If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
(515) DALLAS MAVERICKS AT (516) CHARLOTTE
HORNETS
Date/Time:
Jan 20 2025 12:10 PM EST
Line Provider: DraftKings
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-108
Play:
Dallas Mavericks -5.5 (-108)
3% Notre Dame (+8.5) vs. Ohio State Mercedes Bentz Stadium Atlanta, GA 7:30 PM ET
Ohio State looks to “complete their mission” following their season-ending debacle vs. Michigan when HC Day fell into the trap of playing smash mouth with the Wolverines. He has since learned his lesson and soundly thrashed Texas, Oregon and Tennessee to reach this Title Game. It’s those outstanding MOVs which has boosted this line beyond a TD. By comparison, the Irish have smaller margins and more workmanlike wins against Penn State, Georgia and Indiana. Statistically, Ohio State has a +1.0 Net YPPL margin advantage and +70 YPG edge. Those are a further reason for the posted spread. On the field, it will be the defensively stout Buckeyes run defense (92/2.7) against the Irish run game of (211/5.9). When the Buckeyes have the ball, their superior passing game (265/9.2) will be up against a top-rated Irish secondary allowing just (167/5.9). Two key factors lead me to a rating favoring Notre Dame. The first is my preference, in postseason play, to back the team with the longer winning streak (Irish haven’t lost since Week 2), especially if they are underdog. Perhaps the most important statistic of all is the fact that Notre Dame has a +17 Net TO margin while OSU is only +4. And you again saw how important that was in this week’s NFL Playoffs.
Comment