTRASH 4 15/1 Alternator/Stalker 57 42 37.0 37.6 28.6
                          8 SIR LANCELOT RIDGE 8 20/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 17.8 35.6 28.6
                          3 CANDY BINDER 3 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 45.4 31.4 19.4
                          6 HASHTAGMAKITHAPPEN 6 6/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 44.7 19.2 10.2

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20513

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


                            Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:32pm - Optional Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,900 Class Rating: 98

                            Rating:

                            #2 BYK (ML=9/2)
                            #3 SIR ALFRED JAMES (ML=5/1)
                            #9 MOTIVATING (ML=12/1)
                            #5 ZEN MASTER (ML=6/1)


                            BYK - Any horse with early speed that is starting from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this group. This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +166. SIR ALFRED JAMES - This pace horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is he'll take a shot at going gate to wire in victory. TrackMaster keeps good stats on this type of information. This gelding always seems to race well after a vacation. I like this gelding. Has the topmost earnings per start in this contest. I always like to see a thoroughbred getting Lasix for the first time. Farrior adds it on this one today. MOTIVATING - I'm figuring this magnificent animal to run a good one today. ZEN MASTER - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of handler Farrior. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. This gelding is in good form. Ended up third on Dec 28th. This jockey fits well with this horse. The gelding and Hiraldo together win at a rate of 67 percent.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #6 FULL IRISH (ML=3/1), #1 RESTLESS (ML=6/1),

                            FULL IRISH - All sorts of crazy zip entered for this race. Slight chance for this early speedster. This morning-line choice may be out of form without any recent works. RESTLESS - The Brain always cautions me to keep my distance from horses in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in sprint races lately.
                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #2 BYK to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,9]
                            TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20513

                              #15
                              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
                              Gulfstream Park - Race 4 $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1.00 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
                              Claiming $8,000 • 5 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 4 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 1:50P
                              FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
                              Contenders Race Analysis
                              P# Horse Morn
                              Line
                              Accept
                              Odds
                              Race Type: Lone Trailer. GUILDENSTERN (IRE) is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUMMER BEE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. OURS FOR SURE: Horse ranks in t he top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GUAICAIPURO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination r eturn on investment is at least +20. GUILDENSTERN (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
                              2 SUMMER BEE 15/1 9/2
                              10 OURS FOR SURE 6/1 5/1
                              1 GUAICAIPURO 12/1 8/1
                              5 GUILDENSTERN (IRE) 5/2 9/1

                              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                              Line
                              Running Style Good
                              Class
                              Good
                              Speed
                              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                              Figure
                              7 ALPHA BLUE 7 2/1 Front-runner 69 70 68.9 58.1 45.1
                              3 INSISTING 3 10/1 Front-runner 72 64 60.8 48.6 33.6
                              4 DECISIVE PRIDE 4 15/1 Alternator/Front-runner 75 78 51.9 66.3 51.8
                              2 SUMMER BEE 2 15/1 Alternator/Stalker 88 89 106.7 68.2 60.7
                              1 GUAICAIPURO 1 12/1 Alternator/Stalker 77 81 73.4 59.8 50.3
                              10 OURS FOR SURE 10 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 78 74 71.6 71.4 65.4
                              8 WALT WHITMAN (IRE) 8 15/1 Alternator/Stalker 79 79 37.0 37.0 23.0
                              5 GUILDENSTERN (IRE) 5 5/2 Trailer 91 87 0.0 0.0 0.0
                              9 SIR BANANA BRIAN 9 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 71 61 65.8 57.8 44.8
                              6 MOHAY PLEASE 6 6/1 Alternator/Non-contender 85 80 1.9 22.8 12.8

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