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Sportsbook Investing for 11/15
Play of the Day:
Detroit Red Wings + St Louis Blues OVER 5 (hockey)
Play of the Day:
Detroit Red Wings + St Louis Blues OVER 5 (hockey)
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NCAA Basketball Picks
Michigan State vs. Duke
The Spartans look to take advantage of a Duke team that is coming off a 96-55 win over Presbyterian and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a win by more than 20 points. Michigan State is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 543-544: Kent State at West Virginia (10:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 62.635; West Virginia 67.912
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 5 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 8 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+5 1/2); OverGame 545-546: San Diego State at Baylor (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 61.721; Baylor 71.600
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 10; 137
Vegas Line: Baylor by 9; 133
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-9); OverGame 547-548: Rhode Island at Texas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 59.162; Texas 70.942
Dunkel Line: Texas by 12; 138
Vegas Line: Texas by 15 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+15 1/2); UnderGame 549-550: Rutgers at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 58.849; Miami (FL) 64.387
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 5 1/2;
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+7 1/2)Game 551-552: Dayton at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 60.524; Miami (OH) 55.134
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-3 1/2)Game 553-554: LaSalle at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 58.741; Villanova 70.505
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 12
Vegas Line: Villanova by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+14 1/2)Game 555-556: Charlotte at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 52.339; Central Michigan 46.845
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 5 1/2;
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-2 1/2)Game 557-558: Michigan State vs. Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.968; Duke 72.786
Dunkel Line: Duke by 4; 144
Vegas Line: Duke by 6 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+6 1/2); OverGame 559-560: Missouri State at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 60.486; Arkansas State 59.414
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 1
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+2)Game 561-562: Florida at Ohio State (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 70.365; Ohio State 83.600
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 13; 140
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 10 1/2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-10 1/2); OverGame 563-564: St. Louis at Southern Illinois (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 59.754; Southern Illinois 55.648
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 4
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 7
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+4)Game 565-566: Iowa State at Drake (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 59.782; Drake 52.651
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 7
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-4)Game 567-568: Pepperdine at Arizona State (8:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.693; Arizona State 65.517
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 15
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-13 1/2)Game 569-570: Kansas vs. Kentucky (9:20 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 70.885; Kentucky 78.944
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 8; 149
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 6; 147
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-6); OverGame 571-572: Santa Clara at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 57.747; UC-Santa Barbara 64.139
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-5 1/2)Game 573-574: Middle Tennessee State at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 55.923; UCLA 68.846
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 13
Vegas Line: UCLA by 10
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-10)Game 583-584: AR-Pine Bluff at Oklahoma State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Pine Bluff 36.495; Oklahoma State 63.599
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 27
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 585-586: TX-San Antonio vs. Oral Roberts (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 49.117; Oral Roberts 57.308
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 595-596: Belmont at Memphis (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 63.166; Memphis 69.244
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 6; 149
Vegas Line: Memphis by 4; 144
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4); OverGame 597-598: Jacksonville State at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 45.804; Cincinnati 68.412
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 26
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+26)Game 599-600: South Carolina at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 56.941; Elon 52.849
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 4
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+5 1/2)Game 601-602: Chattanooga at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 49.931; Butler 61.565
Dunkel Line: Butler by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 13
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+13)Game 603-604: Northern Colorado at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 50.579; Wyoming 58.020
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-5 1/2)Game 605-606: Utah State at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 61.373; Weber State 66.959
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-3)Game 607-608: Austin Peay at California (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 58.597; California 68.485
Dunkel Line: California by 10; 142
Vegas Line: California by 12 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+12 1/2); UnderComment
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Today's NHL Picks
Ottawa at Calgary
The Senators look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is coming off a 4-3 win at Colorado and is 1-7 in its last 8 games following a victory. Ottawa is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+135). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Time Posted 8:30 a.m. ESTGame 1-2: New Jersey at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.644; Boston 12.406
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+170); OverGame 3-4: Phoenix at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.450; Toronto 11.991
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); UnderGame 5-6: NY Rangers at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.350; NY Islanders 11.478
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+130); UnderGame 7-8: Minnesota at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.221; Columbus 10.074
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); OverGame 9-10: Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.475; Pittsburgh 11.351
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); UnderGame 11-12: Detroit at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.350; St. Louis 11.800
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); OverGame 13-14: Washington at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.291; Nashville 11.617
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+120); UnderGame 15-16: Florida at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.366; Dallas 11.599
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); OverGame 17-18: Ottawa at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.308; Calgary 10.887
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+135); UnderComment
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Sports Wagers
Belmont +4½ over MEMPHIS Pinnacle
12:00 PM EST. The Memphis Tigers return just about everyone from a team that won 25 games last year and expectations this year are higher than they’ve been since John Calipari bolted for Kentucky. The Tigers open the year as the 10th ranked team in the country but that’s a little too generous. Sure, they're talented, but they were talented last season, and C-USA defenses had no trouble at all in shutting down the Tigers completely. “Worst offense in the league” can be a deceptive phrase, but in this case "worst by a mile" is more like it. Memphis mustered just 0.97 points per possession in conference play. No other C-USA offense -- not Rice, not Houston, no one -- was held to less than a point per trip. Nor should we tell ourselves that this was "just" a case of bad perimeter shooting. Memphis was horrible from beyond the arc too. So, what we have here is a 10th ranked team playing at home as just a 4½-point choice over an Atlantic Sun team. Belmont opened its season at Cameron Indoor Stadium and fell to Duke 77-76. That game was representative of the Belmont "way," as six of Rick Byrd's players scored between nine and 15 points and made Mike Krzyzewski sweat for win No. 901. The Bruins won 30 games last year and return everyone. They’re not just good, they’re really good and if you're ever going to see an A-Sun team win on a top-10 opponent's home court in your lifetime, this could be it. Small line says Belmont should cover and likely win outright. Play: #595 Belmont +4½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Florida +10½ over OHIO ST Pinnacle
10½? Really? Right off the bat you’re going to pay a premium to wager on the Buckeyes because they come in ranked #3 in the nation. Thing is, the Gators come in ranked #8 in the nation. You can be 100% sure that they’ll use this ridiculous number as motivation, as it is an utter insult and coach Billy Donovan might have this +10½ hanging up in the locker room before the game. This one is likely to attract its fair share of NBA scouts. Between OSU's Jared Sullinger and Gators Brad Beal and Patric Young, it's possible you're looking at three 2012 lottery picks assembled on one floor. One should always pay attention to Billy Donovan’s teams. His teams are efficient and always well-prepped. With all due respect to the undeniably stirring moments and amazing visuals supplied by the Aircraft Carrier game, this has the potential to be the best basketball contest of the season so far and you can’t be spotting a team with two potential future NBA stars on the roster 10½ big points. The Gators should stay well within this range and even have a chance at an upset. Play: #561 Florida +10½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
Austin Peay +12½ over CALIFORNIA Sports Interaction
In the tip-off Marathon we always look for games in which an unranked and little known opponent is receiving significant points against a ranked opponent. So, what we have here is the #22 ranked Golden Bears coming off two wins in which they bludgeoned their opponents by 27 and 21 respectively playing a Governors club that lost their opener to Mid Tennessee by nine. Instant inflation. Austin Peay is a strong team and potential winner of the Ohio Valley Conference. This year the Governors have a slew of talent back in the fold that includes TyShwan Edmondson and a healthy Anthony Campbell. Campbell only played 10 games a year ago (13.9 ppg), so a full season of his talents should definitely help Austin Peay's chances at a league title. The Govs play a sound brand of defense under coach Dave Loos, who enters his 21st season. With the return of four starters, Cal has a legitimate chance to win the Pac-12 this season. They’re a tremendous shooting team and they return one of the top three trios in all of college basketball in Jorge Gutierrez, Allen Crabbe and Harper Kamp. However, Cal has had two easy wins and with that comes a feeling of complacency. When that happens a live pooch like Austin Peay can get off to a big start and make that 12½-points look like 20 or 25 by the time the Golden Bears wake up. The Govs could also be pesky as hell and hang around the whole night. Play: #607 Austin Peay +12½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).Comment
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David Banks
Ball State Cardinals vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
Another onslaught of weekday MAC action kicks off the Week 12 slate on the college gridiron when the Ball State Cardinals (6-4, 6-4 ATS) and Northern Illinois Huskies (7-3, 5-5 ATS) go at it with the West Division title on the line; kick-off from Huskie Stadium is set to go live on ESPNU at 8:00 ET Tuesday night.
After churning out sub .500 records each of the last two seasons during the post Nate Davis era, the Cardinals didn’t figure to be in the mix atop the West Division at this point of the season. However, with 17 starters back from last year’s 4-8 SU squad, Head Coach Pete Lembo has pushed all the right buttons and finds the path to the MAC Championship game in his kid’s hands entering tonight’s spot. Ball State got into this position by going into Eastern Michigan right before their bye and pulling out the 33-31 outright win as short two-point underdogs. The win moved the red and white to 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS away from Muncie. The Cardinals already possess four outright upsets as underdogs to date beating Indiana, Army, Ohio and aforementioned Eastern Michigan. Ball State has covered versus each of its L/4 MAC opponents and stands a lucrative 15-5 ATS its L/20 as a road pup of 10.5 points or more.
Northern Illinois represented the West in the MAC Championship Game a year ago, so it comes as no surprise to see the Huskies once again perched atop the division standings. That said; you still have to give a tip of the cap in the direction of new Head Coach Dave Doeren who took over for the beloved Jerry Kill with only 10 starters returning from that 11-3 SU squad. QB Chandler Harnish and RB Jasmin Hopkins are the main reasons why the Huskies have been so potent to date. The duo currently has Northern Illinois ranked 11th in total offense (486.1 YPG) and ninth in scoring offense (41.6 PPG). If the defense could hold up its end of the bargain (#100 at 33.4 PPG allowed), the Huskies would be unbeatable within the MAC. As it is, Northern stands a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home winning by an average of just over 23 PPG, and has covered seven of its L/8 in front of the DeKalb faithful.
Though the Huskies have won seven of these teams L/10 overall gridiron skirmishes, the Cardinals have been the pointspread victor covering on seven occasions; the ‘over’ is 7-3 during that stretch. BSU is 23-8 ATS the L/31 times it was dogged on the road, but stands just 9-13 SU & 11-11 ATS in its L/22 MAC tussles. The Huskies have taken care of chalk players by covering 12 of their L/18 when favored (12-5-1 ATS), but check in with a poor 5-11 ATS record against the L/16 +.500 opponents they’ve faced.
PICK: Ball State / Northern Illinois OVERComment
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