Thursday 1/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:35 AM

Scott Shapiro: Pegasus World Cup Day Late Pick 4/Pick 5 Analysis

January 23, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

1/ST BET and Xpressbet had exciting promotions to kick off the year, but they paled in comparison to the wonderful options put together by the marketing team in preparation for Saturday’s Pegasus World Cup. In addition to $10 Money Back specials on all three of the Pegasus races if your win bet finishes second or third, there are a trio of Hit & Split opportunities worth 5 million 1/ST Rewards Points over the outstanding 13-race card. I will discuss the early Pick 5 in a blog out on Friday, but let’s dive into the late sequences first since there are 4M points up for grabs with these!

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

STARTS LATE PICK 5

Race 9: William L. McKnight (G3)
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 10 Utah Beach; 11 Bold Act
Backups: 3 Cathkin Peak

Forecast: The late Pick 5 kicks off with this 10-furlong affair over the lawn where #11 Bold Act is the clear one to beat. The Godolphin homebred comes in fresh for trainer Charles Appleby after a nose defeat to close out his 4YO season in the Sycamore (G3) at Keeneland. He is by far the likeliest to hit the board, but perhaps is getting a little bit hard to trust. He has been defeated in four consecutive starts at 3-1 or less with two of the losses coming at odds-on. That said, he is the clear class of the field and very tough to toss to get things started.

#10 Utah Beach is my top choice since he is going to be a lot bigger price. The English Channel gelding has been defeated handily by Bold Act in both of their encounters, but has run some of his best races over this course. He also has shown an affinity for the 1 1/2-mile distance. #3 Cathkin Peak also makes his first start since the Sycamore. He went way too fast that afternoon in Kentucky, but could steal this thing if jockey Jose Ortiz is able to relax the 7YO off the break.

STARTS LATE PICK 4

Race 10: Pegasus World Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G2)
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 1 Raqiya
Backups: 6 Dona Clota

Forecast: #1 Raqiya has only raced once in the States, but it was an impressive win last November at Del Mar on the Breeders’ Cup under card. In that one-mile run, the Shadwell Stable filly broke sharp and took control right away under Frankie Dettori and had plenty left late to seal the deal in her first start going two-turns. The Blue Point filly has won 5 of 8 overall and draws favorably to the inside. I like her chances to kick off her North American career a perfect 2 for 2

If you are looking for a long shot, perhaps #6 Dona Clota makes some sense. Trainer Nacho Correas IV has been great over the years bringing South American imports into the US and having success on some of the biggest stages. The daughter of Irish-bred Ivan Denisovich probably wants more ground than she gets this afternoon, but I will include as a backup and in my late Pick 4 at her 15-1-morning line price.

Race 11: Inside Information (G2)
Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 9 Emery
Backups: None

Forecast #7 Mystic Lake was made the 2-1-morning line favorite by oddsmaker Brian Nadeau in this 7-furlong dash over the main track, but I prefer #9 Emery. The Stonestreet Stables filly has done very little wrong through her first seven races. She is 5 for 7 with her two defeats coming over the slop in the Frizette (G1) in her second career start and over the mud to the impressive Ways and Means in the Test (G1). Brad Cox has had her down in Florida for some time and she should get a perfect stalking trip off the bench under regular rider Tyler Gaffalione. A single for me in both sequences.

Race 12: Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 2 Formidable Man; 6 Major Dude
Backups: 7 Nations Pride; 3 Mi Hermano Ramon

Forecast: #7 Nations Pride is the second Godolphin/Appleby morning line favorite within the late Pick 5. However, unlike his stablemate Bold Act, he has not lacked a will to win of late. The 6YO has won 10 of 19 overall, including an easy victory in the Arlington Million (G1) when he last competed in the States. He is the deserving favorite, but there are a few others I give close to an equal shot making them far better wagering options given their likely off odds and value within both sequences.

#2 Formidable Man needs to run a career best to have a chance, but he is capable. The Michael McCarthy trainee won three consecutive stakes at Del Mar against 3YOs to end 2024 and could have a pace advantage in a race that lacks serious early speed types. Hopefully, Umberto Rispoli is aggressive right out of the gate. #6 Major Dude will probably be sitting in a perfect spot just off the early lead under Irad Ortiz Jr. He has two wins and a second over this course and is an obvious contender. #3 Mi Hermano Ramon is a horse on the come. He was caught wide on the backstretch, yet ran a strong second to Johannes in the San Gabriel (G2). If he handles the cross-country ship, he is extremely dangerous.

Race 13: Pegasus World Cup (G1)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 6 Stronghold; 11 Locked
Backups: 4 White Abarrio; 2 Saudi Crown

Forecast: The biggest race of the year in Florida closes both sequences and it drew a solid field of 12 led by morning line favorite #11 Locked. The Gun Runner colt went off the post-time favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Firecneness back in 2023 when he finished third to stablemate Fierceness, but unfortunately did not race again until almost a year later. Since his return, the upside and talent have been on display during his two dominant wins going one-turn in New York, but he has to prove he can handle the added ground and probably more importantly avoid a wide trip from his unfavorable draw. He is still the one to beat.

From a wagering perspective though, I prefer #6 Stronghold. The son of Ghostzapper has really never run a bad race. His only off the board finish came when he was much more of a factor in the Kentucky Derby (G1) than his seventh-place finish suggests. He comes in off a career-best effort going just 7 furlongs in the Malibu, has proven he can run over multiple different racetracks already, and should love getting back to two-turns.

#2 Saudi Crown and #4 White Abarrio are the other two runners I consider win contenders. Saudi Crown put it altogether last out in the Tenacious in New Orleans. If he finds himself loose on the lead, he might be good enough. White Abarrio is obvious. He has been fantastic at Gulfstream Park over the years and brings the best resume in. I am just not sure he is the same race horse at the age of 6.

Best of luck on Pegasus Day!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:36 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 1-23-25

January 23, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Santa Anita Park

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 5-Orange Thunder; 4-Lady Mendelssohn
Backups: 2-Sasafran.

Forecast: Orange Thunder stretches out again and based on the company she’s been chasing appears to have found a much easier spot, one that should allow her to earn her diploma. Her numbers are considerably lower than par for the level but so is everybody else’s. The daughter of Clubhouse Ride projects to settle in the second flight and then have her chance to produce a winning kick from the quarter pole to the wire. Lady Mendelssohn was well backed in her sprint debut before subsequent stakes winner Take Another Card and there is nothing even remotely that good in here. Though a non-threatening seventh in that race, the C. Gaines-trained filly ran a bit better than the line will show and shows the blinkers off, Lasix-on angles that often produces a significant forward move. She may have upside that most of the others don’t.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3-Rosie Tinkerbell; 7-Autism Inspiration; 6-Care for Autism.
Backups: none.

Forecast: This abbreviated dash for $12,500 Northern California-based sophomore fillies has three recent maiden claiming winners in it and seems fairly competitive for the level. Rosie Tinkerbell improved her Beyer speed figure by 15 points when crushing soft rivals by five lengths in early November and returns in what essentially is a nw-2 affair (though not written as such) that could allow her to once again could inherit the roll as the controlling speed. Give that type of trip, there should be no reason she can’t come right back and win again. Two nice recent workouts up north in the interim should have her on edge. Autism Inspiration is drawn nicely outside and fits on numbers, though we’d prefer her to display more gate speed than she’s been showing. With some help up front, the daughter of Dads Caps should be heard from late. Care for Autism has a number two runs back that puts her squarely in the hunt. She was pitched too high last time and faded after stalking the pace but against this group she’s likely to stick around a lot longer.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 1:31 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 2-Majestic Palisades; 5-Excel Calculator; 7-Malibu Rocks.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Majestic Palisades was 13 lengths clear of the rest when running a winning race at about this level at Los Alamitos in December in his first try around two turns. He’s strong in the speed figure department and a repeat of that trace, or even the two before that in maiden special weight state bred company, should be good enough against this bunch. Excel Calculator is a 13-race maiden and perhaps not one to trust, especially after finishing fourth of six as the 6/5 favorite last time out. He does have several back numbers that would handle this field easily but he’s also a one-paced grinder who tends to flatten out close home. One of these days he may find a field he can beat. Malibu Rocks shows up in a seller for the first time and removes blinkers, two of our favorite angles. He also returns to dirt, arguably is preferred surface, and recent sharp workouts indicate improvement is possible.

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Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: C
Main Ticket: 5-Run Baba Run; 2-Majestic Cotton.
Backups: 7-Candy’s Wildcat.

Forecast: Here’s a tough race for Northern California-based bottom rung ($5,000) restricted (nw-2) sellers. We’ll got three deep in our rolling exotics and hope that’s enough while otherwise passing the race. Run Baba Run takes a class drop and has produced a forward move on speed figures in each of his four career starts, so on paper looks pretty solid for a high percentage outfit. On the other hand, he lacks tactical speed, missed at 70 cents on the dollar in his last start without mishap, and will be ridden by his fifth different jockey in five starts. Majestic Cotton also has numbers that fit but is a one-paced grinder who needs to be in the fray from the start to have any kind of real chance. Against this group, he should be close enough early to be a factor throughout. Tread lightly here.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 2:33 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: Big Whoosh; Maria Tallchief; 7-Guiltyofhavingfun.
Backups: 5-How About Pavel.

Forecast: We’d prefer the two-sprints-and-a-stretch out angle rather than just one, but Big Whoosh is bred to run long (Mr. Big) and should step forward in just her second career start after a fairly promising debut effort going short in this state bred maiden sophomore fillies grass miler. She was allowed to settle to the top of the lane before taking hold and finishing with purpose to wind up fifth before galloping out in front in her debut last month and second timers from the L. Powell barn usually improve. Maria Tallchief is the likely choice and one to beat. With two tighteners under her belt and a significant forward move on speed figures between her first two race, the daughter of Om fits the bill and projects to folder over into an ideal stalking position with dead aim and every chance. The likely pacesetter – also going long after a pair of decent sprint outings – is Guiltyofhavingfun, who was more than four lengths clear of the rest when second at Del Mar with a speed figure that is tops in the field. On pure form, she’s as good as her two chief rivals and maybe even better.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:03 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: Spotted Haze
Backups: none.

Forecast: Spotted Haze, a useful sort of Calbred 3-year-old filly based on we’ve seen on video in her morning trials, could not have handpicked an easier spot in this maiden $50,000 sprint. Nothing in this race has shown any kind of winning ability so she’ll be a heavy favorite pretty much by default. Late last month she breezed from the gate in company with stablemate Shapoval, more than held her own, and then was flattered with that colt finished a promising third in his debut facing straight maiden company last week in a race he might have won with a better break. Drawn ideally outside, the daughter of Stanford can pop and go or stalk and pounce and then go on with it as a short price rolling exotic single for a barn that has superb recent stats with the first time starter angle.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 3:33 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-Queen Maxima; 5-Normandy Queen
Backups: 1-Shuangxi (Ire)

Forecast: Queen Maxima is a genuine, consistent, and improving filly moving up a notch on the class rung after three successive sharp turf sprints, most recently when rallying late in a solid win over the flat grass track late last month. She tries the Hill again today and arguably ran a career best race when second to high class Toupie in the Unzip Me Stakes over this course and distance during the fall meeting. She employs a second flight, stalking style and is therefore ideally suited for this slalom event. Chief rival Normandy Queen is unproven on grass and needs a significant amount of improvement in the speed figure department to worry our top pick. However, a bullet recent gate workout for her high percentage connections provides strong evidence that she’s headed in the right direction.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:03 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: Nene Diamond; 5-Big Pop
Backups: none.

Forecast: This main track first level allowance sprint for fillies and mares basically boils down to the two listed above and they’re hard to separate. Nene Diamond would appear to be the quicker of the two and most likely won’t have to deal with the same type of pace pressure that did her in when they met in an extended dash at this level last month. The daughter of Stanford paid the price late but should stick better at this shorter trip in a field of just five runners. A bullet four furlong breeze over the training track (:46.3h) since raced in another positive factor. Big Pop, third in that race while more than four clear of ‘Diamond, is drawn sweetly outside and seems certain to enjoy a pristine pace stalking trip. Also, this will be just her third career start, so there’s more room for improvement.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 4:33 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 5-Oscar Joy; 3-Handsome Ticket; 2-Schwarzmeir
Backups: 6-Bolt Supremacy.

Forecast: Oscar Joy drops into a starter allowance/$50,000 claimer for the first time and appears to have found his proper level based on speed figures. A prototype late running sprinter, he should receive the patient ride he needs with the switch to F. Alvarado, and in a race that appears to have sufficient early speed to compliment his style we’ll go with the P. Miller-trained gelding in what projects to be a cavalry charge. Handsome Ticket is a “must use” as well. A strong runner-up in his last two starts, both at this level last spring, he returns for the M. Glatt barn (smart stats with layoff runners), has trained like he’s fit and ready, and should appreciate this shorter trip. He’s likely to be on or near the lead throughout. Schwarzmeir has dirt numbers that fit, so if he can transfer his main track races to grass he’ll be right there.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:38 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fair Grounds - Race #7

#7 Me Promesa	He has some upside while getting back around one turn and dropping in class, and I think he might be able to get past a few horses late -- that could be enough in a race with some chasing players.
#2 Gold Thief	Tough call for me here -- his better stuff would probably make him tough while trying claimers for the first time, but there are a few other forward players lined up in here and I worry he'll get stuck chasing on the cutback. Could roll, but I'd probably want a better number than we're going to get.
#4 Final Half	He should be in a good spot off the turn today, but he has been a little one-paced late in his races so far and could be stuck settling underneath again.
Race Summary	Me Promesa cuts back in an easier spot today and might offer a touch of finishing punch in a race where the chasing and pressing types could settle some scores too early.

Fair Grounds - Race #8

#14 Lightline	Forecast looks promising enough for this to stay on the grass, but he's probably a handful in here if this comes over to the main. There are some quality names in his company lines, and he should has some versatility in running style that will give his rider some options if he goes.
#3 Towering Storm	Tactical speed has a couple sneaky good company lines in his short career, and he should be in line for a perfect first-jump trip with this bunch. Lots to like off the encouraging dirt try last out.
#1 American Hope	Like how he finished up to land that local debut last out, and he should be able to save ground from the rail draw while waiting for everything to unfold in front of him.
Race Summary	Lightline gets the edge if this goes on the main, and Towering Storm looks like a player on either footing.

Fair Grounds - Race #9

#1 Deal of Faith	He has had a couple chances with similar, but I don't see a ton of other serious early pace lined up today, and he might be able to see this one out if he can shake off the couple chasing threats into the turn. Strong lean.
#6 Bobby Two Shot's	His baseline effort probably makes him tough while getting in for a tag for the first time, but it's not a great set of signs for him to dropping into the basement today off the layoff after finishing up the track at 4/5 when last seen in April 2024. Could roll these, but you can have him.
#10 Mackay Boy	He's probably a little bit better on the turf than the main, but he hasn't been on the dirt in some time and might turn in something better than he showed at Evangeline last year at the start of his career. Consider, especially if the price drifts.
Race Summary	Deal of Faith can be a handful with some rail pace, and I'm not sure if anyone in here is quick enough to sustain a serious early challenge. Bobby Two Shot's is an obvious player in a bad race, but he's really just bringing a collection of really bad signs with him to this layoff run -- happy to let him beat me on principle.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:39 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#2 MATHURINE (5-2)	Solid return for new barn, projects similar trip, can upgrade if she changes leads.
#5 SAINT CHAPELLE (2-1)	Beat several of main contenders with third in-the-money finish in a row.
#9 FREE CHARGING (15-1)	Showed pulse in comeback sprint for new connections, price attached.
Race Summary	MATHURINE was in prime striking position in her first try at this distance, but she didn’t change leads in the stretch and was overtaken by the deep closers. She showed enough off a nine-month layoff to warrant a playback in the same spot today. Bet to win and place.

Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#7 ONE BITE (6-1)	Plays to a steady beat going long, tries to carry-over turf form to synthetic track.
#1 OCONEE LIFE (3-1)	Can make maximum use of his speed from the rail in repeat bid.
#3 SUNSHINE FROLIC (7-2)	Last won at GP in April, had trouble vs. Just A Photo (3-10, $105k) in prior start.
Race Summary	ONE BITE compiled an 8/2-1-2 record in turf route races in the last year, now tries the all-weather track for his new connections. He draws outside and could be slowed by the pace, but he runs for the cheapest price of his career at a decent price. Bet to win and place and play 7-1 and 7-3 exactas.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#6 ZEENA SWIFT (10-1)	Can stalk and pounce on cutback to 5-1/2F, worked in 1:01-2/5 to get ready.
#3 DENVER’S ALLEY (2-1)	Has speed, gets class relief, barn is on 6-for-21 run in claiming races.
#5 PRINCESS BLAKELY (5-1)	Hit board in 4 of last 7 sprints fell to 1-for-20 overall in the process.
Race Summary	ZEENA SWIFT runs well fresh, finished second in her lone 5-1/2F sprint despite not changing leads until late stretch and draws a favorable post. She re-acclimated herself locally with a pair of strong workouts. The price is right for a win and place bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:40 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds
PURCHASE

Fair Grounds - Race 2	$1 WPS / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-4) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-5)
Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 1:15P
FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * NUMERO SIETE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest aver age Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. PUCKSTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ROSENOW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ran ks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	NUMERO SIETE	4/5	3/1
4	PUCKSTER	3/1	6/1
6	ROSENOW	12/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	SHAKO	2	12/1	Front-runner	0	0	81.5	24.6	13.6
3	NUMERO SIETE	3	4/5	Front-runner	86	81	74.9	29.4	27.4
1	LA BOUCANE	1	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	60	59	75.8	35.1	25.6
4	PUCKSTER	4	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	65	46	75.0	50.5	46.0
6	ROSENOW	6	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	57.7	39.4	33.9
5	RAYFIELD	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	59.1	33.4	23.9
7	MUSIC MILL	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:40 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
PURCHASE

Delta Downs - Race 3	Exacta/Trifecta (.50 min.)/Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 3-4)($1 min.)/ Pick 3 (Races 3-5)
Maiden Special • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 60 • Purse: $43,000 • Post: 5:46P
(INCLUDES UP TO $1,400 LTBASBF) FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $20,000 IN THEIR LAST THREE STARTS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. REMEMBERIN RONALD is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DOUBLE CUTE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN: H orse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHOW RESPECT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. REMEMBERIN RONALD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
4	DOUBLE CUTE	5/1	4/1
5	LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN	3/1	5/1
1	SHOW RESPECT	4/1	7/1
3	REMEMBERIN RONALD	12/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	DOUBLE CUTE	4	5/1	Front-runner	64	57	49.7	49.0	45.0
2	E R'S MIREYA	2	10/1	Front-runner	46	41	44.6	38.0	26.0
1	SHOW RESPECT	1	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	68	57	30.3	35.6	29.6
7	LAINESONDUTY	7	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	57.8	37.9	29.4
5	LITTLEBITOFAQUEEN	5	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	62	56	34.6	50.2	46.2
3	REMEMBERIN RONALD	3	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	59	54	25.5	41.8	34.3
6	DAY STORM	6	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	44	40.9	29.2	15.2
8	EASTON'S MOON	8	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	9.5	30.3	18.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:40 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 9:49pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#7 RIVER MALBUMOONRVF (ML=3/1)
#3 MY BOY CLYDE (ML=7/2)

RIVER MALBUMOONRVF - A wise man taught me to play the lone speed horse. Take a look at this horse. This gelding should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle. MY BOY CLYDE - Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a sharp effort on Jan 2nd.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 GIACOMO CASANOVA (ML=5/2), #2 W V LAD (ML=7/2), #1 Y'ZIN UP (ML=8/1),

GIACOMO CASANOVA - In any contest of 7 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in short distance races of late. W V LAD - When examining today's class figure, he will have to record a much better speed rating than last out to compete in this dirt sprint. Y'ZIN UP - This horse didn't do much for me last time out finishing fifth. Don't expect improvement in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #7 RIVER MALBUMOONRVF on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:41 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 71

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,500. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 VINNIEBOB 4/1
# 2 RACER REX 2/1
# 8 TEMPTING PROSPECT 12/1

VINNIEBOB could be the bet in here. His 73 average has this gelding with among the most competitive Equibase Speed Figures in this contest. Jockey's recent ROI figures make this gelding a good wager. Could beat this group given the 65 speed figure posted in his last outing. RACER REX - Has to be given consideration based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last outing. TEMPTING PROSPECT - Could beat this group given the 52 speed figure garnered in his last outing. Is a solid contender based on numbers put up recently under today's conditions.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:41 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24300 Class Rating: 79

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 S).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 REINVESTEDINTEREST 8/5
# 3 GAPPER 8/1
# 6 EAGLE NEST 4/1

REINVESTEDINTEREST is my choice. Has performed soundly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 72 avg speed rating. Recent figures for the rider - 24 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field. Could beat this group given the 79 Equibase Speed Figure posted in his last outing. GAPPER - Must be considered based on the decent speed rating garnered in the last race. EAGLE NEST - Is a sharp contender based on figures garnered as of late under today's conditions. Very good selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-23-2025, 11:41 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Turfway Park - Race #1 - Post: 5:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,700 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#14 MISTER ROSSO (ML=6/1)
#13 MOR SUCCESS (ML=8/1)
#11 BLAZING GUNS (ML=6/1)

MISTER ROSSO - Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That's what we have here. MOR SUCCESS - On board this horse on December 27th and Delacruz is right back in the irons in this race. You'll be making money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jock/conditioner combination. Ran in the last race against a high class rated field at Turfway Park. The move down the ladder based on class should suit him well. Demeritte, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix right here. A positive sign. This colt is in superb form right now. Ran second last time around the track and comes back soon. BLAZING GUNS - Just missed hitting the board on Dec 19th at Turfway Park. With pretty good odds in this field, he has my interest. May have to bet on this horse in this race. He has been claimed in each of his last two starts. I always like to see a pony getting Lasix for the first time. Evans adds it on this one today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #12 PAKULA (ML=4/1), #2 WAR DEPT CALLING (ML=9/2), #10 BRAVE WORDS (ML=5/1),

PAKULA - This gelding hasn't had any recent good results in short distance contests. Tough to wager on him in this event. Substandard speed figure last race out at Churchill Downs at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's event. WAR DEPT CALLING - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint affairs. I find it hard to wager on him in this event. Really had to give me a whole lot more last out. Never made much of an impact. BRAVE WORDS - No picnic to bet on this horse this time out. Make him show you something in a short distance contest before you bet on him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. It looks like too much zip is entered in this affair. This front-runner will likely get cooked on the front end.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #14 MISTER ROSSO on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [11,13,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [11,13,14] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[11,13,14] with [11,13,14] with [3,8,11,13,14] with [3,8,11,13,14] Total Cost: $36

Thursday 1/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 1/23/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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