Saturday 3/1/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358318

    Saturday 3/1/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358318

    #2
    Scott Shapiro: Saturday Gulfstream/Santa Anita Exacta-Thon Plays


    February 27, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

    It is a huge day of racing at both Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita Park on Saturday, so Xpressbet and 1/ST BET are wheeling back one of our most popular promotions!

    Yes, that is right, Exacta-Thon returns on Saturday for the Fountain of Youth and Big Cap cards. $4000 total will be up for grabs for those horseplayers that can successfully connect on four $2 exactas at each track. Plus, an additional $1k will go to the player that hits the most total exactas. Remember to check out the full details and register on the promotional landing page.

    Here are a pair of my Saturday Exacta-Thon Plays at each venue:

    Gulfstream Park Race 9: Canadian Turf (G3)

    There is very little speed signed on in this 8.5-furlong test over the Gulfstream grass. This should not only benefit likely pacesetter #5 Silent Heart, but also #4 Major Dude. The son of Bolt d’Oro makes his third start off the freshening after being caught wide most of the way in the Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1). There is very little chance they go as fast early in this spot, which should put the Todd Pletcher trainee in a perfect ground saving stalking position under one of the best around in Irad Ortiz Jr. The 5YO appears poised for a big run on the class drop.

    I will play Major Dude with the aforementioned Silent Heart and then over top #3 Fort Washington and Irish Aces.

    Plays:
    $10 Exacta 4-5
    $5 Exacta 5-4
    $5 Exacta Wheel 5 with 1+3



    Gulfstream Park Race 11: Gulfstream Park Mile (G2)

    There is no doubt this year’s Gulfstream Park Mile goes through #1 Mindframe. The Constitution colt put forth two very big efforts to start his career and followed it up with near misses in the Belmont (G1) and Haskell (G1). Todd Pletcher has given him time off until now where he heads into his 4YO debut off a long series of drills at Palm Beach Downs. The $600k Keeneland September 2022 purchase is the likeliest winner based on his 3YO campaign, but this is his first start since mid-July and he draws the rail.

    #3 Encino also makes his first start as a 4YO. The son of Nyquist did not dazzle in 2024 like Mindframe or compete against the best in his crop but he won 3 of 4 with his lone loss coming by just a neck on debut. His comeback race was a paid work out, but he is capable of a career best performance second off the layoff for Brad Cox. He makes sense, much like the chalk

    I will not be surprised if Mindframe and/or Encino run well, but both come with question marks, so I will lean on the veteran #7 Steal Sunshine. The Bobby Dibona trainee was outrun in the Pegasus World Cup (G1), but drops in class and moves back to a configuration he has had a lot of success over throughout his 26-race career. He is the one I trust most to run his race, especially over this surface and distance.

    Plays:
    $5 Exacta 7-1
    $3 Exacta Box 3-7
    $2 Exacta Wheel 7 with 2+8+9



    Santa Anita Park Race 7:

    I could not get past 5-2-morning line favorite #8 Nene Diamond in this allowance event for fillies and mares. The Slugo Racing runner moves back to the lawn after a dominant front running victory over the main track on January 23. It is relatively rare to see horses run fast on both dirt and turf, but this mare appears to be an exception. She missed by a nose in her first grass start and followed it up with win over this course despite some traffic issues. The fact she draws outside the other speeds adds to her case.

    I will hope to find a little value underneath Nene Diamond with #1 Shuangxi and #7 Miss Mandalay. Shuangxi drops in class after being swallowed up by her red-hot stablemate Queen Maxima last out. The class relief gives her a shot to run much better in her second try off the bench. Miss Mandalay cuts back a half furlong after a half-length defeat at double-digit odds last month. The Dandy Man filly enters this first-level allowance in the best form of her career.

    Plays:
    $5 Exacta 8 with 1+7


    Santa Anita Race 10: Santa Anita Handicap (G1)

    The Santa Anita Handicap came up strong this year in large part due to Todd Pletcher and Brad Cox each shipping out a runner from the east coast.

    Locked was made the 3-2-morning line choice after his runner-up effort in the Pegasus World Cup (G1). He was no match for White Abarrio that afternoon, but did blow the break costing him several lengths. Perhaps that is why Pletcher adds the blinkers. I am rarely in love with horses making equipment changes before big races and that is the case here. Pletcher is just 2 for his last 23 with a $0.47 ROI when adding the shades for the first time in graded stakes races. Add that to the cross-country ship and lack of experience at 10-furlongs and you have a favorite worth taking a shot against despite his obvious talent.
    I will do so with #3 Hit Show. The 5-2-second choice has mostly beaten second tier graded stakes fields throughout his career, but should get a great setup in the Big Cap given the plethora of early zip types signed on. The presence of Flavien Prat and the 1 1/4-mile distance both should help.

    I will key box Hit Show with fellow late runner #4 Katonah, who comes off a win in the San Pasqual (G2) and #9 Tarantino, who I am hoping is taken just off the pace with the move from the rail to the far outside.

    Plays:

    $4 Exacta Key-Box 3 with 4+9
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358318

      #3
      Race of the Week: Saturday's Santa Anita Handicap


      February 26, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

      The Lead:
      Led by the Grade 1 Santa Anita Handicap, Kentucky Derby Future Wager favorite Barnes in the San Felipe, and a pair of graded turf stakes, Saturday's card at The Great Race Place will be its most important of 2025 so far. The historic Big 'Cap at 1-1/4 miles goes as Race 10 and has an influx of intrigue as Todd Pletcher brings Locked from Florida and Brad Cox sends Hit Show from New Orleans.

      The Santa Anita Handicap is part of Saturday's $5,000 Exacta-Thon promotion from 1/ST BET and Xpressbet. Horseplayers on both platforms can share in additional money by successfully hitting exactas on the Santa Anita card as well as Gulfstream Park's Fountain of Youth Day program.

      Field Depth:
      Grade 1 winners LOCKED and EXPRESS TOUR have the signature scores in this race, while HIT SHOW, J B STRIKES BACK and KATONAH are Grade 2 winners. MIRAHMADI is Grade 1-placed. There's no overwhelming class edge here, more so a decision pending on how the eastern and midwest form of LOCKED and HIT SHOW compare with the western handicap division.
      ​​
      Pace:
      MIRAHMADI has more natural speed than these and likely will be sent to the front, though J B STRIKES BACK is the inner-most speed in post 4 to his inside and outside pressing could come from MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH and TARANTINO. This should be a solid to quick pace for 1-1/4 miles. Note both the San Pasqual and Laffit Pincay Jr. preps had opening half-miles in the 45s, and horses part of those mixes do return here.

      Our Eyes:
      Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

      #1-EXPRESS TRAIN: 2022 Santa Anita Handicap winner, now age 8, hasn't won in 7 limited starts since signature career victory. Missed all of 2023 and was competitive in 3 stakes last year upon his reappearance for trainer John Shirreffs. Runner-up Jan. 25 in the Grade 2 San Pasqual local prep to return rival Katonah. A win would match 1947 Big 'Cap hero Olhaverry for the eldest runner to do so.

      #2-NEW KING: Most lightly raced runner in the field makes his sixth career start and first stakes appearance. Bob Baffert trainee was no match for stablemate and SA Handicap rival Mirahmadi in a January allowance matchup but won his last start over 1-1/16 miles. Into Mischief colt assigned just 115 pounds on the handicap scale and partners with Mike Smith for the first time.

      #3-HIT SHOW: $1.4 million earner won 4 of 6 races in 2024 and opened his current season a winner in the Grade 3 Louisiana Stakes at Fair Grounds with a furious late rally. Carried co-top weight of 124 pounds in the Big 'Cap and lures stakes phenom pilot Flavien Prat. Well-traveled colt will make Santa Anita the 12th different track at which he's competed. First try at 1-1/4 miles since finishing fifth in the 2023 Kentucky Derby.

      #4-J B STRIKES BACK: Trainer Doug O'Neill lost him in a $20,000 maiden claimer last summer at Del Mar, claimed him back immediately for $25,000 and has orchestrated a rapid rise since. Won back-to-back Del Mar allowances in November and then pulled a 16-1 upset in the Grade 2 Laffit Pincay Jr. Stakes at Santa Anita on Dec. 26. All or nothing at 9: 4-0-0, this will be his first start beyond 1-1/16 miles.

      #5-MIRAHMADI: $1 million Into Mischief colt struggled to find the winner's circle until his ninth start, many of those efforts at Del Mar. His Santa Anita form, however, has been outstanding (3: 2-1-0), including an October maiden romp by 10 lengths and a Jan. 4 allowance wire job by 4-1/2 lengths. Juan Hernandez pilots and they're assigned a feathery 116 pounds, getting as many as 8 pounds from the favorites -- significant over 10 furlongs. Training exceptionally well and we'll see how far he can take them.

      #6-KATONAH: Doug O'Neill trainee returned from a year layoff last summer for a 5-race campaign that saw him second in the San Diego and fifth in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile, both at Del Mar. He opened 2025 with a rallying win in the Grade 2 San Pasqual over 9 furlongs at Santa Anita. He's 4-for-10 here on dirt and 1-for-7 in all other spots. Regular rider Tiago Pereira returns.

      #7-LOCKED: Likely favorite carries co-top weight of 124 pounds off a win in Aqueduct's Grade 2 Cigar Mile and runner-up in Gulfstream's Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup. He's been bet to favoritism in each of his last 6 starts. Jose Ortiz returns to the saddle and replaces John Velazquez, who opts to ride Todd Pletcher stablemate River Thames in Gulfstream's same-day Fountain of Youth Stakes. Locked is 3: 1-1-1 in true, 2-turn races and this will be the longest test of his career while adding blinkers for the first time.

      #8-MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH: Pace factor wilted at 23-1 in the Grade 2 Pasqual local prep and could factor in the early tempo at best. He did win Del Mar's Grade 3 Cougar II over 12 furlongs this summer but has been well off that form in his last 2. Craig Dollase legs up jockey Armando Ayuso.

      #9-TARANTINO: Peter Eurton claimed this one for $40,000 last summer at Del Mar and has gotten a strong return. He's 5: 2-2-1 since, including runner-up performances in the Grade 2 Laffit Pincay Jr. and Grade 3 Native Diver. Flat finishes late have been his downfall going shorter and he'll need an unlikely softer early pace to extend the trip to 10 furlongs.

      Most Certain Exotics Contender:
      HIT SHOW has won 5 of 7 starts over the past year and has a determined late style that should translate well to a 1-1/4 miles race that appears to have a legitimate pace. Flavien Prat doesn't make many mistakes.

      Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
      KATONAH won't be a massive price, but not among the favorites, and his Santa Anita form puts him in the mix. While he hasn't been this far, he gave the appearance in the San Pasqual that he'll be running better than several of these late.

      Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
      $90 win HIT SHOW. $5 exacta part-wheel HIT SHOW over KATONAH, MIRAHMADI ($10).
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      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #4
        Aqueduct Hotlist - March 1


        Feb. 28, 2025

        By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

        Hot List Key:
        A:
        A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
        *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
        *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
        * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

        6th race [Stymie, 1 mi] – (4) Winnin’onweekends (A/C) was a winner of a low level starter allowance at Aqueduct in January by more than 14 lengths with a front-end effort and was bet down from 8-1 to 5-1. (5) Bank Frenzy won his last two starts in a second-level allowance and then a NY-bred stake race in December. (3) Yo Daddy won 3 of his last 4 starts racing from off the pace moving through the allowance conditions for Linda Rice. (1) Concealed Carry was a stakes winner at Parx Racing in October for a trainer who has done well shipping to New York.

        7th race [Busher, 1 mi] – (4) Volleyballprincess won the Ruthless last month by 10 lengths and ships from Parx once again. (3) Drexel Hill changed to the barn of Whit Beckman after starting her career at Woodbine. She raced twice at Fair Grounds including a third in the Silverbulletday. Blinkers come off after a try with them. (9) Sharp Smile broke her maiden in her third try and then was third in the Busanda. (5) Amarth will make her 2025 debut after breaking her maiden and winning an allowance in Kentucky. In the Untapable, she had to steady in the stretch.

        8th race [Gotham (G3), 1 mi] – (8) McAfee made his first two starts at Churchill Downs and was a debut winner in November. He returned three weeks later to run second by a neck in a starter allowance. McAfee is a half-brother of last year’s Horse of the Year Thorpedo Anna. (9) Garamond won the only start of his career for Juddmonte and Chad Brown in a maiden at Tampa Bay Downs as a 4-5 favorite. He finds a field that gives him a chance to be successful as he steps onto the Derby trail. (10) My Mitole showed significant improvement in his four starts with victories in one-turn miles in his last two starts at Aqueduct. (5) Sand Devil is one of two undefeated and stakes-winning NY-breds in this field. He won a state-bred allowance going a mile by more than 12 lengths.

        10th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 6F] – (1) Vekinda was second in all five of his starts and may have found the right field to get that maiden victory. (6) Merica’s Back was fourth in his debut at 7-1 at Aqueduct three weeks ago. (3) Roofer has shown early speed in his last two races. (9) Share the Ludt will make his first start of the year. He was second in the New York Breeders Futurity and then in a maiden at Gulfstream Park. He will run with first-time Lasix.

        Best bets: Volleyballprincess (7th); Vekinda (10th). Best Value: Winnin’onweekends (6th); McAfee (8th).

        Saturday Pick 3 Special --
        Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 is all-stakes and covers races 6-8 which includes the Stymie, Busher, and Gotham ? 1, 3, 4, 5 with 3, 4, 9 with 8, 9, 10 = $36.
        No. Name Letter
        last race
        Today's Race Comments
        (4) Winnin’onweekends A on 1/19 6 Starter allowance winner by more than 14 lengths.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #5
          Gulfstream Park Hotlist - March 1


          Feb. 28, 2025

          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

          Hot List Key:

          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

          1st race – (4) Clicquot looks like a promising firster and gets the nod here. (8) Beautiful You is working nicely for her debut. (6) Indy Bay merits attention after moving to Joseph’s barn. (9) Mazayaat put in a bullet gate work for her debut. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-6-8-9.

          3rd race – (1) Into Pleasure (A) has won two in a row and looks best here from the rail. (3) Speak Easy shapes up as the one to fear. (5) Classify exits a stakes and will be a factor here. (6) Caramel Chip ships in from Tampa off a sharp try. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-6.

          6th race – (9) Disruptor was odds-on in his debut and finished third. Can make amends here. (4) Shangrala Road is a firster from Cox who can be the main rival. (1) Camp Evans merits a look from the rail. (3) Harbe was second in his debut and cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-4-9.

          8th race – (4) La Cara was an impressive stakes winner at Tampa and looks best here. (6) Ballerina d’Oro should be closing stoutly at the end. (1) The Queens M G can be a force off her best try. (7) Quinn’s Promise can sneak into the picture late. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-6-7.

          11th race - (1) Mindframe seems poised to start a big 4-year-old campaign. (3) Encino will be on the lead and may not look back. (7) Steal Sunshine may be helped by the one-turn distance. (8) Lightning Tones is usually in the picture. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-8.
          No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
          (1) Into Pleasure A, 1/29 3 GP Seeks a third straight win

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #6
            Keeneland Select Picks of the Day | March 1, 2025


            Feb. 28, 2025

            Race 7 at Aqueduct | Saturday, March 1 | Post Time 3:47 PM Eastern

            Busher Stakes | Purse $200,000 | Fillies, Three Years Old | One Mile

            Analysis and top contenders:

            She’s Fascinating (8) broke through with her best race by far five weeks ago, at the same one-mile trip here at Aqueduct as the Busher Stakes, crushing the field by eight lengths and earning an 88 Equibase Speed Figure just one point less than the 89 figure Volleyballprincess (4) earned winning the Ruthless Stakes on February 1 over the track. She’s Fascinating started her career around two turns and on turf last October, both very tough questions to ask a horse which had never run before, and she didn’t do much running in that race when seventh of 11. She improved quite a bit next time out on November 21 when third at a mile on a sloppy track then when returning much more physically and mentally mature in January she ran very professionally as she stalked the top two in third for the first half mile before getting within a head of the lead then accelerating to be two lengths in front with an eighth of a mile to run. Jockey Jose Lezcano was aboard for the first time in victory and rides back and we an expect good improvement off that effort in her second start off the layoff and as a three-year-old. I’m not concerned about She’s Fascinating moving from maiden to stakes as most of these have just one win to their credit.

            Volleyballprincess (4) also improved to a career-best effort in her third start, the same as She’s Fascinating, when winning the Ruthless Stakes on February 1 by 10 lengths. She won despite the jockey dropping the crop with three-sixteenths of a mile to run but she was in front at that point. Since the race, Volleyballprincess put in a strong workout of five furlongs in 58.6 at Parx, where she had shipped from before the Ruthless and ships from again, with jockey Ruiz in the saddle once more. She too is on a pattern for improvement.

            One additional horse to use on exacta tickets, in the second position, is Liam in the Dust (1), who ships in from Kentucky and adds blinkers while bringing along excellent jockey Machado. She’s never been worse than second in three similar races around one turn including the Grade 3 Pocahontas Stakes, and she could rally to be part of the exacta.

            Bets:

            Win Bets: Considering how much it appears She’s Fascinating (8) and Volleyball Princess (4) stand out in terms of win probability versus the others, I would strongly consider betting either, or both, to win at odds of 8 to 5 or higher.

            Doubles from race 7 to race 8:

            Race 7: She’s Fascinating (8) and Volleyballprincess (4)

            Race 8: Scorching (1), Flood Zone (7), McAfee (8)

            Race 7: She’s Fascinating (8) and Volleyballprincess (4)

            Race 8: Flood Zone (7), McAfee (8)



            Race 8 at Aqueduct | Saturday, March 1 | Post Time 4:18 PM Eastern

            Gotham Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $300,000 | Three Year Olds | One Mile

            Analysis:

            In a race where most are either recent maiden or statebred stakes winners, no horse is a standout, but McAfee (8) is one of those that are most interesting. He debuted at six furlongs in November and beat 10 horses rather easily then when stretched out to the same one-turn mile trip as the Gotham for his second start on November 24, McAfee missed by a head but showed a lot of ability when moving up from fourth early in the stretch to be beaten a head on the wire. Rested three months, he’s likely to be much stronger physical and mentally, and it must be pointed out his breeding is exceptional as he is a half-brother to champion Thorpedo Anna.

            Flood Zone (7) ships in from Florida for trainer Brad Cox after what appears to be a private purchase. That makes sense given his strong five length win second time out on January 4 following a three-quarter length defeat when second in his debut one month earlier. Coming up from Florida to ride is Reylu Gutierrez, who was aboard in both starts to date. The 98 Equibase Speed Figure he earned (compared to 90 + improvement expected for McAfee) is the second fastest figure in the race behind the 100 Sand Devil (5) earned winning a stakes race restricted to New York breds. Flood Zone should really like this one-mile trip as a son of Frosted out of a Curlin mare and appears and going to a mile around one turn off the six furlong trips of his last two races is not a concern.

            Scorching (1) deserves a bit of attention because, although all three of his races have bene on all-weather or turf, he’s bred to run as well on conventional dirt as a son of Mo Town. He won easily by five lengths in his second career start in a race restricted to Ontario breds then stretched out to two turns and moving to turf last October, Scorching led late, lost by a nose in the photo, then was moved up to first when the winner was disqualified. That effort earned a 97 figure which puts him right there with the best in the field, and he too cold be more physically mature as a three-year-old than when seen last fall. He’s been working on dirt on the training track at Belmont and should be familiar with the surface.

            Bets:

            Win: I would consider betting McAfee (8) and Flood Zone (7) to win at odds of 2 to 1 or more.

            If Scorching (1) is higher than 4 to 1 near post time, I would not hesitate to bet him to win as well.

            Exactas:

            Box McAfee (8) and Flood Zone (7)

            Box McAfee (8), Flood Zone (7) and Scorching (1).

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #7
              Keeneland Select Derby Prep - Fountain of Youth | March 1, 2025


              Feb. 28, 2025

              By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

              The $415,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2), Gulfstream Park

              Race 13: (6) River Thames was an impressive allowance and maiden winner. Seems ready to step up and handle stakes company. (3) Burnham Square won the Holy Bull and looks like the main rival. (7) Neoequos has keen early speed and may hang around until the end. (1) Gate to Wire will be helped by a ground-saving trip. Betting strategy: 6 to win. Exacta and trifecta box: 1-3-6-7.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #8
                Keeneland Select Derby Prep - Gotham | March 1, 2025


                Feb. 28, 2025

                By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

                The $300,000 Gotham (G3), Aqueduct

                Race 8 – The Gotham is the fifth of six stops on the New York road to Kentucky Derby 2025 with qualifying points [50-25-15-10-5] that are available to the top five finishers. A field of 10 was drawn and a fast pace is expected in this one-turn mile race which is carded as race 8. Post time is set for 4:18 pm EST. (8) McAfee made his first two starts at Churchill Downs and was a debut winner in November. He returned three weeks later to run second by a neck in a starter allowance. McAfee is a half-brother of last year’s Horse of the Year Thorpedo Anna. (9) Garamond won the only start of his career for Juddmonte and Chad Brown in a maiden at Tampa Bay Downs as a 4-5 favorite. He finds a field that gives him a chance to be successful as he steps onto the Derby trail. (10) My Mitole shows significant improvement in his four starts with victories in one-turn miles in his last two starts at Aqueduct. (5) Sand Devil is one of two undefeated and stakes-winning NY-breds in this field. He won a state-bred allowance going a mile by more than 12 lengths. Betting strategy: Exacta box: 5, 8, 9, 10. Trifecta box: 5, 8, 9, 10.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #9
                  Keeneland Select Derby Prep - San Felipe | March 1, 2025


                  Feb. 28, 2025

                  By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

                  The $300,000 San Felipe (G2), Santa Anita

                  Race 8 – The San Felipe is a [50-20-15-10-5] points qualifier on the road to the Kentucky Derby 2025. Bob Baffert trains three of the horses in the field of six. Post time is set for 6:30 pm EST. (2) Journalism makes his 2025 debut following a victory on the Kentucky Derby trail in the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) where he earned 10 Derby points. In that victory he defeated three Baffert runners when he sat in a stalking position and drew off to win by more than three lengths. (3) Barnes is undefeated in two starts as a heavy favorite with a maiden win at Churchill Downs as a 2-year-old and then this year in the seven-furlong San Vicente at Santa Anita. He is well known for his name and his $3.2 million yearling sale price. (4) Rodriguez is also from the Baffert barn and he ran three times breaking his maiden in his second start and then finishing second in the Robert B. Lewis (G3) behind his stablemate and champion Citizen Bull earning 10 Derby points. (1) Mellencamp is the third Baffert runner in the field. He makes his fifth start and is still a maiden. He was second in maiden races in his debut and then last month and has a fifth-place finish in the Los Al Futurity. Betting strategy: Exacta 2 with 3.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #10
                    Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - March 1


                    Feb. 28, 2025

                    Race #1

                    Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:20 PM ET $20,000.00

                    Race 1 Maiden Claiming
                    Win 7-5 3 Ran the Red S Marin
                    Place 7-2 9 Moms Had Enough A A Gallardo
                    Show 4-1 8 Blue Opal S Hess
                    Wild card 8-1 5 Thunder Princess J A Batista
                    Alternate 1 6-1 2 Jenn Sweet Jenn R Feliciano
                    Alternate 2 12-1 4 Maca Abarrio C Gil
                    Exacta 3-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/8/9 BOX, 5/8/9 BOX

                    Race #2

                    Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:50 PM ET $18,000.00

                    Race 2 Claiming
                    Win 7-5 3 Bold Baby S Camacho
                    Place 5-1 4 Heavens Express S Leon
                    Show 9-2 1 Humor Sense M Meneses
                    Wild card 6-1 8 Thank the Academy S Marin
                    Alternate 1 8-1 6 Vino Veloce A Clemente
                    Alternate 2 6-1 7 Numeric M Iorio
                    Exacta 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX

                    Race #3

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:18 PM ET $20,000.00

                    Race 3 Claiming
                    Win 3-1 8 Lady Quinn M Iorio
                    Place 4-1 5 Keep On Rockin S Marin
                    Show 12-1 2 Holiday Jazz A Rodriguez
                    Wild card 5-1 7 Top Look A Santos
                    Alternate 1 7-2 6 After a Few J L Castanon
                    Alternate 2 20-1 1 Smooth Justice R Mitchell
                    Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

                    Race #4

                    Dirt 1 Mile 40 Yards - Post Time: 01:48 PM ET $22,000.00

                    Race 4 Maiden Claiming
                    Win 5-2 9 Stanley Cat M Iorio
                    Place 3-1 3 Grand Park View R D Allen Jr.
                    Show 2-1 11 High Prince S Leon
                    Wild card 6-1 7 Mr. Sweets H R Diaz Jr.
                    Alternate 1 10-1 10 Jr Sergio S Hess
                    Alternate 2 6-1 2 Air Force Royalty M Meneses
                    Exacta 9-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/9/11 BOX, 3/7/11 BOX

                    Race #5

                    Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:19 PM ET

                    Best Bet #6 OUT ON PAROLE $20,000.00

                    Race 5 Maiden Claiming
                    Win 4-1 6 Out On Parole S Leon
                    Place 5-2 5 No Telling H R Diaz Jr.
                    Show 6-1 3 Hyper Venom C Gil
                    Wild card 6-1 12 City Time K S Tohill
                    Alternate 1 10-1 11 King Plutus D Centeno
                    Alternate 2 6-1 8 Secret Power S Marin
                    Exacta 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/5/6 BOX, 3/5/12 BOX

                    Race #6

                    Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 02:52 PM ET $53,000.00

                    Race 6 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 12-1 8 Persisten C Gil
                    Place 9-5 5 Valentinian S Marin
                    Show 8-1 1 Virage A A Gallardo
                    Wild card 5-2 2 Last Man Standing P Morales
                    Alternate 1 4-1 3 Mr. Robinson D Centeno
                    Alternate 2 30-1 7 Neoteric A Quinonez
                    Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/5/8 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

                    Race #7

                    Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 03:22 PM ET

                    Best Bet #5 LETS GO KOKO $54,000.00

                    Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 3-1 5 Lets Go Koko M Meneses
                    Place 5-1 4 Retired Kathy C Lindsay
                    Show 4-1 1 Thelastbulletsmine J C Ferrer
                    Wild card 7-2 2 Runaway Diva D Centeno
                    Alternate 1 6-1 6 Sweet Laura K S Tohill
                    Alternate 2 4-1 3 Laloba Feroz S Hess
                    Exacta 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

                    Race #8

                    Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:53 PM ET

                    Best Bet #9 JABRAN $23,000.00

                    Race 8 Claiming
                    Win 5-2 9 Jabran S Marin
                    Place 3-1 6 Style Me Royal S Camacho
                    Show 9-2 3 Lieutenant Stan G Maldonado
                    Wild card 4-1 1 Woke Up in Love M Meneses
                    Alternate 1 20-1 5 Mackenzies Novva I O Rodriguez
                    Alternate 2 15-1 4 Norfie S Hess
                    Exacta 9-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/6/9 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

                    Race #9

                    Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:24 PM ET $20,000.00

                    Race 9 Maiden Claiming
                    Win 7-2 9 Gap to Gap M Meneses
                    Place 2-1 6 Country Slew S Marin
                    Show 6-1 5 New York Fog S Camacho
                    Wild card 8-1 12 Centeya J A Batista
                    Alternate 1 5-2 2 Channelside P Morales
                    Alternate 2 15-1 4 Spurious S Hess
                    Exacta 9-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-12 BOX
                    Trifecta 5/6/9 BOX, 5/6/12 BOX

                    Race #10

                    Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:55 PM ET $20,500.00

                    Race 10 Claiming
                    Win 2-1 5 Adios Buccaneer A A Gallardo
                    Place 7-2 2 Immense Faith C Gil
                    Show 5-2 4 D Day Reunion P Morales
                    Wild card 15-1 9 Whiskey Or Wine S Leon
                    Alternate 1 8-1 10 Max Swagger S Marin
                    Alternate 2 12-1 6 Shortsinthewinter R Montanez
                    Exacta 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/9 BOX

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #11
                      Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - March 1


                      Feb. 28, 2025

                      Race #1

                      Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:20 PM ET $52,000.00

                      Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 5-2 3 Don Corleone E Morales
                      Place 9-2 7 Spielman A Concepcion
                      Show 7-2 8 Proton Spirit B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Wild card 8-1 9 Takethefifth J Graham
                      Alternate 1 6-1 10 Sargent Sully A Concepcion
                      Alternate 2 6-1 6 C Mac Da Boss J Loveberry
                      Exacta 3-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
                      Trifecta 3/7/8 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX

                      Race #2

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:50 PM ET

                      Best Bet #2 ROSALBA THE WICKED $52,000.00

                      Race 2 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 9-5 2 Rosalba the Wicked E M Murray
                      Place 3-1 7 Moonie Pie M Pedroza Jr.
                      Show 8-1 6 Congrats Cadet J Loveberry
                      Wild card 9-2 3 All Star Tout B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 1 6-1 5 Miss Makeithappen C McMahon
                      Alternate 2 6-1 1 Wings of a Sparrow J P Vargas
                      Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

                      Race #3

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:20 PM ET

                      Best Bet #1 TAPIT QUICK $53,000.00

                      Race 3 Allowance
                      Win 7-2 1 Tapit Quick B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Place 7-2 5 Brunch Punch F Geroux
                      Show 5-2 3 Sally OMalley C McMahon
                      Wild card 6-1 7 Candy Lover M Pedroza Jr.
                      Alternate 1 12-1 8 Splash Master E Morales
                      Alternate 2 12-1 2 No What Ifs M Murrill
                      Exacta 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

                      Race #4

                      Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:50 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $100,000 FLASHY PRIZE STAKES $100,000.00

                      Race 4 Stakes
                      Win 9-5 5 Blue Fire F Geroux
                      Place 5-2 7 Margies Intention D Cannon
                      Show 3-1 1 Powdered Sugar D Cohen
                      Wild card 10-1 2 C C Short Drive M Murrill
                      Alternate 1 8-1 3 Incognito Burrito T Thornton
                      Alternate 2 10-1 6 Baytown Boujee J Loveberry
                      Exacta 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/5/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX

                      COMMENTS: BLUE FIRE ran the highest last race speed figure and should be better in the second up. MARGIES INTENTION ran about a second faster in her last race and won both at the distance. POWDERED SUGAR is a head away from being undefeated in three races since coming to Fair Grounds. C C SHORT DRIVE will be coming at the end and goes long for the first time.

                      Race #5

                      Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 03:20 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $100,000 RED CAMELIA STAKES $100,000.00

                      Race 5 Stakes
                      Win 7-2 2 Highly Wicked M Pedroza Jr.
                      Place 3-1 9 Boomin Belle J Loveberry
                      Show 8-1 8 Eye of the Pharaoh B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Wild card 12-1 3 Dixie Farmer A Concepcion
                      Alternate 1 9-2 10 Clearly a Test J A Guerrero
                      Alternate 2 8-1 1 Ground Control E Morales
                      Exacta 2-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/8/9 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX

                      COMMENTS: HIGHLY WICKED won both at Fair Grounds and four of four at the distance. BOOMIN BELLE ran the highest last race speed figure and has three maintenance works between races. EYE OF THE PHARAOH should be running the best at the end and does her best work after rest like today. DIXIE FARMER has solid works and is an upgrade if the race is moved to wet dirt.

                      Race #6

                      Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 03:50 PM ET $53,000.00

                      Race 6 Allowance
                      Win 4-5 3 Just a Touch F Geroux
                      Place 5-1 8 Orizzonte E Morales
                      Show 10-1 4 Curlins Gesture M Pedroza Jr.
                      Wild card 9-2 6 Next Level J Graham
                      Alternate 1 10-1 2 House United J Loveberry
                      Alternate 2 8-1 7 Goldbrick A Concepcion
                      Exacta 3-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                      Trifecta 3/4/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX

                      Race #7

                      Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:20 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $100,000 EDWARD JOHNSTON MEMORIAL $100,000.00

                      Race 7 Stakes
                      Win 5-2 6 Behemah Star J A Guerrero
                      Place 12-1 3 Gamer Nate C McMahon
                      Show 5-1 1 Calicoco F Geroux
                      Wild card 4-1 11 Woods N Water T Thornton
                      Alternate 1 12-1 7 Passing Judgment E Morales
                      Alternate 2 8-1 9 El Dinero J Loveberry
                      Exacta 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/11 BOX

                      COMMENTS: BEHEMAH STAR upped his speed figure in the last four races including the highest last race number. GAMER NATE won his last two races with better internal numbers from start to finish in his most recent. CALICOCO has three wins and a third in four on Fair Grounds turf. WOODS N WATER finished in the money six of six at the distance.

                      Race #8

                      Dirt 1 Mile 70 Yards - Post Time: 04:50 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $100,000 STAR GUITAR STAKES $100,000.00

                      Race 8 Stakes
                      Win 9-5 4 Dapper Moon B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Place 2-1 7 Hay Jude E Morales
                      Show 12-1 2 Hes Late Again J Melancon
                      Wild card 12-1 1 A Passive Nobody J A Torres
                      Alternate 1 7-2 6 Cajun Mitole A Birzer
                      Alternate 2 15-1 3 Sippin On Gin A Concepcion
                      Exacta 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/4/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX

                      COMMENTS: DAPPER MOON ran the highest last race speed figure with better pace from gate to wire. HAY JUDE will be closing and is getting the most runway in his career today. HES LATE AGAIN is unbeaten in two and you just do not know how good a horse is until it loses. A PASSIVE NOBODY ran much faster fractions despite going longer.

                      Race #9

                      Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:20 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $100,000 BLACK GOLD STAKES $100,000.00

                      Race 9 Stakes
                      Win 3-1 2 Golden Afternoon A Concepcion
                      Place 2-1 6 Chasing Liberty F Geroux
                      Show 8-1 4 Toms Magic J Barbosa
                      Wild card 9-2 1 Emergence M Pedroza Jr.
                      Alternate 1 4-1 8 Curahee B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 2 15-1 5 Lucky Mischief E Morales
                      Exacta 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

                      COMMENTS: GOLDEN AFTERNOON drops from the Grade III Lecomte stakes and should relish a return to grass. CHASING LIBERTYs resume says he could be in for a major bump in the second start off the sidelines. TOMS MAGIC went wire to wire to collect the maiden win in his second race and has his best published work since. EMERGENCE just needs typical second race improvement to find the winners circle again.

                      Race #10

                      Dirt 1 Mile 70 Yards - Post Time: 05:50 PM ET

                      Best Bet #8 ICEM UP BOYS $54,000.00

                      Race 10 Allowance Optional Claiming
                      Win 7-2 8 Icem Up Boys E Nieves
                      Place 3-1 5 Play Mo T Thornton
                      Show 9-2 9 Izzys Baby Boy V Del-Cid
                      Wild card 8-1 2 Macho Beanie B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 1 6-1 6 Take Charge J J C McMahon
                      Alternate 2 6-1 7 Brittanys Dream J A Guerrero
                      Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
                      Trifecta 5/8/9 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #12
                        Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - March 1


                        Feb. 28, 2025

                        Race #1

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:25 PM ET $110,000.00

                        Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
                        Win 8-5 3 Stipulate R Bejarano
                        Place 2-1 5 Happy Talk T W Bacon
                        Show 9-2 7 Bang Bang Fury F Arrieta
                        Wild card 8-1 2 Leilauni Sue R A Vazquez
                        Alternate 1 12-1 6 Braken Good E Asmussen
                        Alternate 2 30-1 8 Get Frosty J C Bealmear
                        Exacta 3-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/5/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX

                        Race #2

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:55 PM ET

                        Best Bet #13 GET AWAY WITH IT $34,000.00

                        Race 2 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 3-1 13 Get Away With It E Esquivel
                        Place 2-1 5 Preachers Kid C A Torres
                        Show 9-2 1 Rerun A Pusac
                        Wild card 10-1 12 Stillbilly R Bejarano
                        Alternate 1 5-2 8 Bradford K J Asmussen
                        Alternate 2 8-1 4 Mo Heartaches W De La Cruz
                        Exacta 13-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-12 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/5/13 BOX, 1/5/12 BOX

                        Race #3

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:25 PM ET $32,000.00

                        Race 3 Claiming
                        Win 7-2 1 Atomic Tone I Castillo
                        Place 9-2 2 Super Brady H Hernandez
                        Show 8-1 12 Family Tradition W De La Cruz
                        Wild card 6-1 4 Allo Enry R A Vazquez
                        Alternate 1 5-2 5 Elusive dOro C A Torres
                        Alternate 2 7-2 1A Silardi S Camacho Jr.
                        Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/2/12 BOX, 2/4/12 BOX

                        Race #4

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:55 PM ET $32,000.00

                        Race 4 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 5-2 12 Coldasice R Santana Jr.
                        Place 7-2 8 Chapter and Verse N Juarez
                        Show 4-1 7 Reecho R A Vazquez
                        Wild card 5-1 9 Rosie Cotton E Esquivel
                        Alternate 1 8-1 11 Line Runner I Castillo
                        Alternate 2 12-1 2 Daretocatchlove L Hebert
                        Exacta 12-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
                        Trifecta 7/8/12 BOX, 7/8/9 BOX

                        Race #5

                        Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 03:26 PM ET

                        Best Bet #9 TIZ WICKED STRONG $38,000.00

                        Race 5 Claiming
                        Win 5-2 9 Tiz Wicked Strong F Jara
                        Place 10-1 3 Tis Charming E Asmussen
                        Show 8-1 6 Mount Craig R Santana Jr.
                        Wild card 5-1 5 Rivetage F Arrieta
                        Alternate 1 4-1 8 Fear of Union J C Bealmear
                        Alternate 2 10-1 2 Tornado Road R Bejarano
                        Exacta 9-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/6/9 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

                        Race #6

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:56 PM ET $60,000.00

                        Race 6 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 5-2 2 Putting Eagle T W Bacon
                        Place 2-1 7 Prides Prince K J Asmussen
                        Show 10-1 9 Montana Cafe N Juarez
                        Wild card 6-1 5 Tip Toe Joe F Arrieta
                        Alternate 1 12-1 8 Jinxzi R Santana Jr.
                        Alternate 2 20-1 6 Arthurs Court F Jara
                        Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
                        Trifecta 2/7/9 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX

                        Race #7

                        Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:27 PM ET $130,000.00

                        Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
                        Win 9-2 5 Decadent E Esquivel
                        Place 7-2 7 Legal Empress H Hernandez
                        Show 4-1 4 In Awe of Juju J R Leparoux
                        Wild card 3-1 2 Princess Em Too R A Vazquez
                        Alternate 1 5-1 1 Kinzie Queen F Arrieta
                        Alternate 2 8-1 6 Kentucky Smokeshow T W Bacon
                        Exacta 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                        Trifecta 4/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

                        Race #8

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:56 PM ET $130,000.00

                        Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming
                        Win 20-1 9 Gettinby R A Vazquez
                        Place 4-1 10 Brahms Image W De La Cruz
                        Show 7-2 12 Als Romeo A Pusac
                        Wild card 15-1 11 Paramount Paycheck J Elliott
                        Alternate 1 9-2 4 Strato K J Asmussen
                        Alternate 2 6-1 5 Holding Pattern L S Quinonez
                        Exacta 9-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX
                        Trifecta 9/10/12 BOX, 10/11/12 BOX

                        Race #9

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:27 PM ET

                        Best Commentary $150,000 DOWNTHEDUSTYROAD STAKES $150,000.00

                        Race 9 Stakes
                        Win 5-1 4 Sulwe C A Torres
                        Place 20-1 5 Appealing Addie J R Leparoux
                        Show 30-1 7 Shes Storming J Elliott
                        Wild card 6-5 1 Haulin Ice F Arrieta
                        Alternate 1 9-2 6 Lassie My Girl R Santana Jr.
                        Alternate 2 30-1 3 Qs Your Mama M Chuan
                        Exacta 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
                        Trifecta4 /5/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX

                        COMMENTS: HAULIN ICE has four wins and a pair of close seconds in six at Oaklawn. PUNCHY GIRL showed better pace from start to finish in her last. LASSIE MY GIRL is a consistent performer that should be involved from start to finish. SULWE might be ready for a bounce back race in the third start after a layoff.

                        Race #10

                        Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:04 PM ET

                        Best Bet #5 LAT LONG $130,000.00

                        Race 10 Allowance
                        Win 9-5 5 Lat Long J R Leparoux
                        Place 6-1 1 Eternally Grateful F Arrieta
                        Show 12-1 12 Gunflash H Hernandez
                        Wild card 10-1 11 Anthonian T W Bacon
                        Alternate 1 20-1 13 Hern N Juarez
                        Alternate 2 9-2 9 Gun Party K J Asmussen
                        Exacta 5-1 BOX, 1-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/5/12 BOX, 1/11/12 BOX

                        Race #11

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:42 PM ET $32,000.00

                        Race 11 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 5-2 5 Good Lord R Bejarano
                        Place 3-1 11 Museum Quality T W Bacon
                        Show 6-1 12 Cat Storm J R Leparoux
                        Wild card 4-1 8 Safe Bet L S Quinonez
                        Alternate 1 5-1 10 Penrod R Santana Jr.
                        Alternate 2 10-1 9 Austins Map E Asmussen
                        Exacta 5-11 BOX, 11-12 BOX, 12-8 BOX
                        Trifecta 5/11/12 BOX, 8/11/12 BOX

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #13
                          Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - March 1


                          Feb. 28, 2025

                          Race #1

                          Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 03:00 PM ET

                          Best Bet #9 OVER THE OCEAN $38,000.00

                          Race 1 Starter Optional Claiming
                          Win 7-2 9 Over the Ocean U Rispoli
                          Place 9-2 2 Hurricane Way H I Berrios
                          Show 4-1 5 Navajo Warrior A Fresu
                          Wild card 6-1 3 Spearfish T Baze
                          Alternate 1 3-1 4 Big George F Prat
                          Alternate 2 12-1 7 Looks Rare J L Ortiz
                          Exacta 9-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/5/9 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

                          Race #2

                          Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:30 PM ET $67,000.00

                          Race 2 Allowance Optional Claiming
                          Win 9-5 3 No Bad Beats J J Hernandez
                          Place 5-2 6 Ovetas Hobby H I Berrios
                          Show 3-1 5 A. Z. Wildcat F Prat
                          Wild card 5-1 1 Going Deep E A Maldonado
                          Alternate 1 8-1 4 In the Air Tonight T J Pereira
                          Alternate 2 12-1 2 Ce La Vi Charli J L Ortiz
                          Exacta 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
                          Trifecta 3/5/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

                          Race #3

                          Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:01 PM ET

                          Best Commentary $200,000 BUENA VISTA STAKES GRADE II $200,000.00

                          Race 3 Stakes
                          Win 7-2 5 Rashmi U Rispoli
                          Place 9-2 1 Tirupati J L Ortiz
                          Show 3-1 2 Uncorked A Fresu
                          Wild card 4-1 3 Liguria F Prat
                          Alternate 1 2-1 6 Alpha Bella H I Berrios
                          Alternate 2 20-1 7 Omaha Girl T Baze
                          Exacta 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

                          COMMENTS: RASHMI ran faster by about a second in her last and has a maintenance workout to stay sharp between spots. TIRUPATI has shown explosive late speed in her two races in Santa Anita grass. UNCORKED has some of the best turf breeding in the field and should be closing at the end. LIGURIA will be boom or bust in her second start after more than a year on the mend.

                          Race #4

                          Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:31 PM ET $65,000.00

                          Race 4 Maiden Special Weight
                          Win 1-1 4 Roman Gratis E A Maldonado
                          Place 6-1 2 Charmz Away A Escobedo
                          Show 2-1 6 Outworker A Fresu
                          Wild card 20-1 7 Grey Area E Payeras
                          Alternate 1 8-1 5 Uncle Evco S Carmona
                          Alternate 2 10-1 3 Beer Buzz K Frey
                          Exacta 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/4/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

                          Race #5

                          Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:02 PM ET $65,000.00

                          Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                          Win 2-1 5 Nafisa J J Hernandez
                          Place 5-2 2 Quick Brown Fox F Prat
                          Show 9-2 1 Insolenta H I Berrios
                          Wild card 15-1 4 Cyprus Moon M E Smith
                          Alternate 1 15-1 9 Current Affair A Espinoza
                          Alternate 2 12-1 10 Glamora A Ayuso
                          Exacta 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

                          Race #6

                          Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:34 PM ET $67,000.00

                          Race 6 Allowance Optional Claiming
                          Win 4-1 1 Shady Tiger A Fresu
                          Place 7-2 7 Ball Dont Lie M Americano
                          Show 6-1 2 Positivity K J Desormeaux
                          Wild card 5-1 6 Tessuto U Rispoli
                          Alternate 1 15-1 9 Kangaroo Court D A Herrera
                          Alternate 2 10-1 11 Momad H I Berrios
                          Exacta 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/2/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

                          Race #7

                          Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:08 PM ET

                          Best Bet #8 NENE DIAMOND $67,000.00

                          Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
                          Win 5-2 8 Nene Diamond J J Hernandez
                          Place 5-1 3 Thermal A Fresu
                          Show 10-1 1 Shuangxi H I Berrios
                          Wild card 8-1 4 Not A Sinner F Prat
                          Alternate 1 12-1 6 Ang N Ash K Frey
                          Alternate 2 8-1 7 Miss Mandalay T Baze
                          Exacta 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/3/8 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

                          Race #8

                          Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:43 PM ET

                          Best Commentary $300,000 SAN FELIPE STAKES $300,000.00

                          Race 8 Stakes
                          Win 1-1 3 Barnes J J Hernandez
                          Place 9-5 4 Rodriguez F Prat
                          Show 7-2 2 Journalism U Rispoli
                          Wild card 30-1 6 Berlin Wall T J Pereira
                          Alternate 1 6-1 1 Mellencamp M E Smith
                          Alternate 2 30-1 5 Smooth Cruisein R Gonzalez
                          Exacta 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/3/4 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

                          COMMENTS: BARNES is undefeated in a pair of two easy wins for trainer Bob Baffert and is the current Kentucky Derby favorite. RODRIGUEZ ran second behind CITIZEN BULL who is currently the second Kentucky Derby favorite. JOURNALISM has improved in each of his races and has high caliber late speed. He will be hard to hold off if he is close coming into the stretch. BERLIN WALL is yet to win but might be a long shot with the best chance as he stretches out for the first time.

                          Race #9

                          Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:15 PM ET

                          Best Commentary $300.000 FRANK KILROE STAKES GRADE I $300,000.00

                          Race 9 Stakes
                          Win 2-1 3 El Potente H I Berrios
                          Place 8-5 1 Mi Hermano Ramon F Prat
                          Show 6-1 4 Formidable Man U Rispoli
                          Wild card 6-1 2 Air Force Red J J Hernandez
                          Alternate 1 8-1 5 Neat J L Ortiz
                          Alternate 2 20-1 6 Zio Jo K Frey
                          Exacta 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

                          COMMENTS: EL POTENTE won five of seven on Santa Anita turf and just two of seven on or at anywhere else. MI HERMANO RAMON exploded through the first half mile last out with much faster fractions. FORMIDABLE MAN is likely to show more maybe a lot more in the second start off the sidelines. AIR FORCE RED should make a strong effort to finish in the money but will need his absolute best to win.

                          Race #10

                          Dirt 1 1/4 Miles - Post Time: 07:47 PM ET

                          Best Commentary $300,000 SANTA ANITA HANDICAP $300,000.00

                          Race 10 Stakes
                          Win 3-2 7 Locked J L Ortiz
                          Place 6-1 5 Mirahmadi J J Hernandez
                          Show 8-1 2 New King M E Smith
                          Wild card 5-2 3 Hit Show F Prat
                          Alternate 1 30-1 4 J B Strikes Back A Fresu
                          Alternate 2 10-1 1 Express Train H I Berrios
                          Exacta 7-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/5/7 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

                          COMMENTS: LOCKED is an off and on horse and his last was an off effort so today should be on. MIRAHMADI won his last two at Santa Anita making it look easy. NEW KING ran the highest last race speed figure with top tier late speed last out. A repeat and it is a wrap. HIT SHOW is basically win or go home hitting the wire first in eight of 16 races with a second and bunch of clunkers in the rest.

                          Race #11

                          Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 08:19 PM ET

                          Best Bet #2 COALINGA ROAD $67,000.00

                          Race 11 Allowance Optional Claiming
                          Win 3-1 2 Coalinga Road A Fresu
                          Place 5-1 9 Takes Three H I Berrios
                          Show 9-2 11 British Isles D A Herrera
                          Wild card 8-1 6 Phosphorescence F Prat
                          Alternate 1 10-1 3 Escape Artist A Ayuso
                          Alternate 2 15-1 5 Zalamo K Frey
                          Exacta 2-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/9/11 BOX, 6/9/11 BOX

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #14
                            Turfway Park Tip Sheet - March 1


                            Feb. 28, 2025

                            Race #1

                            All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:55 PM ET $41,200.00

                            Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
                            Win 5-2 7 Mister Rosso O Villarreal
                            Place 3-1 3 Abbi Fede I Moncada
                            Show 5-1 8 Day Money Deegan C Barbosa
                            Wild card 7-2 2 Big Lambros G Saez
                            Alternate 1 15-1 6 Run Tzu A Beschizza
                            Alternate 2 15-1 5 Legend of Bobby C S Sanjur
                            Exacta 7-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
                            Trifecta 3/7/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX

                            Race #2

                            All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET $29,900.00

                            Race 2 Maiden Claiming
                            Win 3-1 3 Halfway Joking F De La Cruz
                            Place 4-1 5 Livehappy V Lebron
                            Show 7-2 8 Teen Idol J D Ramos
                            Wild card 4-1 1 Stormproof W A Rodriguez
                            Alternate 1 9-2 7 High Five Sy I Moncada
                            Alternate 2 12-1 2 Surfin Sam S Sanjur
                            Exacta 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
                            Trifecta 3/5/8 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

                            Race #3

                            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:55 PM ET

                            Best Bet #10 KARMA DIRECTOR $15,400.00

                            Race 3 Claiming
                            Win 8-5 10 Karma Director A Beschizza
                            Place 3-1 6 Roenick Y L Correa
                            Show 7-2 4 Caped Crusader A Jimenez
                            Wild card 15-1 1 Big Elm L Sosa
                            Alternate 1 10-1 5 Haskelled J D Ramos
                            Alternate 2 15-1 3 Urgent Fury A Achard
                            Exacta 10-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                            Trifecta 4/6/10 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

                            Race #4

                            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:25 PM ET $29,900.00

                            Race 4 Maiden Claiming
                            Win 1-1 9 Dazzling Cruiser R M Hernandez
                            Place 5-1 7 Miss Monroe County G Ashton
                            Show 9-2 3 Zappera S Doyle
                            Wild card 8-1 1 Matters A Achard
                            Alternate 1 12-1 6 Argentinidad J Padron-Barcenas
                            Alternate 2 20-1 2 Brownsboro Rose E A Roman
                            Exacta 9-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
                            Trifecta 3/7/9 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX

                            Race #5

                            All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:55 PM ET $82,000.00

                            Race 5 Allowance Optional Claiming
                            Win 4-1 14 Red State I Moncada
                            Place 3-1 8 Perfect Prankster V Cheminaud
                            Show 4-1 11 Chance A Cedillo
                            Wild card 3-1 13 Without Borders G Corrales
                            Alternate 1 5-1 10 Mid Day Image G Saez
                            Alternate 2 12-1 2 Pine Knoll A Beschizza
                            Exacta 14-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-13 BOX
                            Trifecta 8/11/14 BOX, 8/11/13 BOX

                            Race #6

                            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:25 PM ET

                            Best Bet #3 BOURBON MEMORY $82,000.00

                            Race 6 Allowance Optional Claiming
                            Win 3-1 3 Bourbon Memory G Corrales
                            Place 7-2 6 Foxtastic A Beschizza
                            Show 5-2 1 Birkin Girl R M Hernandez
                            Wild card 4-1 2 Presha A Achard
                            Alternate 1 10-1 5 Go Town I Moncada
                            Alternate 2 20-1 8 Lookatmybuckle V Cheminaud
                            Exacta 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                            Trifecta 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

                            Race #7

                            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:55 PM ET

                            Best Commentary $125,000 WINTERGREEN STAKES $125,000.00

                            Race 7 Stakes
                            Win 5-2 2 Dreaming of Mo V Cheminaud
                            Place 4-1 4 Ms Quality Control A Beschizza
                            Show 4-1 9 Everland A Cedillo
                            Wild card 20-1 6 Vinos Angel A Calleja
                            Alternate 1 20-1 3 Go Lee Ann Go J D Ramos
                            Alternate 2 7-2 5 Austere G Corrales
                            Exacta 2-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
                            Trifecta 2/4/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX

                            COMMENTS: DREAMING OF MO appears to prefer synthetic surfaces and might be ready for a career best today. MS QUALITY CONTROL showed more early tempo in her last and might be better in round two off the bench today. EVERLAND won four of seven at Turfway and makes the classic third start after a layoff here. VINOS ANGEL is all weather or almost nothing winning five of nine and just one in five on any other.

                            Race #8

                            All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 09:25 PM ET

                            Best Bet #7 NICE AS PIE $86,000.00

                            Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming
                            Win 5-2 7 Nice as Pie A Beschizza
                            Place 4-1 3 Nom de Plume J D Ramos
                            Show 7-2 4 B G Warrior A Achard
                            Wild card 3-1 1 Awesome Treat S Doyle
                            Alternate 1 12-1 2 Sickle Dance I Moncada
                            Alternate 2 8-1 5 These Apples A Cedillo
                            Exacta 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                            Trifecta 3/4/7 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

                            Race #9

                            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 09:55 PM ET $18,500.00

                            Race 9 Maiden Claiming
                            Win 5-2 6 My Angel Does A Beschizza
                            Place 5-1 12 So Emotional A Achard
                            Show 10-1 8 Permanent Problem J D Ramos
                            Wild card 12-1 4 Kate Wins L Sosa
                            Alternate 1 10-1 7 Leziate F De La Cruz
                            Alternate 2 7-2 1 Wall Street Magic A Jimenez
                            Exacta 6-12 BOX, 12-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
                            Trifecta 6/8/12 BOX, 4/8/12 BOX

                            Race #10

                            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 10:25 PM ET $27,800.00

                            Race 10 Claiming
                            Win 5-1 3 Cloudy Holiday A Beschizza
                            Place 15-1 8 Collator J D Ramos
                            Show 4-1 6 Brio I Moncada
                            Wild card 7-2 12 Azoi G Corrales
                            Alternate 1 6-1 2 Gucci Man A Cedillo
                            Alternate 2 20-1 13 Adios Ashwood J D Ramos
                            Exacta 3-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-12 BOX
                            Trifecta 3/6/8 BOX, 6/8/12 BOX

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #15

                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.


                              Race 1 - Stakes - 11.0f on the Turf. Purse: $165000 Class Rating: 107

                              VERY ONE S. PRESENTED BY MYRACEHORSE GP - R10 - GRADE 3 FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 6 WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 6/1
                              # 8 LA MEHANA (FR) 4/1
                              # 9 BLUSH (IRE) 10/1
                              WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE looks very strong to best this field. Wagerers ought to take a good look at this one as this mare has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Solid rider and trainer combo winning 22 percent of their races working together. LA MEHANA (FR) - The average Equibase class figure alone makes this entrant a contender. Overall the Speed Figures of this horse look formidable in this race. BLUSH (IRE) - Conditioner has solid win rate (19 percent) at this distance and surface. Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last contest.

                              Comment

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