Saturday 2/22/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359662

    Saturday 2/22/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #2
    Gulfstream Park Hotlist - February 22


    Feb. 20, 2025

    By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

    Hot List Key:

    A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
    *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
    *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
    * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

    2nd race – (8) Lady Cha Cha missed by a half-length but should get the nod here. (7) Tutta La Vita has a nice late kick and will be a force here. (4) Cat Eyes exits a nice win and bears watching. (5) Swoonatra has keen early speed and could hang around until the end. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-7-8.

    4th race – (3) Jam Session has been away since March but put in a fast work for his comeback race. (5) Jolly Boss should pose the biggest threat. (7) King Julien will be dangerous at this level. (9) La Belleza Negra fits in with this group. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-7-9.

    7th race – (7) Comedy Town (A) missed by a neck last time and can make amends here. (4) Nakatomi makes his first start since the Breeders’ Cup and is the one to fear. (6) Concrete Glory seeks a third straight win and cannot be ignored. (2) Gordian Knot is worth a look in his first start for Pletcher. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

    9th race – (3) Majorca missed by a neck in his first try around two turns and should get the job done here. (5) Doroteo was second and third in two starts and should be the main foe. (9) Love’m Or Liam belongs in the exotics. (2) Skate Away may appreciate the stretchout. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-5-9.

    11th race - (1) Tuscon won nicely in his Tapeta debut and can handle winners here. (8) Junction Road was victorious in his last try on Tapeta. (7) Frosted Over may improve in his debut for Drexler. (3) Dear Dad rarely turns in a bad effort and deserves respect. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-8.
    No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
    (7) Comedy Town A, 1/18 7 GP Just missed by a neck

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #3
      Aqueduct Hotlist - February 22


      Feb. 20, 2025

      By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

      Hot List Key:
      A:
      A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
      *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
      *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
      * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

      3rd race [Heavenly Prize, 1 mi] – (3) Weigh the Risks won her last two starts moving from a nine-length first-level allowance to the next allowance both since moving from turf to dirt. (4) Patricia Ann had the same kind of success while winning her two most recent races. (1) Kid’s Last Laugh was an allowance winner also and was then second behind Patricia Ann. (7) Aussie Girl was a stakes winner at the Curragh in Ireland and then was an allowance winner at Keeneland in October. She will make her first start on dirt.

      5th race [Clm 16000 N2L, 7F] – (1) Sondsliksomdiniddo was a maiden winner and was second at this claiming level in the spring and returns from a May layoff. (8) King of the Gods comes back after a year layoff following a maiden victory for a $25,000 tag. (6) Mr. Mendelssohn ran third twice and was second in his last three starts at the N2L condition. (7) Conniving ran one of his best races two weeks ago.

      6th race [Alw 50000s, 1 mi] – (4) Melt With You (B) had an awkward start when he stumbled at the start, rushed up on the outside, drifted out in the stretch, and finished third. He comes back now in three weeks. (5) Frizzante was either second or first in his last five races. In that series he was claimed twice and now runs for Linda Rice. He will cut back to the one-turn mile which suits him better. (2) Houlton was claimed from a $40,000 maiden victory ran second last month at this starts allowance level. (3) Traffic Monster has a pair of thirds for Jamie Ness including at Aqueduct in January.

      7th race [Clm 16000B, 6F] – (2) Gridlock was claimed in October at Keeneland by Linda Rice for $20,000 when she set the pace and missed by a neck. She returned in a January starter allowance that was too tough and drops into a winning spot. (9) Poseidon’s Mist was claimed from a second last time after setting the pace and comes back after three weeks. (5) Lika Rolling Stone rallied for a close second for a $25,000 tag. (1) My Royal Vow rallied for second at this level in January.

      Best bets: Weigh the Risks (3rd); Gridlock (7th). Best Value: Sondsliksomdiniddo (5th); Melt With You (6th).

      Saturday Pick 3 Special --
      Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 5-7 ? 1, 8 with 4, 5 with 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 9 = $24.
      No. Name Letter
      last race
      Today's Race Comments
      (4) Melt With You B on 2/2 6 He had an awkward start and finished third.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #4
        Keeneland Select Derby Prep - John Battaglia | February 22, 2025


        Feb. 20, 2025

        By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

        The $175,000 John Battaglia Memorial Stakes, Turfway Park

        Race 7

        (9) First Resort has not run since winning the Kentucky Jockey Club in late November. He’s untested on an all-weather surface, but ran well enough on turf to be the pick here. (7) Baby Max won the Leonatus Stakes here and shapes up as the main rival. (6) Banks flopped as the favorite in the Leonatus but deserves a second chance. (12) Maximum Promise could pose a big threat in this field. Betting strategy: 9 to win. Exacta and trifecta box: 6-7-9-12.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #5
          Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | February 22, 2025


          Feb. 20, 2025

          Race 7 at Turfway Park | Saturday, February 22 | Post Time 8:55 PM Eastern

          John Battaglia Stakes | Purse $175,000 | Three Year Olds | One Mile and One Sixteenth

          Analysis and top contenders:

          California Burrito (5) may be an odd name for a horse but nevertheless he gets top billing in this year’s John Battaglia Stakes by virtue of his very strong seven length win four weeks ago at a mile at Turfway Park. He had finished fourth four weeks prior to that but under RED HOT Irving Moncada, who rides back, the colt established the pace and came home strongly. Despite winning that race leading from start to finish, he doesn’t need the lead to win as he closed for his other win in September and for second against sinners at this distance in November. Moncada also rode Comin in Hot (10) in his most recent race, winning the Turfway Prevue Stakes, but has chosen California Burrito here and it could be a wise choice because the colt is related to two stakes winners on all-weather including Stanley House, who was competitive on the all-weather at Woodbine in the big three-year-old races two years ago. Trainer Drury, who has won one-third of his races (seven of 22) at the meeting and jockey Moncada have an exceptional record together, with 9 wins from 30 starts on seven different horses, and this horse should add to their record together.

          Baby Max (7) won the Leonatus Stakes over the track at a mile last month, his second win in three races around two turns, with the other start a near miss when a head back at the wire. Last year’s Leonatus Stakes winner was Epic ride, who lost in this race by inches, so Baby Max is a strong contender as well. He had made his local debut on December 6 and missed by a head then improve nicely second time at the meeting so should take another step forward and be a strong contender again.

          King of Ashes (8) ships up from Florida after winning on their similar all-weather track at this distance on January 18. Like Baby Max, King of Ashes narrowly lost in his all-weather debut prior to that and is on a pattern for nice improvement. Trainer Walsh has nearly as good a record at the meeting as Drury, six for 24, and this colt has a nice closing kick. The main reason he’s rated just slightly lower than the other two is that win came in a maiden race whereas the other two have both beaten winners in addition to breaking their maidens.

          Bets:

          Win Bets:

          California Burrito (5) at odds of 2 to 1 or more.

          Baby Max (7) at odds of 5 to 2 or more.

          King of Ashes (8) at odds of 7 to 2 or more.

          Exacta: Box California Burrito (5), Baby Max (7) and King of Ashes (8).

          Trifecta: California Burrito (5), Baby Max (7) and King of Ashes (8) over ALL over California Burrito (5), Baby Max (7) and King of Ashes (8).

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #6
            Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - February 22


            Feb. 21, 2025

            Race #1

            Dirt 1 Mile 40 Yards - Post Time: 12:28 PM ET

            Best Bet #3 SILVER STYLE $18,000.00

            Race 1 Claiming
            Win 5-2 3 Silver Style I O Rodriguez
            Place 6-1 2 Mr Titos M Allen
            Show 3-1 1 H C Holiday S Leon
            Wild card 9-2 4 Joes Had Enough J C Ferrer
            Alternate 1 6-1 8 Hes a Good Dancer G Maldonado
            Alternate 2 12-1 10 Great Faces R Mitchell
            Exacta 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
            Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

            Race #2

            Dirt 1 Mile 40 Yards - Post Time: 12:58 PM ET

            Best Bet #1 COTTAGE GARDEN $53,000.00

            Race 2 Maiden Special Weight
            Win 5-2 1 Cottage Garden J L Castanon
            Place 7-5 6 High Note S Camacho
            Show 9-2 4 Into Royalty D Centeno
            Wild card 4-1 3 Mischief in Motion A A Gallardo
            Alternate 1 15-1 2 Whirlawar S Hess
            Alternate 2 10-1 5 Authenticate Now J C Ferrer
            Exacta 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
            Trifecta 1/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

            Race #3

            Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:28 PM ET $20,000.00

            Race 3 Maiden Claiming
            Win 7-2 12 Emirates Honor S Camacho
            Place 6-1 3 Nervana A A Gallardo
            Show 4-1 9 Riding a Dream A Santos
            Wild card 8-1 5 My Pal Max J C Ferrer
            Alternate 1 12-1 1 Loyal Clement C Gil
            Alternate 2 12-1 2 Grey Shadow C G Dominguez
            Exacta 12-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
            Trifecta 3/9/12 BOX, 3/5/9 BOX

            Race #4

            Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 01:58 PM ET $26,000.00

            Race 4 Starter Handicap
            Win 3-1 8 Up Her Sleeve C Gil
            Place 12-1 9 Cleopatras Nile A A Gallardo
            Show 4-1 4 Mrs. Katz S Leon
            Wild card 7-2 1 Red Wind S Marin
            Alternate 1 6-1 5 Ariana Valentina M A Vasquez
            Alternate 2 5-2 7 Its Goodtobe Jose P Morales
            Exacta 8-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
            Trifecta 4/8/9 BOX, 1/4/9 BOX

            Race #5

            Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:28 PM ET $18,000.00

            Race 5 Claiming
            Win 8-1 2 Barbaresco Baby E Greenidge
            Place 3-1 3 Keep in Touch A A Gallardo
            Show 4-1 1 Macho Girl P A Luna Obregon
            Wild card 7-2 8 Fiveminutsofpasion C Oliveros
            Alternate 1 8-1 10 Scored A Santos
            Alternate 2 12-1 9 Pesadilla Chanel G Maldonado
            Exacta 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
            Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX

            Race #6

            Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 02:58 PM ET

            Best Bet #6 EJTIMAA $26,000.00

            Race 6 Starter Handicap
            Win 5-2 6 Ejtimaa J L Castanon
            Place 4-1 4 Royal Luck S Camacho
            Show 7-2 5 A Western Yarn D Centeno
            Wild card 20-1 2 Poker Joker P Morales
            Alternate 1 8-1 1 More Than Work S Leon
            Alternate 2 10-1 11 Why Not Me H R Diaz Jr.
            Exacta 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
            Trifecta 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

            Race #7

            Dirt 1 Mile 40 Yards - Post Time: 03:28 PM ET $53,000.00

            Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
            Win 3-1 9 Shivaree S Marin
            Place 7-2 7 Sir Saffer J C Ferrer
            Show 8-1 3 Mr Mac Quhae P Morales
            Wild card 12-1 4 Broadcaster R A Bracho
            Alternate 1 5-1 5 Sesame Seed Bagel S Camacho
            Alternate 2 15-1 6 Conspiracy Fact M A Vasquez
            Exacta 9-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
            Trifecta 3/7/9 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

            Race #8

            Turf 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:58 PM ET

            Best Commentary $125,000 LIGHTNING CITY STAKES $125,000.00

            Race 8 Stakes
            Win 2-1 11 Risk Threshold S Marin
            Place 3-1 2 Sol Hope I Ortiz Jr.
            Show 20-1 4 Musical Design M Meneses
            Wild card 15-1 8 Bahamian Moon S Hess
            Alternate 1 30-1 1 Mendys Honey J Rodriguez
            Alternate 2 5-1 9 Great Venezuela L Reyes
            Exacta 11-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
            Trifecta 2/4/11 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX

            COMMENTS: RISK THRESHOLD will try to dart to the front and stay there for trainer Chad Brown. SOL HOPE has a win and third with excuses in a pair on Tampa turf. MUSICAL DESIGN won her lone Tampa grass go last out and has a bunch of solid workouts since. BAHAMIAN MOON is just a little racing luck away from winning three in a row on Tampa turf.

            Race #9

            Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:28 PM ET $27,500.00

            Race 9 Claiming
            Win 7-2 9 Baltasar S Marin
            Place 4-1 4 Fluid Situation S Camacho
            Show 3-1 7 Capture the Time H R Diaz Jr.
            Wild card 10-1 1 Paynted Warrior R Feliciano
            Alternate 1 12-1 3 San Costantino P Morales
            Alternate 2 6-1 11 Timeless Bounty A Gonzalez
            Exacta 9-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
            Trifecta 4/7/9 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX

            Race #10

            Turf 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:58 PM ET

            Best Commentary $125,000 TURF DASH STAKES $125,000.00

            Race 10 Stakes
            Win 3-1 11 Isivunguvungu S Marin
            Place 8-5 8 Our Shot I Ortiz Jr.
            Show 30-1 10 Rouki S Camacho
            Wild card 30-1 12 Chess Master J L Castanon
            Alternate 1 4-1 2 Souper Quest A A Gallardo
            Alternate 2 30-1 13 Honeyquist J Rodriguez
            Exacta 11-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX
            Trifecta 8/10/11 BOX, 8/10/12 BOX

            COMMENTS: ISIVUNGUVUNGU has not had a clean trip in a pair since arriving from South Africa where he has Group 1 wins. OUR SHOT consistently runs high quality races and steps down in class. ROUKI could steal this if he gets the lead and can handle fast fractions. CHESS MASTER won six off 11 on Tampa turf and just nine of 39 on or at anywhere else.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #7
              Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - February 22


              Feb. 21, 2025

              Race #1

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:45 PM ET $18,000.00

              Race 1 Claiming
              Win 6-1 5 Sister Ella J L Ortiz
              Place 5-2 2 The Pretty Sister J Barbosa
              Show 3-1 3 Tap Galore C McMahon
              Wild card 6-1 4 Custom Punch B Curtis
              Alternate 1 4-1 6 Guitar Woman E Nieves
              Alternate 2 6-1 1 A Miss Deameanor J A Guerrero
              Exacta 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
              Trifecta 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

              Race #2

              Dirt 1 Mile 70 Yards - Post Time: 02:15 PM ET

              Best Bet #3 PASSION RULES $29,000.00

              Race 2 Starter Optional Claiming
              Win 8-5 3 Passion Rules M Pedroza Jr.
              Place 5-2 4 Porches F Geroux
              Show 6-1 5 Fully Volatile D Cohen
              Wild card 6-1 2 Love Pack J A Torres
              Alternate 1 4-1 6 Consecrated B J Hernandez Jr.
              Alternate 2 8-1 1 Golden Ice J Barbosa
              Exacta 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
              Trifecta 3/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

              Race #3

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:45 PM ET

              Best Bet #5 KAELYS SISTER $54,000.00

              Race 3 Allowance Optional Claiming
              Win 2-1 5 Kaelys Sister J Loveberry
              Place 3-1 1 Sweet Shild O Mine J L Ortiz
              Show 5-1 3 Easy Red B Curtis
              Wild card 5-2 6 Ervadean C J Hernandez
              Alternate 1 5-1 2 Harbor Springs B J Hernandez Jr.
              Alternate 2 12-1 4 Sallys Suprise M Murrill
              Exacta 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
              Trifecta 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

              Race #4

              Turf 7 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:15 PM ET $52,000.00

              Race 4 Maiden Special Weight
              Win 3-1 4 Mo Diva M Murrill
              Place 4-1 7 Awree M Pedroza Jr.
              Show 5-1 8 Jus Evelyn J A Torres
              Wild card 6-1 1 Spicy Mustard A Green
              Alternate 1 6-1 9 Jus Makes Cents M Rowland
              Alternate 2 6-1 2 Mallory Unbridled C J Hernandez
              Exacta 4-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
              Trifecta 4/7/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX

              Race #5

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:45 PM ET $54,000.00

              Race 5 Allowance Optional Claiming
              Win 3-5 6 Montalcino J L Ortiz
              Place 7-2 3 Legalize B J Hernandez Jr.
              Show 8-1 5 Vitement B Curtis
              Wild card 8-1 4 Ludwig A Concepcion
              Alternate 1 8-1 2 Scat Free C McMahon
              Alternate 2 20-1 1 Deer District C J Hernandez
              Exacta 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
              Trifecta 3/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

              Race #6

              Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:15 PM ET

              Best Bet #4 WHIMSICALLY $52,000.00

              Race 6 Maiden Special Weight
              Win 5-2 4 Whimsically J L Ortiz
              Place 9-2 1 Stellify F Geroux
              Show 9-2 5 Time Stone J Loveberry
              Wild card 6-1 8 Sophies Cruiser J Barbosa
              Alternate 1 5-1 6 Positive Carry E Nieves
              Alternate 2 15-1 2 Pioneer Mission B Curtis
              Exacta 4-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
              Trifecta 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

              Race #7

              Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:45 PM ET $55,000.00

              Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
              Win 3-1 6 F T W Slam M Pedroza Jr.
              Place 7-2 2 Stovall C J Hernandez
              Show 6-1 1 Scooteria J A Guerrero
              Wild card 4-1 4 Comanche Warrior J Loveberry
              Alternate 1 8-1 3 Craken Jax A Green
              Alternate 2 8-1 5 Ranch Badge J Graham
              Exacta 6-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
              Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

              Race #8

              Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:15 PM ET $53,000.00

              Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming
              Win 6-1 9 American Hope F Geroux
              Place 7-2 2 Tough Little Nut B J Hernandez Jr.
              Show 9-2 7 Steady On J L Ortiz
              Wild card 12-1 11 Camaro Z M Murrill
              Alternate 1 9-2 12 Smokey Mandate J Loveberry
              Alternate 2 6-1 6 Freedoms Way B Curtis
              Exacta 9-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX
              Trifecta 2/7/9 BOX, 2/7/11 BOX

              Race #9

              Dirt 1 Mile 70 Yards - Post Time: 05:45 PM ET $13,500.00

              Race 9 Claiming
              Win 3-1 3 Tiverton E Morales
              Place 5-2 1 Billys Got Issues B Curtis
              Show 7-2 8 Moonovermontgomery C McMahon
              Wild card 10-1 10 Starstudded Affair J A Guerrero
              Alternate 1 10-1 9 Bobby Merlot D H Magnon
              Alternate 2 20-1 2 Whole Lotta Lute C Perez
              Exacta 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX
              Trifecta 1/3/8 BOX, 1/8/10 BOX

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #8
                Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - February 22


                Feb. 21, 2025

                Race #1

                Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 03:30 PM ET $61,000.00

                Race 1 Allowance Optional Claiming
                Win 6-5 1 Americas Mark H I Berrios
                Place 4-1 7 Lady Mendelssohn J J Hernandez
                Show 9-2 2 Chilly Philly D A Herrera
                Wild card 8-1 3 Heras Hope A Espinoza
                Alternate 1 10-1 5 Press Your Luck K Frey
                Alternate 2 6-1 6 Sunset Grazen A Ayuso
                Exacta 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
                Trifecta 1/2/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX

                Race #2

                Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:00 PM ET $33,000.00

                Race 2 Maiden Claiming
                Win 2-1 8 Tapatia Leah E A Maldonado
                Place 9-2 5 Dixie Allure T J Pereira
                Show 7-2 6 Tropical Rain Day S Carmona
                Wild card 6-1 2 Buds N Suds T Baze
                Alternate 1 8-1 4 Free Nomination W Antongeorgi III
                Alternate 2 6-1 7 Lady of Sky S Barandela
                Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
                Trifecta 5/6/8 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX

                Race #3

                Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:30 PM ET

                Best Commentary $100,000 WISHING WELL STAKES $100,000.00

                Race 3 Stakes
                Win 3-5 1 Queen Maxima J J Hernandez
                Place 7-2 5 Stay and Scam L Dettori
                Show 6-1 2 Laulne F Prat
                Wild card 10-1 6 Miss Roberts H I Berrios
                Alternate 1 8-1 3 Arctic Breeze W Antongeorgi III
                Alternate 2 15-1 4 Ma Raes Girl E A Maldonado
                Exacta 1-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                Trifecta 1/2/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX

                COMMENTS: QUEEN MAXIMA ran the highest last race speed figure with fast fractions. STAY AND SCAM hit the board in 10 of 10 on Santa Anita turf. LAULNE has some of the best breeding for grass and will be rolling late. MISS ROBERTS is a longshot worth considering in the second start at SA and second up.

                Race #4

                Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:00 PM ET

                Best Bet #2 TAISHAN $17,000.00

                Race 4 Claiming
                Win 7-2 2 Taishan T J Pereira
                Place 3-1 3 Atomic Drop A Espinoza
                Show 4-1 4 Impossible Task E A Maldonado
                Wild card 9-2 6 Druidic W R Orantes
                Alternate 1 6-1 5 Kingmeister A Castellanos
                Alternate 2 5-1 1 Aurelian Man A Lezcano
                Exacta 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                Trifecta 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

                Race #5

                Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:30 PM ET $60,000.00

                Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                Win 8-5 2 King of Clubs F Prat
                Place 9-2 8 Miles Finch J J Hernandez
                Show 8-1 1 Speed of Elon L Dettori
                Wild card 15-1 7 Om Brew K J Desormeaux
                Alternate 1 6-1 9 Uncle Evco S Carmona
                Alternate 2 12-1 3 Annan G Franco
                Exacta 2-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
                Trifecta 1/2/8 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX

                Race #6

                Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:00 PM ET

                Best Bet #8 CROWN MAGIC $18,000.00

                Race 6 Starter Optional Claiming
                Win 4-1 8 Crown Magic F T Alvarado
                Place 8-1 4 Coolwind T J Pereira
                Show 7-2 10 Veritas Aequitas K Frey
                Wild card 9-2 6 J. B. Books G Franco
                Alternate 1 5-1 7 Upstart Yankee A Ayuso
                Alternate 2 10-1 3 Happy Does A Castellanos
                Exacta 8-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
                Trifecta 4/8/10 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX

                Race #7

                Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:32 PM ET

                Best Bet #8 ODIES MEMORY LANE $60,000.00

                Race 7 Maiden Special Weight
                Win 3-1 8 Odies Memory Lane E A Maldonado
                Place 5-1 9 Orange Thunder K Frey
                Show 5-2 1 Sasafran J J Hernandez
                Wild card 8-1 2 Guiltyofhavingfun L Dettori
                Alternate 1 10-1 12 Om N Joy T J Pereira
                Alternate 2 8-1 4 Hello Kid O Kid O G Franco
                Exacta 8-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                Trifecta 1/8/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX

                Race #8

                Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:02 PM ET $60,000.00

                Race 8 Maiden Special Weight
                Win 3-1 7 Voldemort F Prat
                Place 5-2 8 Tiz Secure J J Hernandez
                Show 10-1 6 Lead Pipe Joe E A Maldonado
                Wild card 8-1 3 Prayer H I Berrios
                Alternate 1 8-1 5 Charlie Foxtrot M E Smith
                Alternate 2 8-1 1 Kid Dynasty L Dettori
                Exacta 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                Trifecta 6/7/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

                Race #9

                Downhill turf 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:32 PM ET $61,000.00

                Race 9 Allowance Optional Claiming
                Win 6-1 4 Money Makes Money F Prat
                Place 7-2 13 Noble Reflection A Ayuso
                Show 7-2 5 Guy Named Joe J J Hernandez
                Wild card 8-1 12 Father Delay M E Smith
                Alternate 1 8-1 8 Irish Royalty D A Herrera
                Alternate 2 10-1 1 King Apollo K J Desormeaux
                Exacta 4-13 BOX, 13-5 BOX, 5-12 BOX
                Trifecta 4/5/13 BOX, 5/12/13 BOX

                Race #10

                Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:02 PM ET $61,000.00

                Race 10 Allowance Optional Claiming
                Win 4-1 2 Eternal Reign F Prat
                Place 5-1 6 Tirupati K Frey
                Show 10-1 1 Star of The Night K J Desormeaux
                Wild card 10-1 14 Shuangxi H I Berrios
                Alternate 1 7-2 4 Needlepoint L Dettori
                Alternate 2 15-1 10 Lady Monclaire D A Herrera
                Exacta 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-14 BOX
                Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 1/6/14 BOX

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #9
                  Turfway Park Tip Sheet - February 22


                  Feb. 21, 2025

                  Race #1

                  All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:55 PM ET $29,900.00

                  Race 1 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 4-1 3 Hiiaka E Morales
                  Place 9-2 7 Mo Attitude S Sanjur
                  Show 5-1 9 Runaway Kitten L Saez
                  Wild card 6-1 4 Fascinator A Jimenez
                  Alternate 1 7-2 10 Fifth of May R M Hernandez
                  Alternate 2 12-1 11 Innocent Nyght F De La Cruz
                  Exacta 3-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX
                  Trifecta 3/7/9 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX

                  Race #2

                  All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET $16,500.00

                  Race 2 Claiming
                  Win 15-1 9 Dr. Bella T Canuto
                  Place 5-2 3 Kings Legacy E Morales
                  Show 4-1 7 Addison L Machado
                  Wild card 3-1 5 Tall Girl Y L Correa
                  Alternate 1 8-1 2 Inner Harbor S E Bermudez
                  Alternate 2 15-1 8 I Likem F De La Cruz
                  Exacta 9-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
                  Trifecta 3/7/9 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

                  Race #3

                  All Weather Track 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:55 PM ET $34,000.00

                  Race 3 Claiming
                  Win 5-1 10 Just Like You L Saez
                  Place 7-2 3 Sunroof L Machado
                  Show 5-1 6 Crickenberger F De La Cruz
                  Wild card 4-1 4 Missy Bee J D Ramos
                  Alternate 1 8-1 5 Work to Live G Corrales
                  Alternate 2 10-1 7 Bijou Baby A Jimenez
                  Exacta 10-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                  Trifecta 3/6/10 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

                  Race #4

                  All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:25 PM ET

                  Best Bet #7 BEWARE OF PRIDE $15,400.00

                  Race 4 Claiming
                  Win 5-2 7 Beware of Pride A Jimenez
                  Place 4-1 12 Busk J D Ramos
                  Show 5-1 13 Lumiere Y L Correa
                  Wild card 3-1 1 Slink I Moncada
                  Alternate 1 10-1 4 Dream Traveler S Sanjur
                  Alternate 2 10-1 11 Lanehaya L Sosa
                  Exacta 7-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX, 13-1 BOX
                  Trifecta 7/12/13 BOX, 1/12/13 BOX

                  Race #5

                  All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:55 PM ET $80,000.00

                  Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 5-2 6 Discotheque I Moncada
                  Place 4-1 7 Jujubee G Corrales
                  Show 7-2 9 Megalodon R M Hernandez
                  Wild card 12-1 10 Ornato S Sanjur
                  Alternate 1 15-1 11 Mr. Chuck C J Lanerie
                  Alternate 2 10-1 8 Nantucket L Machado
                  Exacta 6-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
                  Trifecta 6/7/9 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX

                  Race #6

                  All Weather Track 1 1/4 Miles - Post Time: 08:25 PM ET $82,000.00

                  Race 6 Allowance Optional Claiming
                  Win 4-1 6 Passing Game C Roman
                  Place 3-1 1 Swiss Slang A Achard
                  Show 6-1 8 Welaka A Beschizza
                  Wild card 7-2 3 Mikealicious L Machado
                  Alternate 1 4-1 7 Really Good I Moncada
                  Alternate 2 15-1 9 Aleman P W Ouzts
                  Exacta 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/6/8 BOX, 1/3/8 BOX

                  Race #7

                  All Weather Track 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 08:55 PM ET

                  Best Commentary $175,000 JOHN BATTAGLIA MEMORIAL $175,000.00

                  Race 7 Stakes
                  Win 5-1 10 Coming in Hot E Morales
                  Place 2-1 9 First Resort L Saez
                  Show 8-1 5 California Burrito I Moncada
                  Wild card 6-1 7 Baby Max A Cedillo
                  Alternate 1 15-1 6 Banks A Beschizza
                  Alternate 2 8-1 3 Studlydoright X Perez
                  Exacta 10-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
                  Trifecta 5/9/10 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX

                  COMMENTS: COMING IN HOT won both of his races since switching to Turfway. FIRST RESORT drops in class but makes his first all weather surface run. CALIFORNIA BURRITO exploded late in his las with top tier late pace numbers. BABY MAX is a head away from winning two of two at Turfway

                  Race #8

                  All Weather Track 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 09:25 PM ET

                  Best Bet #7 IDIOSYNCRASIES $18,500.00

                  Race 8 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 5-2 7 Idiosyncrasies L Contreras
                  Place 3-1 13 Partyvicious G Corrales
                  Show 5-1 14 Canavero A Calleja
                  Wild card 8-1 6 Papa Alden C J Lanerie
                  Alternate 1 3-1 2 King of the Party A Cedillo
                  Alternate 2 15-1 4 Stormin Willie F De La Cruz
                  Exacta 7-13 BOX, 13-14 BOX, 14-6 BOX
                  Trifecta 7/13/14 BOX, 6/13/14 BOX

                  Race #9

                  All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 09:55 PM ET

                  Best Bet #11 HEART HEADED WOMAN $31,900.00

                  Race 9 Claiming
                  Win 7-2 11 Heart Headed Woman E Morales
                  Place 4-1 7 Animal Fries I Moncada
                  Show 6-1 4 Lils Coffee G Corrales
                  Wild card 12-1 12 Ask Amanda A Beschizza
                  Alternate 1 9-2 9 Mustang Lady F De La Cruz
                  Alternate 2 8-1 2 No Pardon A Achard
                  Exacta 11-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX
                  Trifecta 4/7/11 BOX, 4/7/12 BOX

                  Race #10

                  All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 10:25 PM ET $29,900.00

                  Race 10 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 7-2 8 What About Q I Moncada
                  Place 3-1 6 Ghosttapper L Machado
                  Show 7-2 14 Taqdeer S Sanjur
                  Wild card 15-1 2 Fawn Liebowitz J D Ramos
                  Alternate 1 5-1 9 Sweet Scorecard S Sanjur
                  Alternate 2 8-1 5 Classic Tiramisu A Beschizza
                  Exacta 8-6 BOX, 6-14 BOX, 14-2 BOX
                  Trifecta 6/8/14 BOX, 2/6/14 BOX

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct
                    Aqueduct - Race 9 Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 9 &10
                    Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 105 • Purse: $82,000 • Post: 4:47P
                    (UP TO $14,268 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE AUGUST 22, 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                    Contenders Race Analysis
                    P# Horse Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds
                    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BOURBON CHASE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. COLLOQUY: Horse has a Tra ckMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. EMIRATES ROAD: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SHADOW DRAGON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SMILE MON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                    10 BOURBON CHASE 6/1 5/1
                    2 COLLOQUY 8/1 5/1
                    3 EMIRATES ROAD 7/2 7/1
                    8 SHADOW DRAGON 10/1 9/1
                    5 SMILE MON 6/1 10/1

                    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                    Figure
                    5 SMILE MON 5 6/1 Front-runner 99 96 84.6 88.8 73.8
                    6 GOOD MONEY 6 5/1 Front-runner 93 84 53.8 62.0 46.0
                    1 LIBERTE DE BAYEUX 2 9/2 Stalker 95 101 93.7 90.3 75.8
                    10 BOURBON CHASE 11 6/1 Stalker 100 103 86.2 98.6 96.1
                    9 ARROW SPEED 10 30/1 Stalker 95 93 67.0 89.8 71.8
                    8 SHADOW DRAGON 8 10/1 Trailer 101 96 79.4 93.6 85.1
                    2 COLLOQUY 1 8/1 Trailer 101 105 76.2 96.6 92.1
                    1A STRONSINO 9 9/2 Trailer 91 96 71.6 89.6 79.1
                    3 EMIRATES ROAD 3 7/2 Trailer 102 104 68.8 96.0 89.5
                    7 WAITLIST 7 10/1 Trailer 94 94 64.4 88.8 72.3
                    4 IRIDESCENT 4 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 93 95 88.2 75.8 61.3


                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
                      Equibase Special - Race 1 Leg 1 of the Santa Anita All Turf Pick 3
                      Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 85 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 3:32P
                      SA - R7 - FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).
                      Contenders Race Analysis
                      P# Horse Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds
                      Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BIG WHOOSH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GUILTYOFHAVIN GFUN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. HELLO KID O KID O: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ODIES MEMORY LANE: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. SASAFRAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                      10 BIG WHOOSH 12/1 6/1
                      2 GUILTYOFHAVINGFUN 8/1 6/1
                      4 HELLO KID O KID O 8/1 7/1
                      8 ODIES MEMORY LANE 3/1 8/1
                      1 SASAFRAN 5/2 8/1

                      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                      Figure
                      2 GUILTYOFHAVINGFUN 2 8/1 Front-runner 84 81 93.9 74.9 69.4
                      1 SASAFRAN 1 5/2 Front-runner 79 80 92.9 75.8 65.8
                      8 ODIES MEMORY LANE 8 3/1 Front-runner 83 70 75.0 75.0 64.5
                      4 HELLO KID O KID O 4 8/1 Stalker 76 68 88.2 74.9 62.4
                      12 OM N JOY 11 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 82 78 63.5 59.7 48.7
                      10 BIG WHOOSH 10 12/1 Trailer 84 78 80.6 73.9 65.9
                      9 ORANGE THUNDER 9 5/1 Trailer 79 78 60.4 70.8 60.8
                      6 MAGA KAI 6 20/1 Alternator/Trailer 0 0 78.7 69.2 58.2
                      3 RENATUS 3 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 78 76 64.6 65.9 52.4
                      13 MRAZEK'S OLD DREAM 12 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 62.3 61.7 41.7
                      5 Z'S WARDROBE 5 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 43.6 62.6 47.6
                      Unknown Running Style: SUNTORY TIME (10/1) [Jockey: Smith Mike E - Trainer: Baltas Richard].

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


                        Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:28pm - Claiming - 8.2 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 85

                        Rating:

                        #2 MR TITO'S (ML=6/1)
                        #1 H C HOLIDAY (ML=3/1)


                        MR TITO'S - Look at this pattern of improvement. 70/72/83 are the last three speed ratings. H C HOLIDAY - Have to give this horse a fair chance. Ran a strong race last race out within the last 30 days. This mount picks up a lot of cash per start. I believe he will boost the lifetime bankroll in this race.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SILVER STYLE (ML=5/2), #4 JOE'S HAD ENOUGH (ML=9/2), #8 HE'S A GOOD DANCER (ML=6/1),

                        SILVER STYLE - This racer hasn't been close at the wire recently. This equine doesn't have a champion's attitude. Almost always finishes near the winner. JOE'S HAD ENOUGH - Difficult to invest in at 9/2 odds after the last two efforts. HE'S A GOOD DANCER - You believe this equine is going to be first just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish first often.

                        GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - MR TITO'S - Betting the animal with the best last race speed figure is a good angle. None higher than this gelding's last one.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #2 MR TITO'S on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                        SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS: None

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Coast To Coast

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.


                          Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $60000 Class Rating: 91

                          SA - R5 - RACE 5 FROM SANTA ANITA. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 2 KING OF CLUBS 8/5
                          # 8 MILES FINCH 9/2
                          # 10 FIGHT BACK 8/1
                          KING OF CLUBS looks competitive to best this field. Must be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Prat in the saddle. Prat has an excellent return on investment over the past 30 days (+5) which ought to help investors with this selection. MILES FINCH - Is worth careful consideration and may be a wager - strong Speed Figures (88 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Should wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. FIGHT BACK - He has recorded very strong figs under today's conditions and should fare well against this group.

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.


                            Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $60000 Class Rating: 92

                            FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 6 LEAD PIPE JOE 10/1
                            # 9 FIVE STAR LOVE 15/1
                            # 5 CHARLIE FOXTROT 8/1
                            I think LEAD PIPE JOE is a very strong pick and the potential return justifies the unsafe nature of the long odds. Boasts solid speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. This trainer has the best ROI in this group of horses with entries racing at this distance and surface. I like the jockey on this colt - very good chance to win the contest. FIVE STAR LOVE - Has to be given a chance given one of the most respectable sires around. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Dutrow have shown strong results lately. CHARLIE FOXTROT - Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of strong win percentage - 20 percent - at this distance & surface.

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


                              Fair Grounds - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $52,000 Class Rating: 91

                              Rating:

                              #3 HIGH SHOT (ML=6/1)


                              HIGH SHOT - I look for this pony to sit chilly and make a strong move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. If you review the PP's for this thoroughbred, you'll see she has recorded the top speed rating at the distance and surface. A repeat effort right here and this horse has a superb chance to win.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #4 WHIMSICALLY (ML=5/2), #1 STELLIFY (ML=9/2), #5 TIME STONE (ML=9/2),

                              WHIMSICALLY - This favorite probably needs at least one race to get back into shape. Skip her today. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will make a winning move in today's race. That last fig was substandard when compared with today's class figure. STELLIFY - Not a good enough price on this horse at the probable odds of 9/2. TIME STONE - This filly finished out of the money on September 15th and wasn't close in the last race either.
                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 HIGH SHOT on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
                              EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with [5,6]
                              TRIFECTA WAGERS: 3 with [5,6] with [1,5,6,8] Total Cost: $6
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 3 with [1,5,6,8] with [1,5,6,8] with [1,5,6,8] Total Cost: $24

                              Comment

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