Wednesday 1/22/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mahoning Valley - Race #4

#1 Mima Princess	She has had some chances already and doesn't bring anything flashy with her here from Mountaineer, but there are very few of them in here who can get past horses, and she might be able to run on late for some of this at a price.
#3 Josie's Girl	She can be tough while bringing that Turfway and Horseshoe Indianapolis form with her into this one, but I worry just a bit about her having to hustle for position at this sharper trip with three starts on her page that have not shown a whole lot of late grit.
#6 Solo Surprise	She draws outside of some of the other forward players, giving her a chance to press or spy the whole way, but she was no serious threat in the debut against just four others. Upside needed.
Race Summary	Mima Princess might be too light for these, but she has at least been able to pass horses in some of her races, and that may be enough to give her a chance based on race flow today.

Mahoning Valley - Race #8

#9 The Miracle Kiut	Tons of respect for the filly drawn just one stall inside, but I'm hoping this one will be able to sit just outside and keep tabs on that talent throughout. Mild upset chance?
#8 Silent Rule	Nothing wrong through four starts, including that November stakes win here, and this open spot is mostly full of Ohio-breds anyway. The one to beat.
#2 Kant Elope	Not sure she's going to offer the 20/1 ML price today, but she has some speed from near the inside to stay in the picture throughout. Think the race shape is tough for her, though.
Race Summary	The Miracle Kiut and Silent Rule look like the right pair to me, but the former will be a much better price and might be quick enough to take advantage of the outside draw by keeping some pressure on the chalk.

Mahoning Valley - Race #9

#6 All My Life	Willing to take the debut run at face value and hope there is something more here in the second trip to post. Liked the way he tracked and punched past, and a similar trip could work in his favor today.
#3 Main Line Cipher	He's an obvious threat with this crew, but that was also the case at 7/5 when facing some of these last time around. Price probably won't be that appealing again.
#8 Call It A Night	He's a reliable enough finisher who would benefit if a few of the forward players flashed some pace, but I think he's most likely an underneath threat again today.
Race Summary	All My Life was well meant in the debut run when scoring easily from close range, and I'm hoping some reasonable upside today might be enough to keep him in the mix with 'Cipher.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1

#8 ROUGH AND ROWDY (6-1)	Solid return, solid workout since then, value remains on class rise.
#3 MAXIMATCH (3-1)	Exits allowance ranks, posted some big numbers in defeat.
#2 SWEN (15-1)	Awakened in well-bet second start, switches surfaces, switches barns.
Race Summary	ROUGH AND ROWDY followed the move of the 2-1 winner and ran second off a nine-month layoff. He steps up in class but gets ample pace flow to rally into for a possible upset. Bet to win and place and play a 2-3-6-8 exacta box.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #2

#6 MIA’S ANGEL (7-5)	Duplicate of latest should be enough to graduate in this field.
#3 UNIFIEDS PRINCESS (12-1)	Changes riders, stretches out, must stay in contact early.
#1 LADYS CHANT (2-1)	Piling up the checks but running out of chances to win in 15th start.
Race Summary	MIA’S ANGEL rallied for three seconds in her last four starts, the latest going a route of ground for the second time. She was out-kicked by the favorite but finished a clear second while racing 4- and 5-wide from the far turn to the finish. Bet to win and place and play a 6/1,3/ALL trifecta.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4

#5 CALENDULA (7-2)	Lightly-raced but productive 10yo cuts back to sprint, projects good trip.
#7 EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE (5-2)	Second in higher-tagged sprints on turf and synthetic during 0-9 year.
#4 WOODS HOLE (3-1)	Blew clear stretch leads in last two starts at 7F, has two wins at 6F.
Race Summary	CALENDULA begins her 10-year-old season with an 11-53 record and $125k in earnings, but she is 0-8 at today’s distance. She last won at Tampa nine months ago for these connections, ran well enough in an $8,000 sprint prior to her victory and could mount a winning rally. Bet to win and place.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race 8	Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta
Claiming $15,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 3:14P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 22 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED), OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * GROUP HUG: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layo ff. THIS RUN'S FOR YOU: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OLLIEMEISTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3	GROUP HUG	3/1	4/1
1	THIS RUN'S FOR YOU	5/2	6/1
5	OLLIEMEISTER	4/1	7/1
4	JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT	4	10/1	Stalker	88	86	46.8	66.2	55.7
1	THIS RUN'S FOR YOU	1	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	90	83	51.8	81.8	76.8
6	RABBIT	6	12/1	Trailer	82	71	38.2	71.0	61.5
3	GROUP HUG	3	3/1	Trailer	95	85	30.4	83.8	81.3
7	RUMAWAY	7	15/1	Trailer	79	66	5.8	63.6	49.6
5	OLLIEMEISTER	5	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	87	83	25.4	77.6	70.1
2	ENFORCER	2	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	92	79	61.6	77.0	70.0

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park
PURCHASE

Turfway Park - Race 1	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / 50 cent Pick 5 (1-2-3-4-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 4 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $17,500 • Post: 5:55P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SANTA CRUISER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest av erage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DRAGON DREW: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ONE FOR RICHIE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	SANTA CRUISER	2/1	3/1
8	DRAGON DREW	6/1	5/1
6	ONE FOR RICHIE	7/2	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	MCVICKER	2	12/1	Front-runner	87	79	93.4	66.2	55.7
8	DRAGON DREW	8	6/1	Front-runner	88	90	89.2	73.4	67.4
9	WOODY'S CHOICE	9	8/1	Front-runner	89	75	87.2	67.0	53.0
7	OTIS ON THE CAPE	7	12/1	Front-runner	82	78	79.8	60.6	48.1
10	PRINCE OF PENNIES	10	15/1	Front-runner	68	58	79.8	49.0	30.5
1	CONTACT TRACING	1	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	73	57.2	68.5	55.5
5	TAKAFUMI (BRZ)	5	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	73	49.2	72.2	58.7
3	SANTA CRUISER	3	2/1	Trailer	95	90	57.0	86.8	83.8
6	ONE FOR RICHIE	6	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	87	75	72.2	77.2	68.2
4	MARATHONER	4	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	87	38.0	55.3	46.8

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 4:36pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $44,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#6 PONANT (ML=9/2)
#5 MYTHIC PERFORMANCE (ML=4/1)
#4 SALTED CARMEL (ML=8/1)


PONANT - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. He finished runner up January 12th, but was well clear of the third horse. Last out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A pretty good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the end in today's contest. This colt's last speed rating is good enough to score here, I'll bet on him back again in today's event. MYTHIC PERFORMANCE - If you review the PP's for this thoroughbred, you'll see he has recorded the top speed rating at the distance and surface. A repeat performance right here and this horse has a superb chance to win. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is encountering an easier bunch than in the last race at Gulfstream Park. This horse earns a lot of cash per race around the track. Number one in this event. SALTED CARMEL - This horse has a lot of class. A good sign in a turf race like we have today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WHEELHOUSE (ML=5/1), #1 INDURINGHOPE (ML=6/1), #2 DEBT LIMIT (FR) (ML=8/1),

WHEELHOUSE - Not probable that this horse will finish better than he did last time out of the box when placing seventh. INDURINGHOPE - Last ran on February 10th at Fair Grounds, finishing fifth. Not likely to improve off of that outing in today's event. DEBT LIMIT (FR) - I'm foretelling a lackluster attempt out of him this time around.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #6 PONANT to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,5,6] with [4,5,6] with [3,4,5,6,9] with [3,4,5,6,9] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	[4,5,6] with [4,5,6] with [3,4,5,6] with [3,4,5,6,7,9] with [3,4,5,6,7,9] Total Cost: $72

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 67

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF 7/5
# 1 RAILEY JEAN 5/1
# 5 MIZ MASTERY 3/1

I've got to go with BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF. Boasts sound speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. With a competitive 93 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. Has a sharp shot in this contest if you like back class. RAILEY JEAN - Looks quite good against this group of horses and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. Posted a formidable Equibase Speed Fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. MIZ MASTERY - Recently Ramirez has provided bettors with a quite good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. With Delcid aboard her, this filly will probably be able to break out sharply for this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - SA - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 93

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2024 - 2025. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 SURPRISE FASHION 15/1
# 4 LAB RAT 12/1
# 5 FORT LANGLEY 6/1

SURPRISE FASHION looks very good to best this group and is a strong value bet given the line at 15/1. Shows formidable Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. Going in a dirt route race gives this gelding a very good shot. In fine fettle, and coming back in next to no time again this time out. LAB RAT - Has been running quite well lately and ought to be on or close to the lead early on. The speed rating of 85 from his latest contest looks decent in here. FORT LANGLEY - Should compete solidly in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group of animals. Is a strong contender based on numbers earned lately under today's conditions.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE





Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 1:39pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,300 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#6 SOLO SURPRISE (ML=7/2)


SOLO SURPRISE - Rode this racer on December 5th and Barbaran is right back in the irons this time. This filly surprised everybody by running third December 5th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JOSIE'S GIRL (ML=6/5), #7 LOVEBUG (ML=5/2), #1 MIMA PRINCESS (ML=8/1),

JOSIE'S GIRL - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint events lately. Not likely to see her doing it this time either. Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any sort of closing response on December 18th. LOVEBUG - Doubtful that the speed rating she notched on Dec 5th will hold up in this race. MIMA PRINCESS - A strong mount that's been running well, but she's been off the track in the mornings of late. I'm always uncertain about any horse that earns her biggest speed fig on an 'off' track.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SOLO SURPRISE - Gorham is giving Lasix to this one. A solid chance of improvement should be expected.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #6 SOLO SURPRISE on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None