Friday 1/24/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:29 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 1/24/25

January 24, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Santa Anita Park

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Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 2-She’s Splendid; 5-Amelia Bleu; 3-God’s Favor.
Backups: none.

Forecast: The Friday program begins with a challenging $25,000 claiming turf miler for fillies and mares. There are at least three logical contenders, with She’s Splendid rating a very slight edge on top. When last seen at this level three runs back over the local course and distance, the daughter of Race Day missed by a diminishing head in a race that produced her career top number, so a repeat of that outing today should be good enough. She’ll likely settle in the second flight and then produce her best bid from the quarter pole home. Amelia Bleu is a strong fit on numbers and showed she could handle turf when a solid runner-up at this level at Del Mar two runs back. She employs a good stalking style and projects to enjoy an ideal trip. God’s Favor is a lightly raced mare with an improving pattern and is properly spotted in this restricted (nw-2) affair following a bottom rung maiden $20,00 win at Los Alamitos last month. She’ll need another forward move to win at this level but could have it in her.

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Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3-Atomic Drop; 1-Kingmeister.
Backups: 2-Impossible Task; 6-Zimba Warrior.

Forecast: Here’s another spread affair, this one for $10,000 claiming main track milers. Small ticket players may choose to use just the two listed on top line in rolling exotic play. Atomic Drop should fire a big shot over a track he’s won four races. Tough on the front end or from a pace pressing position, the veteran gelding is reunited with his preferred jockey (A. Espinoza) and projects to enjoy his kind of trip. Kingmeister is guaranteed a ground saving trip from the rail and is more than fast enough on numbers, but he has been away since April, so his current condition is unknown. The work tab at Pleasanton should have him fit enough and he hails from a capable outfit, so we’ll make him a “must use.”

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Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: X
Main Ticket: 1-Sophisticate
Backups: none.

Forecast: Sophisticate has little to beat in this maiden nine furlong turf affair for older fillies and mares and seems likely to verify her very short 3/5 morning line. In the frame in her last three, most recently when second facing similar in a grass miler, the daughter of Liam’s Map shouldn’t have an issue with today extra furlong and projects to settle in mid-pack and then accelerate when given her cue. Her numbers are steadily rising, the jock knows her well, and the rail post will ensure a ground-saving trip. It all adds up.

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Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 2-Cowboy Kisses; 7 Constant Conflict.
Backups: 4-Idiot’s Gold; 5-Blue Silver.

Forecast: This messy restricted (nw-3) $8,000 abbreviated sprint for older horses requires as much coverage as your budget allows. Cowboy Kisses may be as good as any. A beaten favorite up north when facing a slightly tougher field, the I. Tamayo-trained gelding had no visible excuse but still earned a career top number in a solid effort, one that if repeated on this circuit puts him in the thick of it. Probably most effective when able to establish the pace, he could get some pressure early on, but his best race is good enough, especially at this shortened trip. Constant Conflict takes a realistic class drop to his lowest level ever and should be capable of bouncing back against this group. It’s been awhile since he’s won a race but against this group he may get his confidence back. These two belong on our top line but we’ll have a couple of savers on the ticket for protection.

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Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 5-Antheomofthebrave; 7-Brazenly.
Backups: none.

Forecast: We’ll double this race in rolling exotic play and hope to survive and advance with one of the two main players. Andtheomofthebrave is a late developing 4-year-old with just three starts to date, and each outing was better than the previous. Most recently, the Calbred gelding missed by a head against similar company over a mile after making the running and then giving way close home in a better than par race for the level. He’s not a need the lead type but in a field without too much zip he could become the controlling speed or at worst draft into a favorable stalking spot. Brazenly, third in the same race our top pick exits, lacks a turn of foot but should improve at this nine furlong trip. The others in the race will have to step it up.

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Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: C
Main Ticket: Fly a Fantasy; 2-Shop Till You Drop; 4-Misty Muppet.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Fly a Fantasy earned a career top speed figure in a strong runner-up effort at 13-1 at this same $16,000 non-winners of two level last month and a similar try today should be good enough in this six furlong main track sprint. She’s not a particular quick type but if she can settle in the second flight to the head of the lane, she’ll have her chance. Shop Till You Drop has a second place effort two runs back that charts well in this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claimer and projects to be a pace presser, while Misty Muppet was a sharp second in her only prior outing over the local main track, finished a respectable third in an open $16,000 seller at Los Alamitos last month, and is facing a tad easier company today. These are the three we’ll include in our rolling exotics but without any real conviction.

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Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4-Supa Speed ; 5-Schilflied; 2-Shining River.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Supa Speed had massive trouble when unplaced two races back in the Thoroughbred Aftercare S. at Del Mar on the Breeders’ Cup undercard and then was predictably over bet (6/5) in the subsequent Bue Norther Stakes in which she finished a decent third without mishap late last month. She removes blinkers and adds Lasix today, so we’re anticipating a significant forward move from the daughter of Justify. The filly who just finished ahead of her in that last race, Schilflied, is the one she’ll have to beat. The P. Gallagher-trained daughter of Mendelssohn stretches out again; she was well beaten at this distance in her debut last summer at Del Mar, but her sprint form suggests she could easily be a better type now. Shining River was a stylish all-weather winner in England last fall and should fit on this circuit at this level. You have to toss her in somewhere.

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Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-Brilliantly
Backups: 1-Maysam.

Forecast Here’s a loaded maiden filly sprint with several bright prospects, and it should take a very good filly to win it. The first timer Brilliantly may be just that. The daughter of Uncle Mo has breezed in the morning like a future stakes performer, and based on looks, pedigree, and sales price ($500,000) she will be hard to beat with a trouble-free journey. A lengthy, athletic filly with plenty of scope, she has outworked everything led up to her, and while she’s bred to run long the B. Baffert-trained sophomore apparently has more than her fair share of zip. At 7/5 on the morning line, she’s a logical rolling exotic single.

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Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 10-Blisterinthesun
Backups: 7-Irish Rose.

Forecast: We’ll take a stand and single Blisterinthesun in the nightcap, a maiden $40,000 turf sprint for older fillies and mares. Freshened since November, she exits a series of tougher straight maiden events and based on speed figures should greatly appreciate this much softer assignment. The P. D’Amato-trained daughter of Mitole is drawn on the far outside but should have early speed to cross over and establish a favorable pace setting/forcing position and then stick out it out through the lane.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:30 AM

Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Late Pick 4 Analysis

January 24, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

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Cal Expo has a 9-race card with the 0.20 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (8:25 PM PST)

4-Ponda Hawk (12-1)-Broke after being used off the gate to land in the pocket but lost all chance late in the mile. Will look for a cozier trip here. The 0-18 record dating back to last year could end with a smooth journey.
5-AK UP N Attem (6-1)-Won on the engine and then didn't connect in a race with a slow first half. Should get off the gate in a more aggressive fashion and could be a sharp steer away from a picture
7-Frewil Dakota Sven (9/2)-Wins about as often the seasons change but has passed horses down the lane in the last 2 starts. Needs to get the right trip, and could reward backers at a solid price if that happens.

Race 7 (8:45 PM PST)

1-Alien Art Form (7/2)-The 4-year-old can pass foes down the lane and if in striking range at the top the of stretch good things could happen. Should get an efficient trip and has hit the board in 4 of 6 at CalX with two pictures.
2-Love To Flirt (10-1)-Camera shy 5-year-old does his best work at CalX. Has been in good form since shipping in from Aces. Has faced some well-meant winners and is worth a swing at the morning line price.
3-Semicolon (3-1)-Comes off an even effort, James Kennedy sticks and should enjoy the company. Using and will fade the program chalk, #6 Gandalf who has won 2 straight. Looking for an aggressive steer and the short field shouldn't hurt chances.

Race 8 (9:05 PM PST)

1-Always A Warrior (9/5)-Doesn't like to win but unless the trip is brutal or the pilot isn't sharp, the 6-year-old may have little choice but to beat this bunch. Got a cozy trip staying inside last week and rallied to lose by a neck. Should be able to have his way with this group at a small price and hopefully won't be over driven.

Race 9 (9:25 PM PST)

2-Apple Juice (5/2)-Has broken stride in 2 of the last 3, and in the race between was launched off the gate and had little left down the lane. Should improve with a ++ driver change to James Kennedy and can get a much smoother trip tonight.
5-Southwind Molly (9/2)-Drops and lands in a comfortable spot. Jame Lackey should work a smooth trip and be in striking range at the top of the lane. Worthy of a play, could offer value and has taken 3 pictures in 10 starts at CalX.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

4,5,7/1,2,3/1/2,5
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:30 AM

Gulfstream Park Pick 4 for Friday, Jan. 24

January 24, 2025 | By Frank Carulli

GULFSTREAM PARK LATE PICK 4
Friday, January 24, 2025

All eyes will be on Saturday’s $3 million Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park, but don’t lose sight of the lucrative card Friday, Jan. 24. In particular, consider playing the 50-cent Late Pick 4 that features three double-digit sized fields and offers $282,000 in purses without a stakes race in the sequence.

GP 7th race (3:42 p.m. EST) -- IT’S BOURBON THIRTY finished between three next-out winners in a grass route that produced a 10-cent superfecta payout of more than $25,000 when last seen eight months ago. He returns as a gelding, will be overlooked in the wagering from a low-profile barn and is a viable longshot option. CIAO CHUCK owns the top two turf speed figures in the field but he was ‘one-paced’ through the stretch off a decent 4-wide stalking trip last out. COGNOSCENTI followed the move of a next-out repeat winner and just missed with a rail burst at 34-1 in his debut. He worked in :47-2/5 since and takes a confident class hike. TUCSON is working up a storm since his first start for Pletcher, when he tracked the pace 5-wide and was floated wider in a race where outside was the place to be. SIR MAGESTRATE, whose dam was multiple stakes-placed on the lawn in France, hails from the high-percentage layoff barn of trainer Bill Mott and makes the ticket at a big price. MUSTA’ED worked a bullet on the turf but debuted on the synthetic track for a barn on a 21-for-92 run with second-time starters.

GP 8th race (4:12 p.m. EST) -- CAJUN’S CHOICE worked his way through traffic on the turn, angled 6-wide in the stretch and closed powerfully to just miss catching the winning favorite, who sat a good trip. He won’t be 40-1 today but he still adds value to the Pick 4 and can win with a duplicate effort. CHARGE OFF’S change of tactics backfired when he set a fast pace under pressure from the 2-1 winner and back-pedaled to last. He lacked stretch kick in the race prior, a productive all-weather track route race that produced 1-2-3 finishers and three 72-plus Beyer speed figures. He runs for the cheapest claiming tag of his career and lures Irad Ortiz Jr. to ride.

GP 9th race (4:42 p.m. EST) -- If today’s featured $97,000 allowance stays on the turf, RISK THRESHOLD, a runaway entry-level allowance winner in New York off similar rest and stakes-placed last out, will have to carry her speed beyond 6F for the second time in her career. But at 9-5 on the morning line with several speed types that could keep her honest, use a couple late runners on the ticket. BEDAZZLE EM is a must use off her winning rail rally at 6-1/2F on the Kentucky Downs turf two back. The 20-1 upset was validated when five of the rivals she beat came back to win, four with 80-plus speed figures. GLORIA’S PRINCESS, who showed some versatility with a middle move into contention at 1-1/16 miles, could be poised to strike in her second start off a nine-month layoff.

GP 10th race (5:12 p.m. EST) -- Going 4-deep in a wide-open finale at 1-1/8-miles. BE LIKE CLINT, first or second in 11 of 20 starts on synthetic tracks, was well-beaten last out but could be favored again to bounce back. FREEDOM ROAD’S six-race winning streak, spanning several tracks and distances, ended with a near miss at Churchill Downs. TIZ ROMANTIC upstaged several runner-up finishes with his first win in more than a year, catching morning-line favorite AMERICAN SPEED at the same distance. SPEEDY HANS is 31/6-6-6 on synthetic tracks and stretches out in distance off the re-claim.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
GP 7th Race: 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8
GP 8th Race: 4, 9
GP 9th Race: 3, 4, 8
GP 10th Race: 2, 3, 6, 8
Cost: $72

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:31 AM

Scott Shapiro: Pegasus World Cup Day Late Pick 4/Pick 5 Analysis

January 23, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

1/ST BET and Xpressbet had exciting promotions to kick off the year, but they paled in comparison to the wonderful options put together by the marketing team in preparation for Saturday’s Pegasus World Cup. In addition to $10 Money Back specials on all three of the Pegasus races if your win bet finishes second or third, there are a trio of Hit & Split opportunities worth 5 million 1/ST Rewards Points over the outstanding 13-race card. I will discuss the early Pick 5 in a blog out on Friday, but let’s dive into the late sequences first since there are 4M points up for grabs with these!

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

STARTS LATE PICK 5

Race 9: William L. McKnight (G3)
Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 10 Utah Beach; 11 Bold Act
Backups: 3 Cathkin Peak

Forecast: The late Pick 5 kicks off with this 10-furlong affair over the lawn where #11 Bold Act is the clear one to beat. The Godolphin homebred comes in fresh for trainer Charles Appleby after a nose defeat to close out his 4YO season in the Sycamore (G3) at Keeneland. He is by far the likeliest to hit the board, but perhaps is getting a little bit hard to trust. He has been defeated in four consecutive starts at 3-1 or less with two of the losses coming at odds-on. That said, he is the clear class of the field and very tough to toss to get things started.

#10 Utah Beach is my top choice since he is going to be a lot bigger price. The English Channel gelding has been defeated handily by Bold Act in both of their encounters, but has run some of his best races over this course. He also has shown an affinity for the 1 1/2-mile distance. #3 Cathkin Peak also makes his first start since the Sycamore. He went way too fast that afternoon in Kentucky, but could steal this thing if jockey Jose Ortiz is able to relax the 7YO off the break.

STARTS LATE PICK 4

Race 10: Pegasus World Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G2)
Grade: B
Main Ticket: 1 Raqiya
Backups: 6 Dona Clota

Forecast: #1 Raqiya has only raced once in the States, but it was an impressive win last November at Del Mar on the Breeders’ Cup under card. In that one-mile run, the Shadwell Stable filly broke sharp and took control right away under Frankie Dettori and had plenty left late to seal the deal in her first start going two-turns. The Blue Point filly has won 5 of 8 overall and draws favorably to the inside. I like her chances to kick off her North American career a perfect 2 for 2

If you are looking for a long shot, perhaps #6 Dona Clota makes some sense. Trainer Nacho Correas IV has been great over the years bringing South American imports into the US and having success on some of the biggest stages. The daughter of Irish-bred Ivan Denisovich probably wants more ground than she gets this afternoon, but I will include as a backup and in my late Pick 4 at her 15-1-morning line price.

Race 11: Inside Information (G2)
Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 9 Emery
Backups: None

Forecast #7 Mystic Lake was made the 2-1-morning line favorite by oddsmaker Brian Nadeau in this 7-furlong dash over the main track, but I prefer #9 Emery. The Stonestreet Stables filly has done very little wrong through her first seven races. She is 5 for 7 with her two defeats coming over the slop in the Frizette (G1) in her second career start and over the mud to the impressive Ways and Means in the Test (G1). Brad Cox has had her down in Florida for some time and she should get a perfect stalking trip off the bench under regular rider Tyler Gaffalione. A single for me in both sequences.

Race 12: Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 2 Formidable Man; 6 Major Dude
Backups: 7 Nations Pride; 3 Mi Hermano Ramon

Forecast: #7 Nations Pride is the second Godolphin/Appleby morning line favorite within the late Pick 5. However, unlike his stablemate Bold Act, he has not lacked a will to win of late. The 6YO has won 10 of 19 overall, including an easy victory in the Arlington Million (G1) when he last competed in the States. He is the deserving favorite, but there are a few others I give close to an equal shot making them far better wagering options given their likely off odds and value within both sequences.

#2 Formidable Man needs to run a career best to have a chance, but he is capable. The Michael McCarthy trainee won three consecutive stakes at Del Mar against 3YOs to end 2024 and could have a pace advantage in a race that lacks serious early speed types. Hopefully, Umberto Rispoli is aggressive right out of the gate. #6 Major Dude will probably be sitting in a perfect spot just off the early lead under Irad Ortiz Jr. He has two wins and a second over this course and is an obvious contender. #3 Mi Hermano Ramon is a horse on the come. He was caught wide on the backstretch, yet ran a strong second to Johannes in the San Gabriel (G2). If he handles the cross-country ship, he is extremely dangerous.

Race 13: Pegasus World Cup (G1)
Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 6 Stronghold; 11 Locked
Backups: 4 White Abarrio; 2 Saudi Crown

Forecast: The biggest race of the year in Florida closes both sequences and it drew a solid field of 12 led by morning line favorite #11 Locked. The Gun Runner colt went off the post-time favorite in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Firecneness back in 2023 when he finished third to stablemate Fierceness, but unfortunately did not race again until almost a year later. Since his return, the upside and talent have been on display during his two dominant wins going one-turn in New York, but he has to prove he can handle the added ground and probably more importantly avoid a wide trip from his unfavorable draw. He is still the one to beat.

From a wagering perspective though, I prefer #6 Stronghold. The son of Ghostzapper has really never run a bad race. His only off the board finish came when he was much more of a factor in the Kentucky Derby (G1) than his seventh-place finish suggests. He comes in off a career-best effort going just 7 furlongs in the Malibu, has proven he can run over multiple different racetracks already, and should love getting back to two-turns.

#2 Saudi Crown and #4 White Abarrio are the other two runners I consider win contenders. Saudi Crown put it altogether last out in the Tenacious in New Orleans. If he finds himself loose on the lead, he might be good enough. White Abarrio is obvious. He has been fantastic at Gulfstream Park over the years and brings the best resume in. I am just not sure he is the same race horse at the age of 6.

Best of luck on Pegasus Day!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:32 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #3

#3 Current Affair	Might get a playable enough price here with what should be the best of the pace while getting around two turns, and maybe a leisurely tempo at this longer trip will give her a chance to stick around better.
#1 Sophisticate	She's obviously one of the ones in this small group after a troubled run last out, but the price is likely to be short and the top choice will get a big jump on her.
#4 Justivar	She ran pretty well at 36/1 in the turf debut last out, and something similar would keep her in the frame with this compact group. Enough to like.
Race Summary	Current Affair has to carry her stretchout pace quite a bit beyond the five-furlong trip she exits, but she should have everything her own way up top at this longer two-turn distance.

Santa Anita - Race #8

#8 Delightful Laura	She's coming into this with what looks like a forward enough series of works, and she should offer a playable price in a race where the Baffert pair inside should command most of the action.
#2 Brilliantly	She gets the slight edge for me of the two Baffert firsters, and she avoids the fence which could lead to a trickier trip for that one. Take a look at them both on the tote and track.
#7 Surf Song	She stepped forward a bit in the second career start, and another move in the right direction might keep her in line for another share. Just think she's going to find one or two of these a bit too live.
Race Summary	Delightful Laura debuts with a good draw to watch everything unfold, and I'm guessing she'll offer a fair enough price on the board.

Santa Anita - Race #9

#6 Day Dawning	Bit worried that she'll be overbet with these, but there are a couple of decent sprint tries on her page from last year that offer some hope for a better outcome today while turning back off the late fade last out.
#8 Running Super	She showed a little pace going long in her only lifetime turf try, and she hinted at a little bit of life in that last one at Los Al. Hoping a bit of solid recent form will play well at a turf sprint. Appealing enough at a midrange price.
#3 Rich of Joy	Those last two have been decent enough, and she's maybe worth another look at this kind of turf trip while forgiving the run here in October.
Race Summary	Day Dawning can be tough in here while cutting back to her first turf sprint try with claimers, and I'll try to get the other listed pair in here into the frame at midrange prices, too.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:32 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#6 DIXIE ESCAPE (15-1)	Checks all of the ‘live longshot’ boxes, use on all tickets.
#9 MAXINE MAGIC (6-1)	Barn is 23-143 in maiden claimers in past year, all but four at single-digit odds.
#10 NOT ONE LESS (7-2)	Has route experience, made 4-wide stretch run at the winning fave last out.
Race Summary	DIXIE ESCAPE has the ingredients to pull off an upset. She class drops out of a ‘triple key’ race, gets Lasix for her third start, stretches out for a barn that won 7 of 23 on the sprint-to-route angle in the last year and her dam, Island Escape (25/4-5-6, $325k), was a proven long-distance runner, though mostly on turf. Bet to win and place and play a 6-9-10 exacta box.

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#5 MACA ABARRIO (10-1)	Cleared field into turn, came up short in debut stretch run, worth playback.
#1 WINK OF AN EYE (9-5)	Awakened on the stretch-out in distance and was ‘quickly gaining late.’
#4 SENORITA NOMAS (6-1)	Improving numbers, suitable distance, but was no match for ‘Wink.’
Race Summary	MACA ABARRIO raced 4-wide early but secured the lead role on the turn in her first start. She tired badly in the stretch, but she gets Lasix today and could stay on better. The price is right for a win and place bet. Also play a 1-4 exacta box.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#6 ROCKY SEAS (2-1)	Could be smooth sailing off last pair, long sprint should suit her well.
#7 SOME OF IT (9-2)	Won $25k route two back, barn is 3-13 the last two years with similar layoff types.
#4 FOR THE THRILL (7-2)	Took a loooong time to break maiden but did it in runaway fashion.
Race Summary	ROCKY SEAS, second in both tries at this level since arriving from Monmouth Park, could return a quick claim dividend today. She made a 4-wide run at a repeat winner two back, then hooked a well-meant winner who bounced back from a dull effort as an odds-on favorite in the race prior. Bet to win and place and play 6-4 and 6-7 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:33 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park
PURCHASE

Sunland Park - Race 2	2nd Half Early $1 Daily Double / .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) /$1 Exacta $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Optional Claiming $15,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $36,600 • Post: 12:51
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WARRIORS MARK is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WARRIORS MARK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within th e last 30 days. JET SET WARRIOR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. I'MAGAMBLER: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 5 0 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MCTHANKS: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3	WARRIORS MARK	2/1	4/1
2	JET SET WARRIOR	5/2	7/1
5	I'MAGAMBLER	7/2	7/1
4	MCTHANKS	6/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	WARRIORS MARK	3	2/1	Front-runner	92	87	54.0	84.4	79.9
5	I'MAGAMBLER	5	7/2	Stalker	93	83	78.6	80.6	76.1
2	JET SET WARRIOR	2	5/2	Stalker	94	87	70.4	85.2	77.7
4	MCTHANKS	4	6/1	Trailer	92	87	55.8	78.6	72.6
6	JEEPS STRIDE	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	80	73.0	63.9	52.9
1	SPINNING BLACK	1	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	93	86	65.4	70.8	63.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:33 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
PURCHASE

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 6	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Parlay (Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $8,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $17,600 • Post: 2:35P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * STRIKE APPEAL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ICE BLAST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EXALTED JOY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average E quibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	STRIKE APPEAL	8/5	9/2
2	ICE BLAST	10/1	5/1
7	EXALTED JOY	7/2	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	STRIKE APPEAL	1	8/5	Alternator/Stalker	97	85	83.2	77.4	73.9
2	ICE BLAST	2	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	91	90	79.4	80.8	76.8
5	T MONEY	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	83	69.8	77.4	68.4
7	EXALTED JOY	7	7/2	Trailer	92	88	53.8	82.4	77.4
4	NOBLE BEHAVIOR	4	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	66	76.2	53.2	39.2
3	WINNING DRIVE	3	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	81	77	59.5	76.3	65.8
6	STAR ENTERTAINER	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	89	77	54.6	67.6	58.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:33 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Sam Houston - Race #5 - Post: 8:30pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#7 BACLIFF (ML=5/1)

BACLIFF - This filly should find these state breds easier than what she faced in her last contest on Aug 24th. I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this filly's PPs. Almost always in the money. This horse is number one in earnings per race. She looks good in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MARIAH (ML=9/5), #5 LEXINGTON DIVA (ML=5/2), #3 BRAD'S SWEETHEART (ML=9/2),

MARIAH - Difficult to back any steed in a sprint event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last couple months. LEXINGTON DIVA - Hard to take this mount at the odds after the result (eighth) in the last race. A 'bounce' is likely to happen for this animal today. May rebound next time. BRAD'S SWEETHEART - The result of eleventh in the last race shows me that this horse may be going out of form. Should have at least hit the board in the last sixty days in a sprint event to be any kind of value at low odds in a sprint. Finished eleventh in her most recent performance with a mediocre speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this bunch. Hard to wager on a entrant that lays up for a long time then doesn't hit the board off the extended layoff.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 BACLIFF to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:34 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $32000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 LOOKING FOR GINNY 5/2
# 5 THAT'STHEFACTJACK 9/5
# 3 EXOTIC CAT 6/1

My selection for this race is LOOKING FOR GINNY. She has recorded solid numbers under today's conditions and should fare well against this field. I like the jockey on this filly - very good chance to win the race. Could best this group of animals based on the speed figure - 53 - of her last affair. THAT'STHEFACTJACK - Recent numbers for the jockey - 17 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group of animals. Will most likely come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved rapidly to the front end recently. EXOTIC CAT - Has quite good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. Recorded a solid Equibase speed fig last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:34 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Laurel - Race #5 - Post: 2:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#6 NOT SO HOLY (ML=5/2)
#8 JAY (ML=9/2)
#1 SUPER NEEDY (ML=12/1)

NOT SO HOLY - Based on this gelding's recent efforts, he should profit from this race's shorter trip. My cronies and I have made cash playing horses with this type of early speed. Follow my advice and do the same. The recent bullet 37.0 work should put this gelding on track for today's outing. JAY - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Surely on edge for a good one today. Taking a trip down in class ranks; has the ability to make his presence felt. SUPER NEEDY - Strong return on investment for this jockey and conditioner tandem.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 EL DIVINO NINO (ML=3/1), #9 MISCHIEF MOGUL (ML=6/1), #4 BERMUDA RUN (ML=8/1),

EL DIVINO NINO - I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the task finished now and then. MISCHIEF MOGUL - That was just not a very good exhibition in the last event. BERMUDA RUN - This gelding finished off the board on December 1st and wasn't even close in the last race either.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - JAY - Posting a better speed rating each of his last couple of events. This gelding is a prime candidate to win today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #6 NOT SO HOLY on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with [1,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-24-2025, 07:34 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $94000 Class Rating: 94

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MUSTA'ED 3/1
# 5 ITS BOURBON THIRTY 6/1
# 9 BEACH GOLD 5/1

MUSTA'ED looks to be a very strong contender. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. Very strong jock and conditioner combo winning 18 percent of their races working together. ITS BOURBON THIRTY - Might best this group here, showing very strong numbers of late. Is a definite contender - given the 90 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. BEACH GOLD - Has solid front speed and will almost certainly fare very well against this group of animals. Has run strongly when racing a turf route race.