Monday 1/20/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    Monday 1/20/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - Jan. 20, 2025


    January 20, 2025

    Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
    Santa Anita Park

    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: C+
    Main Ticket: 4-Running Spartan
    ; 7-Crazy Cavalier; 10-Mr. Leasure
    Backups: none.

    Forecast: We’ll spread the opener, a maiden $50,000 claiming turf sprint for older horses. Running Spartan shows up in a seller for the first time and should greatly appreciate the softer assignment. Freshened since November with several back speed figures that are par for this level, the son of First Samurai projects to be part of a moderate pace and have his chance to stick it out with anything close to his best race. A healthy recent work tab should have him plenty fit enough. Crazy Cavalier, a first-off-the-claim play for D. O’Neill (excellent stats with this angle), tries grass for the first time. He doesn’t really have an obvious turf pedigree, but you never know. He should be quick enough to secure a comfortable second flight, stalking position and have his chance from there. Mr. Leasure, claimed for $50,000 last April, returns waiver protected and lands F. Prat. The. T. Yakteen-trained gelding will need to be a better type this time around based on numbers but that’s possible, especially in his first try on the lawn. He’s worth tossing in somewhere.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 12:31 PT Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 8-Candyinthemorning
    ; 1-Happy Chappy; 3-Topper’s Chieftess.
    Backups: 5-Harney Lane.

    Forecast: Candyinthemorning got a confidence-building win when shipped to Pleasanton last month and if she can replicate that performance in this restricted (nw-2) $8,000 for NorCal based runners she can score right back on this circuit. Nicely drawn outside and catching a very favorable pace scenario, the daughter of Candy Ride might be quick enough to wire a field that doesn’t have much early zip in it. On pure numbers, she’s an absolute fit. Happy Chappy and Topper’s Chieftess van down following nice wins, both accomplished similarly when rallying from mid-pack before drawing clear with authority in the final furlong. Both need to step it up a tad in the figure department, but will be dangerous if the speed types cave in.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 5-Touchdown Brown
    ; 4-Leyas Candy; 6-Joint Venture.
    Backups: 2-Coolwind; 7-Taishan.

    Forecast: Here’s another spread affair requiring as much protection as your budget allows. Touchdown Brown stretched out to a mile, found himself on the lead, got brave, and kept on going to win a slightly tougher event at Del Mar in mid-November. He’s been away for two months since and is dropping a notch off that victory, not normally a positive pattern, but the barn can be quite aggressive with its claiming stock, so we’ll operate under the assumption that this son of Cairo Prince has at least one more good one left in him. Also, he’s better going long than short based on his numbers, so this is where he should be. Layas Candy has a few races in his chart that if repeated would make him the one to fear most, but he’s strictly a need-the-lead type and is far less effective when he’s unable to control the fractions. The son of Danzing Candy should have his chance to land his role as the controlling speed based our pace projection. Joint Venture is another that prefers the front end but might be reduced to a presser or stalker’s role with ‘Candy drawn inside of him. He’s two-for-two over the Santa Anita main track and that’s the main reason we’ll include him on the top line.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: B+
    Main Ticket: 6-Earned Not Given

    Backups: 7-Lazio; 1- Noble Minded.

    Forecast: Earned Not Given is a lightly raced and developing sophomore fresh from a maiden $50,000 claiming two turn grass score earlier this month, doing so despite a poor break that he managed to overcome in a stylish performance. He’s protected today in a starter allowance company and seems quite likely to step forward again, especially if he can leave with his field. The son of War of Will improved his Beyer speed figure by 15 points off his debut run vs. tougher straight maidens at Del Mar and we’re expecting a similar leap today. The M. Glatt barn hits at a powerful 25% with repeaters, so let’s make this gelding our prime push in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 7-Crystal Proof;
    ; 6-Roses R Blue; 1-Greatful Attitude.
    Backups: 3-Lion’s Liar.

    Forecast: None of these are trustworthy but each has a right to win at this level, so we’ll spread this $5,000 seller that features NorCal invaders. Crystal Proof has enough early speed in a field without much zip to be a major player in a race that should offer soft early splits. This is the cheapest she’s ever run for, and the daughter of Idiot Proof should be able to take advantage of the opportunity. She’s a gambling number at 6-1 on the morning line. Roses R Blue is an older mare with eight prior wins, her most recent up north in early December. She lacks tactical speed but with some help up front could make some noise close home. Greatful Attitude, a close runner-up in the same race ‘Blue won, projects to be within range throughout in the second flight and have her chance to tag the speed. First or second in seven of her 15 career starts, the daughter of Stanford is a dependable sort with a big look if she can avoid trouble from the rail.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: A-
    Main Ticket: 5-Ms McWhinney
    Backups
    : 1-Long Mayshe Reign; 6-Activated.

    Forecast: Ms McWhinney seeks her third straight score in her first outing since June in this starter allowance six furlong turf sprint for fillies and mares. Her speed figures are rising, her turn of foot explosive, and this daughter of American Pharoah, claimed for $50,000 last April, is clearly a much better filly since joining the D. O’Neill barn. She earned a career top number in her most recent start over this course in a mile event, but she can sprint just as effectively, and the recent workouts indicate she’s returning better than she left and is fit and ready. She’s listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite and deservedly so.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: C+
    Main Ticket: 7-Liquid Spirit
    , 2-Princess Daddy; 6-Thirsty Mama.
    Backups: none.

    Forecast: Liquid Spirit won her debut in clever fashion at Los Alamitos facing maiden $50,000 juvenile company and returns in a $25,000 claimer with a speed figure edge is this abbreviated main track dash. This is a realistic spot, though we’d probably approach the race with a bit more confidence if she was being protected. The B. Koriner-trained filly looks like claim bait on paper and maybe that’s what her connections want. Princess Daddyreturns to the claiming ranks for the first time since she won her debut at Del Mar last summer. Like our top pick, this is the right spot for her and with the addition of blinkers combined with the class drop the daughter of Stay Thirsty looks extremely well-meant. Thirsty Mama is another class dropper seeking her proper level. She picks up F. Prat, has been no worse than second in three prior outings over the Santa Anita main track, and is a major player in a contentious affair.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 3:36 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 8-Pura Vita Princesa
    ; 10-Firenze Flavor.
    Backups: 5-Footnote.

    Forecast: With the benefit of three sprint races under her belt, Pura Vida Princesa stretches out to a mile and should have the proper style and foundation to easily cope with the step up in trip. Nosed out in a maiden special weight turf sprint in her most recent outing in an effort that earned a career top number, the D. O’Neill-trained daughter of Complexity isn’t really bred to route but should be able run this far, at least in her first try. We expect to see her on or near the lead. Firenze Flavor closed a gap in her debut over a mile without being knocked about and is eligible to step up big time with that bit of experience behind her. The outside draw does her no favors, but she gets Lasix and U. Rispoli and with some help up front could be dangerous in the final furlong.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 4:06 PT Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 3-Navy Man
    ; 6-Saltwater Cowboy.
    Backups: 4-Last Call London.

    Forecast: Navy Man tackles much easier foes and returns to his best distance (dirt mile), so we’re anticipating a vastly improved performance by the once well-regarded gelding in this restricted (nw-3) $20,000 seller for older horses. This is a realistic spot for the now 5-year-old son of Bolt d’Oro, who was stakes placed on this circuit as a 3-year-old a couple of years ago. A repeat of his starter’s allowance two races back over this track and distance should be more than good enough under F. Prat. Front-running tactics likely will be employed with Saltwater Cowboy, who could get brave if not pressured early. He’s reunited with A. Fresu, who was aboard the son of Mastery in a gate-to-wire tally at Los Alamitos two races back.


    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    Santa Anita Race 10: Post: 4:36 PT Grade: X
    Main Ticket: 8-Jubilant Joanie

    Backups: none.

    Forecast: At 3/5 on the morning line, Jubilant Joanie is a layover in this starter optional claiming turf miler for fillies and mares. Very fast for this level on speed figures and a winner of six of her last seven starts, the J. Mullins-trained filly suffered her only defeat during that span when she was second to undefeated Cavalieri, who is on track to become one of the best in the 2025 older filly and mare division nationally. She has no such competition to worry about today.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358248

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis


      January 20, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

      XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
      Yonkers Raceway has a 10-race card with the $1.00 Pick 5 starting in Race 5, and it has a $10,000 guaranteed pool. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 sequence rolls in Race 7, and it will be my focus.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 7 (8:45 PM EST)

      3-Boiling Oar (2-1)-This is a comfortable spot and should be a main player if ready to fire. Matt Kakaley will have the pedal down and will be a small price.
      4-Real Willey (5-1)-The 10-yr-old couldn’t seal the deal before the break and Jason Bartlett gets the nod and he seldom drives for the Laterza barn. Willing to take a swing, on the assumption the price will be fair. Looks like a pocket ride candidate and could win off that trip.

      Race 8 (9:05 PM EST)

      1-Bad Boy Too (9/5)-This 10-time winner in 2024 likes to get on the engine and not look back. Should land on top and has won 7 of 17 at YR. Will be a small price and can’t completely trust Bad Boy will stand tall down the lane.
      3-Bill Hayley N (4-1)-Bartlett gets the call again for the Dilloian barn. Relying on this pilot to have a big night. The inside post draw could matter a lot. Expecting a sharp steer and to be in striking range at the top of the stretch.

      Race 9 (9:25 PM EST)

      2-Cut N Run N (4-1)-This is another Bartlett-Dilloian combo and the first time Bartlett steers the New Zealand bred. Draws inside in the 5th start in town and that could make a winning difference. This could be "Go" time and should be in play off the gate.
      5-Cadillac Bayama (7/2)-Had a big try from the 7-hole against this kind before the Holiday break. Did get the top but the trip took its toll. Pat Lachance could land on the point tonight without burning much gas. If so, chances for success go up.

      Race 10 (9:45 PM EST)

      5-Memphistennessee N (8-1)-Will use a couple of price shots in a race without a standout. Both my choices in this leg have taken pictures against $30k claimers recently and the others can't say the same. George Brennan has some options with this post draw and this affair could have an honest pace. The veteran could stalk and then be the best down the lane.
      7-Im A Powerplay A (12-1)-Makes the 1st start for the Laterza barn off a claim. Likes to win by getting on the engine and Brent Holland may blast out and try that plan. Will need to deal with the 2 inside horses but could still come away with at least a pocket ride.

      $1.00 Late Pick 4

      3,4/1,3/2,5/5,7
      Total Bet=$16
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358248

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Mahoning Valley - Race #1
        #1 Judy's Comet Not sure the price is going to be super appealing, but he should get a pretty cozy trip from the inside while tracking the quicker players early on. In touch throughout.
        #3 My Baby Bullet He has to prove that he can stay while rising back up into a special weight spot, as he has not fared well late against similar in the past. That said, always willing to take an improved running line into consideration in hopes he'll be able to hold some of that form while stepping back up.
        #5 Buckeye Takeover Debuter brings some quick works with him to this first one, and he's not meeting a super-serious bunch on paper, so a fresh face might be the way to go. Get a look at him on the tote and track.
        Race Summary Judy's Comet has been heading in the right direction in those last two, and I think he'll be in a good spot while tucked in just behind a couple of more committed forward players.
        Mahoning Valley - Race #7
        #3 Patient Capital Positional pace should be a great fit here, and I can see him finding a perfect spot to watch everything unfold while a few fairly serious pace players figure out the early puzzle. Tracks, gets the jump, holds the finishers.
        #1 Sammy and Shorty He could be in line for a similar kind of tactical trip as the top choice, and he proved he could class up OK with this kind of crew last out.
        #6 Dr Jack Flyer Nothing wrong with taking a shot in allowance company off the claim after drilling that $5,000 group last time out, and he's never had a chance at this kind of level with winners. Worried about the race shape for him, too, but there is some appeal here.
        Race Summary Patient Capital draws inside a few fairly one-dimensional pace types, and that should leave him in a great spot to let them settle the early score while he waits to engage into the far turn. Would be happy to look for a $6 payout, but it might be a touch shorter.
        Mahoning Valley - Race #8
        #5 Gogo Nev's She should be a good fit with a handful of special weight tries back on her page, and she has the positional pace to stay close and then try to grind it out from there.
        #3 Mystical Mobil She doesn't finish her races with a ton of punch, so I'm concerned about signing on at what might be another kind of short price after she was nowhere to be found at 50 cents on the dollar last out.
        #2 Raven's Honor Wouldn't be a surprise to see her land this after turning in an improved effort last time out, but she has found a few of these a little tough in the past.
        Race Summary Gogo Nev's should get a good run of things while hopefully offering a mildly playable price if Mystical Mobil takes a bunch of cash again
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358248

          #5
          Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


          Parx - Race #1
          #2 INCAN MOON GODDESS (6-1) Rallied for share in both short sprints, met 2-to-5 winners in last pair.
          #5 YES MY LADY LINO (5-2) Opened clear lead in debut before the odds-on fave rallied from last.
          #3 MOPSY (5-1) Bullet :48-1/5 gate work to get ready, barn is 3-for-10 in last month with firsters.
          Race Summary INCAN MOON GODDESS, outrun early the last time she ran in a short sprint, ‘finished well’ behind the other favorites for third. She faltered in a pair of longer, higher-tagged races since then, at the expense of odds-on winners both times. Bet to win and place and play a 2-3-5 exacta box.
          Parx - Race #3
          #9 MAGICAL ROAD (7-2) Enters hot barn, projects ideal trip, led at stretch call in 2 of last 3 at distance.
          #4 HEAT ALERT (5-1) Hard used off similar rest, just missed at 16-1 while earning his top speed figure.
          #8 CARRY GRANT (12-1) Rallied for minor awards in 3 of last 5 starts, the longest at one mile.
          Race Summary There should be plenty of pace in this maiden claiming route race, especially if first-time starter RENARD joins the mix and runs to his bullet workouts. MAGICAL ROAD could sit the perfect stalking trip from the outside post and handle the class rise off the claim for a barn in the midst of a 4-for-11 streak. Bet to win and place and play 9-2, 9-4, 9-5 and 9-8 exactas.
          Parx - Race #4
          #7 LA MACCHINA ROSSA (7-2) Hitting on all cylinders with month between starts, barn excels off claim.
          #3 LADY ZETA (5-1) Dueled from the outset, got caught by deep-closing longshot near wire.
          #5 TARA’S TALENT (5-1) Rallied into photo-finish view in 3 of her last 4 starts at Parx.
          Race Summary LA MACCHINA ROSSA rallied for three photo-finish victories and three seconds, spanning four tracks and distances in her last six starts. She enters a high-percentage claim barn and should sit a good trip with ample pace up ahead. Bet to win and place and play a 7-ALL exacta.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358248

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park
            PURCHASE
            Oaklawn Park - Race 1 Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Cent Trifecta / .10 Cent Superfecta .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / .50 Cent Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
            SO $62,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 86 • Purse: $67,000 • Post: 12:30
            FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 20, 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 20, 2024 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500.
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. GOLDEN IRISH is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GOLDEN IRISH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMa ster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COMPLEX SECRET: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Hor se ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
            1 GOLDEN IRISH 8/5 5/2
            9 COMPLEX SECRET 5/2 6/1

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            1 GOLDEN IRISH 1 8/5 Front-runner 80 86 94.7 82.6 79.6
            9 COMPLEX SECRET 9 5/2 Front-runner 78 81 76.4 72.6 63.1
            7 CLAPPING TREES 7 15/1 Front-runner 72 67 76.4 58.2 44.2
            2 GUNITE MAX 2 12/1 Front-runner 64 67 65.8 66.0 51.5
            4 KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW 4 5/1 Stalker 79 81 75.4 61.5 56.0
            8 PIGGY TALES UP 8 20/1 Stalker 67 75 69.4 65.3 53.3
            6 KINZIE QUEEN 6 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 82 81 57.7 53.8 44.8
            3 DAISY DUKE 3 20/1 Trailer 79 73 56.1 67.4 59.4
            10 SQUARE BABY 10 30/1 Trailer 59 58 55.3 55.7 36.2
            5 HELEN'S REVENGE 5 15/1 Trailer 71 69 52.3 61.7 49.7
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358248

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
              PURCHASE
              Equibase Special - Race 1 Leg 1 of the Santa Anita All Turf Pick 3
              Starter Allowance $50,000 • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 92 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 2:36P
              SA - R6 - (RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LONG MAYSHE REIGN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LONG MAYSHE REIGN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LAMPORGH INI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. UFFDA: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
              1 LONG MAYSHE REIGN 7/2 7/2
              8 LAMPORGHINI 8/1 6/1
              7 UFFDA 10/1 10/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              1 LONG MAYSHE REIGN 1 7/2 Front-runner 90 93 76.4 90.4 86.4
              7 UFFDA 7 10/1 Front-runner 92 83 74.3 76.5 65.5
              8 LAMPORGHINI 8 8/1 Front-runner 91 92 59.7 84.4 78.4
              4 PRINCESS MIDNIGHT 4 6/1 Stalker 92 93 67.0 87.2 79.2
              5 MS MCWHINNEY 5 2/1 Trailer 94 95 64.8 82.0 72.5
              6 ACTIVATED (IRE) 6 3/1 Trailer 91 92 53.1 86.3 82.8
              3 RED DIAMOND 3 20/1 Trailer 87 79 50.2 80.0 68.5
              2 BIG CELEBRATION 2 12/1 Alternator/Trailer 84 81 51.6 79.9 65.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358248

                #8

                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                PURCHASE





                Santa Anita - Race #8 - Post: 3:36pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 95

                Rating:

                #11 PREEM (ML=8/1)
                #5 FOOTNOTE (ML=6/1)
                #2 KITTY MARREN (ML=9/2)


                PREEM - Have to give this beautiful animal a long look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figures on the turf at this distance. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp race in the last month is a contender in my opinion. This filly notched a good speed rating of 90 in her last event. That speed fig should be good enough to triumph in today's event. FOOTNOTE - This rider and conditioner's horses have been producing a favorable return on investment. This filly surprised everybody by running third Nov 30th. Quinonez adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for improvement. Ranked number one in (EPS) earnings per start. Another indicator that this horse is classy. KITTY MARREN - Went a route in a Maiden Special race at Del Mar last time out from an outside draw. Moving to the inside at a similar distance should benefit this filly. Hernandez rode this horse for the initial time last time out and comes right back in today's race. A strong handicapping angle is 1st time on Lasix. McCarthy gives it to this one for this affair.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #8 PURA VIDA PRINCESA (ML=2/1), #10 FIRENZE FLAVOR (ML=5/1), #4 CALMATE (ML=8/1),

                PURA VIDA PRINCESA - Notched a pedestrian speed figure in the last race in a Maiden Special race on November 16th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that fig. FIRENZE FLAVOR - Substandard speed fig in the last race at Del Mar at 1 mile. Don't feel this horse will improve too much in today's race. CALMATE - The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this animal as a vulnerable competitor.

                GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PREEM - The Lasix should help this fine animal. I'll play this sort most anytime.


                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #11 PREEM to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
                EXACTA WAGERS: 11 with [2,5]
                TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [2,5,11] Total Cost: $6
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,5,11] with [2,5,11] with [1,2,4,5,11] with [1,2,4,5,11] Total Cost: $36
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358248

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 6 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 90

                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 1 STRIKE APPEAL 8/5
                  # 7 EXALTED JOY 7/2
                  # 2 ICE BLAST 10/1
                  I have to support STRIKE APPEAL here. Could beat this group of horses given the 79 speed fig garnered in his last outing. The average class figure alone makes this one a solid choice. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong speed figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface recently. EXALTED JOY - He has been travelling admirably lately while recording solid speed figures. The tandem of Salazarbecerra/Vecchio has one of the top ROI percentages in this group. ICE BLAST - He has been travelling strongly recently while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures. Rivera has him trained admirably to break promptly out of the starting gate.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358248

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE





                    Parx Racing - Race #6 - Post: 1:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 58

                    Rating:

                    #2 VICKI VALE (ML=3/1)
                    #5 LOVEUMOM (ML=7/2)


                    VICKI VALE - This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's affair is a shorter trip and should aid her winning probability. She must like the track here. Shipped in to take the money on November 4th and she looks tough once again. Moore adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a chance at a big improvement. LOVEUMOM - This filly's last speed rating is strong enough to score here, I'll play her back again this time.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 POOTOOGOOK (ML=4/1), #6 MANDY'S MISS (ML=9/2), #3 LINO AND ME (ML=5/1),

                    POOTOOGOOK - Today's race is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance race in the last two months. Not the best of omens. Mediocre speed figure in the last race at Belterra Park at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't feel this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's event. MANDY'S MISS - 9/2 is just not enough of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back races around the track. LINO AND ME - Not likely that the rating she recorded on December 2nd will be good enough in this affair.
                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 VICKI VALE is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5]
                    TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358248

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 60

                      FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 4 COEUR ROUGE 15/1
                      # 9 GOLDEN BONITA 8/1
                      # 3 SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN 7/2
                      COEUR ROUGE looks to be a decent contender especially at a long price. GOLDEN BONITA - Could beat this group of horses in this race given the 64 speed figure garnered in her last outing. Will make a strong outing versus this bunch. SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN - I like the jockey on this filly - formidable chance to win the race. Has to be given a chance - I like the figures from the last contest.
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