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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #1

    Thursday 3/20/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20540

    #2
    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


    Fair Grounds - Race #5
    #1 Manage Xpectations She moved up nicely when getting around two turns on the main last time out, and she can be a handful here if she transfers that kind of effort over to the turf today.
    #2 Betty's Dance Stretchout player should find a good spot near the top going long, but I worry that she's going to be overbet with what feels like a moderately competitive group.
    #7 Eyes on Italy The move back to turf should work in her favor, as her two- and three-back runs on the grass were both solid enough to keep her in the frame with these. Should bounce back.
    Race Summary Manage Xpectations should find a cozy spot up near the top today while trying a turf route, and I think she's going to really like the trip. She handled turf OK in a modest sprint effort earlier in her career and can build off that solid last run.
    Fair Grounds - Race #6
    #6 Laser Clad There are a couple questions to answer today on the rise while trying the dirt, but that score in the turf sprint debut was sharp enough to think the talent is here to land this one right back.
    #2 Star Rock Star I've always thought highly enough of him, and he should be in line for another really good trip tracking the pace today. Wouldn't be any surprise right back.
    #10 Conejo Chapin Really liked his debut score when punching away late, and he draws well to get another similar kind of wide-moving trip again today.
    Race Summary Laser Clad was sharp on the turf in his debut run, and he might get a perfect attacking trip while outside of a touch of other pace.
    Fair Grounds - Race #8
    #4 Turf Monster Lots to like about his debut score, and he's bred to enjoy the added ground today while stretching around two turns. Think he'll handle these.
    #12 Cheatin Charlie He's cheap, but I do always like a big move off the claim, and getting this guy around two turns on the turf while rising into allowance company is a few big moves at once. Stretchout player should control the pace.
    #9 Mysterious Spirit He has some positional pace and should be in a great spot again turning for home -- established player won't be a surprise.
    Race Summary Turf Monster still has some upside after just one start, and he already looked good winning when going short last month. All signs point to another good effort.

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20540

      #3
      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


      Penn National - Race #1
      #1 LOVEUMOM (3-1) Battled hard in last pair, can control pace with alert start from the rail.
      #3 STAR VENEZUELAN (5-2) Perfect trip off dueling leaders at 7F, drifted at top of lane, second best.
      #5 MANDY’S MISS (8-1) Worked :35-4/5 bullet for new barn, presumably with blinkers on.
      Race Summary LOVEUMOM dueled with a repeat winner and ‘dug in gamely to mid-stretch’ two starts back, then engaged in a ‘heated duel’ with the 8-to-5 second favorite before the odds-on winner passed by both of them in her last start. She should be in control throughout in this field. Bet to win and place and play 1-3 and 1-5 exactas.
      Penn National - Race #2
      #3 MON PETIT CHOU (9-2) Repeated for this barn recently, cuts back to 6F, gets in light weighted.
      #1 JACK’S LILLY (8-1) Even effort in seasonal debut, can top $100,000 in Penn National earnings.
      #9 NO EASY ANSWER (5-2) Off slow in six-horse field, advanced between, couldn’t reach dueling faves.
      Race Summary MON PETIT CHOU won in her first start for this barn at 6F, stepped up in class and controlled the pace to repeat at 6-1/2f, then faded at 7F and finished behind three rivals who were coming off victories. The Parx invader sheds 6 pounds and offers enough value for a win and place bet. Also play a 1-3-9 exacta box.
      Penn National - Race #6
      #5 MR. MARSHALL (6-1) Good numbers, good price, good spot, fate hinges on clean start.
      #6 BYK (2-1) Lightly-raced 5yo excels on off tracks, looms the one to beat on class drop nonetheless.
      #1 PIT STOP MAN (7-2) Dueled and missed by a neck in one- and two-turn 7F sprints out of town.
      Race Summary MR. MARSHALL has two wire-to-wire victories and a second-place finish behind the 2-to-5 favorite the last three times he broke alertly. He ‘tossed his head about’ leaving the gate in one of his recent losses and was bumped at the start in his latest try at this level. He is eligible for this spot by 6 days. Bet to win and place and play a 5/1, 6/ALL trifecta.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20540

        #4
        Gulfstream Park Hotlist - March 20


        Mar. 19, 2025

        By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

        Hot List Key:

        A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
        *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
        *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
        * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

        1st race – (5) Royal Act steps up off an improved effort and should be a main factor here. (4) Self Taught had a useful comeback race and will be a threat. (6) Luni Sima is usually a contender at this level. (7) Speed Control may like a switch to dirt. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 4-5-6-7.

        3rd race – (5) Whiting Field (C) was bet down from 3-1 to 2-1 and finished third. Should get the job done here. (2) Oconee Life has speed and will be tough to catch. (7) Split Strike steps up a notch off a strong win. (4) Remerton will be right there at the finish off the class drop. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-5-7.

        5th race – (7) Kosher Capone missed by a neck last time and will make amends here. (3) Westside Tide exits a maiden win and may be the main foe. (8) Playground Legend will be dangerous off the Maker claim. (1) Dixie Preach may be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-7-8.

        7th race – (5) She’s Fire returns from Tampa and will welcome a return to Tapeta. (1) Tito’s Calling rallied belatedly and will get a boost from a rail trip. (6) De Regreso belongs in the exotics. (2) Nineteenamendment cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-5-6.

        9th race - (6) Jack Kerouac was second last time and should get the win in this field. (7) Hot Blooded could turn up the heat here off the Maker claim. (5) Awesome Crusader may fire in a return to turf. (3) Reminder could work out a good trip here. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-6-7.
        No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
        (5) Whiting Field C, 2/19 3 GP Finished third last time

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20540

          #5
          Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - March 20


          Mar. 19, 2025

          Race #1

          Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:45 PM ET

          Best Bet #9 CLASSIC EMBRACE $28,000.00

          Race 1 Maiden Claiming
          Win 3-1 9 Classic Embrace B Curtis
          Place 7-2 1 Spicy Mustard A Green
          Show 4-1 5 Swamp Queen J Loveberry
          Wild card 9-2 6 Diva Beach A Concepcion
          Alternate 1 8-1 8 Production Meeting T Thornton
          Alternate 2 10-1 4 Perfect Dixie Lady J L Ortiz
          Exacta 9-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
          Trifecta 1/5/9 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

          Race #2

          Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:15 PM ET

          Best Bet #7 MANNYS KAT $13,500.00

          Race 2 Claiming
          Win 5-2 7 Mannys Kat M Murrill
          Place 7-2 5 F Js Flaco J A Guerrero
          Show 7-2 1 Colts Brim F Astudillo
          Wild card 8-1 8 Freeway S Munoz
          Alternate 1 8-1 2 Egor Otay C H Borel
          Alternate 2 6-1 6 Wicked Tough M Rowland
          Exacta 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
          Trifecta 1/5/7 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX

          Race #3

          Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:45 PM ET $28,000.00

          Race 3 Maiden Optional Claiming
          Win 5-2 7 Grand Academic D H Magnon
          Place 3-1 2 Lemon Sohn C J Hernandez
          Show 3-1 3 Mississippi Man J Graham
          Wild card 6-1 1 Flick J A Torres
          Alternate 1 6-1 6 Raising Kane A Concepcion
          Alternate 2 8-1 4 Somekinda Mischief M Murrill
          Exacta 7-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
          Trifecta 2/3/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

          Race #4

          Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:15 PM ET $15,000.00

          Race 4 Claiming
          Win 4-1 6 Dixie Street B Curtis
          Place 5-1 10 Order Up V Del-Cid
          Show 6-1 2 Calibrachoa Kid M Murrill
          Wild card 5-1 11 Drewmazing D H Magnon
          Alternate 1 9-2 5 Wise Anchor E Nieves
          Alternate 2 10-1 8 Sammy Danseur Jr. T Thornton
          Exacta 6-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
          Trifecta 2/6/10 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX

          Race #5

          Turf 7 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:45 PM ET $28,000.00

          Race 5 Maiden Optional Claiming
          Win 3-1 2 Bettys Dance J L Ortiz
          Place 7-2 6 Kissin Riches A Concepcion
          Show 5-1 1 Manage Xpectations E Morales
          Wild card 9-2 7 Eyes On Italy B J Hernandez Jr.
          Alternate 1 6-1 8 Reimagine M Murrill
          Alternate 2 15-1 4 Can I Get Awitness M Pedroza Jr.
          Exacta 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
          Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX

          Race #6

          Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:15 PM ET $53,000.00

          Race 6 Allowance
          Win 5-1 10 Conejo Chapin R R Singh
          Place 7-2 7 Pair of Socks B J Hernandez Jr.
          Show 5-1 5 Hesper M Pedroza Jr.
          Wild card 8-1 6 Laser Clad F Geroux
          Alternate 1 6-1 2 Star Rock Star T Thornton
          Alternate 2 5-1 3 Hawija A Concepcion
          Exacta 10-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
          Trifecta 5/7/10 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX

          Race #7

          Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:45 PM ET $53,000.00

          Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
          Win 7-2 2 Front and Silver J L Ortiz
          Place 5-1 5 Sacred Saint E Morales
          Show 9-2 9 Apriority Catch C Lozada
          Wild card 8-1 7 Pip Squeek F Geroux
          Alternate 1 20-1 8 Country Lady J Graham
          Alternate 2 12-1 10 Visionista M Murrill
          Exacta 2-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
          Trifecta 2/5/9 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX

          Race #8

          Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:15 PM ET $53,000.00

          Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming
          Win 8-1 4 Turf Monster A Concepcion
          Place 7-2 8 Wicked Secret J L Ortiz
          Show 6-1 14 Unified Report A Concepcion
          Wild card 6-1 5 Tonteria J Loveberry
          Alternate 1 9-2 9 Mysterious Spirit M Murrill
          Alternate 2 6-1 16 Play Mo T Thornton
          Exacta 4-8 BOX, 8-14 BOX, 14-5 BOX
          Trifecta 4/8/14 BOX, 5/8/14 BOX

          Race #9

          Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:45 PM ET

          Best Bet #2 DOLLYS GUITAR $13,500.00

          Race 9 Claiming
          Win 7-2 2 Dollys Guitar J L Ortiz
          Place 8-1 12 Sues Little Zing E Nieves
          Show 20-1 13 Anns Storm J A Torres
          Wild card 3-1 6 Drewsilla J Barbosa
          Alternate 1 8-1 4 Miss Kennedy J Loveberry
          Alternate 2 20-1 8 Ours and Theirs E M Murray
          Exacta 2-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX, 13-6 BOX
          Trifecta 2/12/13 BOX, 6/12/13 BOX

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20540

            #6
            Turfway Park Tip Sheet - March 20


            Mar. 20, 2025

            Race #1

            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:55 PM ET $18,500.00

            Race 1 Maiden Claiming
            Win 6-5 1 Stratospheric I Moncada
            Place 5-1 2 Our Prayer A Jimenez
            Show 10-1 3 Malice Mama C Roman
            Wild card 12-1 5 Bluegrass Goddess L Contreras
            Alternate 1 3-1 4 My Favorite Girl J D Ramos
            Alternate 2 8-1 6 Hand It Over C Miller
            Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
            Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

            Race #2

            All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET $34,000.00

            Race 2 Starter Allowance
            Win 1-1 7 Will Not Be Swayed L Machado
            Place 12-1 4 Brooklyn Can Dance I Moncada
            Show 10-1 6 Sweet Bebsi C Barbosa
            Wild card 4-1 5 My Buddy Brooks J E Felix
            Alternate 1 7-2 3 Meuccis Revenge J D Ramos
            Alternate 2 6-1 1 Always Practical A Cedillo
            Exacta 7-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
            Trifecta 4/6/7 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX

            Race #3

            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:55 PM ET $21,600.00

            Race 3 Claiming
            Win 5-1 2 Caped Crusader A Burgos
            Place 7-2 4 Kykeon C Barbosa
            Show 5-2 7 Ironsides P W Ouzts
            Wild card 4-1 6 Toms Spirit O Villarreal
            Alternate 1 5-1 9 Caballo Feliz L Machado
            Alternate 2 10-1 1 Succession Gold J N Hernandez
            Exacta 2-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
            Trifecta 2/4/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX

            Race #4

            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:25 PM ET $15,400.00

            Race 4 Claiming
            Win 5-2 6 Garden Leave I Moncada
            Place 8-5 4 Big Walt W A Rodriguez
            Show 7-2 8 Third Degree Y L Correa
            Wild card 15-1 5 Merlins Magic G Corrales
            Alternate 1 8-1 1 Gold Franc A Jimenez
            Alternate 2 8-1 7 Battle of Britain L Machado
            Exacta 6-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
            Trifecta 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX

            Race #5

            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:55 PM ET

            Best Bet #9 SON OF A GRAY $15,400.00

            Race 5 Claiming
            Win 3-1 9 Son of a Gray C Roman
            Place 5-2 3 Urgent Fury A Achard
            Show 6-1 4 Roenick Y L Correa
            Wild card 8-1 8 Big Elm S Pauly
            Alternate 1 10-1 2 Egyptian King A Serpa
            Alternate 2 5-1 6 Righteous Star L Machado
            Exacta 9-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
            Trifecta 3/4/9 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX

            Race #6

            All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:25 PM ET $21,600.00

            Race 6 Claiming
            Win 7-5 2 Psychedelic I Moncada
            Place 10-1 7 Enticing Sunset A Achard
            Show 9-2 5 Old Fashioned Girl S Doyle
            Wild card 7-2 4 Scoop O Villarreal
            Alternate 1 6-1 6 Temporarilyforever G Lagunes
            Alternate 2 10-1 3 Sonho de Verao J N Hernandez
            Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
            Trifecta 2/5/7 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

            Race #7

            All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 08:55 PM ET

            Best Bet #5 FANTASTICAL $86,000.00

            Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
            Win 2-1 5 Fantastical A Beschizza
            Place 3-1 4 Marmalade Skye I Moncada
            Show 8-5 7 B G Warrior A Achard
            Wild card 12-1 2 Current Climate R M Hernandez
            Alternate 1 15-1 1 Hurry Up Hannah L Machado
            Alternate 2 8-1 6 Independenceavenue V Cheminaud
            Exacta 5-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
            Trifecta 4/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

            Race #8

            All Weather Track 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 09:25 PM ET

            Best Bet #7 SO FAR SO GOOD $27,800.00

            Race 8 Claiming
            Win 9-2 7 So Far So Good A Jimenez
            Place 7-2 3 Red Wine Lady I Moncada
            Show 12-1 6 Waffle House Gang S Sanjur
            Wild card 4-1 2 Sassy Walker A Bendezu
            Alternate 1 5-2 10 Serene Waters J D Ramos
            Alternate 2 12-1 9 Lotta Lissa J E Felix
            Exacta 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
            Trifecta 3/6/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20540

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds
              Fair Grounds - Race 8 $1 WPS / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double
              Optional Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $53,000 • Post: 4:15P
              (INCLUDES UP TO $25,000 LAVPF) FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE FEBRUARY 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) ALLOWANCE HORSES WITH THE MOST STARTS AT THE 2024-2025 FAIR GROUNDS MEET PREFERRED THEN ALLOWANCE HORSES. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND 70 YARDS.).
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * WISE VERDICT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. WICKED SECRET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. PLAY MO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distan ce/surface.
              13 WISE VERDICT 8/1 9/2
              8 WICKED SECRET 7/2 6/1
              16 PLAY MO 6/1 8/1
              9 MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 9/2 9/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              6 CYPRESS GOLD 6 10/1 Front-runner 86 75 92.5 65.6 46.1
              16 PLAY MO 16 6/1 Front-runner 96 93 92.3 81.2 77.2
              14 UNIFIED REPORT 14 6/1 Front-runner 95 84 86.7 79.9 74.4
              15 RUNNINGINTHEMONEY 15 6/1 Front-runner 86 79 75.6 75.2 57.2
              12 CHEATIN CHARLIE 12 15/1 Front-runner 80 64 67.8 67.8 42.3
              10 CAPTIVATING STAR 10 8/1 Stalker 72 65 95.6 70.2 47.7
              7 SLICK AND FAST 7 10/1 Stalker 78 71 88.2 79.6 62.1
              5 TONTERIA 5 6/1 Stalker 83 77 79.6 81.0 66.5
              13 WISE VERDICT 13 8/1 Trailer 93 80 85.7 85.7 80.2
              8 WICKED SECRET 8 7/2 Trailer 91 91 76.4 85.4 75.4
              4 TURF MONSTER 4 8/1 Trailer 72 75 71.1 71.1 49.1
              9 MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT 9 9/2 Trailer 90 79 64.5 82.5 67.5
              2 WOOD RIVER 2 8/1 Trailer 86 82 61.0 82.7 66.7
              11 MAGNOLIA WEST 11 15/1 Trailer 62 62 44.6 68.3 42.8
              1 INCHHIGHATAHUNDRED 1 15/1 Trailer 71 71 42.7 55.9 28.9
              3 SINGLE SHOT 3 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 83 79 77.0 72.4 49.9

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20540

                #8

                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


                Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 1:39pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,100 Class Rating: 73

                Rating:

                #3 UNCLE'S THE BANKER (ML=3/1)
                #2 LT'S JACKNTHEBOX (ML=9/2)


                UNCLE'S THE BANKER - This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. Mathes brings him right back. I suggest you stick with this hot gelding. LT'S JACKNTHEBOX - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BANG A RANG (ML=5/2), #1 SECRET RENDEZVOUS (ML=7/2), #5 SAGE RUNNER (ML=5/1),

                BANG A RANG - February 23rd is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. SECRET RENDEZVOUS - This equine doesn't have a tenacious nature. Repeatedly finishes in the place and show hole. The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this racer as a possibly overvalued contestant. SAGE RUNNER - This gelding gave a less than rousing performance last time out of the box. This vulnerable equine ran a disappointing speed rating last time out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably lose in today's race running that figure.
                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #3 UNCLE'S THE BANKER to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]
                TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20540

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


                  Fair Grounds - Race #8 - Post: 4:15pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $53,000 Class Rating: 90

                  Rating:

                  #13 WISE VERDICT (ML=8/1)
                  #8 WICKED SECRET (ML=7/2)
                  #16 PLAY MO (ML=6/1)
                  #9 MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT (ML=9/2)


                  WISE VERDICT - Jock jumped on this gelding's back for the 1st attempt on Feb 23rd. Should be in tune with the horse even better this time. This gelding is in excellent form right now. Ran first last time out and comes back soon. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the grass. This one has the highest average Equibase class figure in the field. WICKED SECRET - Based on his last TrackMaster turf figure alone, I'm going to play this horse. Strong win percentage this jock and conditioner tandem have been putting together. That 89 fig this gelding notched in his last affair tells me he's a key player this time around. PLAY MO - Took a significant drop in class rating last out at Fair Grounds. Returning to a similar level in this event. Should do well. MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT - A horse coming back this quickly after a sharp outing is a good sign. I expect a lot from this horse. His Equibase speed figures under similar conditions are tops in this bunch. The improved speed figs over the last 3 races is solid. Foster drops him in this affair fit and ready to go.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #15 RUNNINGINTHEMONEY (ML=6/1), #5 TONTERIA (ML=6/1), #14 UNIFIED REPORT (ML=6/1),

                  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY - Looked like he was in good form on Feb 28th. Hasn't been near the track since then though. Not a positive sign. Registered a quite unimpressive speed fig last time around the track in a $5,000 Claiming race on Feb 28th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig. TONTERIA - Garnered a pedestrian speed rating last out in a $5,000 Claiming race on March 3rd. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that rating. UNIFIED REPORT - Hard to play a entrant that can't even win one time in his last ten races.
                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #13 WISE VERDICT to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Box [8,13] Box [13,16] Box [9,13]
                  TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20540

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
                    Louisiana Downs - Race 4 Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
                    Maiden • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 58 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:20P
                    QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
                    Contenders Race Analysis
                    P# Horse Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds
                    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * RUNNIN REBELL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Spee d Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                    4 RUNNIN REBELL 3/1 4/5

                    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                    Figure
                    3 EXECUTIVE CORONAS 3 9/2 Slow/Trouble-prone 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    4 RUNNIN REBELL 4 3/1 Fast 79 57 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    5 AMERICAN MAGICIAN 5 7/2 Slow/Trouble-prone 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    8 LAVION 8 6/1 Slow/Trouble-prone 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    10 PASTELILLO 10 8/1 Slow/Trouble-prone 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
                    Unknown Running Style: ALL ETHICS ASIDE (10/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Rene - Trainer: Weeks Kenneth], FLYING IN THE AM (20/1) [Jockey: Luna Gerardo - Trainer: Carlos Katie], LUX ETERNA (12/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez Yaidel - Trainer: Muniz Janessa Lee], IM PR

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20540

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.


                      Race 9 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 81

                      QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR COLTS AND GELDINGS THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 4 BELIEVE IN PERRY 2/1
                      # 6 FREIGHT LYNER 6/1
                      # 3 LOMAX 3/1
                      I've got to go with BELIEVE IN PERRY. With a nice class fig average of 90, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group of animals. He has been running well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this group. Very good pick to take this race going in a short. FREIGHT LYNER - Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved swiftly to the lead recently. Could best this group of horses based on the speed rating - 78 - of his last affair. LOMAX - He looks respectable in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last contest.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20540

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.


                        Race 1 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 71

                        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 6 COMFORT J BYRD 8/5
                        # 1 LOVESUNFAIR 5/1
                        # 2 THREE MARTINIS 7/2
                        COMFORT J BYRD is the most competitive bet in this race. Zamora has this gelding racing well and is a formidable selection based on the decent Equibase Speed Figures garnered in sprint races lately. When a conditioner brings any racer back this quickly it is a positive signal. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this horse look quite good in this contest. LOVESUNFAIR - The average Equibase class rating alone makes this entrant a solid choice. With a reliable 58 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. THREE MARTINIS - Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the halfway point of the contest. This gelding looks good in this race since Cappellucci has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20540

                          #13
                          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs
                          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                          RACE 13
                          5 5 IWANNABEWITHYOU 6/1 Porter, Trae - 9 539.81
                          2 2 HUNDRED DOLLAR MAN 8/1 Teague, Montrell - 15 535.13
                          3 3 JACK'S SHADOW N 9/2 Tetrick, Tim - 31 531.98
                          8 8 SPROCKET 5/2 Berry, Pat - 14 523.38
                          7 7 ART SCAPING 7/2 Wolfenden, Ross - 7 508.59
                          6 6 BALDER SON 10/1 Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 17 504.97
                          4 4 CAPTAIN'S CHOICE 12/1 Thompson, Jason - 6 493.52
                          1 1 AMERICAN JOE 12/1 Foster, Russell - 8 492.13

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20540

                            #14
                            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Miami Valley
                            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                            RACE 12
                            4 4 HANGON COWGIRL 5/2 St Louis, Marc Jr - 18 558.39
                            5 5 ROKNATNINETYTHREE 6/1 Noble, Dan - 18 523.05
                            1 1 LAYALLYOURLOVEONME 9/2 Bates, Brandon - 11 512.31
                            3 3 ABSOLUTE EUPHORIA 3/1 Miller, Brett - 13 498.50
                            6 6 LAUREL COURT 8/1 Widger, Sam - 8 478.46
                            2 2 SWEET TELL 5/1 Smith, Tyler - 9 476.21
                            8 8 BLUEBIRD ALEXIS 20/1 Smith, Jeremy - 20 455.70
                            9 9 UNDER THE DESK 20/1 Tetrick, Trace - 11 443.99
                            7 7 TIME TO RYDE 20/1 Miller, Marcus - 3 406.93

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20540

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.

                              Race 9 - Post: 9:39 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$7800 - HORSES & GELDINGS - N/W $1875. LAST 3
                              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                              # 6 CONTROL HEAVEN 8/1
                              # 1 CAPTAIN BUTLER 2/1
                              # 8 BOLT POWER 6/1
                              If you want a nice play for this race, feast your eyes on CONTROL HEAVEN and look at those reasonable morning line odds. This contender looks dangerous. Take a good look at the 78 avg TrackMaster Speed Rating. A good class horse cannot be glossed over. With an avg class ranking of 82 all signs point to yes. The group noted a formidable event out of this entrant last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to take the whole enchilada. CAPTAIN BUTLER - This outing may be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage speed rating will confirm that. A respectable class horse cannot be forgotten. With an avg class statistic of 80 all signs say this is the one to beat. BOLT POWER - This gelding getting the win wouldn't be impossible, a chance.

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