Friday 3/28/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    Friday 3/28/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Early Pick 4 Analysis


    March 28, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

    Hoosier Park has a 13-race card. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6 (7:55 PM CDT)

    2-A New Endeavor (2-1)-Comes off a huge effort from post 10 to win in 151.1. Scorched the back half in 53.3, with a 26.4 last panel. The Stewart barn has posted 5 wins in 15 starts. This was Trace Tetrick's choice over #4-Gorgeous Big Guy, and that Burke pupil banked over $167K last year. This looks like a solid double up possibility.

    Race 7 (8:15 PM CDT)

    4-Lounar Eclipse (9/2)-Raced from the backfield and took the long way around in last. Appeared to be finish willing, then seemed to take a bad step and went off-stride. The Macomber trainee was driven by the conditioner and now the lines are handed to Marcus Miller. Should offer a solid price, will look for a more aggressive start and could be in the hunt at the wire.
    6-Premier Romeo (3-1)-Qualified in a sharp 151.2 and then ran into a tough bunch. Caught a shuffle and was no match down the lane. Drops to a more comfortable level and will look for a bounce back effort.

    Race 8 (8:35 PM CDT)

    4-Noblesville (5/2)-Didn't get the smoothest of trips but was dialed in when shook loose down the lane. Looked like a winner on the screen but just lost by a whisker. Likes to stay inside and then use one nice move down the lane. That should be the plan again but could be closer to the leader at the top of the lane.

    Race 9 (8:55 PM CDT)

    2-Ponda Blaze (9/2)-The good qualifier on 3-22 caught my eye as the 3-year-old had consistent breaking issues. The 0-9 record was due to not staying on stride and did face some stakes company. Will use thinking the price should be better than the morning line and in case the chalk doesn't show up in its 3rd lifetime start.
    7-Trump The Warrior (6/5)-Has been a bridesmaid in its 2 races and the 3-year-old is the program chalk because of those efforts. Could be bet down and will be a small price regardless. This is the one to beat versus this crew.

    $4.00 Early Pick 4

    2/4,6/4/2,7
    Total Bet=$16

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358248

      #3
      Santa Anita Pick 6 for Friday, March 28


      March 28, 2025 | By Frank Carulli

      SANTA ANITA PICK 6
      Friday, March 28, 2025

      Santa Anita’s Pick 6 this Friday, March 28, will feature a $71,790 carryover pool. It won’t be easy to hit, but it will be lucrative for anyone who does. Here’s a closer look and a suggested $180 ticket:

      SA 4th race (5:30 p.m. EST) -- GRACIE’S BIG DAY seized the moment when race favorite LIQUID SPIRIT was fractious in the gate, reloaded and caught in a duel at the same level. But she won by 5-1/2 lengths, gets in light-weighted and gets plenty of pace to rally into in a longer sprint. She is the first of two solo plays on the ticket.

      SA 5th race (6:00 p.m. EST) -- GIRVIN GAL, one of several class droppers in the $50,000 maiden claimer on the turf, ‘lost command but fought on’ to the sixteenth pole before the deep-closing favorites arrived. The fractions and final time were nearly identical to a $50,000 optional claiming race on the same card. READY TO DARE met heavily favored and next-out repeat winners in her first two starts for this barn, then got up for second behind the class-dropping, odds-on favorite last out.

      SA 6th race (6:30 p.m. EST) -- MAMARANDO, second in 3 of her last 8 route attempts, had a useful comeback sprint off a three-month layoff, getting up for third behind the runaway 3-to-5 winner and ‘whittled the gap’ on the 3-1 runner-up. Her dam was a first-out MSW winner. EMPRESS LORRAYNE finished second in her last three starts, two for a higher tag and the latest against the boys, though her overall company lines are suspect. She can use her speed well from the rail and will be used on most Pick 6 tickets. SMOKEM HOT GIRL takes on older rivals but need not be much to contend at first asking. She kept a busy work tab in March and her dam was 9/2-2-1 in nine starts at one mile and beyond.

      SA 7th race (7:00 p.m. EST) -- EL REY REY, better than his winning margin indicated two back, caught the pace controlling favorite for a repeat victory at 1-1/8 miles. The added ground is to his benefit as he seeks her third turf victory in a row. COALINGA ROAD followed the move of the 8-to-5 winner when second in his seasonal debut against Cal-bred stakes rivals. He rallied too late in a slower-paced follow-up against a proven allowance winner and a stakes-placed runner-up. NONE ABOVE THE LAW spent most of his 2yo season in stakes company, winning once and earning more than $100,000. Trainer Peter Miller ran two claimed runners in turf marathons last year with a 6-1 winner and 4-1 runner-up.

      SA 8th race (7:30 p.m. EST) -- COWBOY MIKE appeared in serious trouble as the 3-to-5 favorite against similar foes, but he dug in when collared and won for the third time in his last four route attempts on the Santa Anita main track. His versatility comes in handy with speedy, Grade 3-placed sprinter BARTHOLDY and others added to the mix.

      SA 9th race (8:00 p.m. EST) -- Going at least 5-deep in a field of unproven milers in the final leg of the Pick 6. GARDEN PARTY (#10) is the top choice if she draws in off the also-eligible list. She ‘gained third’ in a turf sprint after eight months away, shows a fastest-of-37 work since then and her dam’s siblings were 15-63 going a route of ground. HAVE PATIENCE is the top pick from the main body of the race. She showed good zip from the gate, dueled and just missed in a 6F grass sprint two back, finishing 3-1/2 lengths in front of a next-out turf mile winner.

      Suggested $2 Ticket
      SA 4th Race: 4
      SA 5th Race: 1, 3
      SA 6th Race: 1, 3, 5
      SA 7th Race: 1, 6, 9
      SA 8th Race: 5
      SA 9th Race: 1, 5, 6, 7, 8 (add #10 if in the race)
      Cost: $180
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358248

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Santa Anita - Race #5
        #11 Motet She might be an OK price in here while racing fresh off the September break, but she ran well here in special weight company last year and has a couple of the very few mild finishing lines in this whole race. Might be along late if the pace heats up.
        #1 Girvin Gal Her better stuff would make her tough while trying this kind, but she doesn't always finish with a lot of punch and probably takes some heat from other pace drawn outside. Capable, but feeling like a principled stand against for me.
        #8 Global Consort Could see her waking up a little bit while turning back and trying a turf sprint for the first time, as she only showed brief pace in a couple route tries so far.
        Race Summary Motet might be a good fit at this level going short on the turf, and I like the way the race sets up for her to settle just a bit and finish.
        Santa Anita - Race #8
        #7 American Admiral He's capable of something better than he showed last time out, and I like that he has some ability to get past horses. Feel like there is enough potential pace to go looking for something from a touch off it.
        #2 Bartholdy He has turned into a pretty honest sprinter, but I have a little concern about some other stretchout types who might keep things honest up top.
        #5 Cowboy Mike Could see him getting a good run from maybe a pressing spot if the stretchout sprinters want to flash sharper pace early. One of the ones.
        Race Summary Price might be OK on American Admiral after the flat try last time out, and he's getting some pretty decent class relief here after a couple graded tries.
        Santa Anita - Race #9
        #8 Practical Dazzle She's quick enough to be close throughout while getting around two turns, but I think she might find a really good first-jump kind of spot where she can let one or two of the others do the heavy early lifting.
        #6 Danzig Til Dawn Pace has stayed on well enough in both of those last two, and she's not meeting any other super serious pace today. Should be in the frame again.
        #1 Lucky C Pedigree is there for her to at least be a little interesting, so check her out ahead of this on the tote and track.
        Race Summary Practical Dazzle might get a great trip today while trying two turns for the first time, and I think she's fairly appealing at something like the 3/1 ML price.
        Aqueduct - Race #1
        #6 Game Like Reyana I like that she has at least gotten past some horses before, and that could help her find an effective tracking trip today while getting around two turns. Wonder if she can punch home.
        #4 Farm House She has tracked and stuck around for distant shares in the first two starts, and she looks to have found a very modest crew today. The clear one to beat, but with at least a tiny concern from me about how she has been a touch flat late. Vulnerable on the wire at a short price?
        #2 Looking For Ginny She's another one who has some rallying ability, but she's probably running from a bit deeper spot than the top choice and has rarely been a serious threat to a winner.
        Race Summary Game Like Reyana has a couple questions to answer, so I wouldn't want her if the price started getting a bit short, but I think she has some appeal while trying to get past Farm House late.
        Aqueduct - Race #7
        #4 Moonlit Drive She couldn't stay in stakes company after the solid debut win, but she returns today with Lasix and should get a dreamy trip up close. Tactical type can adapt as this one unfolds.
        #6 Delray Could see her going on the attack from the outside with her pressing pace, and she has some really reliable form that makes her interesting while meeting some capable droppers.
        #2 Army Gal She couldn't hang in stakes company last out, but her previous two scores were both pretty impressive and look competitive with this group if she's ready to bounce back on the drop -- guessing she will.
        Race Summary Moonlit Drive is one of several droppers in here who could land this, but I think she's going to get a great run of things and might offer a fair enough price with a runner like Army Gal likely to take some cash, too.
        Aqueduct - Race #8
        #7 Ragtime Prankster Nothing to write home about on the form through four starts with special weight groups, but he has been chasing up close early in those sprint races before fading and finds a relatively paceless group while trying claimers for the first time. Could be fun if he finds the front end.
        #9 Capt Jax Parrow He's quick enough to have a run for the top if nobody else makes it, but I think the stretchout pace from the top choice will leave him in another tracking spot. He caught an easy winner last out and wouldn't surprise here.
        #3 Classic Martini He showed little in the debut, but he wasn't totally ignored on the board that day and now comes back with blinkers. Willing to give him a look for a piece in a bad race.
        Race Summary Ragtime Prankster tries a one-turn mile, and his chasing sprint pace might translate really well to this kind of trip.
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