Wednesday 4/2/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    Wednesday 4/2/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 7 Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double
    Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $36,200 • Post: 3:03P
    FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MINESTRESS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MINESTRESS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    6 MINESTRESS 3/1 2/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    6 MINESTRESS 6 3/1 Front-runner 72 68 71.4 71.6 67.6
    1 BUCKEYE ROSE 1 8/1 Front-runner 60 54 53.0 46.8 38.8
    5 KISS VALENTINA 5 6/1 Alternator/Front-runner 64 58 40.0 58.0 49.0
    3 WORK'N ON A BUZZ 3 5/2 Stalker 74 65 54.2 54.8 45.8
    2 KISS ME QUICK 2 9/5 Stalker 68 67 49.6 66.4 62.4
    4 IMA MOM 4 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 69 66 40.6 51.4 43.9

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #3

      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


      Turf Paradise - Race #3 - Post: 1:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 69

      Rating:

      #4 TRACK ROBBER (ML=3/1)


      TRACK ROBBER - You have to consider this horse in today's race. He has been claimed out of his last two events. I like this gelding. Has the topmost earnings per start in today's contest.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #6 WAR ECHO (ML=5/2), #5 K V CANDY (ML=7/2), #1 IMA RASCAL (ML=5/1),

      WAR ECHO - This vulnerable equine will probably need at least one more race after the lackluster showing following the extended rest time. K V CANDY - I just don't have a positive vibe about this racer in this contest. IMA RASCAL - No favorable outcomes for this less than sharp equine in a short distance event over the last couple months tells me that this gelding is in a formidable spot

      GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - TRACK ROBBER - This gelding has the top speed figure last race with a very good 64. He is the top wager here.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #4 TRACK ROBBER to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
      EXACTA WAGERS: 4 with 3
      TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #4
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


        Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 1:39pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,800 Class Rating: 78

        Rating:

        #4 RIESENBERG (ML=6/1)
        #6 TRAP LINE (ML=3/1)


        RIESENBERG - Nunez and Cannon perform well when they work together. It's hard to beat a +217 ROI for a jockey and trainer. Faced tougher in the last race at Turfway Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders. TRAP LINE - It looks like Lagunes had to learn all about this gelding on Mar 15th when riding him for the first time. Back aloft again today. The March 15th event at Turfway Park was at a class level of (83). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points considerably, so he should be in a good position to win. Is ranked number one in earnings per start. A powerful outing in this event will boost the lifetime bankroll.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TABLOID CITY (ML=5/2), #1 MIDNITESTATEOFMIND (ML=4/1), #5 IT'S LAST CALL (ML=9/2),

        TABLOID CITY - I'm forecasting a less than stellar attempt out of him today. MIDNITESTATEOFMIND - I'm always particularly concerned about any horse that earns his biggest fig on an 'off' track. IT'S LAST CALL - A bit of a less than stellar effort when this gelding finished third. Recorded a pedestrian speed figure last race out in a Maiden Special race on March 20th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating.
        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #4 RIESENBERG is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]
        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #5

          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.


          Race 6 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 64

          FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $16,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 HORSES IN FOR THE CLAIMING PRICE ALLOWED 5 LBS.
          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 1 APOLLONIA VITELLI 8/5
          # 4 COWGIRL NATION 7/2
          # 2 CHARM OF THE SONG 5/2
          APOLLONIA VITELLI has a very good shot to take this race. She has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the best in this group of horses in this race. Her earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone makes you take a look at her. This filly is coming back almost immediately to the track. COWGIRL NATION - The speed fig of 59 from her last contest looks formidable in here. CHARM OF THE SONG - Seems to have a quite good class edge based on the recent company kept. Solis has this filly running well and is a respectable choice based on the quite good Equibase speed figs earned in sprint races recently.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs
            Tampa Bay Downs - Race 1 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 1-2-3) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 1-5)
            Claiming $5,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $18,500 • Post: 12:25
            FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 2. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
            Contenders Race Analysis
            P# Horse Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds
            Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PRACTICAL WAY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DYNAMITE KARMA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. PRACTICAL WAY: Horse has run a Goo d Race within the last 30 days. INDULGE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COX CANYON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
            3 DYNAMITE KARMA 3/1 9/2
            4 PRACTICAL WAY 9/2 6/1
            6 INDULGE 5/2 8/1
            5 COX CANYON 2/1 9/1
            1 CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 8/1 10/1

            P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
            Line
            Running Style Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
            Figure
            4 PRACTICAL WAY 4 9/2 Front-runner 86 76 79.8 64.0 53.5
            3 DYNAMITE KARMA 3 3/1 Stalker 89 80 75.6 83.2 78.7
            1 CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 1 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 87 79 61.8 62.2 53.7
            6 INDULGE 6 5/2 Trailer 83 80 61.4 76.3 69.8
            5 COX CANYON 5 2/1 Trailer 83 78 51.8 77.6 72.1
            2 BREADMAN 2 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 88 88 68.0 68.0 63.0

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #7

              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.


              Race 2 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 83

              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2023 - 2025. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS.
              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 5 CHAPARRITA 3/1
              # 4 MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH 8/5
              # 3 SMART OKIE 9/5
              CHAPARRITA has a quite good shot to take this race. Her chances to win are much better this time around facing this easier lot. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong speed figures (71 average) at today's distance and surface recently. She has been running admirably and the Equibase speed figs are among the most competitive in this group. MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH - Will probably be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the halfway point of the race. This animal is in the upper half of this group of horses in earnings per start at the distance/surface. SMART OKIE - Her 76 average has this mare with among the most favorable speed figures in this event. Should be given a chance in this contest if only for the formidable Equibase speed fig garnered in the last contest.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #8
                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century Downs

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.

                Race 4 - Post: 7:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 59 - Purse:$6300 - CLAIMING 10,000
                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                # 9 ITS TIME ICEMAN 2/1
                # 2 KISS MY BET 6/1
                # 5 NOGASEDDIE 10/1
                After thorough analysis by the brain trust, ITS TIME ICEMAN comes out as the top pick. With a formidable 57 TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. Drawing the 9 position at Century Downs has resulted in a very profitable ROI. KISS MY BET - Brooking Lutz has a entrant going down in class in this contest. Looks like the winning move. A respectable play in here as he has one of the highest winning percents in the grouping as well as terrific credentials all around. NOGASEDDIE - He's racing in fine form, recording clear-cut speed figures. An excellent play. Good for a win wager just off the fantastic prior class figures. Have to like this horse.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #9
                  Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness
                  P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                  RACE 6
                  3 3 THUNDER HUNTER JOE 7/5 Beckwith, Brett - 26 537.43
                  1 1 MR BEAST 5/2 Rawlings, Dan - 16 501.64
                  7 7 MARRIED MAN 15/1 Crawford, Brett - 10 443.59
                  5 5 PINK FLOYD HANOVER 5/1 Cutting, Jacob - 9 442.13
                  4 4 BORN DESIRE 25/1 Dobson, Billy - 12 427.36
                  6 6 PLAY ROCK 10/1 Bailey, Leon - 9 426.06
                  2 2 NERVE OF STEEL N 12/1 Athearn, Matthew - 11 423.16
                  8 8 WINDEMERE RYAN 20/1 Fluet, Phil - 12 400.35

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #10
                    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.

                    Race 13 - Post: 8:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$16000 - FILLIES & MARES WINNERS OVER $8,000
                    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                    # 6 JETT PROPELLED 7/2
                    # 7 MISTY COAST 5/2
                    # 4 LARJON LEAH 6/1
                    Feel pretty confident putting some green stuff down on JETT PROPELLED. Not many knocks against this standardbred, let's give her a shot. Performing well, achieved a bang-up speed rating in her last outing (81). Take a good look at making this horse your win bet based on very high win percent alone. MISTY COAST - Take a long look at making this horse your win bet based on high win stat alone. Don't count out this nice horse, especially with Givens as the trainer. In the money pct is magnificent. LARJON LEAH - Post 4 has been winning at a well above average statistic, suggesting really good probability of success this time. Win percentage for this driver-trainer is a sparkling 27 percent - tremendous chance.

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #11
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Yonkers Raceway
                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 10
                      3 3 HECANDANCENCRUISE 5/2 Bartlett, Jason - 28 489.00
                      6 6 GINGER TREE PETE 5/1 Holland, Brent - 14 458.15
                      7 7 THREE GRAND 20/1 Gingras, Yannick - 18 455.30
                      2 2 SQUADRON SEELSTER 6/1 Stratton, Jordan - 13 448.98
                      1 1 ROCK THIS WAY 3/1 Lachance, Pat - 11 436.71
                      8 8 SHAKE IT 10/1 Kakaley, Matt - 14 433.64
                      5 5 VELOCITY KOMODO 8/1 Herschberger, Mark - 12 427.44
                      4 4 PINE BUSH UP DRAFT 20/1 Siegelman, Austin - 9 411.50

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #12
                        Free play from Mike Wynn
                        Free Pick: Indiana -14.5 over Charlotte

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #13
                          Free play from Totals4U


                          Wednesday's Free Selection: Utah Jazz/Houston Rockets under 227 1/2

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #14
                            Free play from #1 Sports


                            Wednesday's Free Play: Sacramento Kings - 12

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #15
                              Free play from Easy Money Sports


                              Free Wednesday Baseball Selection From Lee
                              NEW YORK KNICKS +10.5

                              Comment

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