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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20541

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs
    Tampa Bay Downs - Race 6 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-10) Super High 5
    Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up CR: 107 • Purse: $175,000 • Post: 2:51P
    ENDEAVOUR S. - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATIONS. $600 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $600 ADDITIONAL TO START WITH $175,000 GUARANTEED (WHICH INCLUDES $25,000 FTBOA STAKES FUNDS FOR REGISTERED FLORIDA BREDS, WHICH SHALL BE DISTRIBUTED 70% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND AND 10% TO THIRD.) FOR THOSE NOT ELIGIBLE FOR FLORIDA MONIES, 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH AND 2% TO SIXTH OF THE $150,000 GUARANTEED. WEIGHT 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADE I AT ONE MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2 LBS.; A GRADE I OR II AT ONE MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF IN 2024-25, 4 LBS; A GRADE III OR $60,000 AT ONE MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF IN 2024-25, 6 LBS. STARTERS AND RIDERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. CLOSED SATURDAY, JANUARY 18, 2025 WITH 28 NOMINATIONS.
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SEE YOU AROUND (IRE): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BREATH AWAY (GB): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. OCEAN CLUB: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VENENCIA (FR): Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. BE MY SUNSHINE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days.
    1 SEE YOU AROUND (IRE) 5/1 9/2
    5 BREATH AWAY (GB) 6/1 6/1
    9 OCEAN CLUB 7/2 8/1
    6 VENENCIA (FR) 9/2 9/1
    3 BE MY SUNSHINE 12/1 10/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    7 LIBBAN 7 8/1 Front-runner 99 102 93.5 100.6 87.6
    2 INFINITE DIAMOND 2 30/1 Front-runner 101 94 89.6 91.2 75.2
    10 DAMASO 10 30/1 Front-runner 98 97 85.4 93.8 76.3
    8 AUSTERE 8 15/1 Stalker 94 98 97.2 95.2 81.2
    1 SEE YOU AROUND (IRE) 1 5/1 Stalker 104 102 81.7 98.0 91.5
    3 BE MY SUNSHINE 3 12/1 Stalker 104 93 81.6 97.4 85.9
    9 OCEAN CLUB 9 7/2 Stalker 106 102 77.2 94.8 88.8
    5 BREATH AWAY (GB) 5 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 106 106 95.6 102.6 98.1
    4 SAFFRON MOON 4 5/2 Trailer 104 97 84.7 95.0 88.0
    6 VENENCIA (FR) 6 9/2 Trailer 101 103 73.3 97.1 88.1

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20541

      #17
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
      Camarero - Race 5 Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quiniela / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6
      Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 70 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:30P
      FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 1 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. 4# ADEBTS ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
      Contenders Race Analysis
      P# Horse Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds
      Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TOWN OF GUAYNABO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TOWN OF GUAYNABO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. JESS'S STRIDE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MR. EXTENSION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Hors e ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
      1 TOWN OF GUAYNABO 7/2 3/1
      2 JESS'S STRIDE 2/1 9/2
      4 MR. EXTENSION 4/1 7/1

      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
      Line
      Running Style Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
      Figure
      1 TOWN OF GUAYNABO 1 7/2 Front-runner 75 72 77.6 66.2 63.2
      4 MR. EXTENSION 4 4/1 Front-runner 77 66 73.4 39.2 34.7
      2 JESS'S STRIDE 2 2/1 Front-runner 69 58 71.2 62.2 56.7
      5 MAURICIO 5 3/1 Front-runner 62 52 53.2 44.8 33.8
      3 NICELY KLIMT 3 9/2 Stalker 69 65 64.2 50.6 43.6
      6 SLOW DECISION 6 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 68 58 55.6 44.6 34.1

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20541

        #18

        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Oaklawn Park
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.



        Race 1 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $45000 Class Rating: 97

        FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $20,000 OR LESS IN 2023 - 2024. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1, 2024 ALLOWED 4 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2024 ALLOWED 7 LBS.
        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 7 I'M WIDE AWAKE 12/1
        # 6 ETERNALLY GRATEFUL 5/2
        # 5 BRITERDAYZAHEAD 4/1
        I'M WIDE AWAKE looks to be a very good contender and could score at a price in here. He looks very strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. A solid 100 avg Equibase class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field. Looks very good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races as of late. ETERNALLY GRATEFUL - Ought to be carefully examined in this contest if only for the very good speed figure put up in the last contest. He has quite good class ratings, averaging 99, and has to be given a chance here. BRITERDAYZAHEAD - Win percentage one of the top in this group of horses. Looks decent against this group and will most likely be one of the early speedsters.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20541

          #19

          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


          Aqueduct - Race #3 - Post: 1:42pm - Stakes - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $125,000 Class Rating: 85 Ruthless S.

          Rating:

          #1 WIN N YOUR IN (ML=2/1)
          #5 HOLLYWOOD BEAUTY (ML=5/2)
          #4 MOONLIT DRIVE (ML=6/5)


          WIN N YOUR IN - Silvera should have her moving solid on the turn. A filly like this one, almost always in the top three, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. HOLLYWOOD BEAUTY - Rode this animal on December 30th and Sanchez is right back in the irons this time. This filly's last speed fig is lofty enough to score here, I'll wager on her back again in today's event. MOONLIT DRIVE - Franco is back for another race today after getting on board this horse for the 1st ride on January 10th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This filly surprised everybody by finishing first January 10th. When this jockey and trainer work together you have to take a look. Franco and Nevin have been fabulous together. This equine is number one in (EPS) earnings per start. She looks nice in today's affair. I really like that most recent contest on January 10th at Aqueduct where she ended up first.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #3 VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS (ML=8/1),

          VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS - Don't believe this runner will do much running in today's event. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class rating.

          GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - WIN N YOUR IN - The trainer is getting serious with this filly today. The 'shades' on for this event.


          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 WIN N YOUR IN to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds
          EXACTA WAGERS: 1 with [4,5]
          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [1,4,5] Total Cost: $6

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20541

            #20

            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


            Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 12:31pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 84

            Rating:

            #2 CARACAS (ML=9/2)


            CARACAS - Have to make this colt a contender; he comes off a solid effort on January 4th. I'll bet that this colt even surprised his connections when he made his debut on January 4th and finished third. Got an unlucky trip his first time out. Hitting the track today, should do better if he stays out of trouble.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #4 HE'S A BEAST (ML=7/5), #8 SORCERER'S SILVER (ML=5/2), #6 WEAREBACKYOUNGMAN (ML=8/1),

            HE'S A BEAST - Just don't believe he is offering enough value at the likely odds. SORCERER'S SILVER - I'm foretelling a less than stellar attempt out of him this time around. WEAREBACKYOUNGMAN - Don't believe this less than sharp equine is worth 8/1 in this event.
            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #2 CARACAS to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
            EXACTA WAGERS: 2 with [5,8]
            TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20541

              #21

              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.



              Race 6 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 74

              QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.
              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 1 RELENTLESS LOOKER Z 8/5
              # 2 DOCS BEST STYLE 5/2
              # 4 SUPER SIXXY 6/1
              RELENTLESS LOOKER Z is the best wager in this race. Expect this equine to be close at the finishing post versus these horses. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the most favorable class figures of this group of horses in this race. She has to be given a chance given the quite good speed figures. DOCS BEST STYLE - Bettors ought to note that this horse runs on Lasix today. Must be considered - I like the figures from the last race. SUPER SIXXY - With a reliable 51 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Lara should be able to get this filly to break out sharply in this race.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20541

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cal-Expo
                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 8
                5 5 KB MAC 6/5 Svendsen, Lemoyne - 14 534.77
                1 1 CUT A RUG 3/1 Lehman, Aaron - 23 491.34
                3 3 LORD WILLOUGHBY A 9/2 Asher-Stalbaum, Winter - 10 455.95
                4 4 CONTEMPORAY LEGEND 12/1 Erickson, Brett - 11 453.33
                2 2 OUTLAW BLUE BY YOU 12/1 Kennedy, James - 19 394.19

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20541

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.


                  Race 4 - Post: 7:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$10500 - TRACKMASTER RATING 80.5
                  CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                  # 3 ARDEN MESSI N 5/2
                  # 6 MINDTRIP 6/1
                  # 1 LYONS BENJAMIN 5/1
                  ARDEN MESSI N will have you running to the cashier's window in this race. May be the most respectable in the bunch here, showing very good figures of late. Average speed is a solid 89. The brain trust gives this standardbred a really strong chance to come home a winner, class figures are tops in the race. Had one of the most competitive TrackMaster speed figs of the group of horses in his last race. Must use in your plays. MINDTRIP - Looks like a strong contender in this field of horses and his positive winning percentage says he has the ability to score here. Could beat this field of horses, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 83 - from his most recent race. LYONS BENJAMIN - Have to make Miller the wager here if only for the last thirty days win percentage. Big probability for the top prize.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20541

                    #24
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park
                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 5
                    1 1 OSCEOLA HANOVER 3/2 Wrenn, Ronnie Jr - 27 490.51
                    2 2 LIVE AND LET DI 6/1 Angus, Tyler - 8 460.95
                    5 5 BAD TIGRESS 8/1 Ebersole, Luke - 9 458.23
                    7 7 HONEY BUZZ 8/1 Kash, Keith Jr - 7 445.76
                    6 6 TRE ROCK 12/1 Lems, Chris - 11 443.91
                    4 4 DELIGHT KATE 6/1 Sugg, Kurt - 12 442.71
                    9 9 BLACK TILLY 9/1 Konrad, Ed - 10 427.52
                    3 3 ROCKIN LEXI 25/1 Massey, Kody - 8 412.07
                    8 8 IS HE WATCHING 10/1 Merriman, Aaron - 25 382.06

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20541

                      #25
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century Mile

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.


                      Race 5 - Post: 7:51 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 66 - Purse:$8300 - HDCP NW 3 RACES OR 20,000 LIFETIME
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 5 HURRICANE J 6/5
                      # 3 OUTLAW GAME ON 2/1
                      # 4 THOUGHTS OF A FOOL 9/2
                      HURRICANE J has a nice shot to take this competition. He has been racing very well and the speed figures are among the strongest in the pack. Been squaring off with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 66). Earned a 66 TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out. A duplicate race here should get the score in here. OUTLAW GAME ON - The trainer/horse combination figures point out that this combo are solid in the money finishers when working with one another. Feel the need for speed, this entrant has been turning in some amazing speed ratings averaging around 67. THOUGHTS OF A FOOL - This fine animal has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 66 avg class statistic. Should play well this time. Competing sharply, achieved a clear-cut TrackMaster SR in his most recent gathering (62).

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #26
                        Free play from Mike Wynn
                        Free Pick: Cal Riverside -6.5 over Cal Poly

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #27
                          Free play from Totals4U


                          Early Saturday's Free Selection: Kansas State/Iowa State under 144 1/2

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #28
                            Free play from #1 Sports


                            Early Saturday's Free Play: Missouri Tigers + 6 1/2

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #29
                              Free play from Easy Money Sports


                              Free Early Saturday Basketball Selection From Lee
                              PITTSBURGH +2.5

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20541

                                #30
                                Free play from Hawkeye Sports


                                Early Saturday's Free Pick: Temple Owls - 2

                                Comment

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