Saturday 4/19/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359701

    Saturday 4/19/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359701

    #2
    Scott Shapiro: $82K Carryover Pick 6 Analysis for Keeneland


    April 19, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

    It is the final Saturday of the spring at Keeneland and in addition to a solid 11-race card with a pair of graded stakes, we have an $82,328 carryover in the Pick 6. Remember, Keeneland has a $1 minimum denomination in what looks like a pretty playable sequence for all sized budgets.


    Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


    Race 6:
    Grade: C=
    Main Ticket: 1 How’s Ur Attitude; 3 Honky Tonk Highway
    Backups: None

    Forecast: An open $62,500 claimer at 6.5-furlongs over the main track where there is not much speed signed on kicks things off. I will hope to get out with the two that I expect to be prominent early.

    #1 How’s Ur Attitude was ridden aggressively from the rail the last time he competed over dirt. He tired badly in that November ’24 race in Louisville, but has performed much better in previous tries over the main track. He has a big shot to take them gate-to-wire. If not, #3 Honky Tonk Highway should be sitting just off the pace to his outside. He moves back to the dirt and drops in for a tag for the first time for Bret Calhoun.



    Race 7:
    Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 3 Cloudwalker; 7 Pipsy
    Backups: 4 Bandonarun

    Forecast: The first of 3 turf races within the sequence is a 5.5-furlong dash for allowance foes where the 7-2-morning line favorite #4 Bandonarun makes sense after three efforts in Florida this winter for Christophe Clement. He chased the lone speed winner before tiring late last month and should get a favorable voyage here. That said, I prefer a pair of runners that should offer a bit better value.

    #3 Cloudwalker is my top choice. Trainer Brendan Walsh continues to win races at a high clip in April and this filly has already shown an affinity for this course with 2 wins in 3 starts. She shook off the rust last out in a stake at Turfway Park and should be ready for her best in this spot. #7 Pipsy has not raced since running better than looks in the Franklin (G2) last October. She has run very well in her other two one-turn races and gets Lasix for the first time.


    Race 8:
    Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 5 Just a Touch
    Backups: None

    Forecast: I wish I could make a case against the likeliest single in the sequence #5 Just a Touch, but he looks very tough to beat. Not only is he the fastest horse, but he should have no issue controlling the early tempo with little pressure from his rivals. My last year’s Derby pick finally finished that race and appears poised to start off his 2025 campaign a perfect 2 for 2 for Brad Cox.



    Race 9: Elkhorn (G2)
    Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 1 Rebel Red
    Backups: None

    Forecast: On the other hand, I am willing to take a stand against the 8-5-morning line favorite #6 Limited Liabiltiy in this Grade 2 event at 1-1/2 miles over the lawn. The Kitten’s Joy gelding is capable, but his lone victory over the last two years was in a 2 1/16-mile race where he was loose on the lead over the unique configuration at Kentucky Downs. I expect him to hit the board, but for at least one to be better.

    Hopefully it is #1 Rebel Red. It has not been a good meet at all for trainer Cherie DeVaux, but I like this son of Frankel stretching back out after competing at Fair Grounds in the Muniz Memorial (G2) in an obvious prep. Jockey Jose Ortiz should be able to save ground throughout in a favorable mid-pack spot, which hopefully allows him to out finish this bunch.




    Race 10: Ben Ali (G3)
    Grade: B
    Main Ticket: 3 Tennessee Lamb; 1 San Siro
    Backups: 5 Piroli; 6 Duke of Love

    Forecast: The second stake of the afternoon is over the main track at 1 3/16-miles where I like a price most in #3 Tennessee Lamb. The Tonalist colt needs to handle the increase in competition, but meets a field of runners that do not out class him by all that much. The 4YO has proven he is clearly a dirt horse at this point and should get a great trip just off the early pace. #1 San Siro is also a must use. The Brendan Walsh barn is tough to leave off tickets right now and this gelding chased a lone speed winner in a better field at Fair Grounds last month. A big effort should be expected.



    Race 11:
    Grade: B-
    Main Ticket: 8 Then; 7 Rothschild
    Backups: None

    Forecast: I will look to close things out two-deep in this first-level allowance event at two-turns on the grass. #8 Then has run two big races since returning off the layoff. A repeat of his last in Florida makes him tough to beat. #7 Rothschild is just 1 for 10, but ran better than looks in his first start off the layoff. The winner in that March 1 start at Gulfstream Park rode a good rail throughout, while this Uncle Mo colt did not have things as good. John Velazquez picks up the mount with Luis Saez in Arkansas.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359701

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


      April 19, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

      Hoosier Park ends the week with a 13-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 10 (9:56 PM EDT)

      4-Rollin Rosie (2-1)-Qualified on 4-12 in 152.3 with a 26.2 last panel. Did it all on the engine and was caught by Buzzsaw Russ, and there is no embarrassment in that. Looks ready to roll at first asking versus this group.

      Race 11 (10:20 PM EDT)

      5-Stacking Green (5-1)-Greenshoe 3-year-old battled some tough sophomores in Kentucky last summer. Qualified back on Lasix and it was a decent effort. Could handle this group at a fair price if tight enough.
      7-King Fury (7/2)-This will be 1st time Lasix for the Maria Howard trainee, and that is not my favorite angle. But won the last start easily and now bumps up to straight NW2. This isn't a salty group, there are question marks including with this 4-year-old, but will use at what could be a square price.

      Race 12 (10:44 PM EDT)

      3-Grace Rocks (3/2)-This will be the 1st race since 12-27 and put in a couple of quick qualifiers. Could be ready to roll at 1st asking and the Britney Dillon barn wins at a 20% clip off a layoff. Has won 17 of 57 at HoP and Kyle Wilfong should provide a smooth trip.
      5-Flamboyance (3-1)-Went from the East Coast to MVR to the Tyler George barn and this will be the 2nd time for Lasix. The mare set a 152.3 mile at M1 last year and should be in the mix in its HoP debut.

      Race 13 (11:08 PM EDT)

      6-Devious Mojito AS (9/2)-Rolled home with a 56.2 back half starting from the same post last week. Has a 2nd and 3rd place finish in 2 HoP races. Beaten chalk doesn't have the last winner to worry about and could make amends tonight.
      7-Kid Tyler (8-1)-Tom Tetrick homebred has won 2 of 3 and will need its best race to win at this level. This is another who can pop at a price with the right trip.
      9-Brookview Bolt (8-1)-Sticking with the price shot plan this is another that needs the right set up and steps up off a pair of runner up finishes. Usually that angle doesn't garner my attention but did come a close 3rd when facing better than this, and it is a scattered bunch.
      10-Flirtnwiththepilot (7-1)-Came with a good effort in the 1st start off the bench and took a picture. The 4-year-old steps up and the team Wrenn pupil has won 5 of 21 at HoP. Only had 1 win last year but faced stakes company and banked over $118k. The post draw makes the price and might have been the morning line chalk if drew inside.

      $1.00 Late Pick 4

      4/5,7/3,5/6,7,9,10
      Total Bet=$16

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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359701

        #4
        Race of the Week: Saturday's $1.25 million Oaklawn Handicap


        April 16, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

        The Lead:
        The mid-south's premier race for older horses, the $1.25 million Oaklawn Handicap, provides one of the season's final destination races of the winter-spring meeting in Hot Springs, Ark. The Grade 2 test over 1-1/8 miles goes as Race 11 on the card and the field of 8 includes the winners of the series' most-important preps, the Essex and the Razorback, as well as its defending champion.

        Field Depth:
        Grade 2 winners include SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING, RED ROUTE ONE and FIRST MISSION. Also note DISARM, ALEXANDER HELIOS and BANISHING are Grade 3 winners, the first of those is Grade 1-placed. TARANTINO is multiple Grade 2-placed. The match up similar in terms of class though SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING has faced the strongest schedule over time.
        ​​
        Pace:
        BANISHING may be fastest early in this group, but TARANTINO and ALEXANDER HELIOS will be right in the mix with SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING and FIRST MISSION not far from the tempo. This should be an above-average to fast pace and give late runners a reasonable chance if they fire.

        Our Eyes:
        Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

        #1-GO WEST GO : Maiden claiming graduate is just 1-for-5 and clearly the overmatched, ranked outsider in this field for trainer Boyd Caster. Has sprinted in all 5 starts.

        #2-DISARM: Local allowance winner 5 weeks ago when coming off a September layoff, this consistent sort has been just shy of the upper levels in multiple previous chances. Excellent post and fast pace in front of him provides every opportunity.

        #3-FIRST MISSION : Ace stakes rider Flavien Prat takes the controls for the controls for the first time on the 2024 Essex winner and 2025 Razorback third-place finisher. Favored last out when by a neck in his first start since August and could build off that at a juicier price. Mixed results at this distance while 1-1/16 miles arguably his best.

        #4-SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING : Last year's Oaklawn Handicap winner has earned $3.2 million while being a well-placed road warrior throughout his career. As good as ever in winning a third straight Challenger Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs most recently which was his same springboard here in 2024. Irad Ortiz Jr. takes over for injured pilot Tyler Gaffalione. Nearly all of his best efforts have come when he's first or second early in the race; so if you're going to beat him, several getting in front of him early -- which is possible here -- would be the gameplan.

        #5-ALEXANDER HELIOS : Dueling victory in the Grade 3 Razorback at 8-1 odds, he'll be the longer-priced of the Saffie Joseph Jr. entrants on Saturday alongside stablemate Skippylongstocking. Similar running style to the favorite and aggressive jockey Luis Saez probably won't take a back seat. Good record at the track and distance.

        #6-TARANTINO : Santa Anita-based colt has trained at Keeneland in recent weeks and could have run there Saturday for $350,000 in the Ben Ali. Confidence move making return trip to Oaklawn for $1.25 million after a troubled-trip second in the Essex. The $40,000 claim has gone 6: 2-3-1 since coming to trainer Peter Eurton but must deal with pace heat.

        #7-BANISHING : Nearly wired the Razorback in February before coming up a head short to Alexander Helios while holding off First Mission. His Oaklawn Mile return bid was sharp, dueling and outgaming the Grade 1 winner Saudi Crown while flashing far clear of everyone else. Flavien Prat rode both times prior, now jumps to First Mission, while speed jockey Ricardo Santana reclaims the mount. He twice won sprinting with Banshing earlier in the Oaklawn meeting. Pedigree says 9 furlongs will be fine, but he's going to be stretched with pressure. Just 2 heads away from 7 straight wins.

        #8-RED ROUTE ONE: Late-runner figures to take his place at the back and hope they cook early and often in front of him. Rallied strongly to win the Grade 3 Essex in one of the better performances of his career. He's had a problem repeating top efforts, going a paltry 5: 0-0-2 following his previous career victories. Gets his best distance at 9 furlongs.

        Most Certain Exotics Contender:
        DISARM is 14-15 in the superfecta lifetime and has a beautiful pace set-up.

        Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
        At 10-1 morning line, DISARM fills the bill here as well.

        Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
        $60 win DISARM. $10 exacta key-box DISARM with respected logical players SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING and FIRST MISSION ($20).
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359701

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Keeneland - Race #7
          #2 Dancing Duchess She finished behind a nice winner last time out, but I still expected a little bit better from her off the bench. Think she's capable here at a midrange price if she can step forward from that one.
          #4 Bandonarun She was a few lengths in front of the top choice when they met last out, and her reliable form makes her a player right back with this crew. One of the ones, just maybe not with quite as much upside into today's race.
          #7 Pipsy She has been in with some pretty decent groups over the last year in the States, and you wouldn't have to press me too hard to have her prominent on my plays.
          Race Summary Dancing Duchess has some appeal here after a mild comeback run, and she should offer a much better price than either of the other runners listed above -- both of whom I like quite a bit.
          Keeneland - Race #9
          #9 Missed the Cut He has tables to turn today, but I think he's got some potential room to come forward today into the kind of effort that would land this. Lots to like.
          #6 Limited Liability Honest form makes him dangerous here, but I think this is a competitive enough race that you don't have to settle for a short kind of price.
          #5 Utah Beach He's in the frame if he gets back to some of his better stuff today, and the flat recent runs should keep the price interesting enough for those who believe he can bring his A-game.
          Race Summary Missed the Cut is a solid lean while going second off the layoff, and I'd be willing to take him at something a little bit shorter than the 6/1 ML offering.
          Keeneland - Race #10
          #3 Tennessee Lamb The dirt form is pretty honest, and he should find a really great spot today while tracking the splits and getting the jump on a couple later threats.
          #6 Duke of Love I'd be a little wary if the price started to get short here, but he has a few nice names on his page from the old days, and he has upside in the second start off the long layoff -- confident placement today.
          #1 San Siro He's still a bit of a question mark for me on class -- not totally sure what to make of that last one, as it was a small group with a huge name like Sierra Leone that everyone else is worrying about while producing a different lone speed winner.
          Race Summary Tennessee Lamb looks the part on the rise here today after turning in another sharp run when getting on the dirt again last out. First jump lands it?
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359701

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Turf Paradise - Race #3
            #1 GO GO SADIE (4-1) In top form, needs some pace flow in shorter sprint.
            #5 BLESSED ANGEL (9-2) Ultra-consistent sprinter, 9-2 would be biggest odds since 2023.
            #4 BLUE SPIRIT (5-2) Seeks third win in a row after cross-country journey for new barn.
            Race Summary GO GO SADIE validated an upset stakes victory two starts back with a career-best speed figure when second in a follow-up allowance. She sat a good trip off the dueling leaders, but there’s no reason to think she can’t surpass $100,000 in Turf Paradise earnings with another win in her current form. Bet to win and place and play 1-4 and 1-5 exactas.
            Turf Paradise - Race #4
            #7 FLATTERMEINCOURT (2-1) Beaten fave in three straight, out-kicked in final 1/8th at one mile.
            #3 Z’S WARDROBE (5-1) Raced evenly in fast-paced MSW mile for Cal breds at Santa Anita.
            #6 C’S LILLY DANCER (8-1 Followed move of ‘Flatter’ in first long-distance try, adds blinkers.
            Race Summary FLATTERMEINCOURT settled into a comfortable stride after she was squeezed and steadied into the first turn. She wasn’t asked for run until the far turn, surged through a big rail opening to lead clear in early stretch, only to prove no match for the 4-wide winner. Bet to win and place and play 3-4, 6-4 and 7-4 daily doubles.
            Turf Paradise - Race #5
            #4 PICKING IT UP (5-1) Can handle class rise in current form and continue to pay off on recent claim.
            #7 PEDAL TO THE METAL (3-1) Packs late kick, has shown steady improvement, good work since latest.
            #8 DON’T HIT ME BASH (2- California invader finished 1-2 in 5 of last 7 sprints at various tracks.
            Race Summary PICKING IT UP was bumped at the start and had to alter off heels on the backstretch when second two starts back. He impressed with a front-end romp off the claim last out, running away from his nearest pursuer and the late-running favorite, neither of whom changes leads in the stretch. Bet to win and place but wouldn’t expect 5-1 morning-line price.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359701

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
              PURCHASE
              Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 4 $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum) $1 Pick Three
              Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 89 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 7:16P
              QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
              Contenders Race Analysis
              P# Horse Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds
              Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * POWERFUL WISE LADY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. EBW INCEPTION: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. M AMBACITA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CM COWGIRLS ARE COOL: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MAS PRIETA: Horse's average winning d istance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
              8 POWERFUL WISE LADY 2/1 4/1
              10 EBW INCEPTION 5/1 7/1
              4 CM COWGIRLS ARE COOL 8/1 9/1
              3 MAMBACITA 7/2 9/1
              2 MAS PRIETA 20/1 9/1

              P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
              Line
              Running Style Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
              Figure
              1 DELUXE CARTEL 1 10/1 Average/Trouble-prone 85 76 4.7 0.0 0.0
              2 MAS PRIETA 2 20/1 Average 85 80 5.2 0.0 0.0
              3 MAMBACITA 3 7/2 Average 82 80 4.2 0.0 0.0
              4 CM COWGIRLS ARE COOL 4 8/1 Slow 78 86 7.8 0.0 0.0
              5 AJ DUCHESS 5 8/1 Average 79 73 5.4 0.0 0.0
              6 ALEXIA CZECH 6 8/1 Average 79 77 5.7 0.0 0.0
              7 TIKK TOKK 7 20/1 Average 85 76 0.0 0.0 0.0
              8 POWERFUL WISE LADY 8 2/1 Average 93 90 5.8 0.0 0.0
              9 BE CAREFUL 9 12/1 Average/Trouble-prone 69 72 0.0 0.0 0.0
              10 EBW INCEPTION 10 5/1 Average 89 80 4.7 0.0 0.0
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359701

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park
                PURCHASE
                Lone Star Park - Race 5 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
                Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 64 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 3:27P
                (PLUS UP TO $2,600 OPEN ATB) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Lone Front-runner. VALHALLA VIKING is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * VALHALLA VIKING: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CAUSE MIMI SAID: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                5 VALHALLA VIKING 9/2 2/1
                2 CAUSE MIMI SAID 9/5 9/2

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                5 VALHALLA VIKING 5 9/2 Front-runner 64 65 56.2 62.0 55.5
                2 CAUSE MIMI SAID 2 9/5 Alternator/Stalker 69 65 58.4 55.8 48.3
                1 DANCIN FOR GOLD 1 5/2 Trailer 0 0 38.9 58.8 50.3
                8 SAFETY 8 8/1 Alternator/Trailer 59 56 50.4 47.8 38.3
                6 MAX MISCHIEF 6 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 63.9 38.9 28.9
                3 BLAME DENNIS 3 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 64 55 58.8 44.0 34.0
                9 UNCLE DON 9 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 41.3 8.2 0.0
                4 MALACHI 4 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 34.1 37.5 28.0
                7 TEXAS LONE STAR 7 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 24.6 1.9 0.0
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359701

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.



                  Race 12 - Derby - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $185420 Class Rating: 94

                  QUARTER HORSE 400Y, REMINGTON PARK DERBY - FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE QUALIFIED FOR THIS FINAL. WEIGHT 124 LBS.
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 10 VALIANT PAINTED SIGN 5/1
                  # 1 LOMAX 8/1
                  # 5 RELENTLESS AMERICAN 5/2
                  VALIANT PAINTED SIGN looks to be a strong contender. With Pulido getting the mount, watch out for this equine. Earned a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. I think having Pulido ride this gelding is a smart choice. LOMAX - The speed rating of 90 from his most recent race looks solid in here. Reason to like this colt as he has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. RELENTLESS AMERICAN - Have to assume this animal will make a good showing again this time out. Is tough not to consider given the company run in recently.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359701

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE





                    Santa Anita - Race #6 - Post: 3:38pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 87

                    Rating:

                    #6 THE OLD NINE (IRE) (ML=7/5)


                    THE OLD NINE (IRE) - This horse has recorded the best recent turf speed rating at the distance and surface. Faced tougher last time out at Santa Anita. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. Last two Equibase speed figures (95, 88) were strong. Anything close to that right here in this race and this one could win easily. You have to like that last race speed figure, 88, which is the best latest race speed figure of this bunch.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CRAZY CAVALIER (ML=2/1), #5 GOING VIRAL (ML=5/1), #7 BURNING RUBBER (ML=8/1),

                    CRAZY CAVALIER - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint events. I find it hard to play him in this race. GOING VIRAL - Tough for anyone who saw this less than sharp equine in his last race to play him this time around. The fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced contender. BURNING RUBBER - 8/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when checking the most recent efforts.

                    GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - THE OLD NINE (IRE) - This colt is ready to do some damage in today's race. He has recorded three excellent speed ratings over his last three contests.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #6 THE OLD NINE (IRE) to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: 6 with 8
                    TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359701

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                      PURCHASE





                      Laurel - Race #11 - Post: 5:12pm - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $150,000 Class Rating: 92 Federico Tesio S.

                      Rating:

                      #5 KENTUCKY OUTLAW (ML=8/1)
                      #9 PAY BILLY (ML=5/2)
                      #6 STUDLYDORIGHT (ML=4/1)
                      #7 SACRED THUNDER (ML=5/1)


                      KENTUCKY OUTLAW - Gonzalez's agent must like anytime Dunn gives them a mount; winning pct together is good. This colt has been working out well, and the recent bullet work says he's primed for a big performance today. PAY BILLY - This colt is in good form. Finished first on March 22nd. Everybody's got their favorite tracks, but if you ask this horse, I think his answer would be Laurel. STUDLYDORIGHT - Changes tracks from last out at Colonial Downs to here. Multiple wins at multiple race tracks tell me this one likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I believe can be a very valuable selection factor. This racer is ranked number one in this field. SACRED THUNDER - I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this colt's PPs. Almost always in the money. This colt is in superb form right now. Ran second last race out and comes back promptly.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SURFSIDE MOON (ML=3/1), #2 RIGHT WING RUNNER (ML=8/1),

                      SURFSIDE MOON - This steed will most likely be near the rear of the pack as this field crosses the finish line. RIGHT WING RUNNER - This steed ran a common fig last time around the track. He shouldn't run better and will probably lose in today's event running that rating.

                      GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - STUDLYDORIGHT - That bullet move has this racer on edge. Morning form should transfer well when the real racing begins. Getting my cash.


                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #5 KENTUCKY OUTLAW to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
                      EXACTA WAGERS: 5 with [6,7,9]
                      TRIFECTA WAGERS: 5 with [6,7,9] with [6,7,9] Total Cost: $6
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 5 with [6,7,9] with [6,7,9] with [6,7,9] Total Cost: $6
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359701

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                        PURCHASE
                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 3 - Allowance - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $120000 Class Rating: 107

                        KEE - R11 - FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MARCH 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 19 ALLOWED 5 LBS. IN THE EVENT
                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 15 WARRIOR RICHARD 4/1
                        # 12 CIRO DI MARZIO 4/1
                        # 14 NANTASKET BEACH 8/1
                        WARRIOR RICHARD is the most respectable bet in this race. Has run soundly when running a turf route race. Some quite good figures have been posted by this trainer's starters racing at this distance and surface. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. CIRO DI MARZIO - Has performed solidly recently in route races, posting a nifty 101 avg speed figure. Is hard not to consider based on speed figures which have been very good - 98 avg - of late. NANTASKET BEACH - Earned a reliable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest.
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