Saturday 3/22/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #1

    Saturday 3/22/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #2
    Jeremy Plonk: 17 Stakes in 17 Sentences | Saturday, March 22


    March 20, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

    Saturday’s play list is full of popular tunes, none more well-known than the $1 million Louisiana Derby. Whether you’re dialed into Fair Grounds, Turfway, Santa Anita, Gulfstream or more, we’ve got you covered.
    Let’s get on the fast track to the weekend.

    //

    2:59 pm ET | Laurel Park | Race 7 | $100K Beyond the Wire Stakes
    Three of these return from the Wide Country Stakes, where #2 Ourdaydreaminggirl was rallying well for fourth, gets pace help here from new shooter #1 Central Casting, and now benefits from the second wire finish line as the trip extends a mile.

    3:27 pm ET | Laurel Park | Race 8 | $100K Private Terms Stakes
    Maryland’s first 2-turn Preakness prep lacks the winners of its lead-in stakes this season, so recent check-getters #7 Sacred Thunder and #8 Pay Billy could prove best, the latter my narrow top selection with more upside as they both stretch out.

    3:50 pm ET | Gulfstream Park | Race 7 | $115K Texas Glitter Stakes
    All eyes are on the 3-year-old return of Royal Palm Juvenile winner and Royal Ascot Windsor Castle runner-up #7 Gabaldon’s first start since June, but #6 No Evidence will be aggressively ridden just to his inside and comes off an impressive score worth re-backing.

    4:13 pm ET | Turfway Park | Race 8 | $250K Rushaway Stakes
    Well-drawn #2 Urban Planner has won 2 straight allowance routes at the meet and owns the strongest BRIS late pace figures in a race with some stretch-out sprinters and late question marks.

    4:32 pm ET | Fair Grounds | Race 8 | $150K Benson Memorial Stakes
    #10 Wild About Hilary scratched last week at Oaklawn and opted for this spot instead of tussling with Horse of the Year Thorpedo Anna, giving her a chance to control these turfers every jump of the way under hustling rider Jareth Loveberry.

    4:43 pm ET | Turfway Park | Race 9 | $250K Animal Kingdom Stakes
    Local sprint ace #4 Coming in Hot cuts back after an unsuccessful, but thankfully untaxing, test for distance and figures to get back to his winning ways against the hard-raced, well-traveled #7 Kale’s Angel.

    4:46 pm ET | Oaklawn Park | Race 7 | $175K Purple Martin Stakes
    A flashy pace is anticipated with Saratoga stakes winners #1 Accelerating and #4 Kimchi Cat both firing fresh, leaving the sprint-route-sprint form cycle for #3 Kentucky Smokeshow on upset alert.

    5:04 pm ET | Fair Grounds | Race 9 | $500K New Orleans Classic
    Breeders’ Cup Classic winner and Champion 3-Year-Old Colt #7 Sierra Leone makes his season debut and note he’s 3-for-3 in the first start of his form cycle so far in his career, while getting Lasix and a potentially strong pace scenario to further aid his cause.

    5:13 pm ET | Turfway Park | Race 10 | $300K Kentucky Cup Classic
    Capacity, quality group offers one of the best betting races of the day and I’ll give a longshot win/place look to #1 Highestdistinction, who was too close to the pace last time and should finish with more flair with a rider change to Adam Beschizza (use in exactas with #10, #3).

    5:36 pm ET | Fair Grounds | Race 10 | $300K Muniz Memorial Stakes
    #6 Spirit of St Louis is a deserving favorite and never misfires, so we’ll use that one on top of a couple of price chances, #3 What Say Thee and #4 Cameo Performance, who are well-drawn in a field with some outside speed that should hum along early.

    5:43 pm ET | Turfway Park | Race 11 | $300K Bourbonette Oaks
    Just love the form cycle for #7 As Catch Can, who goes sprint-to-route while second off the layoff and she’s got proven Tapeta form at Woodbine, while owing a ton of respect to #11 White Rocks and her freakish performances at the meeting.

    6:08 pm ET | Fair Grounds | Race 11 | $400K Fair Grounds Oaks
    The last time to catch #3 Ahavah at a fair price might be here as the kid sister to star filly Vahva takes a bold bite of the apple off her debut sprint and faces #7 Good Cheer, the unbeaten early favorite for the Kentucky Oaks.

    6:25 pm ET | Turfway Park | Race 12 | $777K Jeff Ruby
    New series speed from #2 Charlie’s to Blame and #8 Innovator shakes up the carousel finish from the John Battaglia Memorial and gives late-running, fresh-faced favorite #9 Poster the best chance late over a track where he’s trained all winter, as well as late rocket-launching maiden winner #4 Final Gambit for a Godolphin-Juddmonte class exacta.

    6:25 pm ET | Oaklawn Park | Race 10 | $500K Essex Stakes
    #4 Patriot Spirit gets pretty bold on the lead and could find himself in upset position as likely solid favorite #5 Kinetic finds ways to make it more interesting than it should be with his stretch antics at short prices.

    6:42 pm ET | Fair Grounds | Race 12 | $1M Louisiana Derby
    There could be an overheated pace at 1-3/16 miles that beckons #2 Chunk of Gold and #10 Hypnus as the closers to fear, but I have much respect for #1 John Hancock and we’ve seen too many times that these big racing days wind up with speed-favoring tracks.

    7:00 pm ET | Santa Anita Park | Race 7 | $100K San Luis Rey Stakes
    Phil D’Amato trainees #3 Easter, #6 Gold Phoenix and # Divine Propos all look like the same horse and while none are projected to be at their absolute best going 1-1/2 miles, I’ll lean to #6 Gold Phoenix, who has been training quite well at 1st.tv on video.

    8:00 pm ET | Turf Paradise | Race 9 | $50K Phoenix Gold Cup
    Favored #1 Redline has won 3 Turf Paradise stakes in as many tries, but exits a bang-up second to Jaxon Travler in which that consistent runner bounced terribly last week at Oaklawn – so give me the freshened #5 Coastal Jazz (7-2 ML) for a 45% winning jockey-trainer combo at TuP.
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    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20541

      #3
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Fair Grounds - Race #10
      #8 Brilliant Berti I love how honest he is, and I'm hoping he has come forward into his 4-year-old season at least enough to be in the frame with the next guy who is going to hit hard here...
      #6 Spirit of St. Louis Pegasus winner had previously done most of his damage in New York-bred stakes, and he meets a group that probably runs for second if he's able to get right back to that effort today.
      #1 Gigante You'll definitely get a better number on him this time around if you're a fan -- he's better than he showed in that last one but might still be a mild cut below the top tier players in here. He was second here last year at 17/1 off a flat try in the Fair Grounds Handicap....
      Race Summary Brilliant Berti needs a step forward if he's going to hang with Spirit of St. Louis, but I'm hoping there is some upside after the October freshening into his 4-year-old debut.
      Fair Grounds - Race #11
      #3 Ahavah Tons of respect for the chalk in here, but I feel like this filly is one of the few in here who could take just a fairly reasonable step forward in this race and stay in the frame with that toughie. Most of the rest need a more surprising reversal of form.
      #7 Good Cheer She only beat three horses in the Rachel Alexandra, but she did it in a way that left at least one moderately talented filly spinning her wheels far behind her. She's the goods...but maybe the top choice is, too?
      #8 Secret Faith Louisiana-bred almost has to be in too deep to land this, but she has a couple of very fast races for a filly like her, and she loves the local footing. Could see her for a share.
      Race Summary Ahavah is an unknown quantity taking a big bite today -- first-out winner running into the super imposing Good Cheer at second asking. But I'll take a shot.
      Fair Grounds - Race #12
      #7 Vassimo I like that he's right back in the next race in the local series despite proving no serious threat in that fast Risen Star won by Magnitude. Blinkers could be the key to getting him in the right direction.
      #2 Chunk of Gold Liked the way he ran on at a big price in the local debut after a couple synthetic starts to open his career, and if that run was legit...he's the one to beat today.
      #3 Tiztastic Not a huge fan, but there is some fairly honest form on the page before the mild run last time out, and something like the Southwest effort might be enough to keep him in the frame here.
      Race Summary Fun race, and a fun call to make -- what are you going to do with the Magnitude Risen Star, especially because he's not back. It was a fast race by every account, and it should be key to how this one plays out if it's as legit as it looked.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20541

        #4
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Turf Paradise - Race #3
        #9 ANNIE’S BOY (3-1) Hard used in last pair, wilted late, figures tough on the class drop.
        #6 JAIME’S COMMITMENT (4 Earned top speed fig in first setback at Turf Paradise, has passing gear.
        #3 CAPITAL EXPENSE (6-1) Gets class relief, gets Hernandez, can enhance strong record at track.
        Race Summary ANNIE’S BOY was bumped on both sides at the start, survived a hard 3-way duel but couldn’t hold onto a clear lead at the eighth pole at 6F two starts back. He dueled 3-wide on the turn again last out, only to tire as the 3-to-5 favorite in a 4-1/2F race that timed in :50-3/5. Bet to win and place and play a 3-6-9 exacta box.
        Turf Paradise - Race #4
        #1 DADS ESTRELLA (4-1) Found room too late on the rail, gets plenty of pace to rally into.
        #5 BLESSED ANGEL (9-2) Just missed in blanket finish against similar foes, makes third start of year.
        #6 GO GO SADIE (12-1) ‘Quickly drew clear’ in form-reversing victory over ‘Estrella.’
        Race Summary DADS ESTRELLA checked sharply nearing the turn, and awaited room at the top of the stretch before she ‘finished fast’ on the rail to finish second as the favorite. She draws the rail again but is worth a win and place wager at an inflated price. Also play a 1-4-5-6 exacta box.
        Turf Paradise - Race #5
        #2 SARWAR (4-1) Lightly-raced 6yo delivers time and time again, tries Turf Paradise lawn for first time.
        #5 KENNEBEC (7-2) Sustained rally from far turn to finish second, extra half-furlong suits him well.
        #7 SALINE RIVER (3-1) Model of ultra consistency with 7-for-10 record on the turf, fires fresh.
        Race Summary SARWAR rallied to win a six-figure turf allowance at Del Mar in August, won again at one-mile via a disqualification in November, then led between calls in the stretch last month when second in a longer grass test at Santa Anita. Bet to win and place and play a 2,5/2, 5, 7/ALL trifecta.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20541

          #5
          Gulfstream Park Hotlist - March 22


          Mar. 20, 2025

          By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

          Hot List Key:

          A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
          *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
          *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
          * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

          1st race – (6) Calathea tired and finished fourth last time. Should fare better at seven furlongs. (2) Secret Revenge was second could be a serious contender.(4) Fantastic Flame might be in the picture in her debut. (7) Albino Bay is another interesting firster. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7.

          3rd race – (5) Atomico should improve for a new barn. (2) First Shot Fired rallied for second last time and could be the main threat. (1) Gemstone Warrior is worth a look off the class drop. (4) Line Astray fits nicely here. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-5.

          5th race – (2) Hot Cargo (B) had a rough start last time but can perk up off the Joseph claim. (8) Miss Bodacious was third in her US debut and looks like the one to fear. (9) Definite Diva should be closing late. (5) Bel Pensiero cannot be ignored. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-8-9.

          7th race – (6) No Evidence comes off a sharp maiden win and gets the nod here. (7) Gabaldon is training nicely for his comeback. (1) Turbulent Force could be tough to catch from the rail. (2) Incanto should handle the switch to turf. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-6-7.

          9th race - (10) Goa didn’t fire in her US debut. Gets a second chance here. (7) Without Cause looks like the one to catch. (8) Awesome Spirit Gal should be battling to the end. (5) North End Lady may be closing fast at the wire. Betting strategy: 10 to win, place. Exacta box: 5-7-8-10.
          No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
          (2) Hot Cargo B, 1/23 5 GP Had a rough start last time

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 20541

            #6
            Aqueduct Hotlist - March 22


            Mar. 20, 2025

            By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

            Hot List Key:
            A:
            A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
            *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
            *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
            * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

            5th race [Clm 40000 N2L, 6 ? F] – (5) Proud Divi (A) had the lead and missed the win by a head but finished well clear of the rest of the field. (4) She’s Cool (C) took late money with odds that dropped from 6-1 to 7-2 and finished third. (1) Despo’s Dream drops out of a pair of starter allowances to the N2L level where in October he finished second and was claimed by Linda Rice. (7) Saucy Six has been toiling at this level and should get used underneath in this field.

            6th race [Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (7) Stone Cold Kelly was second in both of her starts which were this year at Aqueduct. (4) More Than Grace was second in her debut last year and then was fourth as the favorite in January. Blinkers go on. (6) Madam Opus ships up from Florida for Chad Brown where she finished third in her only start as the 2-1 favorite. (3) That’s Funny will step up from two starts in maiden claimers at Tampa Downs as she joins the New York division of the Sacco barn which is a high percentage winner.

            7th race [NY, Md 30000, 6 ? F] – (4) King Solomon (B) had a big improvement to finish second in his second start and was well ahead of the rest of the field. (8) Tarpaulin ships up from Maryland for his debut for Brittany Russell who wins at a very high rate with first-time starters in claimers. (2) Nine N Four was claimed for $40,000 last month and was then outrun in a maiden special weight. He is competitive in this kind of claimer and blinkers go on. (1) Monte Avi was second last time in a $25,000 claiming maiden.

            10th race [NY, Md 30000, 6 ? F] – (6) Rum Cay (B) stumbled at the start of his debut for Linda Rice, got to the lead, and finished third. (7) Renew the Blue (B) steadied at the start to be last following a layoff and passed horses late. (1) Total Silence missed a win by a nose the last time that he ran for a tag in December at Aqueduct. (11) Consider It Done debuted last month in a maiden special weight where he flashed some early speed and faded.

            Best bets: Proud Divi (5th); Rum Cay (10th). Best Value: Stone Cold Kelly (6th); King Solomon (7th).

            @NYHotList Saturday Pick 3 Special --
            Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 5-7 ? 1, 4, 5 with 3, 4, 6, 7 with 2, 4, 8 = $36.
            No. Name Letter
            last race
            Today's Race Comments
            (4) She’s Cool C on 3/9 5 Took late money and finished third.
            (5) Proud Divi A on 3/1 5 Had the lead but missed by a head.
            (4) King Solomon B on 3/1 7 Big improvement to finish second.
            (6) Rum Cay B on 2/14 10 Rushed up after a stumble at the start and faded.
            (7) Renew the Blue B on 2/8 10 Steadied after start and passed horses late.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20541

              #7
              Keeneland Select Derby Prep - Louisiana Derby | March 22, 2025


              Mar. 20, 2025

              By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

              The $1 Million Louisiana Derby (G2), Saturday, Fair Grounds

              Race 12 – 6:42 p.m. EDT – The Louisiana Derby is a [100-50-25-15-10] points qualifier on the road to the 2025 Kentucky Derby. A field of 10 was drawn including two Brad Cox and two from Steve Asmussen that will run 1 3/16 miles which is the longest distance on the Derby trail. (2) Chunk of Gold was second last time in the Risen Star (G2) at Fair Grounds behind Magnitude who got loose on the lead in what was one of the most visually impressive performances on the Derby trail. Chuck of Gold had to overcome trouble at the start and entering the stretch and still defeated several horses that ran well in Derby preps. Chuck of Gold will get a fast pace to set up his closing move which is well-suited to the long stretch at the New Orleans track. (1) John Hancock is clearly the horse to beat with two wins from two starts including the Sam F. Davis on the Derby trail. He will go to the lead again as he did in both of his victories but will have to run a furlong farther as a heavy favorite. (5) Caldera will give Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas a chance to get a second horse Derby qualified. Last time out he had the lead in the Sunland Derby and finished second by a nose to a Bob Baffert runner. He gets a positive rider change. (6) Built gathered Derby points with top three finishes in his last three starts. Blinkers go on for this late runner. Betting strategy: Exacta key box: 2 with 1, 5, 6, 7, 9. Trifecta box: 1, 2, 5, 6.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20541

                #8
                Keeneland Select Derby Prep - Jeff Ruby | March 22, 2025


                Mar. 20, 2025

                By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

                The $777,777 Jeff Ruby (G3), Saturday, Turfway Park

                Racce 12 – 6:25 p.m. EDT – The Jeff Ruby Steaks is also a [100-50-25-15-10] points qualifier on the road to the Kentucky Derby that drew a field of 12. A fast pace is expected and those speed horses will have to handle the increase to nine-furlongs on the Tapeta. (6) Baby Max was second in the Battlaglia Memorial in the first Derby prep at Turfway and won a stakes race before that. A fast pace is projected in the Jeff Ruby since there are a three speed horses with recent front-end victories. Expect Baby Max to sit a stalking trip. (3) California Burrito was the Battaglia winner with a front-end trip and won an allowance at Turfway before that also with early speed. (9) Poster won the Remsen (G2) at Aqueduct on the Derby trail having won his first three starts. He was third in the Sam F. Davis to begin 2025. He had several recent workouts at Turfway Park and thus deserves serious consideration. (12) He’s Not Joking won the Grey Stakes (G3) on the Tapeta at Woodbine and then tried two starts on the dirt on the Derby trail. He had a recent work at Turfway. Betting strategy: Exacta box: 3, 6, 9, 12. Trifecta box: Exacta box: 3, 6, 9, 12.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20541

                  #9
                  Keeneland Select Picks of the Day | March 22, 2025


                  Mar. 20, 2025

                  Race 12 at Turfway Park | Saturday, March 22 | Post Time 6:25 PM Eastern

                  Jeff Ruby – Grade 3 | Purse $777,000 | Three Year Olds | One Mile and One Eighth

                  Top contenders:

                  California Burrito (3) won the local prep for this race, the John Battaglia Memorial Stakes, four weeks ago, for his second straight victory and third in six races. He has improved in each of his last three starts since moving to the all-weather surface at Turfway Park, from an 86 Equibase Speed Figure in December, to 87 in January, to a field high last race 98 figure in the Battaglia. Although he did lead from start to finish in his two most recent races, California Burrito did not run like a horse who needs the lead to win, as he did not slow down in the final quarter mile, and because his first win back in September was earned when rallying from sixth in the early stages. California Burrito won from the four post in an 11 horse field last time out and gets the similar three post in this 12 horse field, so with continued improvement expected gets slight preference among three horses which stick out against the rest in terms of win probability in this year’s Jeff Ruby Steaks.

                  Charlie’s to Blame (2) won in California in December, on turf going a mile, shipped to Florida to win another last month, went to Kentucky to train, and now shows up at Turfway, like California Burrito going for his third win in a row and second stakes win in a row. Last month Charlie’s to Blame won the Kitten’s Joy Stakes on turf, like California Burrito when leading from start to finish but also like that one not running like a horse that needs the lead to win. Jockey Juan Hernandez comes out from California to ride, having guided Charlie’s to Blame to victory the only time he was aboard, last December. The colt put in a very strong half-mile workout at Turfway (fourth best of 37) coming into the race and from a good inside post should be in contention from start to finish.

                  Baby Max (6) was sent to post as the 2 to 1 favorite in the Battaglia, compared to 3 to 1 for California Burrito, and ran well as he stalked in third, made a move to get within a head of the lead with an eighth of a mile to run, then battled gamely to come up just a half-length short at the finish. Blinkers go on to help him focus and he’s reunited with jockey Cedillo, who was up for a half-length loss in December and for victory in the Leonatus Stakes in January. This is another colt with improving to do, having gone from an 85 Equibase Speed Figure in December, to 95 in January, to 97, and so he rounds out a very strong trio of win contenders in this field.

                  Bets:

                  Win Bets:

                  All three win contenders – California Burrito (3), Charlie’s to Blame (2) and Baby Max (6), can be considered for win bets at odds of 5 to 2 or more. I would not hesitate to bet the two of the three at those odds or higher.

                  Exactas:

                  Box California Burrito (3), Charlie’s to Blame (2) and Baby Max (6)



                  Race 12 at Fair Grounds | Saturday, March 22 | Post Time 6:42 PM Eastern

                  Louisiana Derby – Grade 2 | Purse $1 Million | Three Year Olds | One Mile and Three Sixteenths

                  Analysis of the early pace scenario and how it might affect the outcome:

                  “Pace Makes the Race” is not a clich? statement, because how a race is run in the early stages, the “early pace” often has a big impact on the outcome. In this race, if all 10 run as expected, there’s likely to be an “irresistible force” versus an “immovable object” situation where the early pace is concerned. This is because John Hancock (1) draws the inside position in the gate and has led virtually from start to finish in both his races, the best of which was a win in the Sam F Davis Stakes last month with a 97 Equibase Speed Figure. However, Yinzer (4) is just as determined to lead from the start, having led for the first three-quarters of a mile two races back on January 18 (before tiring) and then leading from the start when winning on February 15, both races at Fair Grounds. Although he earned only an 89-speed figure, Yinzer’s 103 and 93 early pace figures and John Hancock’s 98 and 90 figures are comparable and suggest both with go for the lead from the start at any cost. Furthermore, Furio (8) has led from the start and through the opening half mile in all three races, with his only career win coming when leading from start to finish and earning a 91-speed figure. With a jockey change to Luis Saez and an outside post which demands he be sent for the lead from the start, he could run even faster in the early stages then he did when leading early and finishing second last month over the track, with 107 and 97 early pace figures to back that up.

                  Win contenders:

                  Considering Instant Replay (9) took advantage of the fast pace set by Furio in that race last month at Fair Grounds, going five paths wide on the turn and drawing off to win by five lengths with gas left in the tank, Instant Replay is very likely to get the same set up, or even better, for his late kick in the Louisiana Derby. Instant Replay was returning from a two-month layoff that day and should improve physically in his second start of the year, so his 100 Equibase figure (which is tied with Caldera for the best last figure in the field) should be improved upon. Jockey Florent Geroux has been the only pilot Instant Replay has had in six starts including both wins, and as the colt’s middle pace and final figure combination (85 then 100) is strong evidence of his ability to close strongly as the pacesetters tire, Instant Replay appears to be the one to beat in this race.

                  Caldera (5) earned the same 100 figure in his most recent race as Instant Replay did. That effort and figure came when Caldera finished second, beaten a nose, in the Sunland Derby five weeks ago. That was his second race since adding blinkers, and in the first of the pair Caldera drew away to win by the same five length margin as Instant Replay did in his most recent race. In the Sunland Derby, Caldera rallied from fifth after a half mile, to second on the turn, then made the lead by a head with an eighth of a mile to run, but the more experienced Getaway Car fought back to prevail by inches. With that effort Caldera continued a pattern of improvement started in his first two-turn race in December, from a 74 figure, to 93, then to 100. With continued improvement Caldera should be a strong factor down to the wire in this race.

                  Chunk of Gold (2) won his debut sprinting in December with an 89 figure then when stretched out to a mile and entered in a stakes race on January 16, he ran about the same, earning an 88 figure. Shipping from trainer Ethan West’s base in Kentucky to Fair Grounds for the Risen Star Stakes last month, Chunk of Gold ran into a buzzsaw in the form of Magnitude, who won by nearly 10 lengths. Magnitude is off the Derby trail with an injury, and although Chunk of Gold was no match for the winner, he ran an exceptionally good race as he rallied from eighth to beat Built by a head at the wire. I consider this the “race within the race” because it is as if there was a secondary race going on because the winner was so far in front. Chunk of Gold is out of the mare Play for Gold, who produced 2024 Martha Washington Stakes winner Band of Gold, so there is little doubt this colt has some quality and may have a say in the outcome of this year’s Louisiana Derby, perhaps at high odds.

                  Bets:

                  Win Bets:

                  Instant Replay (9) at odds of 2 to 1 or more.

                  Caldera (6) at odds of 5 to 2 or more.

                  Chunk of Gold (2) at odds of 7 to 2 or more.

                  Exactas:

                  Box Instant Replay (9) and Caldera (5).

                  Box Instant Replay (9), Caldera (5) and Chunk of Gold (2).

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20541

                    #10
                    Turfway Park Tip Sheet - March 22


                    Mar. 21, 2025

                    Race #1

                    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:45 PM ET $80,000.00

                    Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 3-1 7 Spinning Glory G Corrales
                    Place 7-2 6 Listen and Learn A Beschizza
                    Show 5-1 8 Pepper Girl E A Roman
                    Wild card 6-1 12 One Happy Island A Jimenez
                    Alternate 1 8-1 9 Oraia L Machado
                    Alternate 2 10-1 13 Starship Athena J R Velazquez
                    Exacta 7-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-12 BOX
                    Trifecta 6/7/8 BOX, 6/8/12 BOX

                    Race #2

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:13 PM ET

                    Best Bet #14 PAINTED DESERT $80,000.00

                    Race 2 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 3-1 14 Painted Desert L Machado
                    Place 7-2 12 Beach Wedding G Corrales
                    Show 3-1 2 Whippoorwill I Moncada
                    Wild card 6-1 11 Les Is Best L Dettori
                    Alternate 1 15-1 3 Top W A Rodriguez
                    Alternate 2 10-1 7 Peqot J D Ramos
                    Exacta 14-12 BOX, 12-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/12/14 BOX, 2/11/12 BOX

                    Race #3

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:43 PM ET $82,000.00

                    Race 3 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 9-2 8 Fast Solution G Saez
                    Place 5-2 10 Grays Fable W A Rodriguez
                    Show 6-1 12 Welaka A Beschizza
                    Wild card 4-1 6 Sigiloso I Moncada
                    Alternate 1 6-1 13 Aleman P W Ouzts
                    Alternate 2 15-1 9 Race Craft J J Hernandez
                    Exacta 8-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX, 12-6 BOX
                    Trifecta 8/10/12 BOX, 6/10/12 BOX

                    Race #4

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:13 PM ET

                    Best Bet #12 SINISTER SMILE $80,000.00

                    Race 4 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 4-1 12 Sinister Smile C Barbosa
                    Place 7-2 4 Brushfire J J Hernandez
                    Show 5-1 2 McIlroy L Machado
                    Wild card 3-1 3 Sound Cause C J Lanerie
                    Alternate 1 6-1 14 Shinigami S Sanjur
                    Alternate 2 9-2 6 Academy J R Velazquez
                    Exacta 12-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/4/12 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

                    Race #5

                    All Weather Track 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:43 PM ET $82,000.00

                    Race 5 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 8-1 2 Lady of Power C J Lanerie
                    Place 3-1 14 Faith Understood J R Velazquez
                    Show 4-1 9 Montego Bay J R Velazquez
                    Wild card 15-1 6 Little Dixie I Moncada
                    Alternate 1 8-1 8 Missy Bee J D Ramos
                    Alternate 2 12-1 10 Hold My Halo C Miller
                    Exacta 2-14 BOX, 14-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/9/14 BOX, 6/9/14 BOX

                    Race #6

                    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:13 PM ET

                    Best Bet #5 KRISPY RICE $82,000.00

                    Race 6 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 3-1 5 Krispy Rice C Barbosa
                    Place 4-1 14 White Lilacs A Jimenez
                    Show 12-1 8 Elles Dancer A Jimenez
                    Wild card 15-1 2 Gal Capone Y L Correa
                    Alternate 1 4-1 1 Right Now W A Rodriguez
                    Alternate 2 7-2 9 Gloriannia J D Ramos
                    Exacta 5-14 BOX, 14-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
                    Trifecta 5/8/14 BOX, 2/8/14 BOX

                    Race #7

                    All Weather Track 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 03:43 PM ET $250,000.00

                    Race 7 Stakes
                    Win 3-1 5 Danas Beauty J J Hernandez
                    Place 5-1 6 Long Ago U Rispoli
                    Show 8-1 8 Dazzlin Dictator L Machado
                    Wild card 6-1 7 Austere G Corrales
                    Alternate 1 4-1 12 Dreaming of Mo C J Lanerie
                    Alternate 2 10-1 1 Takemetothebeach R M Hernandez
                    Exacta 5-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
                    Trifecta 5/6/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX

                    Race #8

                    All Weather Track 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:13 PM ET $250,000.00

                    Race 8 Stakes
                    Win 5-2 2 Urban Planner I Moncada
                    Place 15-1 7 Megalodon R M Hernandez
                    Show 3-1 4 Banks L Dettori
                    Wild card 7-2 3 Game Warrior U Rispoli
                    Alternate 1 5-1 5 Coalmoon A Beschizza
                    Alternate 2 4-1 1 End of Romance J R Velazquez
                    Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/4/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

                    Race #9

                    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:43 PM ET $250,000.00

                    Race 9 Stakes
                    Win 5-1 6 Big Vince G Corrales
                    Place 5-2 4 Coming in Hot L Machado
                    Show 8-1 2 Killjoy J E Felix
                    Wild card 2-1 7 Kales Angel R A Vazquez
                    Alternate 1 6-1 1 Piquant G Saez
                    Alternate 2 10-1 8 Global Steve J R Velazquez
                    Exacta 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/4/6 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

                    Race #10

                    All Weather Track 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 05:13 PM ET $300,000.00

                    Race 10 Stakes
                    Win 4-1 6 Encino L Machado
                    Place 8-1 2 Paros J J Hernandez
                    Show 7-2 3 Verstappen D Cannon
                    Wild card 20-1 4 Mercante J D Ramos
                    Alternate 1 9-2 8 Hush of a Storm V Cheminaud
                    Alternate 2 5-1 13 Tucson J R Velazquez
                    Exacta 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/3/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX

                    Race #11

                    All Weather Track 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:43 PM ET $300,000.00

                    Race 11 Stakes
                    Win 3-1 11 White Rocks V R Carrasco
                    Place 9-2 3 Admit I Moncada
                    Show 30-1 6 Getting After It J J Hernandez
                    Wild card 8-1 8 Golden Sunshine V Cheminaud
                    Alternate 1 6-1 13 Bracelet L Machado
                    Alternate 2 5-1 2 Somethinabouther D Cannon
                    Exacta 11-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/6/11 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX

                    Race #12

                    All Weather Track 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET $777,000.00

                    Race 12 Stakes
                    Win 7-2 3 California Burrito I Moncada
                    Place 3-1 9 Poster J R Velazquez
                    Show 5-1 6 Baby Max A Cedillo
                    Wild card 6-1 4 Final Gambit L Machado
                    Alternate 1 15-1 2 Charlies to Blame J J Hernandez
                    Alternate 2 5-1 10 Maximum Promise L Dettori
                    Exacta 3-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/6/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX

                    Race #13

                    All Weather Track 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:05 PM ET $82,000.00

                    Race 13 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 4-1 8 Oh Really R M Hernandez
                    Place 7-2 7 Retained A Jimenez
                    Show 8-1 1 Raging J E Felix
                    Wild card 12-1 12 Riddle Solver G Ashton
                    Alternate 1 3-1 2 Hilarious Affair L Machado
                    Alternate 2 20-1 6 Jimmy Rules W A Rodriguez
                    Exacta 8-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-12 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/7/8 BOX, 1/7/12 BOX

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20541

                      #11
                      Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - March 22


                      Mar. 21, 2025

                      Race #1

                      Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:00 PM ET

                      Best Bet #6 ALL NIGHT REVIVAL $60,000.00

                      Race 1 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 9-2 6 All Night Revival J L Ortiz
                      Place 6-1 4 Never Really Know L Saez
                      Show 6-1 9 Massarat T Gaffalione
                      Wild card 10-1 5 Good Going B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 1 5-1 7 Take Note of This I Ortiz Jr.
                      Alternate 2 8-1 10 Love Song A Concepcion
                      Exacta 6-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
                      Trifecta 4/6/9 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX

                      Race #2

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:30 PM ET

                      Best Bet #11 CUSTOMS CLEARED $60,000.00

                      Race 2 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 3-1 11 Customs Cleared M Murrill
                      Place 8-1 5 Yorktown Panther B Curtis
                      Show 8-1 15 High Adventure A Castillo
                      Wild card 5-1 13 The Wicked Cat S Munoz
                      Alternate 1 15-1 12 Cajun Coaster F Geroux
                      Alternate 2 4-1 6 Mai Tai No Ice E Nieves
                      Exacta 11-5 BOX, 5-15 BOX, 15-13 BOX
                      Trifecta 5/11/15 BOX, 5/13/15 BOX

                      Race #3

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:00 PM ET $60,000.00

                      Race 3 Maiden Special Weight
                      Win 6-1 7 Atarah L Saez
                      Place 4-1 3 Shewontbudge F Prat
                      Show 9-2 10 Stylish Lady J L Ortiz
                      Wild card 9-2 6 Saucier F Geroux
                      Alternate 1 5-1 9 Devastating J Rosario
                      Alternate 2 8-1 2 Mindys Union C J Hernandez
                      Exacta 7-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
                      Trifecta 3/7/10 BOX, 3/6/10 BOX

                      Race #4

                      Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 02:30 PM ET

                      Best Bet #1 ST. ARMANDS KEY $60,000.00

                      Race 4 Allowance Optional Claiming
                      Win 3-1 1 St. Armands Key I Ortiz Jr.
                      Place 9-2 2 Le Gris J Rosario
                      Show 8-1 6 Camaro Z T Gaffalione
                      Wild card 9-2 7 Freedoms Way L Saez
                      Alternate 1 10-1 10 Eff Thirty Five F Geroux
                      Alternate 2 6-1 11 Release McCraken E Morales
                      Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

                      Race #5

                      Dirt 1 Mile 70 Yards - Post Time: 03:00 PM ET $100,000.00

                      Race 5 Stakes
                      Win 9-5 2 Blue Fire J L Ortiz
                      Place 7-5 3 Secret Faith F Geroux
                      Show 4-1 4 Margies Intention I Ortiz Jr.
                      Wild card 12-1 1 Powdered Sugar J Loveberry
                      Alternate 1 12-1 8 Canal Street A Concepcion
                      Alternate 2 10-1 7 Warriors Justice B Curtis
                      Exacta 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

                      Race #6

                      Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:30 PM ET $100,000.00

                      Race 6 Stakes
                      Win 8-1 16 Nine Part J L Ortiz
                      Place 7-2 9 Brians Iron Mike B Curtis
                      Show 6-1 8 Big Chopper E J Barrera
                      Wild card 9-2 4 Geaux Sugar M Murrill
                      Alternate 1 8-1 12 Tussling Charlie A Green
                      Alternate 2 6-1 1 Monsieur Candy F Astudillo
                      Exacta 16-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
                      Trifecta 8/9/16 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX

                      Race #7

                      Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:00 PM ET $100,000.00

                      Race 7 Stakes
                      Win 8-1 8 Classic Time J L Ortiz
                      Place 5-1 4 Sippin On Gin A Concepcion
                      Show 5-1 9 Cajun Mitole J Loveberry
                      Wild card 7-2 5 Dapper Moon B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 1 12-1 12 A Passive Nobody T Gaffalione
                      Alternate 2 10-1 14 Wicked as Haggart J Riquelme
                      Exacta 8-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-5 BOX
                      Trifecta 4/8/9 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX

                      Race #8

                      Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:32 PM ET $150,000.00

                      Race 8 Stakes
                      Win 4-1 3 Way to Be Marie F Geroux
                      Place 5-1 4 Tufani B Curtis
                      Show 12-1 9 Distorted dOro J L Ortiz
                      Wild card 8-1 12 Stir Crazy L Saez
                      Alternate 1 15-1 5 Sabalenka A Beschizza
                      Alternate 2 8-1 7 Amber Cascade I Ortiz Jr.
                      Exacta 3-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX, 9-12 BOX
                      Trifecta 3/4/9 BOX, 4/9/12 BOX

                      Race #9

                      Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 05:04 PM ET $500,000.00

                      Race 9 Stakes
                      Win 7-5 7 Sierra Leone F Prat
                      Place 10-1 10 Bishops Bay I Ortiz Jr.
                      Show 4-1 2 Hall of Fame J L Ortiz
                      Wild card 6-1 5 Touchuponastar T Thornton
                      Alternate 1 10-1 1 Kinetic L Saez
                      Alternate 2 12-1 4 Maycocks Bay B Curtis
                      Exacta 7-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                      Trifecta 2/7/10 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX

                      Race #10

                      Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 05:36 PM ET $300,000.00

                      Race 10 Stakes
                      Win 15-1 12 Higgins Boat E Morales
                      Place 8-1 1 Gigante J Rosario
                      Show 3-1 6 Spirit of St Louis T Gaffalione
                      Wild card 5-1 8 Brilliant Berti B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 1 9-2 5 Redistricting F Prat
                      Alternate 2 4-1 7 Rebel Red J L Ortiz
                      Exacta 12-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/6/12 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX

                      Race #11

                      Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:08 PM ET $400,000.00

                      Race 11 Stakes
                      Win 4-5 7 Good Cheer L Saez
                      Place 8-1 3 Ahavah J L Ortiz
                      Show 12-1 5 Her Laugh I Ortiz Jr.
                      Wild card 6-1 8 Secret Faith J Loveberry
                      Alternate 1 8-1 2 Gowells Delight B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 2 15-1 6 Bless the Broken A Concepcion
                      Exacta 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
                      Trifecta 3/5/7 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX

                      Race #12

                      Dirt 1 3/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:42 PM ET $1,000,000.00

                      Race 12 Stakes
                      Win 7-2 1 John Hancock F Prat
                      Place 6-1 9 Instant Replay F Geroux
                      Show 4-1 6 Built J L Ortiz
                      Wild card 10-1 10 Hypnus B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Alternate 1 12-1 8 Furio L Saez
                      Alternate 2 5-1 5 Caldera T Gaffalione
                      Exacta 1-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX
                      Trifecta 1/6/9 BOX, 6/9/10 BOX

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20541

                        #12
                        Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - March 22


                        Mar. 21, 2025

                        Race #1

                        Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 01:35 PM ET $34,000.00

                        Race 1 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 6-1 8 Magic Mover F Arrieta
                        Place 2-1 5 Speechless C A Torres
                        Show 5-2 1 Vino Vidi Vici I Castillo
                        Wild card 5-1 7 Primo Canary T W Bacon
                        Alternate 1 4-1 4 Charming Tiger R Santana Jr.
                        Alternate 2 20-1 6 Noble Reign E Esquivel
                        Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/5/8 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX

                        Race #2

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:06 PM ET

                        Best Bet #1 DEVLISH GAL $32,000.00

                        Race 2 Maiden Claiming
                        Win 2-1 1 Devlish Gal C A Torres
                        Place 8-1 11 Chapter and Verse T W Bacon
                        Show 3-1 7 Union Dame R Santana Jr.
                        Wild card 15-1 4 Aloha Baby W De La Cruz
                        Alternate 1 5-1 6 Moenchanted F Arrieta
                        Alternate 2 15-1 13 Paris Accord C A Torres
                        Exacta 1-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/7/11 BOX, 4/7/11 BOX

                        Race #3

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:37 PM ET $130,000.00

                        Race 3 Allowance
                        Win 4-1 6 Sinners Sin R Bejarano
                        Place 3-1 2 Sitka C A Torres
                        Show 2-1 5 Im Wide Awake W De La Cruz
                        Wild card 6-1 4 Breslau M Chuan
                        Alternate 1 5-2 1 B Sudd F Arrieta
                        Alternate 2 20-1 7 De Angelo T W Bacon
                        Exacta 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX

                        Race #4

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:09 PM ET $110,000.00

                        Race 4 Maiden Special Weight
                        Win 4-1 6 Rational Theory E Asmussen
                        Place 6-1 3 Leilauni Sue C A Torres
                        Show 7-2 10 Coaster R Bejarano
                        Wild card 5-1 1 Averys Mischief K J Asmussen
                        Alternate 1 6-1 9 Bolt On the Rocks T W Bacon
                        Alternate 2 3-1 8 Rogers Park F Arrieta
                        Exacta 6-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/6/10 BOX, 1/3/10 BOX

                        Race #5

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:40 PM ET

                        Best Bet #3 IM NO JOKE $32,000.00

                        Race 5 Claiming
                        Win 2-1 3 Im No Joke R Bejarano
                        Place 5-2 5 Briterdayzahead C A Torres
                        Show 12-1 12 Southern Sunset T W Bacon
                        Wild card 5-1 4 Vulcan E Esquivel
                        Alternate 1 6-1 2 Tim Tal F Arrieta
                        Alternate 2 15-1 11 The Queens Jules W De La Cruz
                        Exacta 3-5 BOX, 5-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/5/12 BOX, 4/5/12 BOX

                        Race #6

                        Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 04:12 PM ET $65,000.00

                        Race 6 Claiming
                        Win 7-2 2 Double Barrel C A Torres
                        Place 4-1 1 Mendelssohns March J R Leparoux
                        Show 3-1 8 Creative Minister E Esquivel
                        Wild card 30-1 4 Lear W De La Cruz
                        Alternate 1 8-1 6 Interlock Empire F Arrieta
                        Alternate 2 6-1 3 Drip dOro R Bejarano
                        Exacta 2-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/2/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX

                        Race #7

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:46 PM ET $175,000.00

                        Race 7 Stakes
                        Win 7-5 1 Accelerating K J Asmussen
                        Place 8-5 4 Kimchi Cat R Bejarano
                        Show 5-1 6 Glee E Asmussen
                        Wild card 6-1 3 Kentucky Smokeshow T W Bacon
                        Alternate 1 15-1 5 Gunite Max C Murphy
                        Alternate 2 20-1 2 Battleshipper M Chuan
                        Exacta 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX

                        Race #8

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:18 PM ET $40,000.00

                        Race 8 Claiming
                        Win 3-1 8 Espionage A Pusac
                        Place 4-1 3 Without Objection T Wales
                        Show 7-2 10 Martini Blu T W Bacon
                        Wild card 8-1 1 Alpine Thunder C A Torres
                        Alternate 1 10-1 6 Mean Jakey K J Asmussen
                        Alternate 2 15-1 7 Ian Glass R Bowen
                        Exacta 8-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-1 BOX
                        Trifecta 3/8/10 BOX, 1/3/10 BOX

                        Race #9

                        Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:51 PM ET

                        Best Bet #10 PAYNE $65,000.00

                        Race 9 Claiming
                        Win 5-2 10 Payne K J Asmussen
                        Place 3-1 1 Bourbon Heist T W Bacon
                        Show 7-2 5 Top Gun Tommy R Santana Jr.
                        Wild card 15-1 4 Lundberg C A Torres
                        Alternate 1 5-1 7 Major Blue N Juarez
                        Alternate 2 12-1 3 Congrats On Fifty E Esquivel
                        Exacta 10-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                        Trifecta 1/5/10 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX

                        Race #10

                        Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET $500,000.00

                        Race 10 Stakes
                        Win 8-5 5 Kinetic C A Torres
                        Place 9-2 4 Patriot Spirit R Bejarano
                        Show 20-1 6 Speed Bias R Santana Jr.
                        Wild card 2-1 2 Maycocks Bay F Arrieta
                        Alternate 1 3-1 3 Tarantino E A Maldonado
                        Alternate 2 15-1 1 Red Route One K J Asmussen
                        Exacta 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
                        Trifecta 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

                        Race #11

                        Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:56 PM ET $35,000.00

                        Race 11 Claiming
                        Win 20-1 10 To too Twentytwo R Bejarano
                        Place 4-1 2 Reveille Valley I Castillo
                        Show 3-1 13 Wheres Randy T W Bacon
                        Wild card 8-1 3 Gee No Hollander M Chuan
                        Alternate 1 7-2 11 Holus Bolus C A Torres
                        Alternate 2 20-1 4 Clear Echo E Esquivel
                        Exacta 10-2 BOX, 2-13 BOX, 13-3 BOX
                        Trifecta 2/10/13 BOX, 2/3/13 BOX

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20541

                          #13
                          Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - March 22


                          Mar. 21, 2025

                          Race #1

                          Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:00 PM ET $40,000.00

                          Race 1 Maiden Claiming
                          Win 2-1 3 Smiling Tizzy A Aguilar
                          Place 9-5 2 Comininalittlehot K Kimura
                          Show 9-2 1 Dirty Words A Fresu
                          Wild card 4-1 5 Flexible Terms W R Orantes
                          Alternate 1 8-1 6 Missile Cruiser A Lezcano
                          Alternate 2 20-1 7 Newlands T Baze
                          Exacta 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX

                          Race #2

                          Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:30 PM ET

                          Best Bet #3 ZOMBO BOMBO $34,000.00

                          Race 2 Claiming
                          Win 9-5 3 Zombo Bombo D A Herrera
                          Place 5-2 2 Trotsky K Frey
                          Show 4-1 6 Shady Appeal G Franco
                          Wild card 7-2 1 Valentines Candy W R Orantes
                          Alternate 1 10-1 4 Mongolian Altai A Aguilar
                          Alternate 2 8-1 5 Enough Already R Gutierrez
                          Exacta 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX

                          Race #3

                          Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:02 PM ET $38,000.00

                          Race 3 Starter Optional Claiming
                          Win 6-1 4 Mr. Leasure A Fresu
                          Place 5-2 3 Yogi Boy H I Berrios
                          Show 4-1 1 Bolt Supremacy K Frey
                          Wild card 7-2 6 Travelin Show K Kimura
                          Alternate 1 8-5 5 News At Ten A Lezcano
                          Alternate 2 30-1 2 Creative Om C Herrera
                          Exacta 4-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

                          Race #4

                          Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:34 PM ET $38,000.00

                          Race 4 Starter Optional Claiming
                          Win 6-1 2 Resemblance T J Pereira
                          Place 6-5 5 Mr. Disrespectful H I Berrios
                          Show 5-2 3 Looks Rare A Fresu
                          Wild card 5-1 4 Malibu Rocks K Frey
                          Alternate 1 7-2 1 Bad to the Bones K Kimura
                          Exacta 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/3/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

                          Race #5

                          Turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:03 PM ET

                          Best Bet #8 SCHWARZMEIER $67,000.00

                          Race 5 Allowance Optional Claiming
                          Win 3-1 8 Schwarzmeier A Lezcano
                          Place 7-2 3 Money Makes Money K Kimura
                          Show 9-2 4 Player B H I Berrios
                          Wild card 15-1 1 Tom Seaver A Fresu
                          Alternate 1 2-1 5 Zeus War A Espinoza
                          Alternate 2 10-1 7 Dancing Rinca A Ayuso
                          Exacta 8-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                          Trifecta 3/4/8 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

                          Race #6

                          Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:33 PM ET $23,000.00

                          Race 6 Maiden Claiming
                          Win 9-2 4 Arromax V Espinoza
                          Place 2-1 6 Broadway Unions G Franco
                          Show 9-2 2 Toppers Wager A Fresu
                          Wild card 7-2 5 Mr Fabricator A Aguilar
                          Alternate 1 8-1 1 Black as My Heart W Antongeorgi III
                          Alternate 2 6-1 3 Stepbrotheraustin K Frey
                          Exacta 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/4/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX

                          Race #7

                          Downhill turf 1 1/2 Miles - Post Time: 07:03 PM ET $100,000.00

                          Race 7 Stakes
                          Win 7-5 6 Gold Phoenix K Frey
                          Place 2-1 3 Easter A Fresu
                          Show 6-1 7 Divin Propos R Gonzalez
                          Wild card 15-1 2 Megayacht M E Smith
                          Alternate 1 8-1 8 Atitlan H I Berrios
                          Alternate 2 6-1 1 Wizard of Westwood K Kimura
                          Exacta 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
                          Trifecta 3/6/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX

                          Race #8

                          Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:35 PM ET $26,000.00

                          Race 8 Claiming
                          Win 7-5 8 Jerrys Spirit A Aguilar
                          Place 9-2 2 Navy Man K Frey
                          Show 12-1 10 Tequila Talkin T J Pereira
                          Wild card 15-1 9 Rogue Son K Kimura
                          Alternate 1 20-1 4 Stan From Malibu A Ayuso
                          Alternate 2 10-1 5 Ace of Clubs W Antongeorgi III
                          Exacta 8-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX
                          Trifecta 2/8/10 BOX, 2/9/10 BOX

                          Race #9

                          Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:05 PM ET

                          Best Bet #9 DEFIANCE $67,000.00

                          Race 9 Allowance Optional Claiming
                          Win 7-2 9 Defiance K Kimura
                          Place 9-5 6 Eternal Reign A Fresu
                          Show 6-1 1 Runamileinmyshoes R Gutierrez
                          Wild card 6-1 4 Word Play H I Berrios
                          Alternate 1 6-1 7 Cornelia Fort K J Desormeaux
                          Alternate 2 20-1 2 Lovin On the Run A Ayuso
                          Exacta 9-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                          Trifecta 1/6/9 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20541

                            #14

                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.


                            Race 2 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $65000 Class Rating: 100

                            OP - R6 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 22, 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 22, 2024 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.
                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 1 MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 4/1
                            # 2 DOUBLE BARREL 7/2
                            # 8 CREATIVE MINISTER 3/1
                            MENDELSSOHNS MARCH looks to be a competitive contender. Shows formidable speed figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this field. Going in a dirt route race gives this gelding a decent shot. Recorded a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. DOUBLE BARREL - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Cox running at this distance are the top in this group. He looks formidable in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. CREATIVE MINISTER - Ought to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the recipe to a turnaround.

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20541

                              #15
                              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special
                              Equibase Special - Race 2 Leg 2 of the Santa Anita All Turf Pick 3
                              Stakes • 1 1/2 Miles • Downhill Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 121 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 4:03P
                              SAN LUIS REY S. SA - R7 - GRADE 3 (RAIL AT 10 FEET). DOWNHILL TURF FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH IF MADE ON OR BEFORE FRIDAY, MARCH 14, 2025, CLOSED WITH 13 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $2,000 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY. $750 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $750 TO START WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH $60,000 TO THE WINNER, $20,000 TO SECOND, $12,000 TO THIRD, $6,000 TO FOURTH AND $2,000 TO FIFTH. 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADED STAKE AT ONE MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES AT ONE MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 4 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.
                              Contenders Race Analysis
                              P# Horse Morn
                              Line
                              Accept
                              Odds
                              Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BALLADEER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * EASTER (FR): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLD PHOENIX (IRE): Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well i n the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BALLADEER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in ave rage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                              3 EASTER (FR) 2/1 7/2
                              6 GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) 7/5 5/1
                              4 BALLADEER 30/1 8/1

                              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                              Line
                              Running Style Good
                              Class
                              Good
                              Speed
                              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                              Figure
                              4 BALLADEER 4 30/1 Front-runner 110 108 117.0 99.0 90.0
                              8 ATITLAN 8 8/1 Stalker 106 101 89.4 100.6 91.6
                              6 GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) 6 7/5 Alternator/Stalker 113 105 98.4 108.2 105.7
                              1 WIZARD OF WESTWOOD 1 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 105 92 92.0 98.6 87.6
                              3 EASTER (FR) 3 2/1 Trailer 119 116 102.6 115.2 110.2
                              7 DIVIN PROPOS (FR) 7 6/1 Trailer 110 102 88.2 103.8 96.3
                              2 MEGAYACHT 2 15/1 Trailer 99 93 67.3 94.8 80.3
                              5 MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH 5 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 106 107 103.3 90.8 78.3

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